Elon Musk Admits He Is Too Busy To Build Hyperloop 253
DavidGilbert99 writes "It sounded like the future — a 600mph train taking people from San Francisco to Los Angeles in just 30mins. In fact it sounded like a future too good to be true. And so it seems to have proven. As Alistair Charlton at IBTimes reports, Elon Musk, the man behind PayPal, Tesla and Space X has admitted that Hyperloop is a step too far and he should never have mentioned it in the first place — 'I think I shot myself in the foot by ever mentioning the Hyperloop. I'm too strung out.' Oh well, let's hope SpaceX works out a bit better ... " Considering that SpaceX has already sent materials to the ISS and retrieved the capsule, it seems to have worked out pretty well so far.
Page Not Found (Score:5, Insightful)
Great article!
Re:Page Not Found (Score:5, Funny)
He was too busy to write it.
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This page works (Score:5, Informative)
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/articles/497781/20130808/elon-musk-admit-busy-make-hyperloop-shot.htm [ibtimes.co.uk]
Elon Musk... (Score:5, Interesting)
I get the feeling that if we had about a dozen Elon Musks we would be living in the 2010's version we see in 40 year old sci-fi films...
Ok, the Hyperloop is a bit too much (for now), but the work he's done with Tesla and SpaceX is amazing. And don't forget he had PayPal back when it was a good thing!
Re:Elon Musk... (Score:5, Insightful)
I am 100% sure of it.
You can say a lot things about Mr.Musk, but he is taking risks with his own money that everyone might one day profit from. As opposed to the usual route of billionaires which seems to be taking risks with everyone elses money so that they can profit from it.
Re:Elon Musk... (Score:5, Funny)
You can't be serious...
Do a little more research about that stuff (i.e. who's getting tax money, who's giving it back etc).
He could very well be serious, and a moron. The combination happens in droves on Slashdot.
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Why can't Elon delegate some of this work? He doesn't need to be involved in every aspect of everything. I'd be willing to help with Hyperloop ;-) if he asked.
Now if the issue isn't really the time needed, because there are plenty of talented people that could work on this, but the cost then I can be convinced that perhaps the technology to make this really work is just a bit out of the reach of feasibility at this time.
But damn, the hyperloop concept is really cool. I'd have liked to see work progress o
Re:Elon Musk... (Score:5, Insightful)
Not really, being a douche is a full time job. Hence why he's so busy.
Why is he a douche? Because he's successful and he actually got there by not screwing over millions of people? You can say anything about PayPal but it's a service you can choose not to use. I wish he found a time to do this thing. Safe and fast travel, and I think cheaper too. It would be a great competition for aviation industry. In any case, nothing but respect for this guy.
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At least we had a self-sustaining moon base, even in that.
Never mind the flying car - I want my robot maid!
I can get a roomba for the hoovering. But what about the ironing? And dusting? The washing machine and dishwasher are great labor-saving devices, but they don't load themselves.
He's too busy? (Score:3)
Maybe he could . . . you know . . . hire somebody to build it for him rather than doing it himself.
and nice 404 link.
Re:He's too busy? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:He's too busy? (Score:5, Insightful)
Why wouldn't it work? Is he personally qualified to design and build this thing on his own? Somehow I doubt that.
Re:He's too busy? (Score:5, Insightful)
No, but he is motivated to get people to do it.
Instead of endless meetings where "None of Us is as Dumb as All of Us" is the order of the day he can step in and push the project forward. Once you start delegating you will have layers and layers of delegation and nothing gets done. Welcome to Corporate America.
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If you hire competent executives and managers rather than a friend of a friend, you can get that.
I'm guessing this is either a case of NIH or an admission that the idea won't work in any sort of reasonable time frame. What's more, this is an idea that is likely to compete with SpaceX in the long run.
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No matter how great these folks are once an organization gets to some size this stuff starts happening. At some point instead of working for Exciting Company A you get people thinking they work for Tribe B of Exciting Company A.
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And there's something wrong with that? That's the natural result of enthusiasm. What's more, when you have divisions as diverse as this, they are more like Tribe B of Exciting Company A. You're not going to get a lot of coordination.
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Of course there is. It kills companies.
Like you said no coordination and far worse petty fights designed to just hurt the other "tribes".
This is what killed the microsoft KIN for instance. That company is basically the classic example of this situation.
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If you hire competent executives and managers rather than a friend of a friend, you can get that.
It's a shame Musk doesn't know how to hire competent people.
I'm guessing this is either a case of NIH or an admission that the idea won't work in any sort of reasonable time frame.
That's Musk. No vision, not willing to take risks, and the sort of NIH guy who would never dream of building on something like the AC Propulsion tzero [wikipedia.org].
What's more, this is an idea that is likely to compete with SpaceX in the long run.
I know that some people have described San Francisco as inhabited by people who are not from this world, but I still think different modes of transportation are appropriate, depending on whether you want to go to SF or outer space.
Re:He's too busy? (Score:5, Insightful)
If you hire competent executives and managers rather than a friend of a friend, you can get that.
Good people don't have a big "G" printed on their forehead. They are hard to recognize, and hard to hire (they are usually busy). Building a good team is even harder. Smart, capable people often have big egos, like to be in charge, and are often direct and abrasive. Good people that work well on one team often fail when put on another team with different dynamics. You cannot be successful by just throwing together a bunch of "good people" and then walking away.
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The same corporate America you think is competent enough to ruin the world?
I agree with this version. In my experience big corporations are clueless and their customer lists are very valuable as they are under served. Don't get me started on how much money I've made off former EDS clients. If I could get the SAP chump list I'd be set for life.
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They don't want to ruin the world, they are just incompetent.
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Indeed it is an example of this.
Private companies are exactly the same. My company works with a lot of big companies and their schedules for the tiniest change can be weeks or months. We often end up billing them more and make changes on our end because that is easier for them.
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Way to ignore what I am saying. Good job, most people can't even try to be that dense.
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Mr. Musk has been bitten once, so now he's a little conservative about his brainchildren. Tesla had a CEO that wasn't him. This genius thought it was a good idea to try to sell Roadsters at a loss. Mr. Musk forced him out, reworked the supply chain, and started selling Roadsters at a profit that were just as good as the loss-makers.
This is the kind of management you can hire. It has nothing to do with narcissism and everything to do with competency. It really is hard to get good help these days, especi
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No more than Steve Jobs personally designed and built the iPhone. However, Steve Jobs was still the driving force behind Apple's domination of the mp3 player and, later, the smartphone markets up until Android began to take over.
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He has 5 kids. Hopefully he'll pass on his positive traits and his kids will multiply Musk's achievements.
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Correct Link (Score:5, Informative)
Elon Musk Admits he is Too Busy to Build Hyperloop [ibtimes.co.uk]
The editors should be paying me to do their homework.
Not Iron Man after all (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Not Iron Man after all (Score:5, Funny)
I think the problem is not enough cocaine. Look at how Tony Stark acts, that requires Scarface sized piles of cocaine.
Not that I want to kill Elon Musk, but that might just be the price of progress.
How didn't you get so cynical? (Score:3, Insightful)
I wonder if he realized all the people "on his side" pushing trains would turn around once it got started and put tens to hundreds of millions in lawsuits in the way about environmental studies, hiring union people, and anything else they can think up, not coincidentally buying time for people to throw up apartments in the way, or cram warehouses in the way full of old machinery, all of which must be bought at vastly overinflated government condemnation appraisals.
More stories from Washington, and bankrupting Detroit in this month's issue of Actual Tales From Actual Freakin' Reality.
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Go pound sand you idiot.
Not everyone pushing trains is like that nor are most people like that.
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Eminent Domain comes to mind to solve property issues. Seems to be working for the Keystone pipeline companies. There is a value in upgrading rail travel to the 21st Century, but it will take a better partnership between Government's ability to build infrastructure and private sector's ability to exploit a structure.
The core issue I see with trains is that the "road" and transportation mode are created by the companies, causing inefficiencies in the system. Imagine if air travel was run the same, or grou
There are no NIMBYs in space... (Score:5, Insightful)
Launching through cleared airspace is probably much easier than trying to secure right-of-ways for a slightly-subsonic transport through thousands of municipalities, state and federal lands, and individual property owners, not to mention likely tangles with the EPA and whatever unions might be involved. Plus, a high-profile transportation project like that might pick up TSA attention too.
Re:There are no NIMBYs in space... (Score:4, Interesting)
If they can build a oil pipeline I fail to see how this is any different.
Besides the entire middle of the country is nearly empty, go check it out on google earth.
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>> differences with oil pipelines
Oil pipelines are quiet. A 600-mph train wouldn't be. Ergo, the zone of disruption, lowered property values, health issues, etc.would be much wider for the train.
Oil pipelines don't carry people. Trains do. With people and mass transportation come security concerns you don't see with pipelines.
Re:There are no NIMBYs in space... (Score:5, Insightful)
A 600mph train could be fairly quiet. Design is a big part. Yes there would be some disruption.
What security concerns? Terrorism? You mean that thing that in the USA kills less people than farm animals?
Pipelines can also be attacked, and would actually be a better target. Look at what bursting a pipeline did just recently in the news.
Re:There are no NIMBYs in space... (Score:5, Funny)
BTW its not a train but a capsule suspended in air by magnets in a tube. The sound it would make is probably the muffled woosh as often heard by readers of Slashdot.
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Part of the challenge is that the tube would be evacuated of most of the air too, so the whoosh would be barely audible (you can't have a perfect vacuum). The reason for this is eliminating drag - induced drag is the biggest problem at high speeds. Getting rid of the air gets rid of the largest source of energy loss in the system.
Of course, it h
Re:There are no NIMBYs in space... (Score:4, Informative)
No air is evacuated, that defeats the purpose of a pneumatic system like the hyperloop.
The biggest force trying to slow down a high-speed vehicle is drag. There are two ways to eliminate the drag: either travel through a vacuum, or make the air travel at the same velocity as the vehicle. The hyperloop does the latter: it's basically a pneumatic tube, so the air is moving at the same speed as the vehicle. Such a system does not need to be completely airtight. It's also why Musk claims the Hyperloop can't crash, since the air in front of you would compress if you got closer to the car in front.
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And where are those killer farm animals located? In the very same rural fields that the trains would be passing through! You'd be bringing the people right to them!
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Coal, nuclear, natural gas, hydro, wind, solar... oil isn't exactly the only way we make electricity. Nuclear alone accounts for ~20% of US energy supply.
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The only place in America that generates a significant amount of electricity from oil is Hawaii. Great place for HSR.
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Yes, the middle of the country is empty, but you want to build rail where there will be people to use it.
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That is where the endpoints go. The part of the trip that needs to be at hundreds of miles per hour is the giant empty part in the middle. Done correctly with a few stops on the way that land would be greatly increased in value. People would move out to the country.
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You want the endpoints to be where people use it. You want the noisier, space-hogging midpoints to be that big gap between Where People Are and Where People Want To Be. If it weren't for that gap, people would walk.
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I'm not an American, but I suppose for most people that "big" gap is between suburbs and the city center. Those gaps, also referred to as "cities", tend to not be empty.
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Go look at google earth.
The big gap is all the states in the middle.
If you drive from NYC to LA, which I have almost done, from the time you get to upstate NY until you get to California you will see not a whole lot of anything. Chicago is the only real city of any note on that route.
So Elon Musk is Not Actually God (Score:3)
Maybe DD Harriman though.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delos_D._Harriman [wikipedia.org]
Too busy for a pipe dream! (Score:2, Interesting)
NEVER!
I think the reality is few people would like to strap themselves into a coffin and fly down a tube at 4000 mph considering that we can't even prevent trains from crashing in the 21st century. I mean think of how ridiculous that trains actually crash? The one in Spain crashed because it was going to fast around the corner because the driver was texting on his phone. Why would there not be simply some mechanical/electrical switch that triggers the train to slow down automatically approaching sharp co
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t was going to fast around the corner because the driver was texting on his phone. Why would there not be simply some mechanical/electrical switch that triggers the train to slow down automatically
Because there'd be an equal chance of the switch failing because the guy who installed it and/or the guy who programmed the subroutine which monitored it was texting on his phone... :p
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Why would there not be simply some mechanical/electrical switch that triggers the train to slow down automatically approaching sharp corners?
No reason, other than money saving and/or trying to complete the project on time by cutting corners. It's usually a bit more advanced that a simple switch, but that's besides the point. Any decent railroad has a signalling system that detects overspeed and automatically slows the train down to something like 20 mph before letting the driver speed up to the allowed speed again.
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The one in Spain crashed because it was going to fast around the corner because the driver was texting on his phone.
He was not texting, he was talking on the phone, receiving instructions from the train company about the route farther ahead (it was not a warning about the corner). But that is probably irrelevant since he was already too fast when he got the call, one minute before the crash. Even if he noticed the corner, I don't know if one minute would be enough to slow down the train to a safe speed.
Re:Too busy for a pipe dream! (Score:4, Interesting)
Sadly, this is an example of unions run amok. Trains don't need drivers. It's entirely feasible to automate them. Look at all the automated airport shuttle trains. But in Spain, there's a union, and they make damn sure there's a driver on every train, and unfortunately, they don't police their own members so we get incompetents who cause fatal wrecks because they can't be bothered to pay attention to their meaningless makework job.
Unions have their place, but that one is a poster child for Fox News to point to. They should be ashamed.
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Re:Too busy for a pipe dream! (Score:4, Informative)
Why would there not be simply some mechanical/electrical switch that triggers the train to slow down automatically approaching sharp corners?
I don't know about Spanish railroads, but the NYC subway system has had what you're talking about for many decades. For a dramatization, watch the original Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 (1974) [imdb.com]. The part where the train is automatically slowed down going around the loop at South Ferry is entirely accurate.
Time to get pedantic (Score:5, Funny)
It sounded like the future — a 600mph train taking people from San Francisco to Los Angeles in just 30mins. In fact it sounded like a future too good to be true.
A future where SF and LA are only 300 miles apart does sound a little unlikely.
Re:Time to get pedantic (Score:5, Funny)
A future where SF and LA are only 300 miles apart does sound a little unlikely.
Plate tectonics will do the job.
I'm swamped.. (Score:3)
Tyrone, you know how much I love watching you work, but I've got my country's 500th anniversary to plan, my wedding to arrange, my wife to murder and Guilder to frame for it; I'm swamped.
Elevation changes make hyperloop almost impossible (Score:4, Informative)
Among the many problems with hyperloop is elevation changes. If you're going even 1000 miles per hour, the minimum turning radius to stay less than half a g is 25 miles. There are 4000 ft mountains between LA and SF, and either you have to build a 80 mile long tunnel through them (pretty expensive) or build a viaduct that is 2000 ft high and 100 miles long. Going around the mountains might make more sense, but you're going to end up way out to sea.
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Engineering is about compromises. First, didn't read TFA, but 600 MPH in the summary clashes with your 1000 MPH. Did it say 'mean speed of 600', as opposed to peak speed?
Second, a 'pinnacle' design could make this work. Think like new coasters that either have a 2nd acceleration point or reverse back to start: Go fast, then slow down, then go fast again. Modern engineering's got more than a few tricks -- mix 'em up: pod accelerates at each end, undergoes inductive breaking in as few spots as possible,
Re:High speed rail (Score:5, Insightful)
Hell, a single high speed rail link through the middle of the country linking the existing decent rail on the coasts would be great.
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existing decent rail on the coasts
You must be from the east coast, from a different country or have terribly low standards, because the state of rail transportation on the west coast of the USA has never great and it's been getting worse for the past 70 years or so.
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I am fine with slower if it is more comfortable.
Amtrack could be cheaper if it was faster, more people would use it.
Lisbon to Minsk is about the same distance from NYC to LA. Europe is therefore about the same size.
Re:High speed rail (Score:4, Insightful)
Lisbon to Minsk is about the same distance from NYC to LA.
How many people travel from Lisbon to Minsk (or equivalent distance) by train? Seriously - I don't know.
People rave about the TGV, but Paris to Lyon is only 237 miles (roughly like a Boston to NY or NY to Washington trip) Even Berlin to Paris (like an old war movie) is only 545 miles. It seems that when people travel from, say London to the south of France, they're more likely to fly, and that's only about 600 miles.
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Have you ever tried them both yourself?
If you had you would not likely be asking.
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a lot of freight is already transported by rail. HSR is for people, and in most cases people prefer to fly because its faster
Re:High speed rail (Score:4, Interesting)
No, it is not. For flights you have to get there an hour or more in advance, they are chronically late or canceled and you can't get up and walk around during it.
Go someplace they have HSR and check it out.
People travel by air because they don't have HSR available to them.
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europe is tiny
i'll take flying NYC to Denver in 4 1/2 hours over a much longer HSR trip any day. i can fly out of NYC at 7am and be at my mom's house for lunch. same with a weekend at vegas. fly out friday afternoon from NYC and be back sunday night
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Europe is huge. Lisbon to Vienna is farther than NYC to denver. Europe these days extends far past Vienna as well. Lisbon to Minsk is 2400 miles. That is only 300 miles shy of NYC To LA.
You might be able to get out of NYC at 7am, you might not. Last year I was stuck for 3 days waiting for a flight to leave. This does not happen with trains. You will also be getting to the airport at 5am and crammed into a tiny seat for several hours. On the train you could walk around, eat, drink, have free wifi.
Go visit a
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last year NYC had a hurricane and the trains didn't run for days either. i know because i take the LIRR into Penn almost daily and it was flooded out. LIRR ran on a reduced schedule for a month or more.
so how long is that vienna to lisbon trip by train?
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The airport would have been closed as well.
Compare how often trains are late or canceled vs airplanes.
I have no idea how long it is. It likely cannot all be done on HSR. I merely picked a comparable distance to prove the size of Europe.
Far easier than trying to tell you would be to have you go see for yourself. The USA would be greatly improved if we required all inhabitants to spend some time traveling the world.
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its 41 hours lisbon to vienna
in the USA only the craziest train fans would opt for this kind of trip over flying.
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Towns and cities have a say as to how fast speeding metal objects may go through their area.
If you have grade level crossings, which high speed rail can't. That's largely regulated by the Federal Railroad Administration, and to a lesser extent, the states. [wikipedia.org]
Unless you bypass all the small towns and only go to major cities, in which case you arent going to get enough ridership to pay for it.
If you do stop at every small town, it won't be high speed. It's called an express train. Nothing new about that strategy.
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Not ones with any ambition to innovate.
I had to add those last 2 words because many have tons of ambition to grow their empire or fortune.
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"Groves" on trees? [/facepalm]
I think you've invented a new eggcorn. [wikipedia.org]
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It's dumb. It's a highway of driverless cars, with a private company paying for both the highway and cars.
What's dumb about that? If they provide a useful service, people will pay for it.
His only good observation was "banks are ripping people off - why can't I rip them off too, but with the internets."
Why do you feel so ripped off by PayPal? You could also take this time to reread the first part of my post.
Why are you so negative about everything? :p
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It's a highway of driverless cars
I believe it's called a "railroad". I wonder if it's ever been tried as a business model?
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I believe it's called a "railroad". I wonder if it's ever been tried as a business model?
Not successfully. No where in the world do passenger trains operate profitably without subsidies.
Re: If its good (Score:5, Insightful)
What you meant to say is, "Nowhere in the world do roads compete successfully with railroads except thanks to road and motor vehicle subsidies."
Re: If its good (Score:5, Insightful)
Why does it have to be profitable? If the economic benefits on the area are great enough it will pay for itself through economic growth. That's what governments are for, to finance things that benefit the people but don't necessarily make a profit.
Re: If its good (Score:5, Insightful)
I believe it's called a "railroad". I wonder if it's ever been tried as a business model?
Not successfully. No where in the world do passenger trains operate profitably without subsidies.
Now there's a [citation needed] if I ever saw one, SNCF is booking half a billion per quarter [sncf.com]. The TGV network is a goldmine.
(At any given moment there's more high-speed equipment waiting to depart at Gare du Nord than exists in all of North America.)
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(At any given moment there's more high-speed equipment waiting to depart at Gare du Nord than exists in all of North America.)
But can you buy Freedom Fries on the train?
All transport is subsidized (Score:3)
Not successfully. No where in the world do passenger trains operate profitably without subsidies.
Name me one location where automobiles operate profitably without subsidies. You think those roads were built with private money? Even the occasional toll road is only possible because it feeds into a network of publicly financed roads. You seriously think that automobiles and airplanes aren't heavily subsidized?
Re: If its good (Score:5, Insightful)
It's bad for another reason too. Earth Quakes.
Earthquakes take time to propagate, so unless it is built right on the faultline, there will be time to react.
Protip: If you immediately see a serious problem with something you know almost about, it is likely that the responsible professionals are already aware of the problem and have considered it in their design.
Re: If its good (Score:5, Insightful)
It's bad for another reason too. Earth Quakes.
Japan has earthquakes too, much more often and intense than we have on the west coast (we haven't actually had a large one since 1999). Japan has a fairly substantial rail system, complete with high speed lines. If they can do it, why can't we?
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Is to hire some competent management team to execute on his vision. Or is it that he is unable to devolve responsibility? How do you think IK Brunel managed so many achievements in what was a relatively short lifetime? Or for those yankee doodle dandy's who cant relate to anything outside their own culture and sphere of experience, look up Vannevar Bush and what he was able to achieve through the management of good people.
You had me at "competent management".
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In the long run his competition is with space. Space flight between two cities is quite fast, and doesn't require the huge tracts of land that this would.
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Space flight is incredibly inefficient.
You lift a tin can above the atmosphere only to drop it back in a little later. All the energy you used to lift it will be lost.
It also doesn't scale very well.
Re:Link not working (Score:4, Funny)
Maybe we just need to figure out how to apply regenerative braking to rocket engines...
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It scales better than the Hyperloop would and the energy efficiency is probably better than the Hyperloop as well. Unless of course there's a way of keeping the entire tube in a state of vacuum.
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You lift a tin can above the atmosphere and transport it frictionless through space instead of pushing it through hundreds of billions of air molecules.
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Space flight between two cities is quite fast, and doesn't require the huge tracts of land that this would.
Here's a suggestion for a proof of concept: buy a surplus ICBM and squeeze yourself into the re-entry vehicle. If it works for you, I'll try it. If it doesn't work, the re-entry will save your survivors the cost of burying you, as you'll already be a lot deeper than 6 feet.
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Sounds much more comfortable and less degrading than flying coach.
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Would you rather someone post another eulogy for Steve Jobs? Ooh, ahh, he gave us the iPod. Blessed be his name.
Musk is a geek hero because he actually has some vision, and follows through on it. That's something that's sorely lacking these days, when Facebook is considered a brilliant innovation. We miss the 19th and early/mid 20th centuries, when real innovators created everything from railroads to exploring the solar system.