Report: By 2035, Nearly 100 Million Self-Driving Cars Will Be Sold Per Year 325
Daniel_Stuckey writes "The rise of autonomous cars might turn out to be more rapid than even the most devout Knight Rider fans were hoping. According to a new report from Navigant Research, in just over two decades, Google Cars and their ilk will account for 75 percent of all light vehicle sales worldwide. In total, Navigant expects 95.4 million autonomous cars to be sold every year by 2035. That's pretty astonishing. For one thing, that's more cars than are built every year right now."
Re:I personally wouldn't trust (Score:2, Informative)
Sorry, I can't remember the last poorly engineered consumer product to have killed millions. Citation needed.
Where is Google's incentive to make a secure OS? Nobody gets fined for making crappy admin software - the mass computing companies don't see the requirement (or maybe see a different requirement from Virginia....)
On the other hand, they have plenty of incentive to market a well engineered car: product recalls, negligence claims etc. would make a poorly engineered self-driving car a very expensive mistake even for Google. That's largely why they aren't available already (I worked on the technology in the late '90s).
Believe me, Google can afford plenty of good software engineers. It's perfectly possible to have computerised automated systems that work to an extremely high integrity level (see spacecraft controls, nuclear reactor controls, warship / submarine controls etc.) and if the requirement is there a suitable investment in programmers and testing will generally reach whatever quality level is required. But you don't pony up for all that without a good requirement.
Re:WTF (Score:4, Informative)
And nearly 25 million homes will have at least one Potrzebie
I would imagine that most homes would have millions of potrzebies. [wikipedia.org]
(So I read this and thought...where have I seen this word before?)
Re:For the love of Junior Johnson... (Score:2, Informative)
Are you so out of the loop you didn't notice Ford released a car with auto brake in traffic for under $20k? VW makes cars for similar money that park themselves. When I drove through Sydney last weekend, it would have been brilliant if I had not been the meat filling between a GPS navigation device and the steering wheel.