Report: By 2035, Nearly 100 Million Self-Driving Cars Will Be Sold Per Year 325
Daniel_Stuckey writes "The rise of autonomous cars might turn out to be more rapid than even the most devout Knight Rider fans were hoping. According to a new report from Navigant Research, in just over two decades, Google Cars and their ilk will account for 75 percent of all light vehicle sales worldwide. In total, Navigant expects 95.4 million autonomous cars to be sold every year by 2035. That's pretty astonishing. For one thing, that's more cars than are built every year right now."
I personally wouldn't trust (Score:2, Interesting)
Predictions: Any Asshole Can Make 'Em (Score:2, Interesting)
I predict in the next 20 years or so, shit is going to go so horrifically fucking wrong for humanity that "auto-cars" will be removed from the List of Stuff Society Cares About. Whether it be full-on nuclear war, a complete, global totalitiarian state, or a big fucking asteroid obliterating all life, something bad is gonna happen, that makes us, collectively, stop giving a shit about trivial, non-survival nonsense like flying auto-cars.
I guess we've got 'till 2033 to see who's right. I'll go get some beer and lawnchairs.
Re:Obvious scenario (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:WTF (Score:5, Interesting)
They start making up figures on a market that has not started yet?
Seems like a real great (and useful) idea to me...
Because by then nobody will remember it. The volume of media these days will take something approximating Big Data mining just to find ordinary headlines, never mind piddly stuff like a weather or technology prediction
I predict over 150 million Veeblefetzers will be in private hands by then end of 2015.
And nearly 25 million homes will have at least one Potrzebie
Re:WTF (Score:4, Interesting)
This reminds me of a guy at work who used to constantly impress the boss by doing presentations that showed projections of the *future* growth of his area. Every time his division would have a bad year or lose money, he would just do a Powerpoint that projected huge growth for his division over the next 5-10 years, making the recent downturn on the chart look inconsequential. Since the boss was a sucker, this actually worked (surprisingly, it even worked on many of his co-workers too), and he was actually lauded for his supposed leadership.
This all worked fine for him until someone with half a fucking brain (i.e., me) took over and canned his ass for being nothing more than a huckster. What's really funny is that no one ever even called him on the inaccuracy of his predictions, when he consistently failed to meet his own projections (of course, he always had a fresh chart showing how NEXT YEAR he was going to do great). Firing him was one of the very few times in my career when I actually enjoyed firing someone.