10 Terabit Ethernet By 2010 306
Eric Frost writes "From Directions Magazine: 'Because it is now impossible to sell networking unless it is called Ethernet (regardless of the actual protocols used), it is likely that 1 Terabit Ethernet and even 10 Terabit Ethernet (using 100 wavelengths used by 100 gigabit per second transmitter / receiver pairs) may soon be announced. Only a protocol name change is needed. And the name change is merely the acknowledgment that Ethernet protocols can tunnel through other protocols (and vice versa).'"
Good stuff (Score:5, Interesting)
From the article: "iSCSI (Internet SCSI) over Ethernet is replacing: *SCSI (Small Computer Systems Interface..."
iSCSI is far superior to stadard SCSI for obvious reasons, and its widespread adoption will really spark a massive gain in the SAN (Storage Area Network) market. The technology is there, now we just need more major vendors of SCSI devices (especially storage and image filing systems) to make more SCSI devices that support iSCSI natively and applications that take advantage of it. Combined with practical solutions from vendors of network storage software like Veritas we could see some major spending in IT. And more money being spent on IT is always a good thing.
I don't keep up much with the progress of the Ethernet technologies at hand, so is it realistic to suppose that the practical implementation/creation of 100 Gigabit Ethernet, 1 Terabit Ethernet, and 10 Terabit Ethernet will be seperated by merely two years each?
"Because it is now impossible to sell networking unless it is called Ethernet". Incorrect. You can easily sell network gear that is tagged with the "WiFi" designation.
Re:Good stuff (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Good stuff (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Good stuff (Score:2, Insightful)
Right now you're wasting your time putting more than a single 1 Gbps ethernet card into an Intel server for anything other than redundancy as the servers can't even drive that.
Until we have the protocol handle
Re:Good stuff (Score:2)
Re:Good stuff (Score:5, Interesting)
iSCSI
A really nice development.
Yet more big advantages to iSCSI are the ability to keep the
Next thing you know, GPUs will come with on-board Ethernet controllers and USB plugs for keyboard and mouse, and be built in to the back of an LCD monitor.
Re:Good stuff (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Good stuff (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Good stuff (Score:3, Interesting)
[Note: I work for EMC and am friends with the iSCSI developers, so my views are a bit biased.]
Re:Good stuff (Score:3, Insightful)
I call it a secret tool when they dont provide it when they drop of a testing rig. Twice they have done this to me. It's not exectly like it's easy to find or well marked either I had to get out a st
Re:Good stuff (Score:5, Interesting)
I think not. 10 GbE hasn't exactly taken the world by storm and it's been around for over a year now. I know of products that have 10 GbE ports, but I have not witnessed an abundance of demand. To be nice the author of this article is just a little facetious in his claims.
In reality if you read the article it's hard to even take him seriously. To say that Nortel's DWDM system is ethernet is like calling your 56k modem ethernet. Yeah, so you can pass ethernet frames on it. It's not standard, it's not documented anywhere in IEEE 802.anything (esp with regards to conformance), so it's NOT ethernet. Just passing ethernet frames does not make you an ethernet device. I'm honestly not really sure what the author's point is except that he seems to think 1) ethernet is increasingly popular, 2) everyone should want to carry ethernet frames, and 3) people want bigger and bigger pipes. The first 2 are true, the third is less true now than it was 3 years ago.
So the answer is, it wouldn't surprise me if we see 10 Terabit links by 2010, I doubt very, very much that we'll see a 10 Terabit ethernet port on a single chassis ethernet switch with 100 Terabits of switching capacity. I could be wrong, I hope I am, but it doesn't seem reasonable.
Re:Good stuff (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Good stuff (Score:2)
And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:2)
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:2)
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:5, Interesting)
The efficiency of the routers / backbones you encounter is always a factor, and if one router in the chain takes forever to respond, it's going to kill your latency.
Your packet has a certain size, and the time it takes to completely transmit that packet and complete the ack is your latency. Distance and bandwidth are the prime factors.
Sure your packets travel fast on a fiber backbone, but if your last mile connection is several orders of magnitude slower ( broadband or dialup ), it's going to cause a significant increase in your latency.
Even high bandwidth cannot save you from real distance. You try to play a game on the other side of the US, you're going to add a sizeable delay even with those high-bandwidth backbones. Gaming with a server on another continent? It becomes largely unplayable.
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:5, Informative)
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:3, Insightful)
While the perceived lag would remain pretty much the same, you'd be sure that the client-represented world would be much closer to the 'server world' than it is now.
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:2, Insightful)
and then the aimbots and see-through-wall hacks become even more effective, as they can track every single player in the screen at all times.
Most client-side compensation and prediction is latency compensation anyway.
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:5, Funny)
To solve the cheating problem "once and for all", you can render the picture on the server and just send that 1024x768 bitmap 60 times per second.
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:3, Funny)
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:2)
And still 10 Terabit will support 50 players even with 125 fps and 6000x4500 uncompressed 4*16 bit colour (RGBE or something like that with 16 bits per colour). But that's just insane, why 10 Terabit? 640 Gigabit should be enough for everyone!
But I wonder if this is a long term solution?
The only feasible long-term solution that I can see right now is uploading all players (brain scan, digitalisation and uploading) to controlled server environment, where they are pr
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:2)
What if I send out all my moves at once? My brain has on board branch prediction.
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:2)
Hell (Score:5, Interesting)
Probably not. But I could definitely see it being useful for top-end server systems with hugely parallel storage and memory access.
Not really... (Score:2)
there better be... (Score:2)
I certainly hope so, or there's no way in the world I'll be able to play "Unreal Tournament 2010" with internet multiplayer.
Routing (Score:3, Interesting)
Now really, I don't see much point in directing 10Tb ethernet to one machine anyhow. But it would be great for large node-points. I you think about 100Mbps, generally no single machine is going to use that much in a normal network. However, many machines will, and sometimes quite easily in large sit
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:4, Interesting)
but
-Ab
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:5, Funny)
Lan parties are, in a lot of ways, hindered by bandwidth. We have a monthly thing in town here that is pushing the limits of the 100mb switches and GE backbone.
Watching multiple streams of HDTV video from the media server in your basement.
Networking processors from different workstations to provide a little more processing power.
And most importantly.
Haptic porn.
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:4, Informative)
Kjella
Re:And what am I going to do with 10TB ethernet? (Score:2)
Ten billion people coming your way
Ten in 2010, Ten in 2010
-- bad religion
And if they're all on the Internet, we will *definitely* need 10 terabits... and if Big Brother is watching that much traffic, I'm sure there will be SCSI/RAID tech that can write that fast.
Better question... (Score:5, Interesting)
And that assumes that transfer occurs at chip speed, which it doesn't. Assuming a modest clock multiplier of 8 between system bus and chip, that's a 15x overcapacity, even if the entire computer were used to transmit.
What about latency? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:What about latency? (Score:3, Informative)
So, unfortunately the technology used for cluster interconnects is totally non-general purpose. Actually it's more or less useless unless you have a MPI application.
Re:What about latency? (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:What about latency? (Score:3, Interesting)
Clustering and LAN file servers are two common uses for networks that won't benifit much by increasing bandwidth beyond 2gbps compare
Salad (Score:3, Insightful)
LAN or Internet? (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:LAN or Internet? (Score:3, Interesting)
How about those interested in clustering and not interested in paying for expensive solutions (that now exist because of high latency in ethernet)?
How about those that are interested in having a network other than their home network where 100 or 1000Mb is just not enough?
The home market isn't the ONLY market available for networking you know. Especially with FL thinking about taxing it
Re:LAN or Internet? (Score:2, Interesting)
At those speeds, does the
-B
100Mb full duplex, switched to the desktop. (Score:2)
This might be good for SAN's. But I'd be looking at iSCSI for that.
We haven't even deployed gigabit Ethernet yet.
I shudder to think of the size of the files that will need that much bandwidth for decent performance.
Re:100Mb full duplex, switched to the desktop. (Score:2)
Re:100Mb full duplex, switched to the desktop. (Score:2)
Re:100Mb full duplex, switched to the desktop. (Score:3, Funny)
Reasonable Limits Aren't (Score:2, Interesting)
And who knows what bandwidth-hungry LAN application you're going to want to do in the future. Have you any idea how long it takes to render a cup of tea, Earl Grey, hot in s
Re:Reasonable Limits Aren't (Score:2)
True enough. But it's not going to matter much having all that bandwidth in your house when you're still poking about the Internet at pathetically slow speeds by comparison
Article Text (Score:4, Informative)
By: Steve Gilheany
(Aug 27, 2003)
Ethernet Timeline
* 10 Megabit Ethernet 1990*
* 100 Megabit Ethernet 1995
* 1 Gigabit Ethernet 1998
* 10 Gigabit Ethernet 2002
* 100 Gigabit Ethernet 2006**
* 1 Terabit Ethernet 2008**
* 10 Terabit Ethernet 2010**
* Invented 1976, 10BaseT 1990
** projected
Every kind of networking is coming together: LANs (Local Area Networks), SANs (Storage / System Area Networks), telephony, cable TV, inter-city optical fiber links, etc., but if you don't call it Ethernet you cannot sell it. Your networking must also include a reference to IP (Internet Protocol) to be marketable.
Above 10 Gigabit Ethernet lies 100 Gigabit Ethernet. The fastest commercial bit rate on a fiber transmitter/receiver pair is 80 Gigabits per second. Each Ethernet speed increase must be an order of magnitude (a factor of 10) to be worth the effort to incorporate a change, and 100 Gigabit Ethernet has not been commercially possible with a simple bit multiplexing solution, but NTT has solved this problem and has the first 100 Gigabit per second chip to begin a 10 Gigabit system [http://www.ntt.co.jp/news/news02e/0212/021204.htm l]. Currently, Nortel Networks offers DWDM (Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing) where 160 of the 40 Gigabit transmitter/receiver pairs are used to transmit 160 wavelengths (infrared colors) on the same fiber yielding a composite, multi-channel, bandwidth of 6.4 terabits per second. Because it is now impossible to sell networking unless it is called Ethernet (regardless of the actual protocols used), it is likely that 1 Terabit Ethernet and even 10 Terabit Ethernet (using 100 wavelengths used by 100 gigabit per second transmitter / receiver pairs) may soon be announced. Only a protocol name change is needed. And the name change is merely the acknowledgment that Ethernet protocols can tunnel through other protocols (such as DWDM) (and vice versa). In fact, Atrica has been advertising such a multiplexed version of 100 Gigabit Ethernet since 2001. [http://www.atrica.com/products/a_8000.html] Now that NTT has announced a reliable 100 Gigabit per second transmitter/receiver pair, the progression may be 1 wavelength for 100 Gigabit Ethernet, 10 wavelength (10 x 100 Gigabits per second) CWDM (Coarse Wavelength Division Multiplexing) for 1 Terabit Ethernet, and 100 wavelength (100 x 100 Gigabits per second) DWDM for 10 Terabit per second Ethernet in the near future.
iSCSI (Internet SCSI) over Ethernet is replacing: *SCSI (Small Computer Systems Interface, in 1979 it was Shugart Associates Systems Interface: *SASI), *FC (Fibre Channel), and even *ATA (IBM PC AT Attachment) aka (also known as) *IDE (Integrated Drive Electronics) *see [http://www.pcguide.com], Ethernet is replacing ATM (Asynchronous Transfer Mode), Sonet (Synchronous Optical NETwork), POTS (Plain Old Telephone Service, which is being replaced with Gigabit Ethernet to the home in Grant County, Washington, USA ) [see references from Cisco Systems 1, 2, 3, or 4] [www.wwp.com], *PCI (Peripheral Component Interconnect local bus), Infiniband, and every other protocol, because, as described above, if you don't call it Ethernet you cannot sell it. Everything, in every type of, communications must now also include a reference to IP (Internet Protocol) for the same reason.
At the same time that the transmitter / receiver pairs are getting faster, and DWMD is adding channels, the capacity of fibers is increasing, as is the transmission distance available without repeaters. Omni-Guide [http://www.omni-guide.com/; then click on enter] is working on fibers that "could substantially reduce or even eliminate the need for amplifiers in optical networks. Secondly it will offer a bandwidth capacity that could potentially be several orders of magnitude greater than conventional single-mode optical fibers." Eliminating
Re:Article Text (Score:2)
Name Change (Score:3, Funny)
iSCSI???!?? Firewire? (Score:2)
Re:iSCSI???!?? Firewire? (Score:5, Informative)
Re:iSCSI???!?? Firewire? (Score:2)
I believe the same concept is possible with Firewire. In fact, the Firewire protocol allows for use completely independently of any computer or CPU.
We already have gigabit... (Score:3, Insightful)
We already have gigabit Ethernet - which (even rounding down somewhat to account for checksum and overhead and such) should be capable of transferring around 100 megabytes of data per second. How many of us have ever seen even 10% of this in practice for a general Internet connection? I'm lucky if I can pull one megabyte per second from an Internet site that doesn't happen to be, y'know, next door.
- David Stein
Re:We already have gigabit... (Score:2, Informative)
So, it seems to me that for massive data transfer, we should be worrying more about the beginning and end of the line rather than the middle.
Not that I think improving network transfer speeds is bad...
Re:We already have gigabit... (Score:2)
Each machine would plug into a gigabit switch. Let's say there are 24 of these per switch. The gigabit switch would then uplink to a core switch at 4GB. There could be anywhere from 1 to 300 of these. The core switch would have multiple 10GB or faster uplinks to various ISPs for peering.
When all is said in done you have a tonne of aggregate bandwidth be
Re:We already have gigabit... (Score:3, Informative)
Useless? My company could use it right about now. We've got a video system moving massive amounts of imagery through several machines. There's encoding, decoding, image processing, and all kinds of fun stuff going on. Our ethernet backbone is the bottleneck. We running at a gigabit and it barely keeps up. We've had to severely compress the video to keep up. With 10 terabits, (maybe even 1 terabit) we'd be able to do it all uncompressed. That'd b
The all important use... (Score:2, Funny)
Not just a name change (Score:5, Funny)
So to sell it as Ethernet they have to make it compatible as such. Or to make things cheaper, they will have to settle on a different name to sell cheaper 10Tb cards only. Cheaper 10Tb cards will sell more than compatible ones.
Re:Not just a name change (Score:2)
Just call it E.Everything
In the year 2010... (Score:3, Funny)
Will 10 Terabits be enough... (Score:5, Funny)
Uses of high speed links (Score:5, Informative)
These high speed DWDM systems talked about in this article aren't designed to be used for LANs or home internet connections - they are meant for high speed backbones that span huge distances (such as across the US or Australia).
They carry mutiple 10Gb/s or 40Gb/s channels on one fibre pair - and these individual channels can be added or removed as necessary, and can be treated independantly. Saying this, 10Gb/s is still a lot, and generally that needs to be broken down into more managable sections, such as gigabit copper ethernet or maybe even 100Mb/s.
It may seem like overkill, but at the core of most networks, there is a distinct lack of bandwidth. Maybe the VOD and video calling predicted 10 years back won't happen on these networks, but more applications are requiring these huge amounts of bandwidth.
An example of this sort of system being rolled out is the Marconi Solstis system in Australia [fibre-systems.com]. A very small part of that system was designed by me :)
packetengines (Score:4, Interesting)
These guys had gigabit routers four years ago when I was helping to set up the AFN (ashlandfiber.com)
Cool to see.. mo'faster is mo'betta
it's funny... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:it's funny... (Score:2)
Who needs this? Answer... (Score:5, Informative)
They sold a pair of units (and you have to buy at least 2 or they are useless) to Time-Warner. There is one on the East Coast and one on the West and it forms a major part of their cross-country backbone.
8-10 of the units were sold to Korea (South) for use in wiring up their national rail systems. I also believe NTT DoCoMo (Japan) bought a couple.
This is all last year. Since I'm no longer with that company (layoffs), I no longer get all the product updates. These units were in my product group for install, service and support.
Re:Who needs this? Answer... (Score:2)
I'll bet you all ... (Score:3, Funny)
Cheers,
-- RLJ
Ethernet? (Score:2)
Go driving around a neighborhood with Kismet and you'll see what I mean. There are tons of people with Wireless networks in thier homes. Now every Joe user in the world can set up thier own network in thier home. Now, Joe doesn't know the difference between ethernet and cat5. But what is the main thing that he sees on all of his packaging? ETHERNET.
Has be called Ethernet? (Score:2)
Re:Has be called Ethernet? (Score:2)
Actually, to me, Ethernet = "contention-based, shared-medium compupter network." In which case, 802.11x is very properly called Ethernet. Switched 100bT, on the other hand...
Re:Has be called Ethernet? (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Has be called Ethernet? (Score:2)
Very true, but I bet you the "Wi-Fi" name is causing more confusion than sales. I mean, to me, it sounds like something that I plug into my stereo. Usually, they just revert to the tried-and-true "Ethernet" name for clarity:
http://www.cdw.com/shop/products/default.asp?EDC=2 82320 [cdw.com]
Re:Has be called Ethernet? (Score:2)
"Ethernet" by itself should be more than descriptive enough for a wireless network...
Re:Has be called Ethernet? (Score:2)
So, OK, Wi-Fi (CSMA/CA) is not really Ethernet (CSMA/CD), but it has the same asynchronous spirit (CSMA)...
Cabling? (Score:2)
Just bought a house. Got a sweet deal with the builder where I sign a waiver (if you kill yourself it's not our fault), and I'm able to go in and put network cable in the walls. This will probably happen in a month or so (they just poured the foundation two weeks ago).
I was seriously going to go in there and put 2-4 Cat5e ports in each room, and I've already bought a 1000ft spool of the stuff for the occasion. Unfortunately due to building codes (so they say), they will not
Re:Cabling? (Score:2)
If you want to really future proof your house, go multi-mode fiber. I will cost more than alot of your appliances but the geek factor would be sky-high.
Re:Cabling? (Score:2)
Think internet backbones...
Most PCs would probably have a hell of a time even coming close to pushing 10 terabits/sec
Re:Cabling? (Score:2, Informative)
Hell you should be able to tie the new cable to the old, and yank it through, removing the old as the new replaces it.
Unless you're going to be a dork and staple the Cat5 every few feet.
BTW, that 1000 foot roll wont go as far as you t
Re:Cabling? (Score:3, Informative)
As I understand it, low-voltage cables like Ethernet and telephone wires do not need conduits. What they do need, however, is to be plenum-grade if they go into a "forced air space" like an air conditioning duct. It's also probably a bad idea to bring them through a hole in the ceiling of your wiring closet like I did :) in my install. But I don't have a good replacement idea other than a bunch of holes drilled from the top of the wall and brought out through a box on the wa
Re:Cabling? (Score:2)
It's not exactly unknown for a builder to BS a customer and after
Re:Cabling? (Score:2)
-1 Redundant (Score:2)
Durability of Ethernet (Score:5, Funny)
My apologies for both the recursive quoting and name dropping.
Attn Geeks: This is not for your desktop (Score:5, Informative)
This technology is namely meant for backbones, be it on a campus level or as a longer haul backbone. Obviously, your desktop will not need to transfer anywhere near that much data within the next, say, 25 years. If you were using your head while you were reading the (albiet poorly written) article, I wouldn't have to troll.
Re:Attn Geeks: This is not for your desktop (Score:3, Insightful)
(I write this after I just did a 500 Mbps ftp transfer of a 7GB video file over GigE...)
Re:Attn Geeks: This is not for your desktop (Score:3, Interesting)
As an asside I think the funniest part
Ethernet (Score:2)
RIAA (Score:2, Interesting)
A 5MB mp3 would take 0.000004 seconds. A whole CD would take a whopping 0.00056 seconds.
Just to get this into perspectivc (Score:5, Informative)
10Tb/s means
5 million 2Mb/sec compressed video streams
Copy a 250GB drive in 1/4sec
23 thousand streams of 24bit x 1600*1200pix x 75hz uncompressed
1.5k byte packets at 670 million/sec
2 billion x 50 byte packets per sec
port scan all ports on all IPv4 addresses in 20 minutes
Every US resident downloads Metallical's new track in 30 minutes of my http server
And this will all be available at Fry's for a $50 NIC and $30 cable ? When ? I'll hold off buying any new network HW 'till then :^)
Seriously, there are some significant implications here. For 1, you won't need a monitor connected directly to the "fast video card" to get the next fancy 3D graphics features. Memory bandwidth and network bandwidth will be similar meaning that clustered NUMA systems will be interesting. Some of the design decisions we deal with today have been because getting the person close to the computer to improve the experience was a critical factor will disappear.
With all that bandwidth... (Score:2)
I like patterns, but this doesn't make sense... (Score:3, Insightful)
10 Megabit Ethernet 1990*
(5 years)
* 100 Megabit Ethernet 1995
(3 years)
* 1 Gigabit Ethernet 1998
(4 years)
* 10 Gigabit Ethernet 2002
(4 years)
* 100 Gigabit Ethernet 2006**
(2 years)
* 1 Terabit Ethernet 2008**
(2 years)
* 10 Terabit Ethernet 2010**
I think this would be more accurate though:
* 100 Gigabit Ethernet 2006**
(3 years)
* 1 Terabit Ethernet 2009**
(3 years)
* 10 Terabit Ethernet 2012**
Basically I don't see the technology being developed any faster than 3-4 years because as it stands, home main stream still opperates at DSL connections of 10mb and home networks run at 100mbs. As far as the business world goes, the majority of companies I have had the opportunity of working at run only 100mb networks with IT "thinking/testing" going 1gb.
In short - there is NO demand for 10gb networks currently and especially NO demand for 100gb let alone a freakin terrabyte pipe. Although those things are "nice" and very "cool", there is not a big enough demand/NEED for this kind of transfer - YET.
You could also use the analogy of the current PC market. There is not a big demand for new systems right now because even for business use a P4 1.6ghz with 512mb of mem runs everything work and game related fine. As soon as something comes out that REQUIRES/needs more power THEN you will see a rise in pc sales.
100 Gb/s + is bogus (Score:3, Informative)
The article mentions DWDM systems with 100 Gb/s per wavelength. That's bogus.
I am an optical engineer at a 40 Gb/s startup. The jump from 10 Gb/s to 40 Gb/s is huge. Many signal degradations (chromatic dispersion, polarization mode dispersion, nonlinearity,
Compensating for chromatic dispersion, PMD, et. al. requires optical components which DO NOT follow Moore's law. These components are handmade specialty devices.
While a business case can be made for 40 Gb/s, the jump to 100 Gb/s is commercially pointless. If you are building a DWDM system anyway, just spread the same data across more 10 Gb/s channels.
What the hell is "Directions", anyway? It sounds like sci-fi fluff meant to entice VC's.
Re:boy! If you could build a Beowolf Cluster of th (Score:4, Interesting)
It wasn't long ago that we really started exploiting video chipsets for rendering graphics, either...
Re:Disks cant keep up (Score:2, Interesting)
As long as the aerial density keep increasing, we will see slow but steady increases in speed too.
If anything, networking has been the stagnant factor lately. Gigabit over copper has been out for years now, and the hardware for it is still overpriced, and mostly made by a few manufacturers.
Re:Speed! (Score:2)
Consider yourself blessed, then.
I have a "mere" 200Mb (100btx FD on my home LAN, and although I can get 20-30% utilization over 6 machines all blasting data full-throttle, no single connection ever goes above 10%.
Until we go to purely solid-state HDDs (or someone figures out a cheap way to get a sustained HDD transfer rate two or three orders of magnitude greater than what we have now), moving to terabit-and-