Will A Price War Run VoIP Out of Business? 212
ElCheapo writes "News.com looks at the recent price war that has erupted amongst VoIP providers. How much lower can costs for unlimited long distance go before next-generation phone services run themselves out of business? How does this compare with free services that don't offer connectivity to the PSTN?
Packet8 offers service for $19.99/month, a level analysts say is unsustainable. Vonage recently dropped their rates to $35/month to match VoicePulse.
VoicePulse is known to use a softswitch based on the Asterisk open source PBX. Will open source allow startups to compete with the traditional LECs?"
One word: Bigzoo. (Score:1)
Re:One word: Bigzoo. (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:One word: Bigzoo. (Score:5, Informative)
The kicker? That's one EUROcent.. And I'm calling from The Netherlands. Using our equivalent of a 1010 LD operator (a 4.5ct fee per call put through, no monthly fees except what I already pay my ILEC).
Yes, prices can go down. If international calls can be terminated for less than 0.01 USD per minute, so can domestic ones.
Re:One word: Bigzoo. (Score:2)
Re:One word: Bigzoo. (Score:2)
Re:Even cheaper. (Score:2)
There is no sign up and no credit card needed for a phone card. I currently use a MCI 625 minute $20 card. It's rechargable or replacable.
Ok to give credit where credit is due, you can use the service cheaper for some international calling, but I don't call overseas, so a domestic card does just fine.
Re:particularly if you call from a pay-phone (Score:2)
With the primary use definition out of the way, a card is still less than half the price of the cheapest telemarketer offer for long distance. None of the telemarketer offers were free of any monthly charges. They can't compete with a phone card.
Re:One word: Bigzoo. (Score:2)
Forget Bigzoo, use OneSuite. 2.5 cents/minute (Score:2)
C'mon. (Score:4, Informative)
Prices will drop until companies start failing. (If in fact the low prices are unsustainable) So long as there are customers willing to pay for VoIP, there will always be business.
If the price is too high, then they'll be out of business. If the prices are low, they can make it up on volume.
Re:C'mon. (Score:3, Informative)
"Make it up on volume" is a phrase that usually only applies to the manufacturing sector, where fixed overhead costs like rent, electricity, etc. combined with the fact it is much, much cheaper to run 3 shifts of the same product than stop and change the line to a different product; test; calibrate; retest; ramp up production...
The only way they will "make it up on volume" is if there is almost
Re:C'mon. (Score:2)
Re:C'mon. (Score:2)
VOIP on a flat rate plan is a bit more complicated. You incur a per minute connection charge from the ILECs but you're charging customers a fixed rate per month. In other words, you're betting that the average monthly usage will be low enough that the connection ch
Re:C'mon. (Score:2)
Fortunately there are a lot of suckers like me who love flat rates but never use the service all that much. It is just a good feeling to use something and know it does not cost you anything extra.
ummmmmmm (Score:4, Insightful)
NO. (Score:4, Interesting)
Mine is 100% free, I have at least 6 nodes throughout the united states that all I do is pick up line 2 in my house and dial to connect ot the other nodes for free.
and yes it's as good or better than the telephone service using really low cost Creative VoiP blasters and fobbit.
voip will be around as long as there are people willing to use it and have access to the hardware. and no I dont care to dial out to a landline.
Re:NO. (Score:2)
You say that now, but wait until the Matrix is coming for your ass.
Relevant Links (Score:2, Informative)
fobbit [fobbit.com]
InnoSphere [innosphere.net]
VoIP Blasters are back in production? (Score:2)
I thought Cre/\tive had end-of-lifed that product! They still don't have it on their home page - though the gamersdepot review is recent and claims they're available for twenty bux.
What happened?
(And why, after the hooraw here on slashdot when Cre/\tive canceled them just as open-source software was becoming available to drive them, didn't we hear about them coming back?)
Creative says VoIP Blasters not in production. (Score:2)
Are VoIP Blasters are back in production?
Then I called Cre/\tive's direct sales store number and they seem to think they're not in production.
Curiouser and couriouser.
Re:VoIP Blasters are back in production? (Score:2)
Not really.
If I want one to play with, yes. But if I'm trying to build a software product or business around it, I want to have the hardware in production so others can buy it.
ESPECIALLY if it's a networking project - where the value of the network goes up with its size. If the stuff isn't in production it will run out, probably before the network reaches critical mass.
(Yes I know you can make it interoperable with other devices. But if this one is defunct I want to find o
wtf (Score:5, Insightful)
Mind you, however, this is true where these businesses aren't competing against a monopoly which can undercut prices at their loss. In either way though, there is at least one company left providing the service of the sector.
-bm
Re:wtf (Score:2)
It's not a very complicated process:
1. Company A uses its assets from investors to sell their service below cost as a promotion (typical dot-com thinking).
2. Company B is faced with a difficult choice. They can A) Keep their prices at a reasonable level with the intention of keeping their heads above water and instead end up o
Re:wtf (Score:2)
And as a result, there is not a single internet company on the face of the earth. No one uses the internet, right?
Warchests only work in the short term. Eventually companies will start making profits, if only because the lossy ones will have died. Did you know Yahoo! is posting profits these days?
Re:wtf (Score:2)
Sivaram Velauthapillai
Re:wtf (Score:2)
Re:wtf (Score:2)
VoIP (Score:2, Interesting)
IMHO what will drive most of the VoIP carriers out of business is not the low prices but the service moving into the business, bypassing the middleman. Cisco et al ad nauseum offer VoIP hardware. It's all a matter of time.
Re:VoIP (Score:2)
Here I thought VoIP was supposed to "end the phone companies' price fixing and general ripping off of customers'. I don't call $35 cheap.
Re:VoIP (Score:2)
Who owns Packet8? 8x8.
What does 8x8 manufacture?
VoIP equipment.
They (Packet8) currently only support their smallest box (1 line per box), the DTA310, but they claim to be rolling out much bigger stuff in the near future (8x8 makes huge iPBX systems)
I'll settle for 0$ (Score:5, Interesting)
The only reason you would need an actual service provider is to connect to 'legacy' telephone networks or to offer services like voicemail. Once the traditional telecom providers figure out that there is a market for this kind of thing, they'll be in an excellent position to offer that kind of services.
Re:I'll settle for 0$ (Score:4, Insightful)
That's a pretty big deal, considering there are like 500 million "legacy" phone lines in the US alone...
Traditional telecom will never allow VoIP to take off... telephone companies are huge employers in just about every state. They'll lobby congress and state legislatures and have VoIP taxed out of business.
Why? Verizon, SBC, etc are addicted to that $20-50/mo they make on residental service.
Re:I'll settle for 0$ (Score:2)
I don't see the VoIP industry going out of business as they can provide services that are far below the price of POTS business services.
Need voice mail? I have had a Dell from 6 years ago that had voice mail software used in conjunction with the modem.
I think there will reach a day soon when we all don't have to support the massive beurocratic infrastructure that the Bells instituted.
L
Re:I'll settle for 0$ (Score:2)
Re:I'll settle for 0$ (Score:2)
Every telecom company in history has a long track record of charging additional costs for services even though their cost for implementing them are not that expensive.
The highest cost in telecom is placing new lines - this will remain a high cost endevor, but allowing new protocols and applications to run on those lines are far cheaper.
DOnt be fooled. just because it does cost millions to roll out a service offering - that cost dwarfs in comparison to the cost of rolling out new infrastructure AND t
Re:I'll settle for 0$ (Score:2)
The telcos have very close relationships with state and city Public Service Commissions (which were created to regulate Ma Bell) and state legislatures. They own or share ownership of the utility poles and conduits with energy utilities, and competition needs to go through state government to obtain access to those resources.
You also presume that the telephone company is going to convert every line to DSL... How cheap is VOIP when you need to pay $50/mo fo
Re:I'll settle for 0$ (Score:2)
For example, Verizon Wireless is non-union, yet is the most expensive cellular provider in the industry.
If you have ever worked in a large company, you've seen the absurd situations that arise when cost-cutting Nazis come to town.
Re:I'll settle for 0$ (Score:3, Insightful)
Also, I wouldn't want to have to rely on my computer being turned on all the time in order to get phone calls. The RBOCs always bragged about
Re:I'll settle for 0$ (Score:2)
This is one area however where it probably would make sense to just have simple appliance. Internally complete computer, but designed to be small, ultra-reliable, quiet... in fact, like what my dream PC would be as well (but in this case probably with just simple LCD display).
So, it need not be what is now your work station. It should be more like, say, your router/switch/cable modem. It just
Re:I'll settle for 0$ (Score:2)
And what do you think Skype's ultimate objective is? The way I read an interview/announcement was that Skype would eventually come to represent everything its creators said was wrong with the current telecom industry.
Answer to poster's question (Score:2)
Nope, but it could put the commercial service providers out of business.
yes (Score:2)
It still leaves the issue of how to pay for maintaining the internet.
I dont get it (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:I dont get it (Score:2)
So...going back to the old party line system? Where you have to wait for the other guy to finish? mmm...I don't think so.
Re:hrm? (Score:2)
Unacceptable. Why would I want worse service, even if it were 'free'?
('free' only after I have a PC and a broadband connection)
Local bandwidth saturation - I notice a difference in speed on my cable connection depending on time of day. 5-7PM Eastern seems to be bad. Cable co overselling the available bandwidth. I have *never* noticed a reduction in sound quality or availability in my landline phone service. Ok...maybe in times of extreme
Re:I dont get it (Score:2)
How many people would like making phone calls over a network where other people could listen in on your calls by simply picking up an extension to the line the destination computer is using?
That aside, the real problem is that this doesn't solve the POTS to VoIP interface. If all you're doing is VoIP, you don't c
Competition saves, regulation kills (Score:5, Insightful)
I doubt that people will lose the desire to use VoIP, so that third occurence is unlikely. But government overregulating, or enforcing a company's "right" to be the sole provider of the service, both could happen (and probably will). I see ads on TV all the time for "$40 a month unlimited phone service!" but I know the last time I had such a deal, I paid $50 for the service, and $35 or more for all the government taxes and fees on top of it.
It is ridiculous.
I dumped my wired phone service because of these fees, and I am about to dump my cell phone service for the same reason. I have enough IP connectivity wherever I am that that I will happily switch to a VoIP company that allows me to transport my Wi-Fi based phone to any network and immediately get connectivity. But when they start getting taxed heavily, I'll move on to the next format.
Honestly, 80% of my communications have moved to instant messaging of some kind. Its loggable, it takes thought to write messages, and I can communicate with 5 seperate conversations at once. I used to use almost 3000 minutes a month on my cell phone, now I am down to 1000 minutes, but I send probably 10,000 text messages to various people.
I'm betting many of you will eventually drop the over-taxed, over-regulated services for ones that get the work done faster, cheaper, and with fewer government intrusions.
Re:Competition saves, regulation kills (Score:2)
Anyway, VoIP is what I want NOW
Re:Competition saves, regulation kills (Score:3, Insightful)
Rather than trying to enforce a company's "right to be the sole provider", regulatory bodies are implementing complicated pricing regimes, unbundling local copper loops and fac
Re:Competition saves, regulation kills (Score:2)
This is probably not entirely true, as industry lobbyists have too much influence over that regulation. Any appearance of competition is not true competition--it's only that which the industry and the regulators allowed for their short-term benefit. The telephone industry needs to be deregulated almost entirely (and gradually) to let it recover from prior govern
Re:Competition saves, regulation kills (Score:2)
Re:Competition saves, regulation kills (Score:2)
Talk about stupid, short-sighted logic. Cops responding to a domestic disturbance call don't go there just to deal with the aftermath. They also serve to prevent violence in the first place. They can defuse situations before things get out of hand and people really do get hurt.
Re:Competition saves, regulation kills (Score:2)
Re:Competition saves, regulation kills (Score:2)
Those rates aren't all that hot. (Score:2)
I checked out Packet8 and I noticed that even after paying twenty bucks a month calls from the US to Taiwan are still five cents a minute. That's not so special.
Using a calling card and a modem to auto-dial I can quite conveniently call to the States from Taiwan for about twelve cents a minute and there's no monthly charge at all. If you're going to talk for less than a few hours a month, that's still cheaper.
Let's see, twenty buc
Re:Those rates aren't all that hot. (Score:2)
I'm not so sure. To have a phone line in your home in the US is about $23-$28 per month. $19 isn't bad considering I can use my cable internet connection and it includes all north american calls. 5 cents a minute to Tiawan isn't bad either.
Voice (Score:3, Insightful)
Having relatives in Norway and an avid user of iChat with iSight I can tell you that this has reduced our telphone bill by a huge amount. Once others catch on VoIP and video services are going to go mental...
No, what is going to get interesting (Score:5, Interesting)
Ten times as many features, less price, all in one package. Good bye Verizon! Your lack of DSL in my area, disturbs me.
Re:No, what is going to get interesting (Score:2)
At the risk of being redundant (Score:2)
For most people, for $20, you can get almost 10 hours of long distance. I suspect that 10 hours will carry most people's long distance needs for several months.
Re:At the risk of being redundant (Score:3, Interesting)
OK, they say, but what about the monthly fee you're paying for your landline or mobile phone? Well, yes, it would be nice to not have to pay that, but until everyone's using VoIP, I'm gonna have to have a phone. So until everyone
There's a lot of room for a price war (Score:5, Interesting)
I'm the president of an business only ISP and we've been looking at adding voice services for 4 1/2 years. We sell select office buildings where each tenant gets separately firewalled service. I was offered wholesale long distance last year by Worldcom for an insanely low rate of about 1/10th of a US cent per minute. Yes this was to be tied to a voice circuit terminated in a colo we were already it. So for about US$250 per month and US$0.00014 per minute in excess of 500,000 minutes, it's easy to be able to afford long distance bunding even without VOIP for long distance. Even if that's about 1/5 the number of minutes in a 30 day month, it's kind of like bandwidth; a T-1 goes a long long way for a lot of people especially if you minimize bandwidth usage.
Couple that with a soft phone switch like Asterisk with it's pseudo-TDM devices and you've got an incredibly inexpensive solution. Your real costs are advertising and support, not long distance.
Re: (Score:3, Interesting)
Long distance will survive (Score:2)
The companies that sell at a sustainable rate will survive.
In perfect competition, there is no profit. We're getting pretty close for long distance.
Not unless they ban encryption (Score:4, Interesting)
The moment end-to-end encryption and authentication is enabled, either via tunnels or by just encrypting the IP payload, no authority trying to assert control over VoIP will be able to identify one application verses another e.g., VoIP verses HTTP verses SMTP.
They will have to either ban encryption, or ban all applications, which is the equivalent of banning the Internet.
Deploying encryption in this manner will actually restore the Internet to its original design - an application agnostic network, whose sole job is to just make a best effort to deliver bits between the hosts at the edges. Only the hosts should know and will know what applications the Internet is being used for.
The technology already exists, albeit in early forms :
This will also obselete firewalls, proxy servers, NAT, and any other devices that perform applications processing within the Internet. The only applications processing devices left will be those at the edges. Security, aka firewalling for example, will be deployed on each edge device.
Steve Bellovin (one of the Wily Hacker authors) wrote about distributed firewalls in 1999, here : Distributed Firewalls [att.com]
Re:Not unless they ban encryption (Score:3, Interesting)
Doesn't VoIP use RTP for the voice data? Your provider could easily identify & either block or otherwise impede the RTP packets, especially if they were offering a QOS VoIP solution and didn't want a level playing field (versus on open source,
Re:Not unless they ban encryption (Score:2)
Re:Not unless they ban encryption (Score:2)
I agree, you will always be able to initiate a connection between any two points that you control and talk privately (between friends). How do you propose to talk with someone else you've not talked to before? Call for a Pizza? Call the Police?
I
$8 per month (Score:2)
Re:$8 per month (Score:3, Interesting)
Also does that allow for dial in (can people call me?)
Re:$8 per month (Score:2)
No, and Yes. He is in Michigan (only I believe), but calls can come and go anywhere. He also converts incoming FAX to email for you. He's tied to the traditional phone network and the net, this allows calls to cross between the two. I'll have to find more info on signing up...
VoIP is only a means to an end (Score:3, Insightful)
If you look at telco equipment makers, like Lucent, one big new feature is ICD (Internet Call Diversion) that cross diverts standard voice calls on to the internet. CLECs, ILECs, PSTNs can buy this stuff to merge POTS and VoIP and offer free local voice service and low-priced long-distance that just happens to use VoIP.
I'm sure VoIP will become widely adopted and be almost invisible because it will be the most cost-effective way to carry voice communications. Whether any of the current VoIP service providers survive is irrelevant.
Re:VoIP is only a means to an end (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:VoIP is only a means to an end (Score:2)
If you look at telco equipment makers, like Lucent, one big new feature is ICD (Internet Call Diversion) that cross diverts standard voice calls on to the internet.
Hmmm...a flashy new term for something that's been around for quite a while. I'd wager that it's basically nothing more than a PSTN gateway that handles VOIP. You can buy inexpensive gateways that do the same thing, for around $300 or so. They're very good for SOHO and home use. I'd mention a specific company, but I'm so thoroughly disgusted w
My VoIP thingy arrived yesterday! (Score:3, Interesting)
I opted for VoicePulse because they have a really extensive web interface that lets you do all kinds of neato stuff, like call filtering and emailed voicemail notifications.
The plan I'm on now is approx $15/mo, which is unlimited local with 200 minutes long distance. They offer a $45/mo plan with unlimited national long distance.
The call quality is *very* good, and there's no latency at all. Mind you I've had it for less than 24 hours at this point. I even started a huge full throttle file download and there was no perceivable degradation.
I guess the downside of this is that voicepulse only provides support via email. And I don't know if this is just a fluke or if this is going to be common, but I can't seem to make calls for up to 2 minutes after having just come off of a call (incoming calls get busy signal?).
I'm seriously considering dropping my landline.
Re:My VoIP thingy arrived yesterday! (Score:2)
Voicepulse doesn't have live customer service people? THAT is the recipe for disaster. And you can't make consecutive calls without a delay? Why are you so patient...if it was Verizon wouldn't you be screaming at the customer service voice mail?
It's $15/month and it's a working "landline". And if it doesn't work, I can pick up my cell phone (or have calls directed to my cell phone). Since everyone in a household nowadays has a cell phone, the landline phone is becoming a $60/month pain in the ass.
That
Re: Open Source (Score:2)
Simply, no. Just because one company is using an open-source designed SS doesn't bridge the massive logical divide that has open-source enabling competition in the phone space. Stop the Slashdot pandering. What's enabling competition is a demand by customers for cheap, 'good enough' phone service that offers an alternative to the LECs (who are wont to keep prices inflated and have notoroiously lacking customer service) coupled with the
Hard to beat unlimited service for $24.99 (Score:4, Informative)
Re:Hard to beat unlimited service for $24.99 (Score:2)
Re:Hard to beat unlimited service for $24.99 (Score:2)
Federal Universal Service Fund Fee - $1.29
Federal Tax - $0.79
State Communications Tax (Florida) - $0.62
Local Communications Tax (Florida) - $0.63
That's it. I'm no fan of huge monopolistic companies, but a deal is a deal.
Re:Hard to beat unlimited service for $24.99 (Score:2)
Just curious, but how many minutes of long distance does your roommate use each month?
Re:Hard to beat unlimited service for $24.99 (Score:2)
I now switched to using my cell phone exclusively and saved a bundle. I probably should have put emphasis on had in that first line.
How does the PSTN gateway work? (Score:2)
Does, say, Packet8 have a gateway on each continent that hooks into the PSTN.
So when I call USA -> France it might use the nearest gateway in the UK? Just wondering.
Re:How does the PSTN gateway work? (Score:2)
The real benefit to VoIP...for me. (Score:2)
*Local Dial-Tone
*Metro Area Calling (in other words if I didn't want to be charged long-distance for calling outside of my immediate township such as neighboring suburbs or St. Louis city {keeping in mind I am only about 15 miles
Re:The real benefit to VoIP...for me. (Score:2)
Regulatory Fees, Etc... (Score:2)
Defending the status quo, a little. (Score:4, Interesting)
VOIP isn't carrying those burdens, and is often parasitic on the phone company physical plant for wires. So there is a lot of good reason for the phone companies to be unhappy with interlopers that might mess up their regulated economic model - which they can't change by law.
It is one thing to say the RIAA/MPAA should die, because their economic model isn't guaranteed; but the phone company model IS guaranteed by the law that gives the monopoly.
I don't think I have any problems with VOIP provision that does not interconnect to the regular network. At the point there are gateways, it seems like those become perfectly appropriate points of regulation.
-dB
Sure not: Mobile phones by example? (Score:2)
i'm sure VOIP will follow both those trends by consolidation and purchasing to form some BIGVOIPS who can utilise larger user bases to generate profit of volume of calls rather than the small guys making slim margins with fewer clients.
VoIP and 911 (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:VoIP and 911 (Score:4, Informative)
I had a fairly serious problem with this a week or so ago (rowdy teens fighting and throwing each other on my car, no damage, but I didn't want to get in a brawl in my bathrobe...), the 911 person was confused, even though I had registered my # with Vonage's 911 system.
In the meantime, I may just plug my spare phone into my landline and use it for 911 only.
(OH, and for NYC vonage folks, you can contact the city via 212-NEW-YORK, since 311 doesn't work.)
open apis? (Score:2, Interesting)
Voice vs. Telephony (Score:2, Informative)
Telephony tends to be a regulated environment, with the network provider controlling everything up to the service
VoIP will be taken over by Chinese hardware makers (Score:2)
You'll have to have DSL or a cable modem, of course.
not next generation (Score:2)
Everyone I know uses a cell phone nearly exclusively. As soon as international calls are part of the plan at a free/economical rate, landlines/long distance (and voip) are completely done for.
Re:it's already here (Score:2)
If you have a mobile phone or VOIP phone with nationwide minutes, the purple card from these guys should
Re:voip rollout (Score:2)
Re:When will I be able to use my own phone with Vo (Score:2)
ie a VoIP POTS "modem". Then you could use any wireless phone and the cost of the device would be less.
Re:When will I be able to use my own phone with Vo (Score:2)
They already do (Score:2)