Transportation Retro-Futuristics 129
jpatokal writes "Flashback to the future with UC Berkeley's Transportation Futuristics! An excellent exhibition of amazing diagrams on how transportation was expected to evolve, featuring flying saucer buses, airplane escape pods and, yes, monorails. But where are the Segways and SUVs?"
Back to the Future (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Back to the Future (Score:2)
Re:Back to the Future (Score:2)
1) too many bumps
2) quicker to walk
Hoverboards would solve this
Re:Back to the Future (Score:1)
-Peter
monorail (Score:3, Funny)
What'd I say? Monorail!
What's it called? Monorail!
That's right! Monorail!
ah that loveable Lyle Lanley...
Re:monorail (Score:1)
No Transporters? (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:No Transporters? (Score:2, Funny)
The other obvious joke (Score:1)
Could do it with Nanotech (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:2, Insightful)
Both methods breaks down the living creature so I don't see a huge difference. Anyway, I would be curious to know how many people would refuse to use such transporters because of the die/recreate thing.
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:1)
I don't think it would... but the problem, of course, is that there's no way to test it. Even if the original being that goes through is dead, the version that comes out on the other side is always going to say "Don't worry,
Oooh... (Score:2)
If it hasn't been done yet (and if it has, please, sombody give me a title), you have just described one hell of a scifi plot, as well as a great title!
Bravo.
Re:Oooh... (Score:2)
Certainly: "Think Like A Dinosaur" [amazon.com].
There is other SF with similar plot features, but this one discusses it in detail. (Also, recall Star Trek: Dr. McCoy evidenced a suppressed transporter-phobia)
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:2)
A lot... but, as with any new technology, it would become accepted over time.
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:3, Interesting)
At a more concrete level, most of the chemical elements your body is made of are gradually dissolved and replaced over several years; you literally are not the same person you were 15 years ago.
In other words, you are already being subject to similar "transpo
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:1)
Either way, its going to be a very neat feat when they eventually work it out - Beta testers anyone?
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:1)
I'd be worried that the other end would be running a nanno-nanny filter and I'd come out the other end without any naughty bits. Also, even if you do break down the original, there's no limit on the number of copies. I'd rather not get people spam.
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:2)
Spammer:How would you like to increase your penis size up to eigth inches?
You:Hold on let me get my machette.
Spammer:Err...
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:1)
Destroying someone's ditto might get you a fine, but then, if it was trespassing and wasting the time
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:1)
If you transport the molecules in a "disassembled" format, you are killing the living creature, moving the molecular constituents to another location, and reassembling them. The meat gets there, but the life doesn't ; it is a dead con
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:1)
We don't know this for sure, though, because we have such a long way to go before this kind of technology can even be attempted.
But who is to say the "spirit" cannot be duplicated? Our consciousness, our self-awareness, the thoughts that run through our minds, all of it... one can argue that all of tha
Re:Could do it with Nanotech (Score:1)
I don't disagree that a lot, if not ALL of our psychology is dictated or processed by the physical structures of our nervous system. However, I liken those physical structures of our nervous system to the hardware & software of a computer system. Without electricity, a computer just sits there,
The Future Ain't What it Used To Be (Score:3, Interesting)
Beg, borrow, or make a copy of MST3K episode 524, "12 to the Moon," which leads with the short subject, "Design for Dreaming," a corporate promotion film by General Motors. Produced in the 1960's, it depicts THE FUTURE! as General Motors will bring it to you. Astounding labor-saving kitchen devices! Amazing new cars! ("For the electronic highway of the future, the new Firebird-II!")
Corn-ball as it is these days, part of me still wishes the future were like this.
Schwab
Vew (Score:3, Informative)
Re:The Future Ain't What it Used To Be (Score:2)
People thought I was nuts but I just couldn't stop laughing - see, over the opening credits there was a montage of these '50's commercials depicting the perfect housewife, complete with poodle-skirts and everything - and one of the things they kept using clips from was "Design for Dreaming". I kept picturing the bot's making commen
Trans-planetary subway misses the boat. (Score:4, Interesting)
Retro-future isn't what it used to be.
Re:Trans-planetary subway misses the boat. (Score:2)
Re:Trans-planetary subway misses the boat. (Score:2, Informative)
Re:Trans-planetary subway misses the boat. (Score:1)
I don't think that OP was talking about, for instance, LA to San Fransico. More like LA to London.
-Peter
Re:Trans-planetary subway misses the boat. (Score:2)
Tulsa Monorail (Score:2)
I don't know what it is about monorail that gets the imagination so fired up... as the site notes, the engineering required for something as simple as switching tracks is daunting. But what's the runaway #1 selection in an online poll of Tulsa students? 80% say
Poll (Score:1)
Haha, I can see it now. The poll gets
Re:Tulsa Monorail (Score:1)
http://student-voices.org/modules/index.php3?
i can't figure out how to vote cowboyneal yet, maybe someone else can
Did you see those short haul seats? (Score:2)
Re:Did you see those short haul seats? (Score:2)
But yeah, I was thinking, why don't they just amputate passengers' legs while they're at it?
Re:Did you see those short haul seats? (Score:2)
Yep, amputating the passengers' legs would be easier, and then you could fit them in the overhead compartments for even MORE PROFIT!
Re:Did you see those short haul seats? (Score:1)
Monorails, schmonorails... (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Monorails, schmonorails... (Score:1)
It just costs a little bit more then expected...
Most of the stuff on the site is ugly... (Score:2, Interesting)
Park-n-ride (Score:5, Insightful)
Sure, the buses don't fly, but the end result is somewhat similar in a "it's 2004, but no weekend trips to the moon" kind of way.
Where some futurists really screwed up... (Score:2)
This is all great (Score:2, Insightful)
but how are they going to power all these wonderful things ? if you are thinking oil then think again, we will be lucky to see oil in 2025 never mind in the distant "future", how are those fusion generators coming along ?
still you can always apologise to your grandchildren now because they will be the ones to suffer
Re:This is all great (Score:3)
-- Greg
Re:This is all great (Score:1)
I guess that means he was chicken.
[Score -1, those who cannot spell words are doomed to repeat second grade]
--Rob
Nucleon car (Score:2)
http://www.google.com/search?q=Ford+Nucleon
I still want my flying car! (Score:5, Interesting)
A couple of weeks ago I waited for a late plane, then got jammed into one of those just-too-small Airbus middle seats for six hours. I couldn't help thinking that what I really wanted, right then, was one of the self-piloting flying cars we were all going to have by the year 2000.
Computers and the Internet are okay, but not much of the really good stuff futurists promised we'd have by the beginning of the next century is in common use yet.
I guess I might as well give up on that Moon vacation. Not going to happen in my lifetime at this rate.
Re:I still want my flying car! (Score:2)
Re:I still want my flying car! (Score:2)
Re:I still want my flying car! (Score:4, Interesting)
What gets me mad, though, is how people like to trot this wheres-my-flying-car(!) example out every time they're waxing pessimistic about present day futurism.
Cheer up. As long as you've got at least another decade of life left in you, you'll make it to the crossover point where it can be extended indefinitely, because the rate of technological progress is actually exponential [kurzweilai.net].
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Re:I still want my flying car! (Score:4, Insightful)
It's not a computing power problem - it's a reliability problem. The computer on your desk has enough number-crunching ability to direct a city's traffic in 2D or 3D in real-time, especially if a simpler sub-optimal-but-good-enough algorithm is used.
The real problem with automatically controlled cars is that the system won't be perfect, and the consequences of failure either on the ground or in the air aren't acceptable. On the ground, your automated vehicle kills a pedestrian (because of vehicle control failure or because they did something foolish). In the air, a malfunction turns your vehicle into a few thousand pounds of flying metal (plus fuel!) looking for something fragile to crash down on.
The 2D case gives you prohibitive liability problems for the manufacturer, and the 3D case gives you accidents that are far less survivable and produce far more collateral damage than the 2D kind. All of these problems are solvable, and I firmly believe we'll end up with computer-controlled ground cars in the not too distant future, but it won't be a cakewalk.
Maybe the idiots in the 50s really did think that anyone who could drivecould surely be a pilot too?
That was the general idea, if I understand correctly. After all, how much harder can it be? (/irony)
Re:I still want my flying car! (Score:1)
Nope, it won't be a cakewalk, but robotics is improving at a quickening pace [blogspot.com]. Got the new DARPA challenge in a few months... I and I expect one of the teams to at least cross the finish line this time. :)
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1950s future vehicles look like 1950s vehicles (Score:3, Interesting)
The corollary to this is that, our current interpretations of what future vehicles might look like (imagine the Audi in I, Robot or the Lexus in Minority Report), will probably look hopelessly dated when 2030 rolls around.
The problem, I suspect, lies largely in our inability to predict what styling cues future consumers will find appealing. Is it impossible for us, as non-clairvoyants, to imagine what manufactured goods might look like in the future? Can anyone cite any examples of past designers who were able to successfully envision the future of industrial design?
The Concorde. (Score:2)
Re:The Concorde. (Score:1)
Presumably supersonic planes pretty much have to be a specific shape; Delta wings and a sharp pointed nose, which was a design principle already established in the 1960's.
Re:1950s future vehicles look like 1950s vehicles (Score:2)
Futuristic design is intrinsically self-negating prophesy. To predict a design of the future is impossible, for a design exists at the moment of predi
Re:1950s future vehicles look like 1950s vehicles (Score:1)
And vice-versa: the ideas and styles of yesterday's present were adopted into yesterday's future. For instance, Sci-Fi books and films from the 1960's and 70's quite often picture big mainframe computers and other technology (or other fads like cybernetics) from that era.
One could say that it's because we think in and operate with terms and objects that are already there. We can think of what the future might be like, but most of the
Give me back my future! (Score:2)
So They're A Little Ahead Of Their Time! (Score:1)
But it will.
Re:Maybe not (Score:1)
In any case, oil will never "run out".
It will just become too expensive to scavenge what is left of it.
Re:Maybe not (Score:1)
Humans decided decades ago that scavenging the suns energy was too expensive to harness, so according to that Association's logic, the sun has already "run out".
What a bummer, cause it's still going to burn for several billion more years....
Re:Maybe not (Score:1)
Perhaps you should actually read and consider the contents of the aspo site before making assumptions about their logic.
Or perhaps you have more experience in the oil and related energy industries than the members of aspo?
Re:Maybe not (Score:1)
The point being, that although we humans are perfectly capable, technologically speaking, of using nothing but solar power and it's numerous related alternative energy sources, we don't. Why? Because of economics. However, if the oil did suddenly just stop flowing, would it become economically viable to start using alternative s
Re:Maybe not (Score:1)
I think I am beginning to see your point, but I'm afraid it still seems somewhat unclear.
Personally, I don't entirely think that humanity's refusal to switch to "alternative sources" is entirely based on economics.
I would, however, cocede that economics is a huge factor in making that choice.
I Think that maybe that the reason that we have not switched is because of the constraints placed upon us by "common sense", where common sense is a kind of awareness in a state of inertia.
To put it more pla
some visions survive (Score:2)
Also, bullet-trains and the Chunnel might be considered to be fulfilled predictions, albeit much less spectacular than others.
Re:some visions survive (Score:2)
(This [berkeley.edu] little bit irritated me though:
Cardff is in Wales, not England!)
I don't know what the latest is on that but Cardiff Council got into a lot of bother for gambling with taxpayers' money o
Re:"Cardff is in Wales, not England" (Score:2)
Re:some visions survive (Score:2)
Re: Chunnel spectacular (Score:2)
I think that, even 50 years ago, it would have been regarded as less so and less gee-whiz-futuristic than things like *ubiquitous* personal aircraft.
After all, the Chunnel is primarily an achievement of engineering and dogged determination, in the same sense as the Egyptian pyramids.
In fact, there was a chunnel attempted in the 19th century -- by the same family (Brunel) who did the Brooklyn Bridge, I believe.
personal aircraft (Score:3, Interesting)
It was powered entirely by a person and flew across the English Channel. That'd be the perfect vehicle for me. Of course, to be light and strong enough, it had to be made of some lithium alloy so it was rather expensive.
Re:personal aircraft (Score:2)
http://www.nationmaster.com/encyclopedia/Gossam
I'm sure (Score:2)
http://www.dfrc.nasa.gov/Gallery/Photo/Daedalus
I was confused with the Albatros, though, in that Daedeuls didn't fly across the English Channel. That was the record it beat.
Airbus' Monolithic Proposal (Score:2)
It all could have happened (Score:5, Interesting)
Affordable computers.
Compare the advances in vehicles and transportation infrastructure to the advances in computing technology. Virtually all of our work has been focused on rapidly advancing semiconductor technology and computer programming ability. Imagine if that energy was instead focused on mechanical innovations like flying cars and high-speed rail. We'd have them by now.
Am I suggesting this was the wrong way to do things? Absolutely not! That vast complex mechanical infrastructure would be the result of billions of man-hours in design, and would require significant human intervention to operate. What we are doing now is getting our processing and data management development out of the way first. The ability to store vast amounts of data, communicate instantly, run complex algorithms, and develop intellegent control systems will make all other technological development much more efficient.
The Silicon Revolution has been a time of building new tools. Building the machines that will help us build better machines. No longer does this mean tying a rock to a stick in order to make a better hammer; we now work with our minds and computers are the tools we use to expand the influence of our thoughts. Computers were once an end unto themselves; now they have grown to a high level of usefulness and are already being applied to further develop other fields.
This was a little sidetrack that 1950 could never have seen, but it was a highly necessary and important one.
Where Indeed? (Score:3, Funny)
Oh, you're looking for the Horror section. One aisle over from the Sci-Fi.
Some of the maritime stuff... (Score:2)
the future (Score:1)
hahahahahhahaha the future WAS cool!
The future of travel.. (Score:2)
something possible with current technology? (Score:1)
Re:something possible with current technology? (Score:1)
The cream of the crop (Score:1)
1: Tomorrow's railroads in the sky [berkeley.edu] -
My favourite - this one's just bizarre. A flying bullet rollercoaster. 'nuff said.
2: The traffic light parade [berkeley.edu] -
The funniest. A perfect candidate for the old "False or True" TV show.
3: The TransDrive system [berkeley.edu] - So that's what cars were designed for... A great way to travel I'm sur
Re:The cream of the crop (Score:1)
Magma Tunnel Transport (Score:3, Interesting)
No Airships? (Score:1)
-Airship
http://www.atomicairship.com
It just goes to show how accurate... (Score:2)
Flying buses?
Flying cars?
It's all a bunch of balloney. Yet people ask for predictions.
How about the Segway? The only big news on the Segway was the rush for local governments to restrict their use. Pedestrians don't want them on the sidewalks, and motorists don't want them on the streets.
Sure, a Segway would be cool to drive, but they're expensive. Put it this way: they're more expensive than the TOTAL cost of my first 3 automobiles, a
Our Wonderful Atomic Future (Score:2)
Re:Our Wonderful Atomic Future (Score:2)
Ummm ... why? How could this ever be seen as a practical solution to any real world problem? Was it just naive atomic boosterism (anything will be better if you make it atomic-powered - after all, it's futuristic)? The mind boggles!
A very interesting read on such things (though I don't recall the switch lamp!) is Paul S. Boyer, By the Bomb's Early Light: American Thought and Culture at the Dawn of the Atomic
Re:Our Wonderful Atomic Future (Score:2)
From "The Big Train", a documentary about the New York Central Railroad marred by whining from the CEO about highway subsidies.
I almost hate to say it, but... (Score:2)
Sorry Detroit, but y'all have been chasing your tail for nigh on a century, yet only delivered on 1/100th of your concepts and promises. How about researching proven technologies for just a year, instead of wasting money and passing the expense onto consum
Future of Transport (Score:3, Interesting)
The PTD would need multiple safety redundancies (backup power, turbines, parachute, whatever) but the major stumbling block for consumer acceptance would be one thing: The interface.
The PTD should basically take just a set of GPS coordinates and that's it. The vehicle should be able to fly itself using a simplistic genetic algorithm, with the entire traffic system looking like a type of swarm intelligence. This would also help on the regulatory front. How could the FAA force you to have a pilot when the only control on the device is a GPS entry console?
The PTD obviously shouldn't ever have a locus of central control. Besides traffic net system failure, it would an obvious target for terrorists. A good PTD design would probably be so light that any terrorists using them to attack targets would probably do little damage and do us a favour killing themselves. Sure they could pack the cabin full of explosives but they could already do that using an RC plane.
The rise of such vehicles would probably drive a transition to buildings made of nanocomposites so tremendously strong that a little PTD bouncing off them probably wouldn't even leave a mark. This kind of infrastructure would be built automatically. Anyone who's been to Japan and witnessed the post WWII economic miracle knows it was the Japanese automotive exports that drove that economic expansion.
I just googled the Skycar [moller.com] and noticed they IPO'd on 21 November 2001. Poor bastards.
What's needed is packet based transport. (Score:2)
The concept is called Personal Rapid Transit.
Something like:
http://www.advancedpassengervehicles.com/a
or
http://www.atsltd.co.uk/
Re:What's needed is packet based transport. (Score:2)
Re:What's needed is packet based transport. (Score:2)
A much cheaper and simpler system is the ATS ULTra system w
SUVs (Score:2)
Re:Hey Man (Score:2)
Re:Stephen Hawkings Kills the Idea of Warp Speed (Score:1)
Re:Stephen Hawkings Kills the Idea of Warp Speed (Score:1)