No Secret Plan at Google? 223
daltonlp writes "A number of smart folks have speculated that Google might leverage its computational resources to create some kind of massive online application delivery platform. Here's why they are probably wrong." One of more intelligent insights into Google, and it's pleasantly devoid of theories of Google taking over the world.
NOW I can have my coffee (Score:4, Funny)
Redirects from Googledot, I assume... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:NOW I can have my coffee (Score:3, Funny)
Re:NOW I can have my coffee (Score:2)
Re:NOW I can have my coffee (Score:3, Funny)
Bandwidth? (Score:4, Interesting)
If they did this or an OS, which they wont as the article says wouldn't it cost them and the used massave amounts of bandwidth?
Re:Bandwidth? (Score:2)
Get a grip (Score:2)
sound like Google is very successful (Score:5, Funny)
I for one welcome our Google overlord
Definition of "Secret" (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Definition of "Secret" (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Definition of "Secret" (Score:3, Funny)
-1, Obvious, had to be said
Re:Definition of "Secret" (Score:2)
Security Focus
http://www.webmasterworld.com/forum80/43.htm
http://www.google-watch.org/jobad.html
The defense department has a poem about this (Score:3, Insightful)
As we know,
There are known knowns.
There are things we know we know.
We also know
There are known unknowns.
That is to say
We know there are some things
We do not know.
But there are also unknown unknowns,
The ones we don't know
We don't know.
--Feb. 12, 2002, Department of Defense news briefing
Google's usefulness (Score:5, Insightful)
Google Search = has long been the standard
Google Groups = complete usenet archive
Google Mail = arguably the best free email service now.
Google Local = returns excellent results even for my small town!
Google Maps = it is all I use to plan a trip now
Google Search = it is all I use to search my 1/2 terrabyte of storage.
Picasa = one heck of an image manipulation/retrieval program.
I for one welcome an innovative company that provides me with excellent apps. If they wanna design an OS - I'm yelling to GO FOR IT!
It will take someone with google's clout to do this.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:5, Insightful)
Two words for you: driver support. Do you know how much effort is involved in getting just that relatively minor part of an OS right?
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:5, Interesting)
designing a viable alternative to the OSes that we have today.
Two words for you: driver support.
OK, I know this is all alleged, so this is all moot, but wasn't the idea behind a Google OS that it would be a hosted OS? In other words we access it remotely, and Google decide on the hardware? Why would a hosted OS need driver support (I'm assuming that Google already have drivers to support the hardware they currently have, etc)?
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:5, Insightful)
Given that as recently as fifteeen years ago no one knew what the internet was beyond a select few, it's not out of the question that the coming fifteen will give birth to a ubiquitous internet presence.
Current technology will die and be replaced by another paradigm- it is just a matter of time. Heck, reasonably usefu GUIs are merely 20 something. There's a lot of change to come and many folks will argue that online app delivery will be the norm in the future- giving Apple and other companies a chance to reap the benefits.
Re: (Score:2)
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2, Interesting)
Heck, I'll take that a step further and say it'll be like losing your phone line, ie, a really rare occurance.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
befuddled (noun) 1. Unable to create a pithy sig
Actually... befuddled is an adjective. The -ed suffix transforms a verb into adjective describing the state of being in the action.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:5, Insightful)
And this is so much different than what happens if Google didn't host your files?
More seriously, I think arguments about how screwed you are when you lose your internet connection sound a bit like arguments That Crazy Old Man used to make about electricity, and why those new-fangled electric gadgets were never going to catch on.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Right now, if I lose my internet connection then I can use my PC in hundreds of ways. But if I'm reliant on some remote server to deliver any of my OS, applications or files then not having access to that server is severely going to restrict what I can do.
Also, as if this needs to be said, it's not exactly the most practical idea for notebook users, is it? Last time I checked, wi-fi wasn't univers
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Perhaps if I lived in California or something then power outages would be an issue, but I don't.
Losing my internet connection is an inconvenience right now but if my connection meant my OS, apps and files were gone too then it would be a real pain
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:3, Interesting)
OK, first I'd like to clarify that I'm not that interested in a Google OS in the sense of: something you need to have to boot your machine. What I *am* interested in, however, is something like a remotely mounted Googlefs archive of all my files, lovingly backed up and redundantly kept available and, yes, google-searchable at will. And the irony here is this is *just* because:
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:3, Interesting)
People weren't commonly using electricity, so they had nothing to lose by trying it (or not trying it for that matter). But as other arguments are saying, that the internet will be as reliable as ever with very little down time, to remove this problem, then it seems like this remote OS could work; Of course this is ignoring the fact that if someone wa
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
So lose your internet connection and your PC becomes just a heavy paperweight? Gee, thanks but no thanks.
Well personally I can't see much advantage either, but I'm guessing you are (and I certainly am) a non-typical user. And for many typical users there are plenty of other things that can occur to turn their PC into a paperweight; I'd guess that the average downtime of an internet connection is probably less (based on my experiences with employers who don't understand the concept of redundancy ;-) tha
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2, Informative)
What you're describing isn't an OS.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Google would decide on THEIR hardware, yeah, but YOUR hardware would still be a wildcard.
Computing terminals can very greatly in features and performance, and therefore need a wide variety of drivers available for them. This is true even of dumb terminals; just check out how many different terminal type definitions a Unix or Linux system ships with.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Google would decide on THEIR hardware, yeah, but YOUR hardware would still be a wildcard.
(First up, I'm not a proponent of this idea, merely someone who clarified what it is alleged Google may be doing).
I'm not sure I see why it would matter to Google what hardware you have? Google would be providing a filestore, and saving to their hardware. Any local hardware at your end would - presumably - already have drivers installed locally. Re: terminals. A typical *nix system may well need to inter-operate
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2, Informative)
Consult: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operating_system
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:3, Insightful)
Two words for you: driver support. Do you know how much effort is involved in getting just that relatively minor part of an OS right?
Then implement GoogleOS over the Linux kernel (or BSD kernel, or whatever). Let the kernel folks worry about drivers and the kernel itself. Let Google pick it up from init and take care of the rest. Perhaps work with the kernel people on adding kernel hooks that will allow to boost the userspace capabilities towards whatever Google wants to obtain.
Correction (Score:3, Interesting)
This was acquired, not created by Google. And arguably, the old Deja capabilities were better (wild card searching) than what Google currently offers (mainly cosmetic changes and no wildcards). Personally that is what brought me over to Google, not the search engine itself. I was quite happy using Yahoo for targeted categorized searches and metacrawler for more extensive stuff. Google just had that cult of personality thing going and they've been riding the wav
Facts incorrect (Score:2)
Google only acquired the archives themselves, ie the data. They developed the storage/search/retrieval/interface-for-the-above system which acts on that data.
Re:Facts incorrect (Score:2)
Google created Google Groups. Google only acquired the archives themselves, ie the data. They developed the storage/search/retrieval/interface-for-the-above system which acts on that data.
And let's not forget the new beta Google Groups [google.com] , which implement communities and are effectively a direct competitor for Yahoo! Groups [yahoo.com]. It's very nice, I've tried it already. Plus it allows for one time login using your Gmail account. Watch out Yahoo.
Re:Correction (Score:4, Interesting)
Info about the timeline of this archive here [google.com] and its composition here [google.com].
Anyways, comparing UI/feature set of Deja (well, before they sold out at least) to Google Groups (as it was) and to the new Google Groups Beta (which I don't like that much either) is a different topic. I'd choose the considerably improved relevance of Google Groups searches (phrase-search, anyone?), over Deja's wildcards anytime.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:3, Interesting)
Google Groups 2 = complete usenet archive, now horrifically crippled by terrible interface
Google Desktop Search = the worst of all the desktop search apps
Picasa 2 = The upgrade that feels like a downgrade
Google Image Search = nigh on useless search engine that often points to images that don't really exist on the web page, or the web page itself even exists.
Its not all good, y'know.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Sad to me that nobody else ever does this when they have a problem with their service. I complain at every chance I get, because if they don't hear the complaints, they don't know how to improve.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
I've sent several such, polite, not flames, and possibly got back one or two robot acknowledgments and nothing more. So, this is not generally true. At least bitching about it here is therapeutic.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2, Informative)
Comment removed (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Excellent, that makes more space for the rest of us here out in the rest of the world. Perhaps you've heard of it, it's that little area that Google Maps seems to ignore for now. Sometime in the future, perhaps you can use the service to plan a visit.
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Re:Google's usefulness (Score:2)
Orkut - a lot like Friendster or MySpace, except less popular and with a much dumber name
Also, you forgot Poland.
No.. its can't be.. its... (Score:5, Funny)
Whats wrong with my computer.. would I like to play a game? Global Themonuclear War?? No! Wait.. whats going on with...
~~~~^@^@@##$&@@@))^^^~~~ DISCONNECTED.
Re:No.. its can't be.. its... (Score:2)
Sorry... couldn't resist.
b
How many open source projects (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:How many open source projects (Score:3, Informative)
I don't think the employees can decide that, I think (at least that's what I've read on most sources that discuss about this matter) that your "pet projects" that are developed on worktime are owned by google.
This is for example how orkut got born [pcworld.com]. "In affiliation" with google at the end of the page means in real world "This is google property".
Re:How many open source projects (Score:3, Interesting)
Because we were working small contracts about 10-20% of our time was filled with pet projects.
I developed an application called 'shite to basic', that performed a number of tasks,
like formating code, spell checking comments, checking tab order on forms, looking for poorly names variables,
A little at a time (Score:5, Interesting)
Failures (and business declines) often happen in big chunks: Lawsuit settlement of tens of millions of dollars. Major market shift away from your technology.
This is just smart business. Google will continue to move and enhance and grow in manageable increments. If they try to take over the world, it will be suicidal.
Anyone remember the dot-bomb era? The survivors are those that performed managed growth and bit off pieces that could be chewed. The failures tried to take over the world, and translate eyeballs into unrealistic company valuations. Works for a while, then you get an unemployment check....
Bah! Taking over the world. (Score:3, Interesting)
Then whammo you can't live without Google telling you what to do in nice little browser friendly bites.
Wait nevermind...I already do that.
Lets welcome our Page Ranking pverlords.
Re:Bah! Taking over the world. (Score:2, Funny)
our Page Ranking pverlords? (Score:2, Funny)
In that case, Google must have already pwned us.
Yeah, they're much like one of those nice girls in high school. They're friendly, and mean to do good, but you end up obsessing over them 'cause they're so blatantly hot. They tak
Google taking over the world (Score:4, Funny)
pleasantly devoid of theories of Google taking over the world
Damn they have infiltrated Slashdot now. Google I am on to you.
Time travel (Score:5, Funny)
It seems those Google bastards have anticipated even this! [google.com]
Re:Time travel (Score:3, Funny)
"Time Machine For Sale
Low Priced Time Machine
Huge Selection! (aff)
ebay.ca"
Damit while google might not want to help you with your time traveling mission ebay boody will.
Re:Time travel (Score:2)
"Nothing
Great deals on Nothing
Shop on eBay and Save!
www.eBay.com"
Re:Time travel (Score:2, Funny)
It seems those Google bastards have anticipated even this [google.com]!
Advertising will be the death of them yet, however. If you look to the right, you'll see that ebay has exactly what you're looking for at a low, low price...
Why is this news? (Score:5, Insightful)
Parent is right and look who submitted article... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Parent is right and look who submitted article. (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Why is this news? (Score:2)
I would argue that it's retarded rants from AC's that make
Until Google charges me... (Score:5, Insightful)
I don't care what they do or how many sites they have that are trying to "control my online experience". Right now, I use their search engine and their email. Their maps look pretty, but it is still easier to use mapquest for me.
It's nice to read things like this article, because until Google is "selling" me something, and it comes preloaded (or pre-bookmarked) on my computer, I am not concerned in the least bit. Why do we have to hear about why or why not they have a consipracy to take over the world? They write good stuff for the web, and people use their stuff by choice. I've never heard someone outside of Slashdot say "Man, that company Google is taking over my life. I can't do anything online without being forced into using Google."
I do like the part at the end of the article about MS having to test their new browser against Gmail, Google Maps, and Google itself. It does add a bit of irony that finally MS and IE have to worry about being compatible instead of the other way around.
Re:Until Google charges me... (Score:3, Insightful)
The difference I can see with Google is that because their applications are web based (and thus fairly quickly repaired), the cost of another antitrust suit might outweigh the potential benefits of breaking Google's applications.
Re:Until Google charges me... (Score:2)
After which it will take exactly 2 days before GMail works with IE7.
benefits of breaking Google's applications.
You are a loonie.
Re:Until Google charges me... (Score:3, Insightful)
No, they are not selling me anything. They are selling advertisers the right to show me links. Which, I might add are less annoying than the flashing picture ads on every other site.
But regardless, they are not selling me anything. They are advertising TO ME, but I ignore them.
Contents (Site Appears to Be Slashdotted) (Score:3, Insightful)
Hey look. Someone else is predicting that Google will user their super-mega-ultimate-supreme server farm to replace your PC's operating system.
That sounds familiar.
I do not buy it. Let's look at some of the arguments:
"Google has hired OS experts like Rob Pike and Marc Lucovsky! Clearly they are toiling away on the Manhattan project of OS research, which will culminate in some kind of...SOMETHING! Some kind of something which will sweep Microsoft from the face of the earth!"
A more likely scenario is that Google does indeed perform OS research, but not for you and I. For themselves. Their clusters use a custom filesystem. They run linux, but it's been modified from the original Red Hat. They need (and can attract) smart folks to build and extend these systems. But it's all for the benefit of storage and search. They didn't hire Rob and Marc to work on giving you online spreadsheets. Sorry.
"Google uses wowie-zowie javascript for Gmail and Google maps! Clearly this is the harbinger of their browser-based OS-like-thingy!"
I think they use javascript because it works well. It's one step beyond html. Like any other technology-driven company, they'll use the best tools they can, even if those tools aren't mainstream yet. I've looked at the source code for both Gmail and Google maps, and I believe they are two entirely different projects, run by two separate groups. The goal of one is to make a good web-based email service. The goal of the other is to make a good online map service. I find it difficult to fit those pieces together into a master strategy. I think they evolved independently.
"Google has invested in native clients like Picasa and Keyhole maps and Desktop Search! Clearly this is an aggressive move into the consumer application space!"
Well, that's partly true. But Google isn't primarily interested in selling consumer apps. I think Picasa and Keyhole were acquired because Google wants to own delivery channels (browsers) for data that doesn't currently have a good delivery channel. Html data is delivered by a web browser, and it's probably a bit late for Google to own that. But Geographic data (the real thing, not road maps) has no browser, except either a full-blown GIS system or a lightweight client like keyhole. Photos on your hard drive have no browser (unless you have a mac).
I think Google desktop search was kind of a fluke. Something they could do fairly easily (right?) with some market opportunity (because windows default search BLOOOOOOOOOOWS). A low-investment play that incidentally forced MS and Yahoo to play catch-up.
Let's talk about business strategy. It's fun to imagine that Google has some awesome master plan for controlling all computerdom. But I have a simpler theory that I think fits the evidence:
A) Google cares first and foremost about web search. Most of their architect-level employees will be working on making search better. I think one of Google's big shots said something similar right out loud. Search is what they do.
B) Google cares secondly about new kinds of search. Book search. Place search. Image search. Discussion group search. Product search. Email search. Because they have an advertising model that can be targeted to most any type of search. (Google also cares about new kinds of search because web ads may not work forever.)
C) Google cares thirdly about interesting new things. These come from employees. Depending on which source you believe, Google employees spend either 10% or 20% of their time working on personal projects. (Update: It looks like 20% is the correct number) The really successful projects get publicized via Google labs. Google maps started as one of these. I bet Gmail did too.
I'm especially interested in (C). 20% is a lot of time. Would your company willingly slash 20% from its developer-hours? Why is this important?
For one thing, it's the world's best marketing department. Those Google labs pro
Anything could be possible (Score:3, Interesting)
Google constantly produces revolutionary innovations that noone can foretell. (How many of you thought you would have 1gb of email space for free?)
Conclusion is, I don't quite buy daltonlp's arguments for why it would be impossible that one of these lab projects is to develop browser based os/applications.
20% of company time to goof off (productively) (Score:5, Informative)
Re:20% of company time to goof off (productively) (Score:2)
But I agree, that's probably still fairly rare.
Re:20% of company time to goof off (productively) (Score:2)
Mirror (Score:2, Informative)
If... (Score:5, Insightful)
They don't need to reinvent the wheel. [kernel.org]
World domination? Nah. (Score:3, Interesting)
Google's long standing tech demo that is their search engine has become pretty important. In fact, for the most part, if it doesn't come up on a google search, it doesn't exist.
There have been so many memes spawned from google as well... Google-whacking, google fights, google bombing, etc.
Let's not forget the chaos that ensued when GMail opened up either.
They don't need to take over anything, really, everyone's eating out of the palm of their hand.
Theories? (Score:4, Funny)
Theories? Oh, we're well past that...
Google... (Score:5, Insightful)
She predicts a world where all the apps are central and we simply connect to them in a server/client mode. This way- things are portable to us. Our PC at home and our PCs are world no longer become unsynched- they are one. Goto your neighbors house- and it is just like your home environment cause it is portable.
Well- right now many of us carry memory stick key fobs on our keychains. I current carry a gig USB stick. How long time someone puts a bluetooth device inside it? How long until they can add a processor die and some RAM? In ten year- you may be carrying your entire PC on your keychain. Put your keys into your monitor at work- and there is your environment- no network needed. No fees to pay to a central server. If you could carry your PC as you would a keyfob- would you care about having a centralized server?
On it's way maybe (Score:5, Interesting)
Gumstix [gumstix.com]
With platforms like THIS, what you're thinking can't be too far off. A keychain computer. Wouldn't have to be too powerful, it'd just need a small, projectable display and a virtual keyboard.
Re:Google... (Score:2, Insightful)
A 1GB USB stick may suit you because it's portable. It carries all your data. You can go to someone else's PC and retrieve your data.
Now, what about the programs? What about security? What about sharing of data?
Centralised systems sometimes make a lot more sense.
Re:Google... (Score:2)
My workspace follows me on my badge. I can go to a collegues office with a problem, and by putting my badge in their system i can show them my desktop exactly as i left it.
A few months ago the power died in my building one weekend, so i just walked across campus to another building and carried on where i left off.
When i go into a meeting i can start up staroffice with my presentation and have it ready to go before i walk into
There's already a documentary on this... (Score:2)
Google and Amazon.com will merge into, the grid will be born, Blog's will rule the news... oh, it's just too sad to go on...
See it for yourself! [broom.org]
Blockwars [blockwars.com]: free, multiplayer, head to head game similar to Tetris.
If they are not they will perish (Score:3, Insightful)
to push their own version of firefox as a platform if they are to survive.... But it may already be too late..
I love FF and Google but they are about to fall into the same mistake as others before them by not responding to the threat.
Re:If they are not they will perish (Score:2)
Re:If they are not they will perish (Score:2)
have to be better just good enough.
Suggested 20% project (Score:4, Insightful)
Take the same Linux you run in house, customize it so it can boot on a regular PC. It launches into Firefox. There are icons with colorful links to Gmail (for your mail), OpenOffice (for your word processing) and Picassa (for photos). Call it GoogleOS.
Argh! No you idiots! (Score:5, Interesting)
I'll tell you what they're doing, they are using knowledge of what everyone around the whole world is searching for to tap into all kinds of consumer trend and demand opportunities. You know all those shoppers club cards that track your purchases, and credit cards which track all your spending habits? That data is awfully valuable. And Google has the best knowledge in the world. All they have to do is perfect the way the data is organized and packaged to marketing buyers.
For a quick glimpse of the possibilities, let's say you play the stock market. Wouldn't it be brilliant to know what potential investors are really interested in this week, what they have been researching online... well Google knows! I'll be they realize this, and are working on a way to capitalize on it.
Re: Stock Market (Score:2)
Google's browser! (Score:4, Funny)
This internally written browser is apparently 'fast and incredibly compatible'.
Sounds great! Problem is, the browser component in Google Deskbar == Internet Explorer.
I chuckled.
The greatest feat the Devil accomplished (Score:2)
The real reason.. (Score:4, Insightful)
By being adaptable, and taking advantage of opportunities when they appear, you can take over the world without a "plan".
Of course, you still need to have done all the preparation so you can sieze the opportunities when they appear, but since you can't know ahead of time what or when, let your people work on their own stuff 20% of the time. By the laws of chance, some of them will be doing what you will need.
Profit!!
questionable insight (Score:5, Insightful)
Thinking that Google is going to enter the OS business or that if they did, they would have a chance is not the sign of a sound, rational mind. It's like taking candy from babies. And dealing with that conspiracy theory doesn't address the other conspiracy theories.
Third, he ignores that Google is highly overvalued for a "search" company. Google's market cap is $49 billion. If they are really just a "search" company, then maybe their P/E should be more in line with high growth companies at around 40 instead of 124. Yes, that means dropping the value of the company by a factor of three. I base this on that their search advertising looks relatively saturated to me. I don't see where the huge growth in value is going to come from.
Fourth, he ignores that this looks exactly like a dotcom moment. Google is making a sizeable profit (which is vastly better than all but a handful of dotcoms past or present), but they aren't exhibiting the kind of growth potential (IMHO, of course) that justifies 124 times P/E.
Finally, he places way too much emphasis on getting Microsoft to play good doggie. Being able to force Microsoft to make their sites compatible with yours isn't that interesting. The New York Times or Amazon gets that as well. And after all, Microsoft has by far the largest army of programmers in the world. It's not going to have a measurable impact.
Me? I'm waiting for.. (Score:2)
Me? I'm waiting for singles.google.com [google.com] too go live.
Their Stock Price Says there Is a Secret Plan (Score:2)
If you think advertising revenue from search/adwords/etc justifies this stock price, you're crazy. (Same goes for Yahoo.) Of course, the market can always be wrong, but clearly the market *believes* that Google has some
Google.exe (Score:2)
Search Results are great, datasets are better.
Google has been analyzing their own state-of-the-art technology for a relatively very, long time. This is a company that specializes in Categorization. A Library is not an operating system per se, but if you need it and it's top-notch and it's free - which member of a sizeable consumer demographic is not going to click "OK?" Public institutions will.
Google has lots of the highway exits covered and they are scanning and indexing more and more everyday. The
Re:Google's plan (Score:2)
Re:Google = Echelon? (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Repeat after me: Leverage is not a verb (Score:2)