Vaporware - the Tech That Never Was 192
An anonymous reader writes "CNet has published an incredibly detailed look at the most critical examples of vaporware ever seen in the tech sector. We're familiar with Wired's yearly round-ups, but this decades-long retrospective look at the most promising of all technologies that never saw the light of day, holds some fascinating technology I've never even heard of, including the wonderfully-named three-dimensional atomic holographic optical data storage nanotechnology. 'Continual delays, setbacks and excuses are the calling cards of a product that becomes vapourware. Windows Vista ran the risk of joining the club, and the terrific multiplayer first-person shooter Team Fortress 2 was in production for almost a decade before it was released in 2007. Devoted TF fans feared it would become a distinguished entrant in the who's who of vapourware. You might say Google Mail is in the running, having been in beta since 2004.'"
Google Mail (Score:4, Interesting)
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Crazy.
Re:Google Mail (Score:5, Insightful)
Disclaimer for Google fans: I'm not saying Gmail is not stable or reliable, just stating one possible business strategy.
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I disagree.
I think perhaps they may just not have met there design goals. Everyone complains about companies releasing untested software which intern cripple production. Here it is possible that they want a final tested roll out before releasing the product. I've used gmail for teh past few years and typically four times a year they add some feature. I'm sure once they have realized a final feature set and tested it on a google scale (millions of users) then they will finalize it. However if you want an e-m
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Beta: Beta level software generally includes all features, but may also include known issues and bugs of a less serious variety.
Release Candidate: The term release candidate refers to a version with potential to be a final product, ready to release unless fatal bugs emerge.
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Sorry, you're mistaken.
Sorry, you're mistaken if you think that a relatively uncited Wikipedia article constitutes authoritative and infallible proof of anything.
What "official" backing (in any sense of the word) do those definitions have? They're not cited, so beyond the fact that there is at best *perhaps* some consensus (possibly temporary)- or perhaps none- between the most recent WP editors on that article (who might just be ill-informed nerds with too much time on their hands), this doesn't mean anything.
Really, I like
Re:Google Mail (Score:4, Funny)
Alpha Release - Unfinished software submitted for Internal testing. In other words, the bugs are going to be so bad that only people who have signed non-disclosure agreements are allowed to see them. Alpha is code-speak for "It doesn't work."
Beta Release - Unfinished software submitted to torture those outside the company. In other words, the bugs are ones we can either cover up, or actually admit to. Beta is code-speak for "It STILL doesn't work."
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for MS, CA, oracle, etc. to release a major version of their products, it's a pain. pressing CDs/DVDs, shipping them, retraing tech support, etc. now, for google, it's as easy as FTPing the new code to a server, that's why "release early, release often" works for GOOG, and not for the others.
and since it's in perpetual beta, they don't even have to bother with support. they're not obligated to give suppo
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the former froogle, now renamed google products [google.com]), predates it by a year or so. I believe froogle entered beta around Christmas 2002 or 2003. Some google labs [google.com] stuff (non-beta testing and ideas area) is even older.
paranoia (Score:5, Insightful)
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Google Mail is not Vaporware (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Google Mail is not Vaporware (Score:5, Insightful)
Usually it's a way of confusing the consumer into sitting on the fence.
So for example people is about to buy an mp3 player from (for example) Creative, so Microsoft then announces a super improved Zune which probably hasn't even been designed yet. The design team knock up a nice 3D representation in a graphics application and release it.
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Old vaporware (Score:4, Informative)
2) Practical flying car
3) Oil from shale and other low grade sources (promised to be viable at $40-$50/bbl)
4) Household robots (or robot overlords, take your pick)
5) Cure for common cold
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The thing people miss on supply and demand is that demand isn't any more a constant than supply. As the supply shrinks, price soars, and demand drops. People find alternatives...They drive less, carpool more. In the 80's everyone dumped their gas guzzing american cars for more fuel efficient imports. The decrease in demand drove the price back down.
Then in the 90's along comes the SUV craze, so everyone goes back to buying gas guzzlers. Now we'r
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Re:Old vaporware (Score:4, Insightful)
But that has been claimed about these technologies for decades. Commercial fusion is always 20 years off. Oil shale production needs oil at $40-$50 barrel. When these points are reached, either the goalposts are moved or LOOK, OVER THERE, A DISTRACTION. Hence, vaporware.
And I wouldn't consider the Roomba to be a household robot. It's hard automation, much like a dishwasher. The fact that it moves doesn't change that. A robot which could do the dishes or laundry without special help (e.g. RFID dishes), that's more along the lines of what I'm thinking of.
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But that has been claimed about these technologies for decades. Commercial fusion is always 20 years off. Oil shale production needs oil at $40-$50 barrel. When these points are reached, either the goalposts are moved or LOOK, OVER THERE, A DISTRACTION. Hence, vaporware.
Maybe, but what's decades when it comes to technology like this. I remember watching the original Star Trek when I was a kid and thinking how crazy the idea of a handheld communicator was. Now I've got two very similar devices sitting on the desk in front of me. I can't call space, but probably only because I don't have the number for the ISS. Some of these ideas may never be viable, but some are just waiting on the right conditions. You have to remember, we only recently reached a high for oil in
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A Roomba is a long way from a dishwasher. I agree, not full AI, but it's constantly getting closer. There is continual research into AI and robotics. Eventually this will result in more sophisticated home machines... or skynet. Unless some hard limitations are met in terms of processing power or manufacturing that makes intelligent robots impossible/not cost effective to build, it will happen.
I agree. My dishwasher is 100% reliable and always does exactly what it's supposed to do. My Roomba is completely worthless. I couldn't find a single room in the house that it can cope with. It is completely unable to deal with area rugs or cords (lamp cords or computer cables). Its drop sensors usually prevented it from driving completely over the edge of a step, but it would just perch precariously on the edge of a step without backing away. Running an old fashioned upright vacuum cleaner is just much le
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Fair enough. I don't have one, so I can't comment on the quality of the product, but there are a lot of people out there (like you) that have bought one. It may be worthless, but seems like a fairly successful product, and proof that more development into home robotics is a worthwhile endeavor.
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I have a Roomba. Every day when I come home my carpets in my flat are clean.
My ONLY interaction with Roomba is emptying the bin twice a week and cleaning the brushes twice a month. Probably 1 hour a month, total.
Sure, it's not exactly Rosie, but it's certainly a robot.
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Oil Sands:
http://www.energy.gov.ab.ca/OurBusiness/oilsands.asp [gov.ab.ca]
(not a huge amount of output, but it has every appearance of being 'viable', it just isn't productive enough to satisfy demand so much that prices actually drop)
Roomba is a hit.
There are vaccines for the common cold. They aren't perfect, but they are either well marketed enough or effective enough that millions of people get them. If it's the marketing, they are vaporware, if they work, they aren't.
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Re:Old vaporware (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Old vaporware (Score:5, Funny)
Must... resist... making jokes... about... back doors...
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Re:Old vaporware (Score:4, Informative)
Most of Canada's oil production is from heavy crude, and they are the number one exporter to the united states by volume of oil. so while people debate in the US about if Utah's tar sands are usable to make oil, we buy from Canada who've been doing this for years now, in fact they use a super large dump truck, the largest ever built, so large it needs cameras for the operator to see anything in front, behind or around him! Each tire is thirteen feet tall and weigh four tonnes each. They need to be replaced after approximately 35,000 miles; at a cost of $25,000.00 a piece.
How many (Score:5, Insightful)
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Oh, come on. GMail? (Score:5, Insightful)
I mean, you can use it. You've been able to use it for years. It's on the web, it's easily accessible, it wouldn't surprise me if it's used by millions of people.
Google's calling it "beta" because they don't think it's worthy of a non-beta release. That's [i]all it means[/i]. Google has higher standards for "non-beta" than other companies do, apparently - they're still adding major features and I suspect that's at least partially related to its beta status.
Why does it mean so much to have it not be called beta anymore? Because, I mean, if that one word really causes you so much mental anguish, I bet I could provide a Greasemonkey script to get rid of it.
Google's decided it's not finished. I'm willing to defer to their judgement. Honestly, it's a nice change from "feature-complete 1.0 software" that crashes every five minutes.
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Sheesh.
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An unfortunate set of cross-site reflexes. So it goes.
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I think it has been in "beta" so long, that if it were ever announced to be "released", people would expect something new and whizzy, which completely destroys the point of distinguishing "beta software" from "release software". However its questionable whether these categories have much value any longer.
The reason the beta doesn't come off is that there isn't any such thing as released software anymore. In the early days,
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Otherwise, it's a good email tool, and certainly the best webmail out there.
And yes, it is used by millions.
Not so much vapourware... (Score:5, Funny)
I still remember the huge disappointment at trying my first VR system in some crappy French arcade years after that...instead of bouncing bitmaps, it was no more than maybe 20 untextured polygons being rendered before my eyes on a headset big & heavy enough to crush a small mammal. Yeah ok, so I could look around, but at a glorious 15 FPS I got sick after about 2 minutes and probably would've come face-to-face with my breakfast for the 2nd time that day had the credit not have run out due to the fact I didn't know what the I was supposed to be doing (bitch slapping the "evil plain-red polygon" with the mechanical wand one presumed).
My question really is; has has gaming tech progressed any further in this area? Rare is the occasion I see anything remotely VR anywhere now, (apparently, even the French have given up on it - a sure sign it's a shit idea), and yet still I would love to fulfil my childhood dreams of running care-free through a futuristic sci-fi world with a Big Fuckoff LaserGun (tm)....in a virtual reality, not in my bedroom.
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Depends by what you specifically mean by 'progressed'.
Has gaming graphically improved? Hell yes. Look at the current tech demos for Age of Conan - particularly someone swimming in the water - and you'll be impressed. And this isn't some specifically rendered scene in a single player game. This is an open-activity world meant for hundreds and thousands of simultaneous players.
Has gaming developed substantially better tools in terms of multiple pe
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Doing anything interesting requires big, expensive hardware. Having lived in Sillicon Valley for years, I've had the chance to see a couple of groups show off their VR technology.
In the mid/late nineties, Sun had a room they called "Portal" in one of their main buildings. It had pro
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nothingforyoutoseehere (Score:2, Insightful)
Political Vapourware (Score:5, Insightful)
1. Balanced Budget
2. Peace in our time
3. Raise education standards
4. Economic security
At first glance, this may seem off-topic, but I would submit that vapourware is inevitable to anyone who is asking for money/power and promises to give you something later. Companies release press 'early' (vapourware) in the hopes of bouying their stock price or raising VC money; politicians promise the moon to get campaign contributions (VC money). Same thing.
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Companies release press 'early' (vapourware) in the hopes of bouying their stock price or raising VC money; politicians promise the moon to get campaign contributions (VC money).
I agree totally with your post. However, I would like to add one other thing. I believe companies also announce products so that the consumer doesn't buy their competitor product (and get inundated) even before it's released. For example, Levono 'leaked' their X300 [gizmodo.com]. Yeah, you're telling me that wasn't calculated.
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I would like to add one other thing. I believe companies also announce products so that the consumer doesn't buy their competitor product (and get inundated) even before it's released. For example, Levono 'leaked' their X300. Yeah, you're telling me that wasn't calculated.
This goes way, way back. IBM, ever the hardball player in the mainframe arena, announced the System 360 and OS/360 before it was even on the drawing boards, as a same-week response to CDC's announcement of one of the Cray-designed CDC 6000 series computers. IBM didn't deliver until well over a year after announcement. Practices such as these helped precipitate the decade of litigation known as "IBM vs the BUNCH (Burroughs, Univac, NCR, CDC and Honeywell)" although it was the BUNCH who went after IBM fo
how about ... (Score:2)
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2 is in Conflect with 4
1 is in Conflect with 3
Peace and Economic Security cant both happen because there are a limited amount of resources available. If you have World Peace we will have a problem with Econimic security because all resources will be shared to a point where we will not have enough to properly survive (not very secure) Of if we obtain Economic Security We will need to make sure that we the Haves are stronger then the Have Nots who will rebel against us.
The biggest cry that keeps our bu
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The main problem with education in America is not the other is ourselfs and our culture.
Many parents teach their kids that school isn't important. Or the kid is Smart so he thinks
Re:Political Vapourware (Score:5, Insightful)
--- SER
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When Clinton balanced the budget (for one year, the recession that started at the end of 2000 gua
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Been there, done that.
...laura, proudly Canadian
Next Photo (Score:5, Interesting)
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1. Set up vaguely geek-related article on multiple pages,
2. Make sure each page is full of pay-per-impression ads,
3. Post to Slashdot,
4. PROFIT!!!
Vaporware as a strategy (Score:5, Interesting)
It's a good strategy. Tell a lie to scare everyone else off. Take your sweet time producing an app into a competition free market.
Obligatory tag missing... (Score:5, Funny)
Better yet... (Score:2)
Without even looking... (Score:3, Insightful)
1) Nuclear Fusion power plants
2) Room-temperature Superconductor
3) Human exploration/Colonization of interplanetary space
4) Faster-than-light space travel
5) Humanlike AI
6) World Peace
If we could get any of these delivered, it'd be really nice. But I'm not holding my breath.
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Re:Without even looking... (Score:4, Funny)
2) Room-temperature Superconductor
3) Human exploration/Colonization of interplanetary space
4) Faster-than-light space travel
5) Humanlike AI
6) World Peace
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I know a few (and married one). Unfortunately, they tend to also be on the crazy side.
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Now *that* is Heinlein!
Re:Without even looking... (Score:5, Funny)
The Second Coming of Jesus Christ is clearly the most significant vapor promise that never got delivered. The marketing organization has been promoting it for almost two thousand years and they still haven't delivered.
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Does only a resurrection count as a "coming"? Seems to me they are either promoting something that has already happened, or should be promoting the 3rd coming.
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And yet, people are still buying. That's some marketing organization.
Re:Without even looking... (Score:4, Funny)
(And no, Jesus wasn't it, since he didn't actually do what the Jews' messiah was supposed to do. Then again, I guess it wouldn't be the first time when the actual released product doesn't even resemble what the marketing hype told you to expect;)
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1) machines allowing humans to fly
2) power transferred over copper wires
3) instantaneous voice communication to other continents
4) machines which can add, subtract and multiply
5) settling new continents
6) peace in Europe
Most were doomed from the start. (Score:2)
Most Printers can do 1200 DPI Printing so lets assume that we can print crip color dots (perhaps with solid ink printers) on a 8.5x11 paper you han hold 134,640,000 dots per page. So except for storing it in binary we can store the data in Base 5. Lets assume At best they can mix a few colors to make each dot one Byte. Still that is only 128.4
Q-Trax = Monty Python Cheese Shop (Score:3, Funny)
At the time I equated the Q-Trax experience to Mr Wensleydale's cheese emporium in the famous monty python sketch.
http://snm.imeem.com/blogs/2008/01/30/oF1HiZ3f/monty_python_vs_qtrax [imeem.com]
(slashdot won't let me post it since it ends up with too few characters per line....)
glaze3d (Score:2)
E-Film... (Score:3, Informative)
It was just that it easily cost around $10,000, so not many could afford them.
Then dSLRs came onto the market and that ended that reign. And these days, they're well within the reach of amateur photographers, costing not much more than a high-end point and shoot...
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A hasselblad digital back for your MF will set you back a cool $25k, starting price.
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The article makes fun of the resolution and image carrying capacity of these devices, but fails to reflect on the fact that the removable storage of the time was measured in megabytes and the dSLR it champions, the D1, was a 2.7 MP camera.
The death of "silicon film" was the variety of different sizes they'd have to make the thing to work with all camera
You've never heard of T.D.A.H.O.D.S.N.? (Score:2)
Vaporware? (Score:5, Funny)
Hmm... (Score:2)
Those fields and a few others I just ignore all PR news until there are products that I can buy from Walmart or Target.
How could you ever forget (Score:2)
Gold in the rainbow? (Score:2)
I think C net might be missing the point of the "rainbow storage" idea...or maybe the inventor doesn't see the possibilities himself. If you haven't read the article, this is a technology that encodes data and stores it as colored geometric shapes on paper, or other printable medium. I don't think that "rainbow" storage is going to replace more conventional data storage...but I think there might be a real use for this: archival data storage. By "archival" I mean, "can still be read 1,000 years from today".
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http://strategywiki.org/wiki/SimEarth:_The_Living_Planet [strategywiki.org]
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I misread that as titties as first and thought "Whaaat?"
I need to get out more.
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i've been anxiously waiting for news of a consumer-level product for 2 years now. alas, still not in sight.
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Perhaps that's not an example of inexpensive scratch-proof coatings -- and I'm not sure if it can easily be done on any
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Wow, that sounds like a good way to lose a finger.
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I took a sharp serrated steak knife to it and tried to scratch it but no matter how hard I pressed...
Wow, that sounds like a good way to lose a finger.
That's how the Yakuza used to initiate new members:
Yakuza: "Ah, recruit-san, to join us you must scratch the surface of this watch using that knife."
Recruit: "Hai!"
[A heroic effort ensues, but recruit only manages to cut off their own finger]
Yakuza: "By going all the way, you've passed our test of inner strength... welcome to the Yakuza."
Now, they just skip the watch.
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