Real Nanotechnology Getting Closer, Says Drexler 134
destinyland writes "Sun Microsystems has helped fund a 198-page nanotechnology roadmap — but how
close are we to real nanotechnology? A science writer asked four nano pioneers, including
K. Eric Dexler ('progress is accelerating') and Ralph Merkle ('the exponential trends continue to be exponential') Though we don't have Star Trek replicators yet, the article lists some surprising recent nano developments (artificial tissue, nanoparticle sheets, ultrathin diamond nanorods).
And the roadmap's scientists are envisioning targeted cancer therapies, super-efficient solar cells, high-density computer memory chips and even responsive 'smart' materials."
Don't we already have it (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Don't we already have it (Score:5, Insightful)
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Nope, microtechnology, hence the micro. ;)
Spell check says it isn't a word, but what do spell checkers know? Bah!
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My first thought was that we already had nanotechnology. Microchips would count. Hell, we already manipulate bacteria to make things like insulin, clotting factors, and other stuff for us.
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Thinking about it pragmatically, we can build machines that far out-scale animals, but going in the other direction you can't just build things bigger with stronger materials. I can see man-made nanobots being more effective than living cells, but not by more than a couple of orders of magnitude.
Dunno abut microchips but this does (Score:1)
Surely the technology inside of this baby [apple.com] qualifies as Nano(TM) technology.
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Metric prefixes change once every factor of 1000. 45nm == .045 micrometers.
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Java (Score:2)
I'm looking forward to JavaNE. :)
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5 to 10 years. (Score:2)
In short, 5 to 10 years.
Re:5 to 10 years. (Score:4, Interesting)
Just around the corner! No, really!
And while I'm at it: many things that are now called 'nanotechnology' were formerly called chemistry or submicrometer fabrication. 'Nano' has become way overhyped and a way to get more money for research proposals.
Re:5 to 10 years. (Score:4, Insightful)
Just around the corner! No, really!
I think the problem with nanotechnology is that people make the assumption that it has to be a miniature self aware all purpose robot.
Where really we already have nanotechnology being used in the real world today.
I think we should call it "nanorobotics" instead of nanotechnology to make it more clear to people.
That said, they do have nanobots out there in the research phase which are very promising for chemical delivery for tumors at this point so we are going to see something in 5 to 10 years.
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Well, you're clearly drawing parallels with claims with AI. I think the difference between Molecular Nanotechnology and Artificial Intelligence is that 40 years ago, people didn't really have an understanding of artificial intelligence or how to achieve it. Or perhaps it's more fair to say that what people really meant by artificial intelligence is artificial consciousness and that the underlying mechanism for consciousness is still not understood. However I think it's getting clearer that it's an emergent
Nanoleash (Score:3)
"Mites, like viruses, can infect or inoculate people."
At birth you will be infected with government approved nanomites to help regulate your body. I'm betting there will be a built in kill switch in case you become disruptive to the common good.
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I know a guy in Hong Kong who can deactivate nanotech kill switches.
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At birth you will be infected with government approved nanomites to help regulate your body. I'm betting there will be a built in kill switch in case you become disruptive to the common good.
Until someone stages a coup by hacking the "kill switch" of the entire executive and legislative branches.
Ah.. (Score:4, Funny)
The next big thing.
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Nanotechnology is the artificial intelligence of today. Back in the 1970s, we were all promised that real artificial intelligence would someday exist and we'd all have all-in-one robot maids running around doing our dishes and vacuuming our floors and answering the phone, the door, etc. Lots of things, like natural language processing get called AI, but real AI? A real, self-aware robot with a mind? Forget it. A computer is a billion switches. Even if we turned it into a googolplex switches, it's sti
Re:Ah.. (Score:5, Insightful)
A computer is a billion switches. Even if we turned it into a googolplex switches, it's still nothing more than a googolplex switches.
Our brains are nothing but billions upon billions of neurons, synapses, etc. forming complex interconnections.. yes, any first generation intelligent AI would have to be created by humans, but if we exactly modelled a human brain in software and trained it like any other child (it would probably need the aid of a prosthetic or virtual body to be able to learn), what would really make the resulting AI different from ourselves if it reacted as we do? I know it's a big if, and that there probably isn't much point in creating an AI that has human flaws - but there is nothing in life to indicate that we are anything other than purely physical constructs. Otherwise, why bother with having bodies in the first place - unless perhaps our bodies are as to the soul as cars and aeroplanes are to humans?
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Our brains are nothing but billions upon billions of neurons, synapses, etc. forming complex interconnections..
No, they aren't. [geekwithlaptop.com]\
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No, they aren't. \
NONE of that contradicts what he said.
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I'm quite aware that current computer architectures share basically nothing in common with our brain architecture. I studied Psychology for 2 years at University level (which obviously covered topics including intelligence, learning and neurobiology), and I took AI courses as part of my 3rd and 4th years of Computer Science.
I'm just pointing out that in fact our brains are physical constructs, just as computers are.
We have a long way to go before making truly intelligent (in a general sense) and/or sentient
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And a brain is a hundred billion somewhat more complex (but the basic mechanism is fairly well-understood) switches. What's your point?
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Yes, but there is still much that is not understood about the brain, along with other things that are. Chemicals and their various states, for example, contribute much to brain function, perhaps even more so than the neurons themselves. So, it's a billion neurons, but that's not ALL it is.
"Star Trek replicators" (Score:1)
weren't the replicators from stargate and not from star trek? don't mind me if I'm wrong, I've just memorized every single stargate episode...
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iirc the replicators in Star Trek were based on teleporters. they would take the waste organic materials that have been stored in the ship and recycle them into anything that there was the pattern in the system for. Basically taking the disorganized waste matter and reorganizing it into food and other stuff that would eventually become waste and then reorganized
Replicators [wikipedia.org]
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I can't speak to stargate, but I do know that replicators are in star trek. They first showed up in The Next Generation, which began in 1987.
In the show, they were usually used to make food, but could also be used to make anything anyone could dream up (they had some excuse re: why they couldn't just replicate starships, I forget what it was). They could also disassembled the dishes and scraps when someone was done, too.
I believe they were supposed to work by using transporter-like technology to assemble, a
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The replicators from stargate seem to be self replicating robots. Not sure what they have to do with nanotechnology. You probably know better than me since I never managed to watch a whole episode.
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Replicators in Stargate were little spider robots that were like a combination of Lego and the T-1000 that consumed metal and turned it into more Blocks that formed more spider robots and so on.
They then 'evolved' into humanoids that were just the T-1000 (impervious to bullets, remorphed themselves if deformed etc)
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actually, no. Those "spider robots" were actually based on nano technology. And the humanoid replicators built by them were based on smaller nano units. And in stargate atlantis, you can see another replicator race also based in nanotechnology. They don't have any "spider robots" as you called them, but were fully nanite based.
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Replicators [wikipedia.org]
They were very similar to spiders. so yes, they were originally spider robots.
Re:"Star Trek replicators" (Score:5, Funny)
Wait, are you telling me Wesley Crusher ruined two TV series?
"Real" nanotechnology is already there (Score:5, Interesting)
This [cycho.org] is a cross section of the pmos transistors in one of Intels 45nm high-k metal gate CPUs. As you can see there are many layers with a horizontal and lateral extend far below 10 nm. In fact the thinnest layers are in the order of 1-2nm - The gate stack itself consists of a multilayer stack of SiO2/HfO2/TiN, where each of the layers is only 1-3 nm thick.
How is this not nanotechnology?
Most of the known bottom up approaches that are hyped and studied at universities, such as nanoparticles and nanowires, lead to significantly larger structures.
Top down beat bottom up years ago. Sorry guys, it's a nice phd topic but the industry is already there.
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Also we use bacteria and viruses to do our bidding. "Nanotech" is just another buzz word to get people hyped up.
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Viruses and especially bacteria are huuge compared to microchips.
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well, not compared to entire chips, but single transistors.
Re:"Real" nanotechnology is already there (Score:5, Insightful)
Bottom-up assembly is certainly a long-term basic research type project(unless you count the sort of temperature and composition control tricks that metallurgists have been using to produce desired crystal structures for centuries, among other things); but it is ultimately a very desirable skill to pick up. As long as we have to fab them top down, nanotech materials are going to be confined to niche applications(Sure, semiconductors are common; but compared to concrete and steel?)
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Top down, bottom up. I like my nanotechnology research like I like my women.
Re:"Real" nanotechnology is already there (Score:5, Funny)
Fictional?
Re:"Real" nanotechnology is already there (Score:5, Insightful)
True, we are already building electronic components at nanometer scales. But when people talk about nanotechnology, they are usually thinking of mechanical devices built from nanometer scale components, or larger structures which exhibit new properties based on manufactured, nanometer scale features.
The industry for these applications has hardly even begun.
Re:"Real" nanotechnology is already there (Score:5, Insightful)
But they have not achieved the holy grail of nanotechnology, and the tricks of lithography never will. The holy grail is atomic-level precision; not just in restricted circumstances (e.g. single atomic layers under some constraints), but in the general case. As in, you draw in some CAD program an arbitrary (within physical law) device wherein each atom is specified... and then you get it built. Lithography cannot do this. Synthetic chemistry can do this for a subset of chemical compounds, but can't tackle the general case and certainly can't currently make arbitrary nano-devices with atomic-level precision. You're right that bottom-up approaches like self-assembly [wikipedia.org] also can't currently do this (they are more of a way to assembly precise sub-units into larger assemblies).
This final "true" nanotechnology (Drexler now calls it "molecular nanotechnology [wikipedia.org]" to differentiate it) won't be easy, and may very well require a delicate combination of everything we've learned from of top-down techniques (e.g. lithography) and bottom-up techniques (e.g. synthetic chemistry, self-assembly). Or maybe it require radically new thinking. The point is we don't yet know, so to say that "top down beat bottom up years ago" really misses the point: molecular nanotechnology has not yet been acheived.
In the meantime, our current tricks all have their uses (lithography is great for, e.g. making microchips... whereas self-assembly is great for making, e.g. coatings for pharmaceuticals and fuel-cell membranes).
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Generally agreed. But I'd like to point out the semiconductor manufacturing uses several "nanotechnology" methods besides lithography. For example the high-k deposition employs an atomic layer deposition process (ALD), that allows precise control of film thicknesses down to tenths of a monolayer. This is achieved by surface limited reactions, very similar to many techniques within the realm of "self-assembly" or bottom-up.
Having an "assembler" on the atomic level would of course be a long time goal. However
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>molecular nanotechnology has not yet been acheived
I disagree with this point: the ("hand"-made) IBM logo with atoms see http://www.rso.cornell.edu/scitech/archive/95spr/atom.html [cornell.edu] is one of the first 'nanotechnology' object.
Of course it's a very crude one (only a few dozens of atoms whereas ordinary object are composed of a humongous number of atoms, remember Avogadro's constant: 6*10^23 atoms for *twelve grams* of C12) but it was still done with atomic-level precision, it's also a reminder of the *huge*
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This is not nanotechnology because nanotech is based on the concept of replacable parts. Every carbon atom is replacable by any other carbon atom. Every lithium atom, with all it's electrochemical properties is replacable by any other lithium atom. Atoms are treated as parts of an assembly. When you make machines that are just small or in the nanometer range without using atoms are replacable parts, you're not using nanotechnology.
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Huh, yeah, top down is the king. Err, wait, aren't grey whales some of the largest nanomachines on the planet? From a single fertilized egg? Converting other creatures into itself?
Nah, must be impossible. There's no way ribosomes are nearly as complex as a transistor, or nearly as useful. Its all about chopping large hunks of matter into tiny bits.
"Real" nanotechnology is the ability to manipulate matter at that scale. How is the matter in a CPU manipulated to build the CPU? It isn't. Its chopped away from
nanotechnology has the unique attribute (Score:5, Funny)
that, unlike all other fields of technological innovation, when one speaks of vaporware, one might actually be talking about some sort of useful hardware that literally is a vapor
so nanotechnology has at least that going for it
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So what do we call it when a nanotech company announces that are going to release some amazing new vaporware soon, but they have no proof and no demo yet? Vacuumware? Dukenukemware?
I can't wait (Score:2)
I can't wait for that fantastic grey goo I'm always hearing about!
Bring it on, Mr. Ellison!
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Bring it on, Mr. Ellison!
You're asking for Larry's grey goo?
Ewww... -1 Inappropriate
That's Stargate, not Star Trek (Score:2, Informative)
Star Trek has the "cool" sci-fi thing, whereas a lot of people rip Star Gate, but I think the nano-tech future given by the likes of the Replicators are where this nano stuff is headed.
The single greatest shortcoming in human science is its failure to understand outcomes of complex, dynamic systems, and here we are going to make exactly that.
Doesn't get any dumber than that!
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Why do people who like Sci-fi not watch any of the classics any more?
I enjoyed Stargate and I enjoyed Star trek.
Why do people who've never seen Star Trek assume that the summary is wrong? Are we REALLY that disillusioned by the editors or is this just classic /. troll behaviour?
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Check you pattern buffers! (Score:2)
Why do people who've never seen Star Trek assume that the summary is wrong? Are we REALLY that disillusioned by the editors or is this just classic /. troll behaviour?
You need to check your pattern buffers!
Replicators in Star Trek had absolutely nothing to do with nano technology. Replicated things did not self assemble from molecular machines as much as they were broadcast into existence via a huge energy to matter transmitter.
My real point though, was that everyone is building stuff for the future because
You missed the point. (Score:2)
If we are going to be so gayly pedantic about it, I should point out that replicators were an offshoot of an energy to matter conversion via a complex wave generator managed by a pattern buffer!
Replication had nothing to do with nano-technology. There was no self assembly and that is the essence of nano-technology. The only real nano-tech in trek was 7 of 9's "nano probes"... and boy would I'd have liked to have given her a "mano probe.."
But of course Star Trek had replicators. Replicators were alluded t
All this... (Score:3, Informative)
All this and they still can't make a coffee pot that can brew an entire 12 cup pot in under 60 seconds without burning the coffee.
Seriously can we get some important technology invented to make our lives easier.
For instance can I get a roomba retrofitted to water my lawn for me? For under $200 bucks?
How about some color changing siding that doesn't bust every time a golf-ball sized piece of hail hits it for less then cement siding.
Self cleaning ceiling fan blades would be nice too...
Self milking cows?
A dog poop scooper that gets under the poop without ripping up the grass...
Yeah! super hard mini-rods. That will make my toast toast faster....
ZZzzz...
Where is my poorly done art-deco nuclear powered car that conspicuously blows up after being abandoned for over 200 years and subsequently shot. Oddly this car will also smoke and burst into flames before blowing up... What the hell is burning in it? After 200 years there isn't going to be any upolhstry left....
Where was I? Who the hell are you people and how did you get on my series of tubes!?!?
Deborah where are my pills?!
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I'm not sure who or what you are parodying, but I like it.
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The car is a reference to Fallout 3. When you shoot the 200+ year old nuclear powered car it starts on fire (it's all metal, what exactly is burning?!) then explodes into a mini-nuke.
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Well, from a theoretical standpoint it could be the metal itself burning (oxidized metal heated by a run-away nuclear reaction? Think thermite)
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I could see magnesium but I would expect more of a sparkler like effect rather then wafting flames.
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Self milking cows?
I know you are being humorous, but they featured a self milking cow turnstyle on "Dirty Jobs". Cows would walk on this slowly turning merry go round and a robot would attach milking devices to them and they would ride around to the other side of the room where it would let them off when they are finished.
Apparently the cows liked it and pretty much knew what to do to get on and off the platform.
Mike still had to clean the poo which no one had built a robot to clean up.
Nano tech road map. (Score:2)
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Pico materials. Duh.
Idiotechnocracy (Score:2)
If Nanotech is scale closer to nm than um (Score:2)
If you define nanotech as technology of scale closer to a nanometer than a micrometer, ie less than 30 nm, then we are one chip fabrication generation away from it at the moment.
As was pointed out above, the thickness of some semiconductor layers already is down in the couple of nm range, the 30nm I refer to is the length and width of features.
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Molecular Nanotechnology (Score:2)
Whatever things people may like to call "nanotechnology," there is really only one important distinction. Can we assemble atoms in any desired configuration? That is what is commonly termed molecular nanotechnology, and it is what most people originally meant.
Once this and fusion are out of the way, life will start to get very interesting; the foundation of our economic systems will become irrelevant as scarcity will cease to be a useful concept.
how about interviewing some real nanotechnologists (Score:5, Interesting)
The goals they're putting out for nanotechnology are generally real and reasonable (more efficient energy conversion, more targeted drug delivery, better chemical sensors, integration of biological and electronic systems). What is unreasonable is that they're essentially getting credit in the media (and in form of investments) for work which they have not done.
None of these guys has worked in a nanotechnology lab. None of these guys has tried to build something starting from atoms. I'm doing both. I work at an Ivy League University in a leading lab for some of the technologies prominently mentioned in that article, but I barely have funding just for this summer. The guy who invented the DNA origami work they're so excited about was recently fired by his University (did not get tenure). A little more support, both in the media and by the companies funding the Forsight Institute, would be really, really welcomed by those of us actually doing the work.
The MIT Media lab is great, but they're not known in the field for being experts on nanotechnology. Not mentioned is the world's best collection of nanotechnology researchers, which happens to also be at MIT, in the physics and engineering departments. If you're at MIT and you want to have a future in nanotechnology, forget the Media Lab, and find one of the professors working with Gene and Mildred Dresselhaus.
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"None of these guys has worked in a nanotechnology lab. None of these guys has tried to build something starting from atoms. "
I call shenanigans. Every one of these guys has substantial nanotech street cred going back 20 years or more. Every single one of them has "worked in a nanotech lab". Most of them FOUNDED the discipline of Molecular Nanotechnology.
Drexler did the first substantial theoretical work on precision mechanosynthesis of molecules, the limits and restrictions on carbon-carbon mechanosythesis
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Sorry, you're wrong. Drexler didn't come up with "nanotechnology." Smalley's Nobel prize winning nanotechnology work was done 6 years before Drexler got his PhD and published his famous book, and neither of them came up with the original definition of nanotechnology (which was not molecular machining). There are plenty of people who got PhDs in "nanotechnology" before Drexler did, but they were all content for the piece of paper to say physics, chemistry or engineering. I don't think they're bad guys, a
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Again, shenanigans. I never claimed Drexler came up with Nanotechnology. I said he did the first substantial work on machine-phase nanotechnology... something Smalley spent well over a decade trying to discredit. I remember the arguments and counter arguments back in the early 90s. Of course lots of scientists have been working at the nano-level before and since. My point was that for that specific type of proposed nanotechnology (mechanosynthesis, assemblers, dissassemblers, etc) that these guys did the fi
Nano is old hat (Score:1)
ULTRA! (Score:2)
NANO Starpharma condom, meds, military, industrial (Score:1)
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We've seen this with so many things, including solar cells - Constant assurance that they are getting cheaper easier to make, more efficient, etc; people ranting about how it is finally feasible and will be seen in mass quantities soon... yet we still don't.
IMHO, it's vaporware until the common Joe is purchasing and holding it in their hands.
That _DOESNT_ mean I don't acknowledge the advances, just that I don't get my hopes up.
Re:Law of Accelerating Returns... (Score:5, Informative)
We've seen this with so many things, including solar cells - Constant assurance that they are getting cheaper easier to make, more efficient, etc; people ranting about how it is finally feasible and will be seen in mass quantities soon... yet we still don't.
Maybe you should take a look at these graphs: http://www.frozennorth.org/C197109377/E20080427143258/index.html [frozennorth.org] and http://peakoildebunked.blogspot.com/2008/12/387-world-photovoltaic-pv-production.html [blogspot.com]
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Maybe you should take a look at these graphs: http://www.frozennorth.org/C197109377/E20080427143258/index.html [frozennorth.org]
Interesting graph, that little hook back up starting around 2003 suggests that the drastic increase in oil prices over the last 5 years or so which 'magically' made solar more competitive was enough to actually reduce the rate of efficiency improvements.
I would like to see a graph that also included price per watt for oil too, although I doubt that information (versus watts from the generic "grid" which includes non-oil sources) is easy to get.
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His point is valid, as solar power is still a very small minority in the production of electricity. I think the parent's point was that we should have nearly free electricity by now, as predicted by "solar innovators" in the past. However, it is encouraging that the price continues to drop and production continues to increase. I'd personally love to use it, but it is still and will continue to be far too expensive for many years to come for someone like me who lives in the upper north.
What I'd really lik
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What I'd really like to see is PV efficiency in the 20-30% range. Then not only would it be viable for home use, but it would mean the solar panel roof of the new Prius could drive the whole car, instead of just the AC.
Er, well, no, not really.
Cars use tens of kilowatt hours to get around over the course of a few days. Even with 100% efficiency, the upper surface area of a (normal) (street legal) (meets all US federal safety standards) car isn't big enough to soak up that much sunlight. Now what high(er) efficiency does allow is for the roof of the typical suburban home to power both the entire house underneath it (including overnight, with batteries) plus a car. That's something worth wishing for.
But while we're w
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I'm most interested in the individual home PV setup for a variety of reasons. The big-plant-in-the-desert method has some downsides, like significant to substantial transmission losses, reduced reliability through dependency on those transmission lines, high single-source financing requirements, and continued consumer-oriented pay-your-whole-life dependency on a power company.
When every home has solar panels powering it, transmission losses drop to practically nil, everything in the house has power as long
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Even if solar goes through some technological leaps, and you get 100% of your neighbors to cover their roof, you can't get rid of transmission lines. Not until we get energy storage systems to go through similar tech leaps.
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Ah, but once again, we're talking about houses, not cars. The two realms are barely related. Cars have weight and volume problems on an entirely different scale from houses. As I said originally, the upper surface of a car simply isn't big enough, even with 100% efficiency, to power the car, but a house roof is big enough, given high enough efficiency. With batteries, you're fairly limited by what will fit in the space currently occupied by an internal combustion engine (more or less).
In a house, the
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The space available for batteries could also be limited. I think cities will in general require large scale power distribution and generation to feed the high populations. Transmission l
The problem with linear extrapolation (Score:1)
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Clearly, you've yet to fathom the mysteries of log-scale plots.
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We've seen this with so many things, including solar cells - Constant assurance that they are getting cheaper easier to make, more efficient, etc; people ranting about how it is finally feasible and will be seen in mass quantities soon
Have you been living under a rock? Solar cells are flying off the shelves as soon as the manufactures can make them. They are putting them on top of cars (have you seen that Prius commercial?) and cramming them into every other device possible.
It sort of like SSDs as well whic
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I work in a decent-sized city, exactly what I would consider "average", and so far, on my treks to and from work, I have seen only ONE house that has solar panels on the roof. Furthermore, this house isn't even in the city- it's out in the country. My point was that once a good percentage of people (10, 5%, hell, even 1% in any given area) have solar power, THEN we can talk.
I do realize part of it
Re:Law of Accelerating Returns... (Score:5, Funny)
"the exponential trends continue to be exponential"
They didn't say that the exponent was necessarily > 1.
Re:nanotech is proof (Score:4, Insightful)