Iran's High Tech Copycat War Against the West: Drones and Cyberwar 159
An anonymous reader writes "Iran and its nuclear program seem to be getting all the headlines. Yet, Iran has found a way to respond to western cyber attacks such as Stuxnet, drone surveillance and targeted assassinations; they've decided to respond in kind. Iran has launched its own cyber attacks on U.S. banks via denial-of-service attacks. Iranian drones recently were used to spy on Israeli nuclear facilities. Cyberweapons were also used against Saudi oil facilities. The goal: to make sure the west, specifically the United States, knows that Iran does have the tools to strike back. While Iran does not have a world-class military like the United States, it does have the capabilities to cause damage if it wants to. With Iran taking to cyberspace and drones, it shows such technology is not just under the control of the U.S. Iran has been careful, though, not to escalate the conflict. The risk: what if the plan backfires and goes beyond its intended scope?"
I have to wonder (Score:5, Insightful)
What exactly is the point of this story? Is the subbie afraid of Iran or what? Since the legitimate government of Iran was overthrown and the current cycle of extremist leaders/newly rich plutocrats was engineered by the US and UK in Operation Ajax not so long ago, I can't really find it in me to blame Iran for wanting to maintain some sort of functional military parity with the US.
There is no chance that Iran will ever invade the US, or even engineer a 9-11 style attack. There is every chance that Iran will upset the balance of power in the Middle East, which is what the ageing cold warriors still battling Russia and now China in their own minds truly fear.
My advice would be to leave Iran well enough alone. Once the threat of outside invasion recedes, the population will rise up and overthrow the extremists, as they have already made moves to do. Of course this means leaving a power vacuum for Russia or China to step into, according to some, so the US will never allow it.
This isn't an anti-US comment, this is an anti US politicians and foreign policy comment.
Re:I have to wonder (Score:5, Insightful)
If you define 1953 as not so long ago you must be in it for the long run. Waiting for the return of Zoroaster?
Re:I have to wonder (Score:5, Insightful)
Since the legitimate government of Iran was overthrown and the current cycle of extremist leaders/newly rich plutocrats was engineered by the US and UK in Operation Ajax not so long ago
If you define 1953 as not so long ago you must be in it for the long run. Waiting for the return of Zoroaster?
Great post!
While I agree that 1953 was a "long time ago" for most of "us", please remember that people in the middle east have been fighting among themselves since the beginning of recorded history. It's likely they will continue to fight until the end of recorded history.
With any luck, Zoroaster won't show up any time soon.
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So did the Europeans, and even the inhabitants of North America. The last civil war in the U.S. was not so long ago than the last one lets say in Switzerland (1847) or in Portugal (1828).
The United States of Amnesia (Score:5, Insightful)
If you define 1953 as not so long ago you must be in it for the long run. Waiting for the return of Zoroaster?
In 1953 we overthrew their democratic government, and then for 26 years we sponsored a puppet government that tortured and killed dissidents. A direct result of that radicalization and suppression is the Islamic Revolution of 1979. Our further interference by arranging loans for Saddam Hussein to punish them with a war cost the lives of one million people, including those who died in the gas attacks at Halabja, in the Iran-Iraq War. That ended in 1988.
This is the problem with stupid, simplistic understandings of history. It has been a policy of the United States for over a century to control and occupy the Middle East with extreme forms of violence that have killed millions, and sanctions that have killed hundreds of thousands more. There is no difference between us and the methods of other colonial powers, except that instead of pretending that natives are savages that are not worthy of consideration, we are pretending that Arabs and Iranians are savages that are not worthy of consideration. We kill them, take control of their oil, and they should just learn to accept that their natural resources may be under their feet, but God has intended them to belong to us as veto power against our enemies, or just so we can burn through it ourselves.
The historical evidence for those facts is overwhelming, and if you think you disagree with the hypothesis of American colonialism, you are either innocently or willfully ignorant. [nationalpost.com]
As proof of this truism, without looking it up, name one nation that does not have a United States military presence inside of their national border, or inside of a neighboring nation. The same cannot be said for any other nation because the fact is and remains that we are a colonial power. That doesn't make us evil because we are America, but it does make us evil because we are an empire. Telling people how to live without giving them the opportunity to decide for themselves is simple tyranny, and it's wrong. It always has been, and it always will be, and there is never a legitimate principled foundation for taking away someone's right to choose their own path, especially when we take that right away from entire nations.
Re:The United States of Amnesia (Score:5, Insightful)
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Who is talking about Israel? They're a military outpost. They do what we tell them.
Western oil firms remain as US exits Iraq [aljazeera.com]
Re:The United States of Amnesia (Score:4, Insightful)
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Dude, it's not my fault you can't read. From the article you linked:
Rather than giving foreign oil companies control over Iraqi reserves, as the U.S. had hoped to do with the Oil Law it failed to get the Iraqi parliament to pass, the oil companies were awarded service contracts lasting 20 years for seven of the 10 oil fields on offer -- the oil will remain the property of the Iraqi state, and the foreign companies will pump it for a fixed price per barrel.
You don't remember Rumsfeld saying that the war wou
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Last one (Score:2)
Perhaps you can explain then, if it was such a conspiracy, how the US managed to orchestrate the invasion
What kind of thinking person asks how the world's largest military power "managed" to "orchestrate" the invasion? It's what we do. We spend more than the rest of the world combined every single year on our military. So why are you asking how we managed to militarily overpower a nation with 30 million people that has been subject to sanctions and bombings from 1991 until our invasion in 2003?
and create a
Re:Last one from me too (Score:2)
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I read all sorts of sources including AJ. I just don't take it as gospel. My point stands.
No, it doesn't. Your assertion was that the United States did not invade Iraq for oil, but every single internal document is either aimed at excusing the invasion or at overturning the Iraqi constitution in order to open up their oil market. You are fucking wrong, and you're still wrong, despite your feigned ignorance aimed at winning this argument.
Even if that law was passed, it would have given "Western" nations no m
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We have bases in many countries because of treaties with them. They agree to have us there.
The problem is "They" so often refers to a dictator rather than the people. Particularly in the Middle East, the people of those countries do not want US bases on their soil, but they have no choice is the matter. Then of course there is the case of Guantanamo Bay in Cuba. Guantanamo Bay was granted to the US by a Godfather-style "offer they can't refuse" treaty with the Cuba while the country was occupied with US troops.
And for the last time, we did not get any of Iraq's oil so stop pushing that big lie
International Oil companies including Exxon Mobile,BP, Shell etc are all over [aljazeera.com] Iraq's o
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What power vacuum? Do you truly believe that the world is going to end if the US military suddenly disappears? A lot of those deals with the bases were done by using force (Germany, Japan, Philippines, Cuba), sometimes outright corruption of local elites or in the case of Colombia, by manipulating small countries so they get a free trade agreement in exchange for American bases. In the case of Colombia, after the base was granted, they still had to wait several years and beg the US to honor their part of th
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Re:I have to wonder (Score:5, Interesting)
Well as a result of the '53 coup, the shah reigned as an absolute dictator for the following 26 years. Anybody over the age of 40 or so has memories of the Shah, and that includes the entire current Iranian leadership -- they're the revolutionaries who overthrew the Shah in fact. Just like there are plenty of people alive in the US who remember Richard Nixon or Jimmy Carter there are plenty Iranians alive who remember the Shah, his secret police, and his torture chambers. They also remember that he was the closest US ally in the Middle East, after Israel.
So if you're waiting for the Iranian leadership to write off the years '53 to '79 as ancient history, you're going to have to wait at least another generation. That might even be two generations, as you might have to wait for the people who grew up personally knowing people in the revolution pass away. Just because it's ancient history for *you* doesn't mean other people have or should have forgotten the Shah.
And they certainly haven't forgotten George W. Bush. After watching in alarm as US forces toppled in weeks a country they'd fought to a stalemate for eight years at the cost of over half a million lives, the Iranian leadership floated an offer that gave the US everything it said it wanted. They offered complete transparency in their nuclear program and a withdrawal of support from Hezbollah and Hamas, in return for what amounted to a promise not to invade. The Bush administration didn't even bother responding.
Now if you were in the shoes of the Iranian leadership, what do you think would appear to be the rational course to pursue? Diplomacy and disarmament? Or arming yourself to the teeth?
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Here [pbs.org] you go.
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Here's one:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/06/17/AR2006061700727.html [washingtonpost.com]
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Two to three generations isn't that long in historical terms. It's still within living memory. I can definitely see how an Iranian might see their history of the last 60 years as a never-ending series of assaults on Iranian freedom by the U.S.
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One of the biggest fears is that her Sunni neighbors would feel compelled to obtain their own nuclear deterrent. The resulting arms race would further destabilize the region, undermine the NPT, and increase the odds of a nuclear device falling into the hands of non-state actors.
*cough*Pakistan*cough*
The power vacuum would be filled by all three of the aforementioned superpowers, with unpredictable geopolitical consequences. A particularly scary scenario is Japan renouncing Article 9 in order to deploy forces to the Middle East. Such a move would inflame passions in China (and other Asian countries), further destabilize an already tenuous relationship between two economic superpowers, and ignite an arms race that ends with a nuclear-armed Japan. India is in there too, they already have nuclear weapons, and a billion people, so that's one hell of a geopolitical wild card to consider. ...
but hey, it sure beats the hell out of WW3.
Seriously? The people of Iran have proven particularly unwilling to allow foreign invaders to dictate policy so far, to their credit, a nuclear armed Iran wouldn't be a power vacuum for anyone to fill. Sit your scaremongering down.
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Could you (or anyone) please provide some actual reasons beyond "Omg! Nukes!" why a potentially nuclear Iran is so horribly unacceptable? India has been nuclear armed since 1974, Isreal since (about) 1979, Pakistan since at least 1998, and North Korea since 2006 (maybe). South Africa was nuclear armed in the 1980s. Japan is probably a month away from a nuclear-tipped ICBM if they ever decide they want one. All of these countries have current or historical aggressive or unstable governments. Yet for some rea
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They can get away with that by use of false flags. Not necessarily feigning attacks, but making it look as though the enemy is still trying to invade, but the fearless leader is the only thing holding them back.
Soon everybody will have drones (Score:1)
Most countries have been slow to develop drones and medium-range cruise missiles. The combination of a German V-1 design and a smartphone is enough to make a cruise missile that can hit a target. (The original V-1 could not reliably hit a target smaller than the entire city of London. If it had been able to hit air bases, the Battle of Britain might have come out differently.)
A better launch system than the V-1's long fixed ramp with pusher cylinder would be needed, but a RATO bottle or a set of wheels
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You know, Iran (Score:1)
Re:You know, Iran (Score:5, Insightful)
That is actually some good advice.
Building a nuclear bomb is hugely expensive, especially if you have to do it 100 feet underground.
With the money that the Iranian government is using for a bomb they could build a world class well just about anything. Something that the populace of Iran can be proud of, something that when people talk of Iran they talk about that great thing they accomplished. Instead they are trying to build a bomb.
The Iranians could even work on creating a commercial grade thorium reactor that would get them off of petroleum, but nooooo, they want a bomb instead.
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Except that there are not trying to build a bomb. Do you yourself a favor and read The Complete Idiot’s Guide to Iran and the Bomb [stopwar.org.uk].
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Assuming they are building a bomb that is. A lot of people seems to take that for granted these days. There still is no proof whatsoever and based on the whole WMD fiasco. I find myself believing the opposite of what the U.S. govt is saying.
Re:You know, Iran (Score:5, Interesting)
Is North Korea left alone because they have a bomb, or because if the US fucked with them China would come in and put a stop to it?
Personally I think it is because 75% China would step in and 25% because the South Koreans actually would be upset if we killed their relatives in the north.
Or hell, Pakistan has the bomb and we do drone strikes in Pakistan damn near daily.
Having a bomb will not stop the US from driving the Iranian government out of power.
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Or hell, Pakistan has the bomb and we do drone strikes in Pakistan damn near daily.
Having a bomb will not stop the US from driving the Iranian government out of power.
But it will prevent the US from openly targeting the Iranian Govt and Army. Come back when the US targets the Pakistani Army Commander in chief and they dont use their Nuclear weapons.
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Having a bomb and having the means to deliver them to the target are two different things.
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Step 1: Iran builds bomb.
Step 2: All other nations leave them the hell alone due to the fact they fear the bomb.
Step 3: Iran is free to run itself as it sees fit or at least attempt to do so without direct military threat coming from abroad.
A strategy that has worked out well for North Korea. Well, some of them anyway.
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I can think of at least one nuclear armed country that the US does strikes within their borders without their permission on a nearly daily basis.
Having the bomb will not stop the US from going after you if you do not have powerful friends.
Perfectly logical... (Score:2)
Say what you will about the... er... 'afterlife optimized' strategy of some of the Iranian hardliners, it seems clear enough that they've got policy people available who aren't stupid.
The 'cyber war' stuff? It's pretty clear from some of the cool anti-PLC goodies in the wild that that has already been declared, and it is also clear(from years of banal criminal activity driven mostly by the fact that it's easy and profitable) that US financial interests are dubiously secure. Plus, since they are neither mili
West == US? (Score:1)
So, "the west" is now the US? Cause I don't see anyone else carrying out cyber attacks, drone attacks or targeted assasinations in Iran.
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Trust me, Iran hates Europe too... just not as much. The "West" to Iran is as much a cultural symbol of the "decadence" of non-muslims and how that is a threat to the Islamist paradise of theocracy and elimination of all non-allah worshiping religions. That said, when I mean "Iran", I'm talking about the ruling group of people rather than the citizens... because we know some (most?) citizens of Iran wouldn't subscribe to that... or at least that's what we've been told.
But make no mistake, those in Iran who
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The Iranian theocracy might already have been overthrown if a certain U.S. President hadn't put Iran on his Axis of Evil and repeatedly threatened them. Nothing makes people support a government they don't really approve than an outside threat to their nation.
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Cause I don't see anyone else carrying out cyber attacks, drone attacks or targeted assassinations in Iran.
Because the "anyone else" folks are better at it. This stuff is supposed to be secret. The Iranians are supposed to believe that centrifuge accidents are caused by their own workers, not a computer virus. Targeted assassinations are meant to be attributed to strange diseases, not slow poisoning. Etc., etc. etc. . . .
The best secret agents or operations, are, well, the ones you never hear about.
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By that definition Israel is also being listed as "the west".
scope creep (Score:2)
I'd be *really* surprised if Iran didn't have competitions among students, trying to find hot programmers to attack Israeli military and nuclear sites' software.
Assuming that there's idiots there, just like here, who don't know that for some things, an air gap between the controls and the 'Net....
And depending on how true it is that they managed to break the control of that US drone....
mark
they could be doing that (Score:1)
Look at the number of Iranian people who are students here. I can count 14 in the small satellite grad school where I am. I find it odd that we have no relations with Iran yet their people can come here freely. If send people there they are often arrested on some charge. Could it be that some of these students are passing info to the government of Iran? Maybe, maybe not. All 14 are in the engineering department.
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I'd be *really* surprised if Iran didn't have competitions among students, trying to find hot programmers to attack Israeli military and nuclear sites' software.
It would surprisef me that's for sure. One of the thing wrong with the Iranian government is it is completely corrupt so if you don't know someone you probably are not getting a job with the government. You most probably get a job in the cyber annoyance department by being recommended for it from someone already within the department.
israel on the other hand, nutbag crazy (Score:1)
The answer is 9/11 (Score:4, Insightful)
Al Qaeda is not operating as isolated as the Arab world would like, they have powerful sympathizers. And then 9/11 happened and OOPS, we funded the protesters but we did not expect them to succeed.
The same happened with the US and Cuba. Oops, we funded dissidents but they did WHAT? Invade? No way, no support. They were supposed to be a nuisance to our enemy, not trigger WW3. Same thing with assanition of Kennedy, it don't matter if the CIA/FBI did or did not do it, the real shocker (if the American public had a brain) should have been that there were any plans at all. And when the bullet has been fired it is to late to consider whether talks of firing that bullet were just talk or concrete plans.
The bay of pigs was a disaster as the Cubans cleaned them up and Al Qaeda is a shadow of its former self. Presumably those who had entertained plans to kill the president were also dealt with, just in case anyone would ever think that again.
The leadership in Iran know damn well that there is a line between the US basically ignoring them and blowing them from the map. They have been shown enough examples. It ain't nice perhaps but that is the real world. Same with Russian support for Iran btw, Russians like Iran just as long as they are more a nuisance to US then they are to Russia. Iran starts to to openly interfere with Russian interests (look at russia's borders, religion in tjetnia and of high number of terrorist attacks in moskou itself) and that blocking vote will soon disappear. Same with China. It is a balance game. Annoy the US but don't piss them off and if Israel spanks your ass once again (It is widely believed Iran supported what is now north-sudan and Israel south-sudan. South-sudan won, suprise suprise and north-sudan lost all world support for being nasty people), we most certainly are not going to do anything except try to learn how they did it and snicker a bit.
You might note that will all the support Iran has given Hezbollah and Syria, it hasn't actually given either of these group any useful fighting capability? Missiles that don't hit shit and drones that get shot down with ease and never enough money to get the economy going.
This is not the cold war continued, it is still the same cold war. It never went away. And the cold war has the same rules, cause a hassle, cause trouble but do NOT start WW3. If Iran is smart, they know this. If not... they might invade a small nation and think that is going to be ignored like the killing of their own people was... (if you don't get the iraq reference, I feel sorry for you)
Because if they don't... Russia and China loose nothing by seeing some Muslims turned into so much glass and ashes, they both get their own Muslims populations that could do with a message and their are always other proxies through which to keep the their opponents occupied. Or do you think Russia/China really cares about how many civilians are killed in a drone strike in Afghanistan? Russia doesn't like the afghans at all and China just wants to know how they can do the same in Tibet and get away with it) It ain't just the west that wants WW3, the super powers all know that is in nobody elses interest, they just skirmish a bit with the third world nations to keep their reflexes sharp.
Cold war is a game of risk were the players know the only winning game is not to play but their fingers itch. And Iran is NOT a player, it is at best a play piece that might be about to make a very stupid attempt at Independence and find out what happens to play pieces that move on their own.
YAWN (Score:1)
These ridiculous scare-mongering articles about a US/Israel enemy de jour appearing on /.'s frontpage are really becoming tiresome.
The So-Called "West" Perspective (Score:5, Insightful)
WSJ reports [wsj.com]:
But not if it's STUXNET or FLAME, right?
Similarly, the media would have us believe that if a country in the Middle East refused to sign the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty, invaded neighboring countries, ignored condemnation from the UN Security Council of its actions, and repressed its people into poverty and apartheid, while also developing a nuclear weapons program, that the USG should intervene militarily to take out its nuclear program and probably impose new leadership.
But not if it's Israel [wikipedia.org], right?
But, it's OK, because Iran has such an aggressive history [historyguy.com] that it's worth the US getting into a war with Russia [therightscoop.com] over. In fact, if the USG needs to kill half a million Iranian children [youtube.com] to impose its will, that's just breaking a few eggs, right?
After all, there is no higher concern that the US Petrodollar [telegraph.co.uk], right?
The fellow who wrote the Declaration of Independence and our third President described the appropriate role of the United States in the world as:
But whose interests does that serve, really?
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The Pentagon has concluded that computer sabotage coming from another country can constitute an act of war...
I guess that doesn't apply to China though.
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This is how it works. If you are a small country you get labelled a rouge state, a terrorist nation and are ripe for invasion. If you are a big state you can do pretty much whatever the hell you like, including bullying the smaller ones.
Therefore the only way to be safe is to become a big state. Nuclear weapons make you big and powerful. You can see where this is going.
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I'll just touch on a few of those false accusations
1. "invaded neighboring countries" -- only after being attacked first. Not once, not twice, but three times. 48, 67, and 73. Most of the land, such as the Sinai peninsula, that Israel took, they gave back for peace in further negotiations. It worked with the Egyptians as long as we paid them the necessary Jizya (we still do), and Sadat got assassinated for his trouble. If Palestinians actually wanted the same, they could have it tomorrow but after deca
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1. "invaded neighboring countries" -- only after being attacked first.
Most often there are guerrilla or terrorist attacks by a small gang, and then Israel retaliates against a nation-State. Ties between the two are always claimed, but rarely substantiated.
And, of course, we're talking about this because Israeli government people keep talking about an unprovoked attack on Iran.
why should Israel stop construction on land it conquered in a defensive conflict if Palestinians never make any serious attempt at p
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Are you fucking kidding me? Read the wikipedia articles on the war of independence, the 6 day war, and the Yom Kippur war. The come back and tell me it was just a bunch of "terrorist gangs" (well, in part, I agree). And for your information, Hamas, the democratically elected government of Gaza, has taken responsibility for rocket attacks. Nobody with half a brain denies Hezbollah is an Iranian proxy and so is Syria. In reality it matters little. If your neighbor fires over 10000 rockets in the space o
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You forgot to use the word "Zionist" in your post. You should fix that.
Assignment of motivation is irrelevant - it's actions that matter. Words are just that, though the war-drummers would like you to believe otherwise.
Apparently I failed to deliver on that thesis.
let them win this game (Score:1)
We should just let a crappy cardboard drone running unpatched Windows 95 'fall into their hands' so they can waste their time studying and reverse engineering our implementation of the BSOD.
Huh? (Score:4, Insightful)
"With Iran taking to cyberspace and drones, it shows such technology is not just under the control of the U.S."
Well....lets see....
Remote controlled devices....
Air planes.
rockets
explosives
guidance systems for rockets....
No shit sherlock. Since the very existence of each of these technologies, with, potentially the limited and short term exception of "air planes" right after their invention, the US has NEVER held exclusive control of any of them.
It should be no shock whatsoever that these technologies can be combined by others.
Its funny, I was talking with an Iranian friend about our foriegn policy and Iran. He isn't someone you would EVER expect to talk about fondness for teh Ayatolla (he isn't even really a muslim as far as I can tell).... but he does. I finally hit on why: I pointed out that if the US were smart, and really disliked the people in power in Iran, they would stop opposing them, and lift all sanctions, and let the Iranian people take care of the problem.... and he lit up....
"You know you are right, I hate those towel heads (yes, he, a born and raised Iranian called them towel heads), I hate having to support them, but when all I hear, day after day, is 'War with Iran' and 'More sanctions' that hurt my people, it pisses me off".
No shit, I would feel the same way.
Did he just say that with a straight face? (Score:3)
I don't get it (Score:3, Insightful)
Our government's shortsightedness. (Score:2)
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I blame China (Score:2)
Attacks build immunity. (Score:2)
I'd like to see much, much more "cyberwar" because we all know it's the only way to coerce security measures by otherwise lazy entities.
If leaving ones proverbial front door unlocked automatically resulted in a kick in the nuts, more doors would be secured.
I am scared (Score:2)
of what our Government is going to do with our freedom over this (supposed) threat?
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The ability to remote control aircraft from non-trivial distances and keep them out of "pool-skimmer range" of the target under surveillance while returning useful intelligence is somewhat noteworthy.
Re:Ok, so... (Score:5, Funny)
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So Iran now has the capabilities of an angsty 13yr old script kiddy with a remote control helicopter from the sharper image. OH HIDE YO INTERNETS.
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Be careful with sarcasm. The United States does not have a monopoly on intelligent people. Iran is probably following the old biblical expression "Do unto others before they do unto you".
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US might not have a monopoly on intelligent people, but Iran has no intelligent people at all. Indeed, no people at all in general, only garbage.
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I presume you are in jest.
The president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has a Doctorate in Science but is under control of the Ayatolah and is told what to do.
Iranians have very intelligent people, but the religious zealots have control of the army, police and secret service. So, these intellectuals are held semi-captive and prevented from leaving the country.
The Iranians can destroy the US internet if they desired. They have drones, they have spied on their neighbors with these drones, and for all you
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I think the point is more to demonstrate that they won't stand meekly by and wait for Israel to finish the Palestinian pogroms and start herding Iranians into ghettos.
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and israelis took the land from palestinians first. with international support, mostly. and they both are genetically very close, so it's somewhat similar if bavarians would decide that saxons are their worst enemies :)
oh, the great humankind.
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you turned that out as if i had suggested arabs should have annihilated the just-created isreal, or that they should do it now.
i do think the initial "carving" of a state was a fucking mistake. by now it can't be simply undone, so the best i can do is wonder why the people who might be considered the same nation in other circumstances fight so heavily.
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The lion share of conflicts across the middle east and northern Africa can be laid at the feet of the English and the French. The English handed out fiefdoms to the Arab elite to secure their access to their oil. Today people assert that the US was responsible for the Iranian change of government in 1953 but it was the Iranians themselves who enacted the change of government in the country. Nobody had a gun pointed at their heads. And it was not the US who sent warships to block Iranian from exporting their
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Just a note. Oil wouldn't go up for long because Iran doesn't sell much of it's oil. Most of fit has been embargoed for the last year or two and it's output has been restricted for a while.
If we went to war with Iran, I project the price of oil actually dropping because investors know the eventuality would be the oil being sold in larger quantities then it is now.
However, I don't see the US or any western nation going into Iran. I think it would eventually happen that a neighboring state would invade and we
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The US or any other country should not get involved in either supporting or vilifying the Iranian government. Just ignore them and treat them as a non-entity when it comes to any international cooperation. I don't believe a military solution is warranted unless the Iranian government does something stupid such as attempting to close the Hormuz strait or targeting any US interests using their 3rd party proxies. It's up to the Iranians themselves to forge their own destiny but so far their efforts have been
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Just ignore them and treat them as a non-entity when it comes to any international cooperation.
Incorrect. Your approach would work if Iranians kept to themselves. They don't. They created and arm Hezbollah in Lebanon, permanently distabilising that state and cotinually threatening Israeli civilians. They used to support the terrorist organuisation Hamas (although there has been a falling out recently). Iran infiltrated Iraq during the outsting of Saddam and introduced shaped penetrator weapons for killing US troops. They supported Moqtada Al Sadr's Mahdi Army causing chaos in Iraq. They supply and fu
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Can't right now, there's a burn ban in my county. :) :)
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I have no doubt that a portion of Iranian citizens prefer a theocracy. However if you recall the crackdowns on protestors a couple years back shows that the theocracy will stop at no bound to stay in power, despite a significant part of the population that wants them out.
Iran chooses to starve and inflict economic hardship on their own people to a near crisis level. Here are several citations and sources on how the Iranian government hurts their own people. The Iranian government chooses to spend billions o