The Great Taxi Upheaval 218
An anonymous reader writes: Uber, Lyft, and a variety of competitors are becoming ubiquitous. Their presence is jarring not because of how different they are from conventional taxis, but simply because they're different at all. Taxis really haven't changed much over the years. Watch a movie from the '90s and you can't help but chuckle at the giant, clunky mobile phones they use. But you can go all the way back to movies from '30s and scenes with taxis won't be unfamiliar. New York Magazine has a series of articles about the taxi revolution currently underway. "So far, Uber appears to be pinching traditional car services—Carmel, Dial 7, and the like—hardest. (They have apps, too, but Uber's is the one you've heard of.) The big question is about the prices for medallions, because so much of the yellow-cab business depends on their future value. ... [I]t's hard to see how those prices won't slip. Medallions, after all, are part of a top-down system formed to fight the abuses and dangers of the old crooked New York: rattletrap cars, overclocked meters, bribed inspectors. Its heavy regulation in turn empowered the taxi lobby and (somewhat) the drivers union. That system may be a pain to deal with, but in its defense, it provided predictability and security. The loosey-goosey libertarian alternative, conceived in the clean Northern California air, calls upon the market to provide checks and balances. A poorly served passenger can, instead of turning to a city agency for recourse, switch allegiances or sue."
The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:2, Insightful)
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Really? Perfect information? You trust an app from one vendor to give you a fair pricing vs. another vendor?
Re:The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:4, Insightful)
You don't have to get all your information from one source.
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And if one service offers an obstensibly cheaper price but has deficiencies that could actually cost you more money, result in tragedy, etc., how do you know that?
You can check independent review sites, such as yelp.
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Can, yes. Want to, no.
Take away regulation and you're adding innumerable chores to the public, as they need to do their own safety checking of things they previously just knew were fit for purpose.
And that's the best case. In the more common case they public simply don't have the information or knowledge required to evaluate.
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And if one service offers an obstensibly cheaper price but has deficiencies that could actually cost you more money, result in tragedy, etc., how do you know that?
You can check independent review sites, such as yelp.
The medical journals and doctors' blogs have been paying a lot of attention to rating services like Yelp. Doctors complain that when they practice good medicine -- not giving antibiotics for a viral cold, which are useless and sometimes fatal -- patients post bad ratings about them on Yelp. Somebody wants a medical excuse for a handicapped sticker, and they don't give it to them -- they get bad ratings on Yelp. Patients want an immediate appointment on a busy day and have to wait an hour -- they get bad rat
Re: The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:2)
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And if one service offers an obstensibly cheaper price but has deficiencies that could actually cost you more money, result in tragedy, etc., how do you know that?
The same way you know that for traditional taxi services: they don't stay in business.
Sheesh. Is this really a question? How do you know when you buy a plum in the supermarket that it isn't poisoned? Is it just a wild-assed guess? Or is it more likely that purveyors of poisoned plums didn't get any repeat business?
Re:The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:5, Informative)
Sheesh. Is this really a question? How do you know when you buy a plum in the supermarket that it isn't poisoned?
Back in the 1800s, foods often did contain noxious ingredients, much the same way present day drug dealers cut their products. That's why developed countries started having government departments responsible for trading and food standards.
The reason very you can shop for your plums without worry is because of regulations and departments that check them.
You just demonstrated the opposite of what you hoped.
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I have always loved it when people in favor of 'more regulation' have to reach back to 19th century horrors.
The drug and medical device industries LOVE regulations. It protects them and blocks any new competitors from entering the marketplace. Also keeps the 'base' cost high so they can slap on their profitable percentage on top.
No need to reach back to the 19th century for horrors - Look at the present day drugs imported by the US from India. How do you feel about fake statins and antibiotics?
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Actually, the consumer of the non-regulated service will find that he has signed a binding agreement to settle all disputes in arbitration, using an arbitrator selected by the provider, with no recourse to the courts.
sPh
Guess what percentage of arbitrator awards are in favor of the party that selected them?...
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Look at any of our heavily regulated industries (Oil, Airlines, Medicine, Finance) and tell me how well that regulation is doing at averting tragedies and reducing the prices people pay?
Governments regulate an industry when the free market fails, usually with a disaster.
In medicine (just taking the drug industry), the drug companies had a pretty free hand to do whatever they wanted, until thalidomide. That was the tranquilizer that was promoted to pregnant women and resulted in a particular birth defect -- children born with short flippers instead of arms and legs. We came very close to selling thalidomide in the US, but an FDA examiner held it up.
There was no way you could evaluate a drug
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Why can't we have both?
It is difficult to have both regulation and innovation, because regulations often specify, in detail, how things are to be done. So there is no wiggle room for improvement. Well written regulations can require safety testing and "best practices" but leave implementation details open. Unfortunately, most regulations are not well written, or, even worse, are crafted to favor politically connected incumbents. So we see lots of innovations in unregulated industries like semiconductors and software, and litt
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You're cherry picking.
Plumbing has evolved only as much as the consumer wants it to. In the developing world you get a hole in the ground. In the western world moving from lead to copper to plastic is about all that was needed. In Japan you get robotic toilets. If there was no regulation at all, it wouldn't have progressed any more.
The car industry has lots of regulations, yet they make plenty of innovations. The wrench industry is pretty free of regulations, yet the last great innovation was the socket set
Re:The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:5, Insightful)
So we see lots of innovations in unregulated industries like semiconductors and software, and little innovation in heavily regulated industries like plumbing.
Depends. There's a reason for regulation: the unregulated industry was ignoring public safety.
For example, when I bought my first car in 1960, I couldn't buy an American car with seat belts (and the American manufacturers dominated the American market). We had about 50,000 deaths a year from motor vehicle accidents, seat belts would have reduced them by about half, they were the most cost-efficient safety improvement, and yet the American automobile manufacturers refused to install them -- or to make any safety improvements. For documentation, read Ralph Nader's book, Unsafe at any Speed. Even some of the auto executives Nader interviewed couldn't figure out why. They continued to resist safety regulation until they lost a big product liability case, Larson vs. General Motors, which held them responsible for injuries due to unsafe products. Once they lost in the courts, they were willing to accept regulation. I used to deal with auto safety engineering a lot, and the U.S. regulators seemed to have done a good job. The free market didn't.
A contrary example would be the airline industry, one of the most innovative industries around. During WWII, the government subsidized aircraft design and production, and was its biggest customer. After the war, they wanted to develop a commercial aircraft industry. The problem was that flying wasn't that safe. Potential customers were worried that they would die in an aircraft accident, and everybody would say how reckless they were. The solution was industry-government cooperation, to develop safety standards. The Federal Aviation Administration established standards for licensing, for maintenance procedures, etc., and aircraft companies had both their own inspectors and government inspectors double-checking them. Sure enough, fatalities went down. They established a model system of safety management, which was adopted by other industries. Back then, government and industry cooperated.
In coal mining, some companies established rigorous safety procedures, while others didn't. The ones without safety procedures had more fatal accidents. Coal miners can't shop around for jobs. The free market failed. The government stepped in. There are many employers who were happy to let their workers die if they could save money. That's why we have OSHA.
Regulation is the sign of a failed free market.
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Paragraphs are for commies!
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Unless it's a huge mansion, you're not paying $700K for the house. You're paying the bulk of that for the real property the house sits on.
Eh, not so much [zillow.com]
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Do you have a point? Not only does that link NOT point to wooden houses (there is one 6600 square foot brick home estimated at $10,414,740), it doesn't provide an empty property price for comparison.
Yes, I have a point. The point is that you're talking out of your ass.
Several of the properties listed were over the $700,000 figure you mentioned, and none of them were mansions. If you factor in the size of the buildings (i.e., number of apartments/building), your hogwash is exposed for what it is.
Granted NYC is a special case, but you spoke in absolutes. Tokyo is worse. Much. As is London or Paris or certain neighborhoods in SF and Boston.
If you want to research lot costs, knock yourself out. At
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Please do continue to present examples which disprove your argument, though. It's highly amusing to watch you argue with yourself.
Re: The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:2)
But you can buy a 10 year old house with 15 acres, for $375k right down the road.
People snap or flip up the mcmansioncrappers and real estate developers make beaucoup money.
Boggles my mind.
Re:The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:4, Informative)
and if you didn't like your ride, give them a low rating. any one or two star review, you'll never see that driver again. if a driver's rating gets low they'll fire him. it's really really simple.
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Great. At the end of the ride, you have "perfect" information, just like EVERY other form of travel. Except at that point, all you get to do is go "next time, I'll make a different choice" and fork over whatever amount the app says is owed.
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Re:The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:5, Insightful)
A look at how other online rating systems have been rigged suggests you're being hopelessly naive.
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Not to mention "perfect information" as used in theory basically means "everything communicated via instant telepathy", in practice nobody has the time for that. At best you sample just a little bit and hope it's representative for the rest.
Re:The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:5, Insightful)
The "Free Market" is a myth. Suing to recover one's losses is a myth, at least as far as getting the defendant to actually respond to suits in small-claims is concerned. One can win by default judgement and then what? Good luck collecting.
There's a reason for taxi medallions, registrars of contractors, business licenses, landlord-tenant laws, and other regulation services, and it's to keep those that run those businesses honest and to protect the consumer. A bad-apple can operate for YEARS when new customers in a market don't know to avoid them, even if existing customers have reviewed them as bad. After all, when you're new to a market you don't necessarily even know how to find the reviews for that market, and a private service like Uber, while interested in providing reviews, won't go out of their way to disrespect their drivers as it in turn disrespects their very service. They have to tread a fine line as their service is dependent on their service providers, so they literally can't afford to be free-market in this sense.
I practice caveat emptor. Something that seems too good to be true often is. Something that starts out cheap and good probably won't be cheap and good for very long once its inertia sets in. Think about radio stations, when a station has a complete format change, the new station is often great, few ads, very short self-promotion clips, lots of music, DJs that don't talk that much. But that's when they're in the initial attract-listener phase. Once they've got a listener base they can sell ads. They need to bring the cost of the music down so they make longer self-promotion clips, and they have their DJs talk more since DJ airtime doesn't really cost anything, and soon they're no different that their competitors.
Medallions (Score:3, Insightful)
The reason for taxi medallions is to prevent competition, end of story. $1M in NYC, $800K in Chicago, yet DC has none and are DC cab known for being horrible?
Talking to a Chicago cab driver of 28 years, what happened was a Russian bought 80% of all cabs in the city. He talked to the mayor and a year later there was a medallion law in Chicago costing $800k to operate a new cab. Guess what? All existing cabs were grandfathered in and got their medallions free. So anyone who operated a cab on the day that
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I believe you have been misinformed. Chicago licenses cabs for a normal fee, not hundreds of thousands of dollars, but they have limited the number available (on some theory/excuse like that can drivers can't make a living if there are too many of them). Anyway, Many years ago, when Yell
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I don't pick up hitchhikers because most people that I've met that are begging for rides smell funny, and while they may not be dangerous necessarily, there are a lot of fairly crazy people out the
Re:The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:4, Insightful)
> What was previously missing from the free market was perfect information
Oh, thank you! I have to put that one up as my new "stupidest claim of the week" motto!
My dear boy, welcome to Heisenberg. The energy exerted to collect that "perfect information" would itself involve so much energy, money, effort, and overload of information that it would itself profoundly distort the situation. And let's be frank, people *lie*. They lie about ignoring fares they don't feel like picking up because the passenger is black or hispanic, they lie about insurance and training and what happened to the wallet left in the car, and they lie to the cabbies about how much cash they've got.
Your under-experienced college kid scoring a few bucks for pizza money and using mom's credit card to pay for insurance and gas bills is *not* usually going to be able to handle the cab pick up of the drunk at the party who wants to go to the last open bar, the confused diabetic, or the carsick toddler.
Well, I could, I worked ambulance when I was 20. But I'm weird.
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You're confusing Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle with the "observer effect".
Re: The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:2)
Actually he's not. Its pretty accurate way to describe why you can't have perfect information.
Re:The Free Market has the Technology Now (Score:5, Insightful)
I would presume perfect information means complete information. If that is the case then why would any business be compelled to release information that could be perceived as critical to their operations without regulation or the threat of regulation? As we have seen with the GM case keeping consumers in the dark about safety issues pads the bottom line and they would have gotten away with if it weren't for those pesky NHTSA regulators. I always find it amusing when the captains of industry get on television and berate government regulation and accountability their first line of defense for impropriety is always the mantra "it may be unethical but it is not illegal".
I do think that the goals regulation should be to enforce transparency, clarity, and legal accountability more than just simply restricting certain types of activities.
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Let me know (Score:2)
Don't worry, Uber et all will end up regulated.. (Score:3)
When enough consumers have a "bad experience" with anything vaguely taxi-like, there will be demand that anything that looks of feels like a taxi be regulated to ensure minimal levels of safety and service.
Sure, perfect information is out there, but that takes effort. Measure the cost of regulation vs. the cost of determining reputation and you'll find that the populace goes for regulation every time. They want to be able to call anything cab-like and be safe. They want to eat in anything restaurant-like and be safe.
Even if it doesn't significantly increase safety, it doesn't really matter. The feeling of being protected by government regulation increases happiness significantly enough that regulation is pretty much whole-heartedly endorsed by most of the population.
Re:Don't worry, Uber et all will end up regulated. (Score:5, Insightful)
I don't think there is anything wrong with the idea of regulation.
However, regulation can be turned into a false barrier to entry when the regulatory system becomes a system with its own constituency, such as the labor unions, medallion holders, and bureaucrats. In those cases, where regulation might simply be updated to take into account new technology or ideas, the regulation blocks consideration of new things, and the constituencies have no interest in making any changes because they like their safe and familiar modes of operation.
Not to mention scenarios where members end up investing in regulatory artifacts like medallions, which have value due only to artificial scarcity and then something comes along and makes those less valuable. They're going to want to protect those investments, even if the underlying system they represent is outdated and less efficient.
The real problem isn't regulation, it is the effect that regulation can have, if allowed to harden into a particular structure that does not respond to outside forces adequately.
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I completely agree with everything you say. My point is that for relatively rare, non-costly (i.e. non-headline grabbing) events, the public will demand regulation, even if the only effect is incumbent protection.
If a bad thing happens, and there is no regulation, then that's negligence in the eyes of the voter. If a bad thing happens and there's regulation that makes sense to the voter (even if it has no effect on safety), then that's simply bad luck.
The "meta" part, is that like a placebo, ineffective r
From a non-driver perspective (Score:4, Insightful)
I stopped driving 2 years ago, voluntarily. My SUV cost me around $800 a month in replacement costs. Another $200 in maintenance. I was burning through $12,000 a year in gas. I spent an average of 1000 hours a year in the car, for work, for groceries, for fun. 999 of those hours were spent focused on the road. I hate talking on the phone while driving.
Consider my annual total: about $25,000 + 1000 hours of my time. For the "privilege" to sit in Chicago traffic.
I'm a consultant. I now use UberX every day. I also use public transportation when I'm not in a rush or when someone isn't paying me to swing by.
I spent about $5000 a year on UberX. $100 a week. While I am being driven around, I can respond to emails, make phone calls. I bill for that time. When a customer wants me to visit them, I pass the UberX fee on to them plus 50%. No one scoffs at it. Some customers will realize the cost of me visiting them is more expensive than just consulting over the phone.
I figure I'm $20,000 ahead in vehicle costs, plus I've literally gained another 600-700 hours of phone and email consulting time a year. Call it $40,000 ahead.
I don't take cabs, because they don't like to come to where my HQ is (ghetto neighborhood). UberX comes 24/7, within minutes.
My little sister had an emergency surgery a few months ago. I immediately hired an UberX driver, who took me from the office, to the hospital. He waited. We then took my sister to her apartment to get her cats and clothes, then he took us to the pharmacy. After, he drove us to our dad's house to drop her off, in the suburbs of Chicago. Then he drove me back to work. 3 hours, $90. I can't get a cab to wait even 10 minutes while I drop off a package at UPS. Forget about them taking credit cards.
UberX charges my Paypal account and they're off. If they're busy, they charge a surcharge. I can pick it or take public transportation.
I know why the Chicago Taxi authorities want Uber gone. But a guy like me is their best customer. Next year I'll budget $10,000 a year for UberX, and it will make my life so much more enjoyable and profitable.
Driving yourself around is dead. It's inefficient. Ridesharing is "libertarian" because it is truly freeing.
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Re:From a non-driver perspective (Score:5, Insightful)
Are you sure you calculated your gas costs right? That's a helluva lot of money to be spending on gas, even for an SUV. At $4/gal, that's 3000 gallons/yr. At 14 MPG, that's 42,000 miles/yr.
The average vehicle is only driven 12,000 miles/yr, the average commute vehicle about 15,000 miles/yr. If your gas cost is accurate, your use case is just so far outside the norm that your anecdote is probably only applicable to about 0.01% of the population. (Your other vehicle costs seem absurdly high too, even if insurance is included in "replacement costs".)
Which translates into an average speed of 42 MPH, which is unusually high. You must've lived ~70 miles away from your workplace and spent most of your driving on the freeway to (1) rack up that many miles, and (2) have such a high average MPH.
UberX lists their Chicago rates [uber.com] as $2.40 + $0.24/min + $1/mile. There is absolutely no way you're replacing your 42,000 miles/yr commute with fewer than 5000 UberX miles. At 42,000 miles/yr @ 42 MPH and 500 commutes/yr (250 workdays, 2 commutes per day), completely replacing your SUV with UberX would cost you:
($2.40)*(500) + [ (1 mile / 42 MPH)*(60 min/hour)*($0.24/min) + $1/mile ] * (42000 miles) =
$1200 + [ ($0.343/mile) + ($1/mile) ] * (42000 miles) =
$1200 + $56,406 = $68,406/yr
I mean think about it. It's effectively a taxi service. There's no way it can be cheaper than driving your own car (unless it's an UberX carpool) because that would mean the UberX driver would be losing money. Any reduction in your commute costs now that you got rid of the SUV is because you're taking public transportation. Any solo rides you're taking on UberX are costing you more than it took you to drive your SUV.
The IRS places the standard deductible cost for mileage [irs.gov] at $0.56/mile. That's probably a good average to use for a commute vehicle's cost per mile nationwide. UberX costs nearly 3x that.
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I looked at these numbers as well, and they look like BS to me as well. But anyway comparing the cost of Uber to the cost of an SUV seems unreasonnable to begin with. If you are driving so much over the course of years AND your can deal with not having a car at all. Then why the hell are you driving an SUV to begin with?
Switching to a compact would probably cut gas expenses by 2 and the car is likely to be much cheaper as well, which means less investment and replacement and lower insurance.
The story from G
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Nobody drives an "average" vehicle. Either you pay a ton of money (often over 1mil) for housing in high-demand areas and barely need to drive, or you drive yourself a hell of a long way from your nice cheap home with
Re:From a non-driver perspective (Score:4, Informative)
It is quite common, yes.
Nonsense. The most desirable areas shift every decade or so. And you clearly have no idea just how sprawling California cities are.
Anywhere along the coast is high-rent. In SoCal, you could live in nice and expensive parts of San Diego, and commute to Burbank, without ever even driving through an area where condos cost less than half a mil.
In NorCal, going between the coast and Sacramento is common. 'cisco to San Jose is about 60 miles of high-rent areas, and you can't get a cheap house anywhere along the route.
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Yes it is, in fact. Americans think a hundred years is a long time, while Europeans think a hundred miles is a long way.
Re:From a non-driver perspective (Score:4, Insightful)
Because working a second-job for that 2-hours every day, wouldn't ever hope to pay for the difference between a $100,000 house with a long commute, and a (smaller) $1mil house with only a short commute.
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I stopped driving 2 years ago, voluntarily. My SUV cost me around $800 a month in replacement costs. Another $200 in maintenance. I was burning through $12,000 a year in gas.
Can you clarify those numbers a little? What parts have to be replaced or maintained so often? And why have an gas guzzler of an SUV if it's going to cost $1000 a month for fuel?
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Driving yourself around is dead. It's inefficient. Ridesharing is "libertarian" because it is truly freeing.
That's great, for your situation.
Getting my four kids where they need to go, day in and day out, bringing home huge loads of groceries (and smaller ones in between), etc., however, just isn't served well by anything other than having and using my own vehicle.
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How safe and good are the drivers?
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If you're solo-driving an SUV around to commute you're doing it wrong. If you're sitting in that SUV in stalled commuter traffic in Chicago, you're doing it way wrong. There are many lower-cost personal vehicle choices. It doesn't even have to be something 'weird' like a Toyota 'Preach-at-us' to be a better alternative.
So your cost figures are so screwed up right away up front that it's hard to want to dig further into anything else you wrote.
Predictability?...Well... (Score:3)
That system may be a pain to deal with, but in its defense, it provided predictability and security.
Well, I agree about that predictability in the fact that in New York, black patrons would hardly be able to [successfully] hail a taxi after 8 PM. I am sure our black friends are happy about the change in the taxi business that's well underway.
Re:Predictability?...Well... (Score:4, Interesting)
That's definitely not true. It's more likely black patrons will not be able to hail a cab in any rush hour period. E.g. 5pm, 2am ( many clubs and bars close ). It's not that the drivers are afraid, it's greed more than anything else.
The cab drivers know that statistically black patrons are more likely to take them to the outer reaches of the boroughs. The fair to these areas is ok, but coming back there is no fair. So it's worse than someone who stays in Manhattan and then the cab driver gets fairs every direction every time.
But it has nothing to do with the time of day, it's really about how busy they would be. At 4AM in the morning, when everything is quiet cab drivers will tell you they are happy to pick up anybody.
we're missing the METERS (Score:5, Insightful)
The meters on traditional cabs may sometimes be tinkered with, but that's illegal, and in the vast majority of cases they're accurate and legally binding. Whereas with the new wave of rideshare apps there's no indication of what charges you're reacking up until you arrive. You can get an estimate to start with on at least some of the apps but it's not binding, and especially when surge pricing is in effect you can end up with large and unexpected charges that are difficult to predict.
I use Uber and Lyft a lot, and I'm the first to admit that traditional taxis brought this on themselves, by often refusing to take credit cards and by never adopting a convenient method of hailing a cab for the increasing pool of people who use smartphones. But traditional rules around taxis were put in place for a reason, and meters in particular were created and regulated to protect consumers against arbitrary price-gouging.
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The meters on traditional cabs may sometimes be tinkered with, but that's illegal
Like that stops anyone.
I knew it took 11 bux to get me home after a night of being out, no matter what cab I took from Downtown Providence.
Enter the guy with license plate #1 on his taxi. Someone who I had ridden with for years and thought was straight. Suddenly instead of 11 dollars, it was 15. "I'm paying you today, but don't expect to ever see me in your cab again."
He drove around for a few years after that still jacking
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There's another way to tinker with meters besides hacking them - drive a different route. My first taxi ride from Boston Logan to MIT took what seemed like an unusually winding route through downtown Boston. A year later when I got a c
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>My first taxi ride from Boston Logan to MIT
>taxi
Wut.
Logan -> Blue line -> Orange or Green Line -> Red line -> Kendall/MIT
How hard is that?
>3 years
Oh man...
--
BMO
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Three transfers on the T (there's also a bus you have to take from the Logan T station to your airline terminal) is hardly ideal when you're hauling around luggage with kids in tow and on a schedule. When I was traveling by myself with a single suitcase I'd do the three transfers. But outside that case, a taxi is just easier and quicker.
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It happens that I was just there last month. From Logan, you and the kids and the load of luggage just take the Massport Shuttle. It's wicked easy.
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The meters on traditional cabs may sometimes be tinkered with, but that's illegal, and in the vast majority of cases they're accurate and legally binding. Whereas with the new wave of rideshare apps there's no indication of what charges you're racking up until you arrive. You can get an estimate to start with on at least some of the apps but it's not binding, and especially when surge pricing is in effect you can end up with large and unexpected charges that are difficult to predict.
And if people don't like that, they can hail a cab instead. I've never had a problem when I call for a cab ride. "Hey, I need to go to the airport tomorrow afternoon.... What's the general price? (So I will be sure to have the correct amount of cash onhand.).... Great, I'll be ready at 2pm." Getting out at the airport, I paid the $20 charge, and gave another $10 because he was friendly and helpful with the luggage.
If these new guys are cheaper and easier than that, they will have customers. If not, the taxi
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Why can't the customer side Uber app be upgraded to give a running total, based on GPS positions enroute, of what the fare should be during your ride? The driver's calculation of the charge would of course override yours, but you would know if there was a significant discrepancy. You should also be able to have the app estimate the cost of a trip before you actually tap the button to reserve a car. During the actual trip the driver might have to divert around construction, but you would be aware of exactly
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and by never adopting a convenient method of hailing a cab for the increasing pool of people who use smartphones.
Where do you live? Here in Germany, we have MyTaxi and a couple others where you basically press a button on your smartphone, it hails a cab for you (it knows your position, if you've allowed it, so really you just press a button) and it even shows you where the taxi is, how far it's away and when it will arrive.
For posterity - (Score:3)
Here is a 2006 article [worldchanging.com] about the IGT Taxibus concept. It definitely wasn't conceived in Northern California air, but in the UK (circa 2001 IIRC).
The problem was they approached municipalities with the idea and no large cities climbed on board. So now the cities have to face the likes of Uber and Lyft who, I predict, will not collectively reach the scale needed to apreciably reduce traffic congestion (one of the aims of IGT). Combine that with no regulation and a consumer protection model that amounts to Yelp.com, and I'll guess that Uber and Lyft will in 7 years be less of a joke and more of a way to elict negative reactions from people (assuming you momentarily lack the gas to fart).
The real reason why Uber is going to take over (Score:5, Informative)
I was talking with a former cabdriver just the other day, and the major reason he left the field was because of the danger. In his urban taxi career he had eleven "runners", or people who dash without paying, but it was the one robbery that unnerved him to the extent he left the field. Although Phoenix is one of the most gun-friendly cities in the nation, management forbade him to carry, a rule typically enforced by insurance companies who care more about their liability exposure than employee safety.
The great advantage of Uber is that because everyone has to sign up as a member of the system before getting rides, the company knows who the customers are, and who is riding with whom at a given time. The increased driver safety, not any abstract political philosophy, is why services like this will replace traditional cabs.
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I guess they sign up before they go on a trip. Once they arrive, they just log in and find someone who is available at the airport. But the driver and rider each knows the other person is verified by the company, and the ride is recorded.
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I guess if they only require a working unique email address that would work.
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I don't use the services myself, but I saw a poster here say it comes out of his Paypal account. I do use Paypal for Ebay, so I know how much info they can get from that. Much more than just email address anyway.
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What's the big deal with a few dead cabbies when the City has millions of dollars of medallion sales at stake?
DoL puts a human life at about $8M in value. A medallion commonly costs a quarter million. So, 8*4 = 32. Do one in 32 cabbies die? No, so "society" comes out ahead (while netting the City a nice kitty).
You gotta learn to think like a psychopath!
The knowledge works both ways (Score:2)
Yes, records of the customers should make drivers safer. That knowledge also works in the other direction:
Last night I got a safety alert message from my university in DC saying that a female student had hailed a cab, and the driver had tried to sexually assault her. She escaped, and the driver took off and has not been found. The only description of the cab was a "silver van".
I've heard lots of worries that with Uber, "you don't know who's driving you" - but that's even more true with a regular cab. If thi
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Well until somebody uses a stolen phone to use the uber app..
A little higher bar than just flagging a cab down.. so undoubtedly fewer incidences.
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The great advantage of Uber is that because everyone has to sign up as a member of the system before getting rides, the company knows who the customers are,
...and thanks to their intense, careful background checking, it is guaranteed that nobody will ever sign up with a fake name.
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Intellectually we may claim to love anonymity, but when being tracked by the big evil corporation measurably improves our safety in specific situations, our real feelings are very different. I consider having Apple theoretically know where I am at every moment a small price to pay for convenient navigation and being able to track a stolen iPhone.
If it's that important to you... (Score:2)
Obviously with license plate scanners driving a car doesn't solve the anonymity problem. If being anonymous is that important to you, ride a bicycle or use public transit. Even where public transit doesn't directly accept cash, you can almost always purchase the RFID or smart card with cash. There will be a record of your trips, but it won't be linked to you.
FYI, public transit is often the transportation mode of choice for the marginalized.
over/under (Score:3)
One problem is that complete anarchy means no protection for anybody which is one reason pure Libertarianism failed (buy insurance from Joe's Pizza Palace) and is why all those classic Western towns you see in John Wayne movies hired sheriffs and were trying to become more civilized.
Over-regulation happens mostly because of regulatory "capture." After the initial public wave of disgust forces a new bureaucracy in place, it becomes beholden to the industry it regulates because no one else really cares to put in the work defining terms and setting up precise rules (precision is another problem in and of itself).
It's a conundrum-type problem, trying to find the sweet spot. You basically need to decide if the over-burden of regulation is going to cost more than what you are preventing. And that's if you're a corporation. If you're a government trying to please the public, you have a mess of moralists who don't care about economics and demand 100% perfection which requires a lot of rules and almost always costs more than accepting 5% graft.
In the taxi market, one trade-off is between having standard prices or having a boatload of vehicles charging different prices all the time. I remember reading about soda pop machines wired to change prices depending on the outside temperature. Seems like slashdotters hated that but I can't see why it's any different from Uber.
If you want a steady price or a steady supply, you need different kinds of regulations than if you want perfect supply for every demand.
Wouldn't this all fall under hitchiker laws? (Score:2)
There has to be a middle ground... (Score:2)
There has to be a middle ground between the super-heavy regulation the taxi industry gets in most cities and the zero regulation that entities like Uber and such are currently subject to.
Bring in regulations that require:
All drivers driving for these companies must pass a background/driving history check (to make sure you dont have criminals driving for these companies or people with too many bad marks against their driving records).
All cars being used must pass a comprehensive safety inspection and roadwor
risk assessment (Score:2)
...or rather, the lack of it. Right now, everything I hear about Uber and such is that it's so much cheaper.
Like in security, for example, you don't see where a lot of the money goes - until you have an emergency. Then suddenly, you know what it's for. Of course, the taxi business isn't perfect, and you can easily have a crappy cab driver one day and a great Uber driver the next.
But don't forget that once something is profitable and easy, the scumbags will come in, looking for a quick buck. Once that happen
Re:Not this again.. (Score:4, Insightful)
Fear, uncertainty, doubt.
You're going to end up in a ditch! Only the government can save you! The government never lets anyone die or have bad things happen to them. Because democracy!
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Or when I get home from being dead in the ditch, I can really lay into them!
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We don't need the government to protect us from getting bad customer service during a car ride. We don't need the government to make sure drivers are "qualified" to give people car rides. It's just a car ride.
1. How often do you pick up hitchhikers?
2. Car-jacking took off last century only after anti-theft devices made it too hard to steal unattended vehicles. I'm thinking now it's pretty goddamn easy to steal a smartphone, then use that to rent a Hummer or Mercedes off Uber and now you have a nice car to drive around in all by yourself (along with the driver's smartphone and whatever cash s/he was carrying). New ways of business always provide new ways of crime. Human nature.
Before you decide government i
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Oh shut up with the ridiculous Somalia comparison. The GP didn't say he wants no government at all. He just doesn't want one the decides who gets to ride in cars with people. Comparing that to Somalia makes you guys (who make that comparison) look like complete idiots.
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You sir are a completely uninformed and obviously blind to history moron.
Banks playing fast and loose with depositor's money caused the financial crisis, just like it caused in 1929.
In response the government passed both Securities Act of 1933 and the Glass-Steagall Act the prohibited commercial banks ( those banks that hold customer deposits ) to prevent such insanity as using customer funds to gamble on highly speculative and extremely risky business investments.
You would have think we would have learned