Outsourced Tech Jobs Are Increasingly Being Automated 236
Jason Koebler writes Yahoo announced [Tuesday] it would be laying off at least 400 workers in its Indian office, and back in February, IBM cut roughly 2,000 jobs there. Meanwhile, tech companies are beginning to see that many of the jobs it has outsourced can be automated, instead. Labor in India and China is still cheaper than it is in the United States, but it's not the obvious economic move that it was just a few years ago: "The labor costs are becoming significant enough in China and India that there are very real discussions about automating jobs there now," Mark Muro, an economist at Brookings, said. "Companies are seeing that automated replacements are getting to be 'good enough.'"
If they are automating tech support, then good. (Score:4, Insightful)
If those are tech support jobs, then they might as well automate them. The best I can tell those workers they hire over there have essentially no skills in the products they are supporting. They basically just read what the computer screen tells them to say or ask. As a customer, I'd honestly rather be talking to a machine as it would give me the same answers but might actually be at little easier to understand.
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Great, now all the tech support "guys" are going to sound like Professor Hawking.
Re:If they are automating tech support, then good. (Score:5, Funny)
If those are tech support jobs, then they might as well automate them. The best I can tell those workers they hire over there have essentially no skills in the products they are supporting. They basically just read what the computer screen tells them to say or ask. As a customer, I'd honestly rather be talking to a machine as it would give me the same answers but might actually be at little easier to understand.
Great, now all the tech support "guys" are going to sound like Professor Hawking.
Relax, you only have to start worrying when the tech support "guys" start sounding like HAL 9000.
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I need you to tell me something besides "reset the modem"
"I'm afraid I can't do that"
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You mean IBM Watson?
It will wipe your hard drive if you ask it to open the pod bay doors.
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I'd rather listen to a robot tell me to reboot 600 times than an unintelligibly thick Indian accent.
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Another poorly researched article. (Score:2, Informative)
First, Yahoo's move was that of consolidation. The engineers were asked to either relocate to the US office, or move out.
Next, Yahoo had a series of terrible acquisitions in the US which had brought them zero revenue. They had given out these projects to the folks over here to run. Finally, they decided that they were better off not running them to make products better. Very recently, Yahoo turned profitable after Alibaba's IPO.
Third, the engineers who were asked to move out were amazing people by themselve
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If you're *really* unlucky, they'll send a Troubleshooter team. They'll find your trouble, and then shoot it. Which sucks, if they decide *you're* the trouble...
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Relax, you have 5 more clones.
[John5]
Monitoring software (Score:5, Interesting)
In the 80s Computers and automation were suppose to free us for a 20 hour work week. Now we're pushing 50-60 hour work weeks because the only thing it's done is increase competition for the few jobs left. Productivity America's up something like 80% but real wages are way don. I'm not quite ready to become a Luddite yet but I'd like to see some of this increased productivity show up in my pay. But law of supply and demand says the more work I can get down the less it's worth.
Heck, I'll just come out and say it: Can I has socialism?
Re:Monitoring software (Score:5, Interesting)
It's not just computer power, it's programmer time.
I could eliminate about half the jobs at my company (I've already eliminated about 1/3) with automation, but I don't have the time, and we only have a few decent programmers. I spend most of my time fixing problems caused by the lack of automation, aka general human error.
Will my job get automated? Not for a while. I'll be retired in a few years anyway..
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If you think you don't have time to automate more jobs, but spend most of your time fixing problems caused by lack of automation, you are mistaken.
But it may not be in your interest to automate the remainder of what could be automated, because then what would happen to your job?
Re:Monitoring software (Score:4, Informative)
If you think you don't have time to automate more jobs, but spend most of your time fixing problems caused by lack of automation, you are mistaken.
Obligatory xkcd [xkcd.com].
And if you don't like that one, there's this [xkcd.com].
Re: Monitoring software (Score:2)
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So you're proud of eliminating 1/3 of the jobs at your company?
That's the real problem. Humans doing this stuff to each other. We already know how this is going to turn out as long as we continue to alow MBAs to be in charge of things.
That's the mind-set that drove the heavily unionised nationalised industries in the UK in the 1970s. As a result, we have no indigenous car industry, steel industry, mining industry or shipbuilding industry. All the jobs disappeared overseas, and only industries protected from international competition survived: rail, post, telecommunications.
Is it better to eliminate 1/3 of the jobs now, or to see all of the jobs disappear shortly after? My only issue is this: rather than trying to do more with less, compa
That was (and is) a politically-driven departure. (Score:2)
A lot of that departure was driven by the political climate in the 1980s, which was to exact vengance on those industries and their supporters. The finishing blow came when the opposition encouraged non-assimilating immigrants to flood in. To a limited extent, that's playing out in current-day United States, except through various actions.
What Thatcher (and the financial interests she enabled) couldn't kill, the opposition managed to finish off through importation of non-assimilating individuals from the
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'It's All Thatcher's Fault' - the battle cry of the British left for decades now.
The nationalized industries of the 70s were a complete disaster zone, paying high wages to low skilled workers to produce things no-one wanted to buy because the quality was so low. But, yes, obviously it's Thatcher's fault for closing them down.
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...The finishing blow came when the opposition encouraged non-assimilating immigrants to flood in...What Thatcher (and the financial interests she enabled) couldn't kill, the opposition managed to finish off through importation of non-assimilating individuals from the Third World.
Am I confused or are you? How did a "flood" of "non-assimilating individuals" kill heavy industry in 1980s Britain? I don't believe that many of the UK's mines, steel works, car factories and or ship yards employed many immigrants, but non-unionised manufacturing (which did actually employ significant numbers of immigrants) saw dramatic growth throughout Thatcher's tenure. I'm afraid that it was the indigenous, working class, lifetime union jobsworths that killed their own future.
If you fancy indulging in
Re: Monitoring software (Score:5, Interesting)
Yep. I never claimed to be proud, but our entire factory was about to be closed and outsourced to Taiwan because they were cheaper. The changes my team and I implemented got rid of 1/3 of our people and brought our costs down well below what the factory in Taiwan could offer. Now we actually do some outsourced work for overseas companies, which has led to increased employment in other areas of the company.
It was a choice of eliminating 1/3 of the jobs, or have all the jobs eliminated due to outsourcing. That's pretty easy choice.
Re: Monitoring software (Score:4, Informative)
It was a choice of eliminating 1/3 of the jobs, or have all the jobs outsourced to Taiwan. I saved 2/3 of the jobs. That's pretty easy choice.
Now what were you saying about me?
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Re: It's not technology that's the problem (Score:3)
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For years 6 figures was considered the benchmark for success (e.g. management). Now that this number is edging more toward living wage status rather than a ticket to an extravagant lifestyle. But the old guard still has that "why would I pay non-management a 100k salary" mindset. Which trickles down. Ok I'm paying my engineering 90k and that is all. But wait...why should
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That's idiotic. Inflation is normal in a healthy economy.
Yes, that'll be why a tablet with the power of a million-dollar 1980s Cray now costs a couple of hundred dollars.
Deflation due to increased productivity is the norm in a healthy economy, but governments love printing money, and that causes inflation.
Re:It's not technology that's the problem (Score:5, Insightful)
Technology didn't cause the purchasing power of a dollar to collapse nearly 66% over the last 34 years. Federal reserve and congressional policy are the direct culprits. You don't have to be "anti-government" to pin much of this squarely on the federal government and Federal Reserve.
Between inflationary policies and allowing nearly unrestricted (even incentivizing by tax law) exploitation of arbitrage, we've see various government policies annihilate all of the savings and benies that technology would have brought to our economy.
I don't follow.
As in, your conclusion doesn't naturally follow from the facts presented.
I'd suggest you look up the stats on worker productivity.
You'll discover that there have been enormous benefits from technology,
but all of those benefits (profits) have accrued to the executives and shareholders,
instead of being distributed in anything resembling an equitable fashion.
Productivity has massively improved over the decades, employment has declined, and profits are up.
This is true in agriculture, manufacturing, and white collar jobs.
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oh great, capitalism PLUS religion.
i cant see any problems with that.
It's not your productivity (Score:2)
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In other words, Apple putting $100BN in the bank is presumed to mean Apple created $100BN of value. In some sense that is true, but had Apple never released the iPhone, for the most part other s
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Then again, much of western Europe plays to a more labor friendly environment. Far more days off, no copays/deductibles/coinsurance plus premium healthcare...and even have paternity leave. The guy has a point...all these advancements were supposed to lower our workday. Instead, the average worker has lost benefits (pension plans, more burden on healthcare, less vacation days), and is far more productive...with much lower wages.
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Then again, much of western Europe plays to a more labor friendly environment. Far more days off, no copays/deductibles/coinsurance plus premium healthcare...and even have paternity leave.
And that's why Western Europe is going bankrupt even faster than America is.
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Far more days off, no copays/deductibles/coinsurance plus premium healthcare...and even have paternity leave.
And a much lower income as a result. Also, the "no copay / deductible / insurance premium" is crap since they pay HUGE income taxes instead. There's a reason all of those nations rage about how Americans are "materialistic" - because the United States is the only developed world that doesn't tax the living shit out of their citizens to the point where they have very little disposable income. Also, for those benefits (mandatory longer vacations, mandatory paternity leave, etc), compare salaries for the sa
What was automated? (Score:5, Interesting)
Read the articles, both Yahoo and IBM cuts sound like downsizing rather than automation.
I hope the "automation" they're talking about in other parts of the article doesn't really mean "Do-It-Yourself". For example, grocery store self-checkout lines are essentially using my labor (at my labor rate) as an inefficient checkout clerk. I don't want to be a checkout clerk, and would gladly pay for a few minutes of a clerk's time if it gets me through the line a couple of minutes faster.
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Meh. I don't mind the self-checkout lines. The fewer people I have to talk to, the better. Walk in, get what I want, scan and pay, walk out.
[John]
Re:What was automated? (Score:4, Funny)
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It's the constant conversation actually. "Did you see that [some sports thing] Sunday?! Go [sports team]!" or "Looks like it might snow, good for skiing, snowboarding, etc" or even "Happy Holidays!".
There needs to be a "no talking" aisle.
Oh wait, there is one. It's called 'Self Checkout'.
[John]
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I think it's more of a bulkiness limit for me. More than 4 or 5 bags will have me looking at the checkouts. And yea, if there's a line at the self checkout that's 2 or 3 people per register deep, I'll go through a checkout even if it's longer.
I don't go to Lowes. It's targeted to women shoppers with the store layout, more visual displays, and big box department store feel vs the warehouse DIY feel of Home Depot. Plus I'm not a fan of the "man playground" at the front of the Lowes. Makes me feel like I'm bei
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I don't understand the thinking behind why they would even want to go through the terror of the self-checkout lane. Not to mention adding coupons to the mix.
Some people just want to watch the world burn.
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The terror of the self-checkout lane?
oh great, another place for TSA to go and stick it to you.
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oh great, another place for TSA to go and stick it to you.
"There is an unexpected item in the bagging area. Please remove your pants and wait for a TSA agent to perform a cavity search."
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Yea that too. Nothing like finding the canned goods packed in with the hotdog buns. The Wal*Mart folks actually do a much better job at bagging than the grocer weirdly enough.
[John]
What was automated? (Score:3)
Re:Self check out (Score:2)
I found the self check out is used by LOWER priced grocers as a way to cut costs and offer lower prices. Supermarkets without self checkout are often much more expensive to provide that personal touch. Natures, Trader Joe's, Whole Foods, etc are examples of upscale markets without self checkout. Walmart appears to be the exception in haveing no self checkout and offering lower prices. Communities have a beef with the low rates they pay their staff, but they do have paid staff instead of self check out.
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Read the articles, both Yahoo and IBM cuts sound like downsizing rather than automation.
I hope the "automation" they're talking about in other parts of the article doesn't really mean "Do-It-Yourself". For example, grocery store self-checkout lines are essentially using my labor (at my labor rate) as an inefficient checkout clerk. I don't want to be a checkout clerk, and would gladly pay for a few minutes of a clerk's time if it gets me through the line a couple of minutes faster.
The check-out machine in the grocery store costs minimally when sitting idle (in contrast to an employee) and ideally a large number of them can be made available with one large initial investment and small subsequent maintenance cost. Thus it has the potential to save valuable customer queuing time and/or more efficiently accommodate a larger number of customers, ultimately reducing prices and/or increasing profits. The second article seem to mention automation as a cause of 'disruption' without any detai
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IBM cuts are about shifting technologies and not needing staff in those areas. Those like my self that have taken on new job roles and not let myself be stagnant are keeping ahead of the curve.
OTOH, I do work on some of the job costing. We put modifiers in to account for the difference in productivity for each of the Geo regions. Once you do that, there is only about a 20% savings over US labor.
Used to be much higher, say 50%, but rising wages in many areas are closing the gap. The GDF initiative ha
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Self checkout lines reduce the amount of pointless human interaction I have to endure in a day. Totally worth it imo.
Automating Management (Score:5, Funny)
I'm all for automating management with decision makers powered by random number generators. It'll be more honest and more likely to come up with the right decision.
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I'm all for automating management with decision makers powered by random number generators. It'll be more honest and more likely to come up with the right decision.
You can say that again! Half the decisions of our board are vanity projects, and most of the rest are questionable
Automation is the future (Score:2)
It solves many problems. It will be interesting to see what happens when robots and intelligent systems go consumer. Personal robots and personal digital assistants.
Re:Automation is the future (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:Automation is the future (Score:5, Interesting)
Ever see that Volvo ad of two semi's going in reverse at 40+MPH and staying within 3 feet of each other? Do you think people could do that?
Of course, we aren't there yet. It will happen though, and highway safety will improve.
Re:Automation is the future (Score:4, Insightful)
Generally speaking, we *don't* have human beings flying planes. Autopilots do it. We still have human beings sitting in cockpits because of a) liability paranoia and b) unions.
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You do realise "split second" is like a lifetime to a computer, right? You also realise that your hardware was developed to run around in the jungle swinging from trees and running away from tigers, and not to drive 80,000 pound trucks at 65mph... Once automated trucks are developed, they will be inherently safer than the humans who operate them today - they have specifically-designed sensor packages, computing power far greater than your brain, and far more accurate input from the vehicle and road. It's
Ending outsourcing by using "virtual people" (Score:5, Insightful)
Maybe they can get virtual people to buy all of their products.
Virtual customers will be the next growth industry
Humans Need Not Apply (Score:2, Interesting)
This interesting mini-documentary by CGP Grey is totally relevant: Humans Need Not Apply [youtube.com].
Outsourced then automated example (Score:2)
A good example of first being outsourced and then automated is telemarketing.
The low level lead generation has been replaced by robocalls. This blight on the phone system makes automated calls very inexpensive for the caller and more expensive for the receiver both in call plan time usage (unless unlimited) and resources (time) of the receiver.
If left unchecked, my phone will go to an automated auto attendant instead of being answered for non white list callers.
It's a sad day when you need a spam filter on
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Where I live robocalls are already illegal (with exceptions for opt-in such as appointment reminders, and an exemption for political parties... must be nice to write the laws...) How much do you think that has reduced the number of robocalls I receive? If you guessed, not at all, you win. Problem is that Robocalls are generally from overseas and from scammers, there's no practical way for any enforcement.
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People talked about how spam would make email useless and that we'd need a replacement. But spam filters have become pretty good, and my Gmail account is treating me quite well.
My phone however? I use a service to flag known spam callers and have them never reach my phone, but that only use numbers, not the content of the message. So I pretty much just whitelist, and everyone else has to leave a message, and I'll call them back. Since I get a lot of crap spam calls, it takes a while before I go through mess
Second link (Score:3)
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cheap labor (Score:3)
It reminds me of this poster [despair.com]. If a pretty poster and a cute saying are all it takes to motivate you, you probably have a very easy job. The kind robots will be doing soon.
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Must be nice, having a home with "in house staff."
cheap labor (Score:2)
Half of work force to be automated (Score:2)
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Full circle (Score:2)
Re: Full circle (Score:2)
True, but the last corp standing WINS!
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Can't generalize floundering Yahoo's experience (Score:3, Interesting)
Article is weak because it generalizes Yahoo's experience to all tech companies. Yahoo is in crash-and-burn mode, trying anything to survive. Apple hasn't changed its business practices. Microsoft just opened a Canadian center to exploit cheap labor. I don't see a trend. IBM is in crash-and-burn mode, too, so you can't use them to back up Yahoo's experience.
Article is also weak because it conflates technical support, software development, and hardware manufacturing. The author doesn't seem to know what he is talking about, even suggesting robot automation can take over tech support. Confusing.
We're sorry, we don't understand, ... (Score:2)
... "FUCK YOU, YOU GODDAM MACHINE!!!," please wait for the next available ....
"obvious economic move" (Score:2)
Wonder how it feels... (Score:2)
for the offshore workers who displaced American workers to know that their value is now being measured by whether it can now be done by a TI-84 calculator or a resurrected TRS-80 if a human is still required in some capacity. They will now know how it feels to have to compete for jobs managing their automated overlords for even less meager earnings than before.
And, one has to wonder how far the shockwave will go. Will engineering and middle-management type jobs now be offshored (something that, historical
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Offshore workers used to be cheaper than an TI-84 calculator and it is the only reason they were hired as their skill level was abysmal.
But guess what, low skill doesn't mean stupid, so these offshore workers start getting better, and they start noticing that they are more valuable than the minuscule "wages" they get. As a result they now want to actually get paid, forcing the directors to reconsider that TI-84.
As for the offshore workers. They will probably indeed start their own companies, not just becaus
Kindly do the needful (Score:2)
Based on all of the lazy Indian "developers" I've had to deal with this can only be a good thing.
support - that's +5 Funny ! (Score:2)
My experiences with support for commercial products has been much worse than the support I've enjoyed from open source communities. It seems like all they want to do is accept money to allow their customer to check the box to say there is support for audit purposes. It's cynical, and the fact it can be relegated entirely to IVR is more proof.
Now, if they would put fewer, better qualified people into a moderated forum that would be an improvement and save money, but then it would expose too many precious sec
It's a Trickle-up Economy (Score:2)
I wonder where they think people will get the money to buy their products? Even a right-wing nut like Henry Ford understood that he was creating customers by paying a decent wage. If American corporations keep outsourcing and automating jobs, soon enough, no one in the US will have any money to buy their wares.
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Sigh. Not the old 'Ford paid more so his workers could buy Ford cars!' claptrap again?
Ford paid high wages because it allowed him to hire the best workers, and reduced costs by reducing turnover. If I remember correctly, he had about 400% employee turnover the year before he dramatically raised wages, and about 0% the year after.
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Not only that, but a big portion of the increased wages were a bonus that depended on satisfactory performance in house visits. Yup, if the factory rep decided that you weren't keeping your home clean enough, or thought you were drinking too much off the job, poof went a big portion of your comp.
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Wouldn't it be just as cheap, more secure and faster to ship if you kept automation in your own country?
At some point it's going to come down to the cost of electricity.
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And reliability, and maintenance costs, and bandwidth costs, and probably things I'm overlooking as an outsider to the jobs.
That's enough to make it a complex system with multiple solutions for local minima.
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And reliability, and maintenance costs, and bandwidth costs, and probably things I'm overlooking as an outsider to the jobs.
That's enough to make it a complex system with multiple solutions for local minima.
And probably most important: taxation and regulation. Those have a profound effect on the bottom line.
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Taxation is kind of hard to see for phone support, since it's a cost center, not a revenue center.
Re:grow your own (Score:5, Insightful)
Taxation is kind of hard to see for phone support, since it's a cost center, not a revenue center.
You just aren't being very creative. If you want a little bit of profit to be made overseas, create a subsidiary in India that charges your company for phone support. Make sure the price is high enough that your subsidiary is making a profit, and you have just shifted some profit overseas.
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Can we just grow and insert more humans into the power grid?
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Comment removed (Score:5, Interesting)
Re: grow your own (Score:2)
Mr. Feet,
Can you please provide links to any of this info, particularly about the 86 families. I am genuinely interested.
Thanks
Re: grow your own (Score:4, Insightful)
For capitalism humans are required not only for labor but also as consumers. Therefore the elites require to find a way to distribute money to the rest otherwise their system will collapse. However, I have the distinct impression that they do not know that.
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Ha, yeah right. This has been the wet dream of the MBA since computers were first commercialised. Never going to happen, or at least not this century, there's a world of difference between development and tech support.
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Actually, it's already happened. The problem is that once business people get it, they then demand something more complex.
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You say we're not going to need engineers anymore, and then you go on to talk about how the need for technicians is being eliminated - I don't think you're entirely clear on what engineers do. Hint: we *create* things. Usually things that have never been done in quite this way before - a process that requires both creative inspiration and extensive technical expertise. I suspect management will be far easier to automate, especially considering the abysmal aptitude of most managers. And thanks to several
Re: The logical conclusoin (Score:3)