Forget Millennials, the Internet's Most Wanted Users Are Older -- and Poorer (wsj.com) 58
An anonymous reader writes: China's relatively young internet industry is facing a mature-market problem: User growth for popular online services such as instant messaging, search, online news and video has fallen to single digits. Online population growth has hovered around 5% to 6% annually since 2014, which is only slightly higher than in mature economies. Unlike in many developed markets, a vast number of Chinese are unconnected. As they slowly come online, they're creating a sizable market that companies can tap into -- if they can figure out how.
"The Chinese internet is experiencing the third wave of [a] demographic dividend," said Wang Hua, a partner at venture-capital firm Sinovation Ventures, at a speech in December. The first wave, he said, were early adopters, while the second was driven by young people in major cities. "About half of the Chinese population is not yet heavy internet users, and they're the third wave of the demographic dividend," he says. "And they're usually the ones that are in charge of a family's daily consumption." Only 56% of 1.4 billion Chinese -- about 772 million people -- use the internet, according to official data. The U.S. reached that level of penetration in 2002, according to the United Nations. Interest in the lower end of the internet market has been building; live-streaming services have managed to attract working-class Chinese. This time around, the spread of e-commerce and new business models are unlocking more potential.
"The Chinese internet is experiencing the third wave of [a] demographic dividend," said Wang Hua, a partner at venture-capital firm Sinovation Ventures, at a speech in December. The first wave, he said, were early adopters, while the second was driven by young people in major cities. "About half of the Chinese population is not yet heavy internet users, and they're the third wave of the demographic dividend," he says. "And they're usually the ones that are in charge of a family's daily consumption." Only 56% of 1.4 billion Chinese -- about 772 million people -- use the internet, according to official data. The U.S. reached that level of penetration in 2002, according to the United Nations. Interest in the lower end of the internet market has been building; live-streaming services have managed to attract working-class Chinese. This time around, the spread of e-commerce and new business models are unlocking more potential.
Maybe it's the Great Firewall (Score:5, Interesting)
Re: (Score:3)
NO. Most Chinese are not that upset by the great firewall. Indeed, their take up of technology has been frighteningly fast. In the cities, it has become difficult to spend cash, even for small purchases. *Everyone* uses WeChat Pay. Everyone, except foreigners who cannot use the service.
But most Chinese are poor and rural. While there are many billionaires, the total GDP per capita is still about 1/3 the west. Those poor only have basic feature phones if anything. So they are the next place to harve
Re: Maybe it's the Great Firewall (Score:1)
No iPhones (Score:2)
This is a market segment that will never buy an iPhone.
Re: No iPhones (Score:1)
They also dodged a bullet on this whole Facebook spyware.
Re: (Score:3)
People in dictatorships are usually very sensitive to anything spying on them. Something like Farcebook would have never flied in Soviet Russia. People were too used to their private information being used against them.
The US simply had no history of that. But we're gonna catch up soon to the former East Bloc.
Re: (Score:2)
There is a reason for the old East Bloc joke. It loses a bit in translation but it's still good:
Don't think.
If you think, don't speak.
If you think and speak, don't write.
If you think, speak and write, don't sign.
If you think, speak, write and sign, don't be surprised.
Re: (Score:1)
Not really. I was born in 1955, and most of my older friends and family believe nothing they see on the Internet. That is a problem since they don't believe so many negative stories about Trump.
let me rephrase that for you.... (Score:1)
That is a problem since they don't believe so many negative stories about Trump.
That is a problem since they don't believe the propaganda I believe in.
At last... (Score:3)
I knew they'd eventually come crawling back.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:1)
"are you aware that most of the problems today are caused by ?"
Millennials are discerning. (Score:1, Flamebait)
Facebook is overrun by old people that didn't grow up with the internet and believe anything they see.
Re:Millennials are discerning. (Score:5, Insightful)
Your subject line leads me to believe you exist on a planet other than the one I live on.
Re: (Score:2)
Umm... nope. Facebook is overrun by people that didn't grow up at all and believe anything they see and fits their preferred world view.
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The world is not divided by age but by intelligence. Whether you're 15 or 50, stupid is stupid.
Misleading Title (Score:5, Insightful)
The title should be: Forget Millennials, the Internet's Most Wanted Users Are Older -- and Poorer ... IN CHINA"
Seeing as it's an authoritarian shithole that I can't invest in or run a business without greasing enough hands, why do I care about their fledgling internet companies' woes?
Re: (Score:2)
We need more internet industry stories from Norway.
Re: (Score:2)
Jesper Berg will sell anyone thorium-based nuclear power.
That will run your nations internet with no fossil fuel.
Re: Misleading Title (Score:2)
Yup. Under B. Clinton our public policy was literally to pack up our factory equipment, mail it to China, then tear down the factory. Clinton and his cronies made some big money off international bribes, and now our country is left with basically no industrial base.
I really need to start learning Mandarin... we all do.
Re: Misleading Title (Score:2)
This is a US based sight... so no.
Re: Misleading Title (Score:2)
Dude - I kid you not: I woke up this morning, and I found a Russian hiding under my bed!!
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Dude, do you not know, if you to be a failed country to enter shithole status not a progressing country. Is China better or worse than it was a decade or more ago, well, only one answer to that substantively better. Not lets look at your typical Africa nation that Trump clearly has great love for, better or worse, well, worse it's definitely true. Then the biggest shitholes, well, of course all those countries USA delivered democracy to over the last decades, apparently deliver democracy == turn into shit h
AliBaba.com Can Fix This... (Score:2)
Delusions of Grandeur (Score:4, Insightful)
If you think you're going to reach the Chinese market with the same bullshit methods you're using on us, think again.
To even get a shot, you're going to have to satisfy God Emperor Jinping and I've got bad news.
If you're not a Chinese company, with Chinese interests in mind, you're wasting your time.
Re: (Score:2)
Well... yeah. Welcome to capitalism, comrade.
Older and poorer than Millennials? (Score:2)
Elderly hobos?
Free Internet for Good People (Score:2)
They should implement some kind of social ranking system, and suppy free phones to good people and ban anyone with a poor ranking.
Re: (Score:2)
What makes you think this isn't already the plan?
This bullshit again (Score:2)
What the fucking hell do they teach in schools these days?
Learn about population numbers.
Learn about adoption rates.
Learn about market saturation.
Non-stop growth is IMPOSSIBLE.
100% marketshare is nearly impossible.
The Older Folks in China Don't Trust the Internet (Score:2)
Seriously.
These are the people that have a healthy distrust of their own government already, and anything they generally read has the Governmental spin on it.
Besides, it isn't going to be free. After all, many of them have carefully balanced budgets that happen to include food, and there's probably nothing left over for internet subscription fees, hardware and additional electrical costs per month.
Why in the world would they want to get online, when some twitchy tweenager (or Big Brother) can start picking
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The choice is really only between having state-sponsored news only and being flooded by fake news?
Really?
I thought I was being described (Score:2)
But I only look Chinese, you insensitive clod!
These aren't the chicken wings you're looking for. I'm not the delivery guy, either!