Waymo's Autonomous Vehicles Are Driving 25,000 Miles Every Day (techcrunch.com) 101
With Nevada Governor Brian Sandoval at the National Governors Association, Waymo CEO John Krafcik announced a huge milestone: Waymo's fleet of self-driving vehicles are now logging 25,000 miles every day on public roads. The company reportedly has 600 self-driving Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid minivans on the road in 25 cities. Waymo has also driven 8 million miles on public roads using its autonomous vehicles, "meaning the comopany has been able to double the number of autonomous miles driven on public roads in just eight months," reports TechCrunch. From the report: The company also relies on simulation as it works to build an AI-based self-driving system that performs better than a human. In the past nine years, Waymo has "driven" more than 5 billion miles in its simulation, according to the company. That's the equivalent to 25,000 virtual cars driving all day, everyday, the company says. This newly shared goal signals Waymo is getting closer to launching a commercial driverless transportation service later this year. More than 400 residents in Phoenix have been trialing Waymo's technology by using an app to hail self-driving Chrysler Pacifica Hybrid minivans. The company says it plans to launch its service later this year.
That's fast (Score:2)
I didn't think those minivans could go over 1000 mph.
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They can when falling off cliffs.
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Nope. They are not aerodynamic enough for that. Falling off a cargo plane, maybe. Falling off a balloon in the stratosphere, definitely.
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It would weigh roughly 1200 tons at that size. Even if you coiled it up, you could never travel far.
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Exactly why thought. Why are Slashdot headlines always incorrect?
Slashdot - fake news for fake nerds
My 100% correct prediction about these machines (Score:2)
The most frequent users will be hookers. No question.
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I've calculated my velocity with such exquisite precision that I have no idea where I am.
Your sig wins.
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Thank you, good sir.
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Relax. Your bridge won't become obsolete just because tech has marched on. If you're licensed by the Arizona Board of Troll, those self-driving cars are already using it.
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Choosing to travel by private car or tracked rideshare isn't mandatory. You can take public transit, ride your bike, walk, or catch a ride with a friend.
At any rate, license plate tracking cameras are just as much the death of driving privacy regardless of whether cars self-drive.
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Those cameras aren't all that common or effective outside of major cities, especially in a rainy and/or muddy environment. Widespread adoption of robo-cars would make it much, much easier for the scum to track everyone.
Why accept the theft of privacy by a thousand cuts? Push back. Don't make it obvious what you're doing -- claim it's for "safety" and "the children", even if it decreases safety. There are more important things than human life like privacy and human dignity.
Really impressive (Score:1)
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Sorry to disappoint, these things are not "AI". They are just a result from around 50 years of dedicated, specialized automation research. And automation is a very, very old thing.
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They use neural nets for image recognition. It's got some AI in it.
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Statistical classifiers are not AI, whether trained or parametrized.
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The "A" stands for "Artificial", not "Authentic".
'Simulations' mean NOTHING (Score:3)
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Do you have any idea what the average speed in town is? I'll bet it's less than 25. Also, miles driven in simulation do not help test the sensors, but they do help test the driving logic.
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The funny thing is that their simulated miles is only 4 times more than Tesla's real-world miles on active mode and 2 times more than Tesla in shadow mode.
At their current driving rate, it would take them over 130 years to match Tesla's active AP miles and double that to match its shadow mode miles.
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At their current driving rate, it would take them over 130 years to match Tesla's active AP miles and double that to match its shadow mode miles.
Autopilot doesn't do what their system does. Tesla could have infinitely more miles and still be behind, because their training is for a system with lesser capabilities.
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> is only 4 times more than Tesla's real-world miles on active mode and 2 times more than Tesla in shadow mode.
> take them over 130 years to match Tesla's active AP miles and double that to match its shadow mode miles.
Is one of these reversed?
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Actually, almost all tricky situations are at low speed.
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Neither does toodling around at 25mph or less.
You mean the scenario that the vast majority of people find themselves in, the vast majority of traffic hazards occur in, and the vast majority of road variance exists in?
Yeah I'm sure they're much better driving straight lines down highways! /sarcasm.
amazing what tesla has taught the industry. (Score:3)
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Catch up to what? Killing car occupants by decapitating them? or driving into stationary objects?
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That is the only way that these AP systems are going to learn about edge cases. Right now, MB, Volvo, GM, etc have been pretenders because they have no real mileage on their systems. Until a sytem is putting on 100K miles EVERY day AND jump all over the accidents quickly, they are not going to really develop what is needed.
The weird thing is, that so many ppl believe that getting ahead can be done without loss of lives, on things like Space or automated car driving. Nothing could be further from
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Crashing into huge, visible and stationary obstacle is NOT an edge case, its a design defect.
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I seriously can't tell if this post is sarcastic or not?
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The fact is, that Tesla has far fewer accidents / mile driven, than the other APs. BUT, to get to this level, the other APs will have to allow lots of AP based driving. Waymo is finally adding some mileage on their network which is what it will take to teach theirs.
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You are seventh level delusional.
What a waymo vehicle can do autonomously vs a Tesla doesn't even compare. It's just not even a competition.
Re: amazing what tesla has taught the industry. (Score:2)
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Fully autonomous or sort of autonomous? (Score:3)
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No, it's not... They still disengage the autopilot about every 5000 miles. That's abysmal compared to a human driver. Would you drive with a person that stops their car every 5000 miles with 'sorry can't go on here'? And this is on well marked and mapped roads. How about roads with no markings, single lane, or gravel roads that are on no map? Or roads with worn markings? Or roads where the map and reality don't match? Contruction zones come to mind.
The 80/20 rule still applies. The first 80% take 20% of the
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Would you drive with a person that stops their car every 5000 miles with 'sorry can't go on here'?
My car only goes about 300 miles before it will stop all by itself anyway. If the driver isn't smart enough to find a safe place to pull over, get out, walk around a bit, maybe refill the fuel tank, then pretending the number "5000 miles" is significant is just silly. All that means is that is how often it takes for them (on average I'm guessing) to get stumped by something they haven't learned yet.
My youngest just got a learner's driving permit. In my experience from teaching young new human drivers, it
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You are ENTIRELY wrong about pretty much every thing you said.
1) They are NOT surpervised, the people are in the back seat of the car, not the front seat.
2) They are ARE safe.
3) This is not just media hype, they are already safer than a human during normal driving (i.e. no rain, no snow, no fog, during the day.).
4) You personally have no idea what is ready and will change your mind once you realize the question is not "is this safe?" but rather "Is it safer to ride next to a truck driver using speed pills
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Re:Fully autonomous or sort of autonomous? (Score:4, Insightful)
Waymo autonomous cars drove 352,545 miles in California between December 2016 and November 2017, and disengaged from autonomous mode 63 times [thedrive.com]
No idea if the car was about to do something dangerous, or was disengaged because the driver got impatient. If the car chose to disengage, that's a small enough number that in areas with good data coverage, a driver in a single call center could take over remotely.
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Seems to me that the average human driver does something incredibly stupid indicating a serious brain freeze more often than every 5600 miles.
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No, it's not. Why? Because the hypothetical driver in that call center would have to familiarize himself with the situation first. That can take a bit, in the meantime the car would sit in traffic and block the road in the best case... or hit something in the worst case.
This 'we let the autopilot drive and a human takes over when it can't deal with things' works in situations where you can freeze things (like a simulation on a computer), but it doesn't work in a moving vehicle where things can go from OK to
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Are these miles fully autonomous (meaning no human in the car) or are the miles with assistance (human in the car, ready to take over or "assist")? If with assistance, what is the rate of help the cars get on some sort of statistic that can be compared over time? (Maybe "assists" per 1000 miles or something like that.)
The statistic in the headline sounds impressive, but is it?
It's also missing details such as weather, temperature, types of roads (i.e. pavement vs gravel), how well the roads are marked, traffic conditions, time of day, construction/road changes, amount of pedestrians/cyclists, etc.
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This is not the "proof of fitness" stage, this is still the "research" stage, so with human and, if done right, with additional safety features. This does mean that these systems can drop back to human control even when the automatics are just a bit concerned, but could actually handle the situation.
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Yes, still research. But the humans in the car are in the back seat,
which means the human can NEVER control the car. If they touch the controls, the cars pull over and stop. Waymo is not working on driver assisted tech, they can already do that. They are researching fully driver-less situations.
The current problems they are working on are
a) bad road conditions (fog, rain, snow, gravel, etc.)
b) weird crap, like animals in the road.
c) end point issues - when to reject the requested pick up or drop off p
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To be able to make the car "pull over and stop" is a form of control. I should not have to say this. But it is good to know their stuff is good enough to have this minimal level of human backup.
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I have seen videos of the cars in action. In those videos, there is no person behind the wheel - that seat is empty. Passengers are seated in the 2nd row, not the front row.
https://waymo.com/ [waymo.com]
I love living in the future (Score:2)
A world where I can already verbally tell my 2018 Toyota to call Mother. A world where I still have Mother, at age 96.
Death rate? (Score:3)
With all that data in hand, what should we expect as a death rate compared to the current death rate in developed countries? How about pedestrian and cyclist fatality rate estimates? How about operator intervention rates on typical US roads (i.e. crappy poorly maintained and often mismarked)?
All those simulations and miles are just a big round number, I want to know what the scorecard looks like. If these things were near perfect there would be no need for such continued voluminous testing and refining.
Re:Death rate? (Score:4, Insightful)
We should expect something like 10% of what we have today. Sure, that is still a large number, but think of the improvement. Eventually, it may be much, much lower though, but that may take a few decades. This tech is hard.
Wreckless drivers (Score:1)
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Surely being wreckless is the ultimate goal!
Wow 25,000 miles a day?!? (Score:5, Funny)
That's way mo' than I imagined!
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Excellent (Score:2)
The goal of a car that performs better than a human gets closer. As human drivers are one of the major risks to limb and life, this is a good thing.
risk of compromise (Score:1)
No such thing as a secure, networked computer.
Hacker breaks into duh big computers Hacker sez: "Attention all self-driving Toyotas in the world. Turn hard left and accelerate to maximum NOW."
Carnage ensues. We told you so.
Miles per day? (Score:1)
Call me when they are driving miles per hour, because that is what real-world cars do.