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United States Medicine Stats

America Now Has One-Third of the World's Confirmed Coronavirus Cases (miamiherald.com) 493

"Confirmed coronavirus cases world-wide Friday exceeded 2.7 million, with more than 190,000 dead," reports the Wall Street Journal, citing data from Johns Hopkins University.

While America has just 4.3% of the world's population, "The U.S. accounted for nearly a third of the cases, exceeding 869,000, and more than a quarter of the deaths, at 49,963." [Note: This comparison might be skewed by the number of countries underreporting their cases or deaths.]

The Miami Herald reports: The coronavirus has killed more than 50,000 people in the United States, just four days after passing 40,000 U.S. deaths on Sunday, Johns Hopkins University reports. The total as of early Friday afternoon was more than 50,370, up about 400 deaths since Thursday night, the data shows...

More than 25,000 people have died in Italy, and more than 22,000 in Spain... Most of the U.S. deaths have occurred in New York City: 16,388, the university says.

Two weeks ago America had just 20% of the world's confirmed fatalities.
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America Now Has One-Third of the World's Confirmed Coronavirus Cases

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  • by JoeyRox ( 2711699 ) on Saturday April 25, 2020 @10:55AM (#59989152)
    Proving once again we're the best at everything we do.
    • aka Murica F*CK YEAH!
  • A few points (Score:5, Insightful)

    by grasshoppa ( 657393 ) on Saturday April 25, 2020 @10:59AM (#59989164) Homepage

    a) Confirmed cases is a largely meaningless metric; all it tells us is how MUCH we're testing. As the antibody tests show, this thing is far more prevalent than even the confirmed cases suggest.

    b) Are we still believing China's numbers?

    c) There have been enough concerns raised about the death count being accurate that it warrants a healthy dose of skepticism. Particularly when the medicare system is incentivizing covid19 outcomes ( don't take my word for it, google it ).

    d) People die. That's the sad truth of the world, and despite what you may believe the lock down was never about preventing every death; it was about ensuring we had the hospital capacity to handle the surges. Well, now, because of the lockdown, people aren't getting needed surgeries AND hospitals are in precarious financial positions ( nurses and doctors laid off or taking pay cuts ).

    • Re:A few points (Score:4, Insightful)

      by AmiMoJo ( 196126 ) on Saturday April 25, 2020 @11:30AM (#59989256) Homepage Journal

      How much do you think China lied? If it's an order of magnitude then the US is still a lot worse. If it's two orders of magnitude then the US is on track to be worse by next month.

      Even the wildest speculation about China (e.g. the debunked 20,000 urns story) would put them well ahead of where the US is, especially when you consider that they have about 3.6x as many people.

    • Re:A few points (Score:4, Interesting)

      by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Saturday April 25, 2020 @11:39AM (#59989288)

      a) agreed, to a point. But if you only test people who are already coughing (which is basically what we're doing now), all you do is confirm what you already know. Besides, in testing, the US is only on place 30 (per capita) while it's on place 17 per capita, so maybe that would not really result in a more favorable outcome for the US.

      b) No. I believe they are at least a magnitude off. But even if we multiply what China admits with the factor 20, we're still far away from the US per capita.

      c) Agreed. Maybe we should compare death count today to death count a year ago and compare that worldwide? Hint: You won't like it any better.

      d) Welcome to the US hospital system. Strangely, the rest of the world doesn't have that problem, now what could the reason be?

    • So let's ignore China if you do not trust the numbers. And Russia as well.

      Absolutes are not interesting until after the pandemic is done, as totals. Also these do not account for different stages of the pandemic.

      So, to judge health care efficiency or pandemic response we need relative statistics - a better one would be deaths/infected or infected/total statistics, still somewhat re-based to the location on the pandemic curve. And perhaps #test/total.

    • a. The west only tests a few people even now - principally those going to hospital with symptoms.
      b. China updates its numbers as rapidly as the west starts counting numbers in care homes and at home.
      c. Are you saying that the excess death rate is down to money grabbing? Where do they get the money from it?
      d. You live under a system that makes money out of sickness. And you still support this idea?

    • despite what you may believe the lock down was never about preventing every death; it was about ensuring we had the hospital capacity to handle the surges.

      This is what it is all about! More total infections isn't bad, it is the inevitable result. Minimizing the spread maximizes the next wave! Slowing the spread to keep hospitals from being overloaded, while still having enough people get infected to slow down the next wave, that's the sweet spot.

    • Re:A few points (Score:4, Informative)

      by UnknowingFool ( 672806 ) on Saturday April 25, 2020 @12:16PM (#59989470)

      b) Are we still believing China's numbers?

      And if we don't, what are the actual numbers? Even if we quadruple China's numbers they still would be lower than the US. For China's number to be more, it would have to be 10X while bearing in mind China has more than 4X the population.

      c) There have been enough concerns raised about the death count being accurate that it warrants a healthy dose of skepticism. Particularly when the medicare system is incentivizing covid19 outcomes ( don't take my word for it, google it ).

      No. You made this claim. You back it up. I can claim that the NSA has done this make sure we all get mind-controlling implants. Don't take my word for it. Google it.

      d) People die. That's the sad truth of the world, and despite what you may believe the lock down was never about preventing every death; it was about ensuring we had the hospital capacity to handle the surges.

      Since when did anyone ever say that the lockdowns would prevent ALL deaths? I challenge you to find one person. It was to slow down the spread. It was to limit the spread to those who are vulnerable. It was to prevent some deaths.

      Well, now, because of the lockdown, people aren't getting needed surgeries AND hospitals are in precarious financial positions ( nurses and doctors laid off or taking pay cuts ).

      Elective surgeries were postponed. The key term you don't seem to recognize is "elective". If someone needs a heart bypass or emergency surgery, they'll get the surgery. If you want LASIK surgery to correct your vision, you'll have to wait. And the key word is "wait". Please point me to an article where doctors and nurses are being laid off. Because if they are, I know of many hospitals they can work right now to relieve overworked doctors and nurses.

  • Comment removed (Score:5, Interesting)

    by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Saturday April 25, 2020 @11:22AM (#59989224)
    Comment removed based on user account deletion
    • If you had told the greatest generation that in just 50 years or so their children, baby boomers, would squander the nations wealth, poison its water,

      WTF do you know how good our water quality is compared to 50 years ago? And for that matter, medical care now is an order of magnitude better. Go look for pictures of rivers that are so polluted they are on fire. Educate yourself, don't make things up.

  • by backslashdot ( 95548 ) on Saturday April 25, 2020 @11:50AM (#59989348)

    Trump has determined that shining a UV light, or some kind of light .. any light into the lung .. will be sufficient to introduce in more cases than not, deleterious mutations in the virus. That coupled with some bad recombinants might be curative, who knows. I am sure that as president he doesn't want this virus happening in his watch, that's why he's gonna cure it instead of blame other people for their ineptitude. He is of great judgement and will no doubt on his first try select the best people to handle this and of course fire any bad ones instantly before they do harm.

  • by hey! ( 33014 ) on Saturday April 25, 2020 @11:54AM (#59989376) Homepage Journal

    All things being equal, you expect bigger countries to report more cases, and the US is the third largest country in the world. The country with the highest per capita cases is the Northern Italian microstate of San Marino.

    Reported Cases per Million Pop (selected countries):
    San Marino (microstate): 15,119
    Iceland: 5246 (see note)
    Spain: 4789
    Belgium: 3911
    Italy: 3231
    USA: 2809
    Germany: 1855
    Sweden: 1800 (see note)
    Denmark: 1458
    Norway: 1382
    Finland: 808

    note: these numbers are skewed by testing. Iceland has the highest number of tests per capita in the world,Sweden has one of the lowest among advanced states. Therefore you have to assume Sweden has more unreported cases than other similar countries.

    Tests/100,000 population:
    Iceland: 13,000
    San Marino: 5,685
    Norway: 2,861
    Italy: 2,824
    Denmark: 2360
    US: 1500
    Finland: 1404
    Sweden: 935
    India: 42

    Given India's extremely low per capita test rate, it's a safe bet that they have hundreds of times more cases than reported. They may have more infections than the US; or if they don't they soon will.

    If you're judging the robustness of a country's response, look at the ratio of tests performed to case found. That tells you how far behind a country is in looking for the virus.

    Tests per case found:
    Taiwan: 139
    South Korea: 55
    Iceland: 25
    India: 23 (see note)
    Norway: 21
    Finland:17
    Denmark: 16
    Italy: 8.7
    US: 5.5
    Sweden: 5.2
    UK: 4.3

    note: You always want to think about the reality behind the numbers; the high number Indian tests/case probably reflects disparities between different economic groups.

    • The positive rate in India for the tests is around 4% that is out of every 100 people tested 4 are testing as positive.
      In the US the number is as high as 33% for infection testing (the kind of testing India is doing) and 15% for antibody testing.

      India is testing contacts of positive Covid patients.
      US is only testing symptomatic people

      India imposed a mandatory quarantine for all travellers back in February and shut down all flights from Mid March
      US only recommended people self quarantine and you can still t

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