SpaceX Says Its Starlink Satellite Internet Service Now Has Over 10,000 Users (slashdot.org) 95
SpaceX disclosed in a public filing on Thursday that its Starlink satellite internet service now has "over 10,000 users in the United States and abroad." From a report: "Starlink's performance is not theoretical or experimental ... [and] is rapidly accelerating in real time as part of its public beta program," SpaceX wrote in a filing with the Federal Communications Commission. Elon Musk's company began a public beta program of Starlink in October, with service priced at $99 a month, in addition to a $499 upfront cost to order the Starlink Kit, which includes a user terminal and Wi-Fi router to connect to the satellites.
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I'm worried because SpaceX has been the only Musk's company that while overpromising, generally delivered. Mostly because Musk appears to have Korolev-like attitude when it comes to rocketry, and methodology between the two men appears very similar. "Blow as many rockets as needed to get to the goal".
This news appears to be an indicator of overpromising and underdelivering in otherwise successfully delivering company. That is alarming. I find that SpaceX's success is very important for humanity as a whole,
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I do think it will be a game changer for rural internet. And if Starl
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It's not even the first 1,000 satellites all at once: that implies 10 users per satellite. In fact there are probably only 20-30 satellites over the beta area at any given point in time, so it's really more like 500 users per satellite. The rest of the satellites (or those satellites when not over the beta area) are sitting idle. A user in rural Ontario isn't sharing resources with a user in rural Scotland.
Re:That is pretty alarming (Score:5, Informative)
Remember that like cellular, satellite Internet can serve many more users per "cell" than they have bandwidth for. That's because the usage model does not accommodate every subscriber streaming 100% of their offered service bandwidth 100% of the time. It's called oversubscription and without it, nobody anywhere could afford Internet. I was once working on a project slated to deploy end user equipment in England. I found the BT internet service had a 200:1 oversubscription in the uplink direction. That meant that overall subscribers could only use 100% of their uplink bandwidth 0.5% of the time (or 0.5% of their uplink bandwidth 100% of the time - or any such combination of bandwidth*time in the continuum).
It is in Starlink's interest to limit subscription in the beginning - at least partially to show outstanding performance (it's more than a test, it's also an ad campaign, right?). Plus they wouldn't want to pile on tons of users up front and have to deal with potential overload/stability issues. That would sabotage their ability to learn and improve in the beta. It all makes sense to me.
The beta is limited to addresses in the northern US, southern Canada, and now UK plus some other northern latitudes (Scandinavia? I don't remember). If you look at the satellite orbital maps you can see why. All of the satellites (except for the recent batch launched into polar orbit) are all in orbits with the same inclination. You can think of them "looping up and down" with the crests of their orbits "dwelling" over the extreme latitudes on both sides. The plots show this perfectly (along with how unfortunate the Alaskans are as they have zero coverage for being too far north - at least until the polar orbit birds turn on).
I first learned the geometry of these incined orbits when studying GPS, which has a very similar constellation structure. It makes for very pretty graphs. Here are two websites I enjoy following to show me the coverage of Starlink as the constellation grows:
http://orbitalindex.com/featur... [orbitalindex.com]
https://satellitemap.space/# [satellitemap.space]
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That was the promise. I'm hoping they deliver. The problem with these services however is not "how much bandwidth can I squeeze when I'm alone on the network" but "how does this network scale to realistic numbers of subscribers".
You wouldn't believe the speeds I got out of a 4G modem in city centre when 4G was in pre-rollout phase and I got a access to beta hardware back in the day. Today, I'll be lucky to get 1/100th of that speed in daytime. Because there are plenty of subscribers now that there's a 4G mo
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More than anything the service provides the convenience of a single kill switch. These kinds of services are good for emergency situations, but politics make it unsuitable for regular long term communications that can be cut off on a whim.
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More than anything the service provides the convenience of a single kill switch. These kinds of services are good for emergency situations, but politics make it unsuitable for regular long term communications that can be cut off on a whim.
Where there is a single ISP in town and politics can shut it down on command, what is the difference? Honestly, a handful of people with the right knowledge and a backhoe can effectively shut down internet service for an entire city. We are seeing this happen now in Myanma
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It doesn't take people. Rats are enough. There was the story few years ago when rats disrupt communication of New Zealand with rest of world by chewing the cable.
Re: That is pretty alarming (Score:2)
Re: That is pretty alarming (Score:2)
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If anything, this is the ANTI-fascists answer. That is why both China and Russia are freaking out about this and pushing laws to prohibit any citizen using it.
Iran, N. Korea, CHina, Russia, even Burma will all have issues with trying to shut down the internet on this.
Re: That is pretty alarming (Score:3)
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If anything, this is the ANTI-fascists answer.
It would be if nobody could order it to be turned off. Of all those places you mention, you forget the US will shut it down if they ever feel uncomfortable with the content. I am only saying, don't let this be your only system. Make it your first and build alternate pathways to protect open communications for the future.
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Secondly, it is the internet. Plenty of alternatives, except for rural areas.
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Politics apply to every internet service on the planet. And as Egypt showed us half a decade ago, it's actually really easy to kill internet access even when you're a well connected nation sitting right next to Europe.
Re:That is pretty alarming (Score:5, Insightful)
> If you tout as much internet users as a single modern cell tower can support for your system as a significant milestone, there are serious questions about just how scalable your system is.
Have you ever built a system from the ground up?
Name a successful system that didn't go from zero to n where 10,000 wasn't a significant milestone. Hint: it's everything that's ever been built.
Nietzsche was right about the slave mentality.
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Even now, we have idiots claiming that it will be easy for nations to shut this off, and so it is bad.
Yet, the antenna is small, and I believe is uplink-directional. As such, it will require governments to be right on top of these to hear them. Even with flying drones around, it will be possible to listen for drones in the area and simply stop the uplink.
This is going to revolutionize the net and open up a lo
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Even with flying drones around, it will be possible to listen for drones in the area and simply stop the uplink.
Are you for real WindBourne?
You've been watching way too many movies.
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I have. I worked with people here at Nokia back in my university days in fact. Their network subsidiary back in the day is literally headquartered in my city.
Even back in 3G days, 10k for entire network would be a joke. It's what you get out of a few base stations. Back in early 2000s, when 3G was the big thing being rolled out.
Now I haven't worked in that field since my university days. But I find it hard to imagine that internet connectivity has gotten harder than it was back when 3G was being rolled out.
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>finished
AC fabricating a claim because he can't argue against a claim that is actually made. Sigh.
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I don't ever remember him saying that this was going to be any sort of global replacement for local ISPs. Starlink is mainly meant to be a "fill in the cracks" solution. People living in densely populated areas are going to be sorely disappointed in Starlink's performance compared to their local options.
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The problem being that there are several billions of people living "in the cracks" today.
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Secondly, cell towers are not that scalable. OTOH, if you look at Starlink's architecture, and understood networking, you would see that they are very scalable.
Now, you
Re: That is pretty alarming (Score:4)
Get with it. And I am a tesla car and stock owner.
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You don't understand the meaning of the word 'promise'.
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I do hope you have something other than this level of silly fanboying to do with your life. Your passion honestly could use a more constructive path to be channelled toward.
Because frankly, I cannot think of a massive, utterly crushing cognitive blindness one requires to pretend that Must has been "underpromise, overdeliver" at any point in his career. Self-driving car is still not here, Tesla's battery technology improvements are literally "add 50% volume, same density" over last decade. Boring company...
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I'm sure that in your mind, that argument makes sense. Like I said, I like your passion. I just think it could use more constructive path to be channelled toward rather than desperate fanboy pedantry.
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lul troll is lul.
Care to name that cell phone company that had 10000 users at the time they only signed up 100 customers?
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Nokia. Eriksson. Huawei. Alcatel-Lucent.
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Nokia. Eriksson. Huawei. Alcatel-Lucent.
So all four of those companies, when they signed up their first 100 customers, you're still claiming they had tens of thousands of customers, despite having only 100...
Learn some math kid, you're embarrassing yourself
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When you are so mind numbingly stupid in your blind fanboyism, you have to intentionally pretend that we're not talking about technology but business relations.
Take a walk in the woods. Enjoy the nature. Look at the starry sky. Comprehend that our lives are far too short to spend worshipping another man as a God.
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You directly said that the number 100 is larger than the number 10,000. It's basic simple grade school math.
Fanboyism, technology, and business relations are not going to change the fact 100 is not larger than 10,000, no matter how many times you say it is.
Math. Fail. Stop it.
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I dispute your main point, on the basis that the service hasn't even officially launched and this is just an article about the beta test going well, but I don't know in what world making arguable points is considered trolling.
Imagine how practical this makes mobile homes (Score:2)
One exciting possibility about a fully deployed StarLink, s that you could get a camper van or RV and live pretty well just about anywhere with modern internet speeds.
Of course you still have to deal with how to get electricity, but it could give some people a lot more freedom that are heavily reliant on network access.
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Your Starlink is assigned to a single cell. If you move your Starlink outside of its assigned cell, a satellite will not be scheduled to serve your Starlink and you will not receive internet.
That's interesting to know, I figured it wouldn't be practical right now anyway with only pretty far Northern locations covered... I hope that's not a limitation that will be carried out of beta, I could see possibly for network planning purposes they might want receivers fixed for a while.
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Fun video (Score:1)
There you go (not my video): YouTube...
Thanks! I should have figured someone already tried dragging one of the beta units out into the woods to try, bonus points for setting up an entire server out there as well...
I wonder if the faster download speed out in the wilderness was because he was sharing less of the network, though at only 14 miles away I wouldn't have thought there would be much of a difference as to what part of the StarLink network he was using... maybe just less air pollution helps.
Cannot w
God Send for Cottages (Score:5, Informative)
My brother recently signed up for (cough) Beta (cough) program for his cottage and I asked why as the up front cost ($500 USD) plus monthly ($100) is a lot more than I'm paying right now, and at 100MBps a lot slower, here in Toronto.
But, my brother's cottage, the current Starlink services is significantly faster, more reliable and cheaper than what he has available to him.
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How much would the nearest ISP quote to run a cable out to his cottage?
Pretty sure it would be an astronomically huge number.
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Re:God Send for Cottages (Score:5, Interesting)
My brother recently signed up for (cough) Beta (cough) program for his cottage and I asked why as the up front cost ($500 USD) plus monthly ($100) is a lot more than I'm paying right now, and at 100MBps a lot slower, here in Toronto.
In rural Utah I'm paying $450 per month for 100Mbps symmetric. Oh, and the up front cost for the point-to-point microwave relay was $6000 (I had to buy the equipment on both ends, plus pay for the FCC licensing process). My other option is $100 per month for WiMax which has nominal 15 mbps down and 3 mbps up... but it's heavily oversubscribed and bandwidth drops to nothing as soon as the neighbors' kids get home from school.
I'd be all over Starlink. In fact I signed up for it, but the coverage over my region isn't yet good enough, apparently.
As it happens, a bunch of neighbors' HOA paid a local ISP $250k to run fiber to the area, and for $10k I got them to run the line the extra distance out to my house. I should be getting connected in a couple of months, and then I'll be able to get a 1gbps down / 100 mbps up connection for $100 per month. Assuming it isn't too badly oversubscribed, I'll then cancel the $450 per month microwave link.
So, by the time Starlink is sufficiently-functional in my area, I'll have fiber. I might just subscribe to Starlink as a backup service, though, or to have a mobile receiver I can haul around in my RV, or take up to my cabin (where there isn't even any cell service).
There is plenty of area where Starlink is a huge improvement over the available options. In many cases, there are existing alternatives other than HughesNet or similar satellite Internet which is slower, more expensive, higher-latency, and with extremely limited bandwidth caps.
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In many cases, there are no existing alternatives other than
Dropped a word somehow.
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One exciting possibility about a fully deployed StarLink, s that you could get a camper van or RV and live pretty well just about anywhere with modern internet speeds.
Of course you still have to deal with how to get electricity, ...
Elon is planning to deploy satellites to handle that too ... :-)
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Re: Imagine how practical this makes mobile homes (Score:1)
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One exciting possibility about a fully deployed StarLink, s that you could get a camper van or RV and live pretty well just about anywhere with modern internet speeds.
You can live pretty well just about anywhere without the Internet.
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The other thing that many ppl are missing is that elon will almost certainly send 100+ to the moon and then to mars.
Basically, this makes it easy to build a comm net around moon's planets that we are studying. In fact, I am hoping that Starlink will add some laser coms back to earth with these.
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Users Needed (Score:4, Insightful)
Well, if you figure each satellite costs $0.75M between construction and launch (reported numbers are $30M/launch for 60 satellites and $0.25M construction cost per satellite), and a life span of 7 years on average, then each satellite will need 91 subscribers at $99/month to break even, though that's without any operational costs.
So with 10,000 subscribers, they're covering the costs of more satellites than they've launched, but they need to scale it up to get the per-user operational costs down.
They're in good shape to be highly profitable as they open it up to more users.
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But the satellites dont communicate directly with your router AFAIK, there still needs to be base stations and terrestrial backhaul to user.
There will be other significant costs.
It will be a useful addition to internet accessibility, but there is no long term advantage in providing services for fixed locations via satellite, other than redundancy to backhaul interruptions.
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But the satellites dont communicate directly with your router AFAIK, there still needs to be base stations and terrestrial backhaul to user.
The cost of base stations will amount to a rounding error when compared to the cost of launching satellites into orbit every 7 years. It is not like the stations will only work at specific locations, they can be picky and select the most cost effective locations with direct access to fiber internet.
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Of course the satellite communicates directly with your router. That's the whole point. The backhaul portion is from the satellite to the base station, and from there to the rest of the internet.
If you don't understand how the system works, you probably shouldn't be criticizing it.
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But the satellites dont communicate directly with your router AFAIK, there still needs to be base stations and terrestrial backhaul to user.
The only time your internet provider communicates directly with your router is when its not a fucking router, its a god damned modem.
You do understand exactly how fucking retarded we just figured you out to be?
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Read what i said, and think about your response, is it possible you have an anger management disorder ?
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I looked around and could not find it. How much did Starlink pay for the FCC bandwidth? Was it free? I hope not, the cellco's pay billions and billions for their spectrum.
Satellite spectrum is free of charge because there isn't much contention for it, and because with a little care satellites don't interfere with terrestrial operations. Satellite transmitters are relatively weak and the signals highly attenuated by the time they get to the surface, which is why you need a directional dish of at least a foot or so in diameter to receive them. Transmissions to satellites are also directional.
The FCC does, of course, have fairly rigorous rules [fcc.gov] defining exactly how the spectru
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still false reviews (Score:1, Interesting)
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Look, you are making lots of assumptions which ppl have done on Tesla and SX and nearly all have been wrong.
As this builds out, things get FASTER, not slower. Why? Because more connections to the ground esp. directly to servers, means that it will be easier and faster to distribute across their network.
Anyone noticing the competitors are responding (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Anyone noticing the competitors are responding (Score:5, Informative)
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The company I work for works with a bunch of rural telephone and electric coops around the US. A number of them have been building and/or expanding fiber Internet service (or in some cases, fiber to the neighborhood and wireless to the house) lately due to an increase in grants from the federal government. That's going to increase significantly over the next couple of years as the recently-closed RDOF auction funds start flowing (of which Starlink was awarded nearly 10%).
Nothing particularly nefarious about
Re: Anyone noticing the competitors are responding (Score:2)
Which also happens to be over 9,000 (Score:1)
OVER 9,000!!!!
Way to be precise.
when it goes live (Score:3)
so beta users will be paying 99 a month and 499 for equipment, I hate to see what the prices will be when it goes live for the general public.
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Let's wait until satellites get cramped. (Score:2)
And ye olde lock-in monopolism grip gets tightened. It always is.
How ? (Score:1)