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The Military AI Robotics

NYT: Iran Nuclear Scientist Was Killed By an 'AI-Assisted, Remote-Control Killing Machine' (msn.com) 353

For 14 years Israel had wanted to kill Iran's chief military nuclear scientist and the father of its weapons program, who they suspected of leading Iran's quest to build nuclear weapons.

Then last November "they came up with a way to do it with no operatives present" using a "souped-up, remote-controlled machine gun," according to the New York Times:

(Thanks to Slashdot readers schwit1 and PolygamousRanchKid for sharing this story.) Since 2004, when the Israeli government ordered its foreign intelligence agency, the Mossad, to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons, the agency had been carrying out a campaign of sabotage and cyberattacks on Iran's nuclear fuel enrichment facilities. It was also methodically picking off the experts thought to be leading Iran's nuclear weapons program. Since 2007, its agents had assassinated five Iranian nuclear scientists and wounded another. Most of the scientists worked directly for Fakhrizadeh on what Israeli intelligence officials said was a covert program to build a nuclear warhead, including overcoming the substantial technical challenges of making one small enough to fit atop one of Iran's long-range missiles. Israeli agents had also killed the Iranian general in charge of missile development and 16 members of his team.

But the man Israel said led the bomb program was elusive... This time they were going to try something new.

Iranian agents working for the Mossad had parked a blue Nissan Zamyad pickup truck on the side of the road connecting Absard to the main highway. The spot was on a slight elevation with a view of approaching vehicles. Hidden beneath tarpaulins and decoy construction material in the truck bed was a 7.62 mm sniper machine gun... The assassin, a skilled sniper, took up his position, calibrated the gun sights, cocked the weapon and lightly touched the trigger. He was nowhere near Absard, however. He was peering into a computer screen at an undisclosed location more than 1,000 miles away... Cameras pointing in multiple directions were mounted on the truck to give the command room a full picture not just of the target and his security detail, but of the surrounding environment...

The time it took for the camera images to reach the sniper and for the sniper's response to reach the machine gun, not including his reaction time, was estimated to be 1.6 seconds, enough of a lag for the best-aimed shot to go astray.The AI was programmed to compensate for the delay, the shake and the car's speed.

Ultimately 15 bullets were fired in less than 60 seconds. None of them hit Fakhrizadeh's wife, who was seated just inches away.

The whole remote-controlled apparatus "was smuggled into the country in small pieces over several months," reports the Jerusalem Post, "because, taken together, all of its components would have weighed around a full ton." One new detail in the report was that the explosives used to destroy evidence of the remote-gun partially failed, leaving enough of the gun intact for the Iranians to figure out what had happened...

While all Israeli intelligence and defense officials still praise the assassination for setting back Iran's nuclear weapons program dramatically, 10 months later and with the Islamic Republic an estimated one month away from producing sufficient enriched uranium for a nuclear bomb, the legacy of the operation is less clear... On the other hand, others say that even if Iran decides to move its uranium enrichment up to 90%, that is weaponized level, they still have to put together the other components of a nuclear weapon capability. These include tasks concerned with detonation and missile delivery. Fakhizadeh would have shone in these tasks and his loss will still be felt and slow down the ayatollahs.

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NYT: Iran Nuclear Scientist Was Killed By an 'AI-Assisted, Remote-Control Killing Machine'

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  • "On the other hand, others say that even if Iran decides to move its uranium enrichment up to 90%, that is weaponized level, they still have to put together the other components of a nuclear weapon capability."

    Right. Didn't the Hiroshima bomb basically use the barrel of a mortar to fire one sub-critical chunk of U235 at another? Not exactly rocket science here. As far as delivery, drop it from an airliner? Or just have an airliner on autopilot with the crew bailing out? This isn't 1945, and aircraft wi

    • by ShanghaiBill ( 739463 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @12:29AM (#61812349)

      Didn't the Hiroshima bomb basically use the barrel of a mortar to fire one sub-critical chunk of U235 at another?

      Indeed. If you have sufficient 90% enriched U-235, you are basically done. Everyone who has ever reached that milestone has gone on to successfully build a bomb on the first try.

      As far as delivery, drop it from an airliner?

      Or just put it in a standard shipping container and put it on a container ship heading to the targeted port.

      Pack it in a few hundred kg of lithium deuteride for some extra kick.

    • by mrclevesque ( 1413593 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @12:31AM (#61812351)

      "If they're a month away from enriching enough uranium to make a critical mass, they're two months away from a functional bomb."

      Are they. If they are why would they. If they did why would they drop it. Why the focus? Why would anyone.

      And two. Why is Israel openly and without impunity assassinating citizens in other countries?

      • Re: (Score:2, Flamebait)

        by Calinous ( 985536 )

        Bin Laden was not in USA when it was assassinated by special forces of the USA. Neither was the head of African ISIS (for whose death the French special forces are probably responsible).
        Israel is not alone in this.

        • by Entrope ( 68843 )

          Let's not forget that Russia has also been assassinating people outside its borders, and essentially because they embarrassed the Russian government rather than because of any danger they posed. Also of note were Kim Jong-nam and Jamal Khashoggi. If we look at assassinations by Iran, Saeed Karimian [wikipedia.org] is a recent example.

    • by solidraven ( 1633185 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @01:45AM (#61812461)
      There's more to it than that, if you're too slow the assembly will disrupt itself and fizz out with a minimal yield. Too fast and you might also run into issues that are a bit too far-fetched for slashdot. The theory is simple, actually building a nuclear weapon is difficult. Heck, just machining the pits will take years to figure out if you don't get some help, you have to get the alloying just right to maintain the nuclear weapon yield while maintaining manufacturability.

      Basically, you need a couple of hotshot scientists or engineers to be able to build one of these things. The challenges are non-obvious and both theoretical and practical. It's not as simple as shoving a block of uranium into a mortar barrel and flinging it at another block. So this is actually a big setback for Iran.
      • by mveloso ( 325617 )

        Iran already has enough material to make a radiological weapon; they can grind it into dust and use a crop-duster to deploy it.

        Making a bomb? That's harder, but the hard part is more in getting it to not blow up when you don't want it to. The thing is, they need to test it. AFAIK there's n o way to tell if your design works until you actually fire it off. Once Iran does that the world will have only a short while to deal with the Iran nuclear problem.

        • by solidraven ( 1633185 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @03:12AM (#61812623)
          Well the hard part is getting that super critical event that leads to a spike in energy output. In most instances the prompt criticallity is non-simultaneous and the weapon will disrupt itself long before most of the mass takes part in the reaction. That's also why the implosion design is preferable, because you can maintain better control over the conditions. That way you can form the super critical mass while somewhat separating the trigger that sets it off.
    • by rastos1 ( 601318 )

      ...aircraft with the payload of a B-29 are a dime a dozen.

      ... for a very big value of dime or very small value of dozens.

      I wonder where do you go shopping?

      • The B-29 development cost (according to Wikipedia) was larger than Project Manhattan ($3 billion vs $2 billion, in current money it would be some $40 billion USD). None of the pre-war powers would have been able to field it, and - after WW2 - only the Soviet Union would be able to engage in something similar.
        Meanwhile, any country could buy a similar (or larger) capability in the Hercules C-130J, or simply use one of their civilian Airbus aircrafts (which has higher speed, ceiling, twice (or more) the paylo

    • It's nowhere near that simple. Firstly, read Rhodes' "The Making of the Atomic Bomb" to get an idea of just how much work is actually involved, way too much to summarise here. Secondly, the gun-type design you're referring to is an evolutionary dead end, which is why it was only ever fielded as a stopgap before the implosion design was ready. And the big problem is miniaturising it to make it deliverable, a bomb that requires an 18-wheeler for delivery isn't much of a practical threat.
  • The truth is that when Iran gets a nuclear weapon, they will use it.

    Very likely the first target would be Israel, but just as likely would be a major U.S. port city.

    Regardless of target, anything that slows that down is welcome, even though assassination is an unsavory thing. I just can't be too sad about saving 1 million+ innocent lives...

    • Surprised the Pakistanis haven't helped them with their nuclear program. They seem to like terrorism otherwise. Maybe they realized arming fanatics has it's limits.

      • by ShanghaiBill ( 739463 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @12:37AM (#61812371)

        Surprised the Pakistanis haven't helped them with their nuclear program.

        Paks are Sunni. Iranians are Shia.

        In general, they hate each other.

        Pakistan has a history of anti-Shia persecution and pogroms.

        Iran - Pakistan relations [wikipedia.org]

      • by hoofie ( 201045 )

        The Pakistan Nuclear program was paid for, lock stock and barrel, by the Saudi's as a last-ditch counterpoint to the Iranians. The Saudi Ruling Family and the various tribes are Sunni; in the East it's Shias, which look to Iran for religious leadership. They are terrified of the Iranians gaining the upper hand in the region.

        [The Saudi enemy isn't and never has been Israel]

        In the event Iran has a pop at Saudi, Pakistani Nuclear weapons get flown to Riyadh.

    • by teg ( 97890 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @12:21AM (#61812337)

      The truth is that when Iran gets a nuclear weapon, they will use it.

      Very likely the first target would be Israel, but just as likely would be a major U.S. port city.

      Regardless of target, anything that slows that down is welcome, even though assassination is an unsavory thing. I just can't be too sad about saving 1 million+ innocent lives...

      Extremely unlikely, as there would be a massive nuclear retaliation. However, Israel would face the same threat of retaliation if they used their nukes if Iran got theirs - so Israel would lose the ace up their sleeve.

      Besides, Iran has plenty of other fights they are part of, against other powers in the region... The Shia vs Sunni conflict lines run deep

      • Mostly correct, but the Shia vs Sunni conflict is vastly over stated. It's used to make the Middle East sound simplistic, barbaric and worthy of control and policing. Almost all of the sectarian violence can be explained through political and non-religious means. You just have to be willing to see how lines of power draw back to European and American sources and how instability in the Middle East benefits the capitalist class.
        • by teg ( 97890 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @03:10AM (#61812617)

          Mostly correct, but the Shia vs Sunni conflict is vastly over stated. It's used to make the Middle East sound simplistic, barbaric and worthy of control and policing. Almost all of the sectarian violence can be explained through political and non-religious means. You just have to be willing to see how lines of power draw back to European and American sources and how instability in the Middle East benefits the capitalist class.

          It is simplistic, but not wrong... it "just" happens that other conflict lines goes around the same lines, e.g. Persians vs Arabs, or Iran vs Saudi-Arabia in fight for regional influence. Those engage in "hot" proxy wars as well, e.g. the Shia Houthi faction in Yemen vs. the Sunni coalition backed by Saudi-Arabia.

          With that in mind, the most scary part about Iran getting nuclear weapons is probably not against Israel - it will just put them on par with them - but expected race for the other regional players to get them as well.

          • The Yemen war was not a Shia-Sunni conflict.
            The Iran-Houthi link was invented by the Saudis in order to sell the war. When we hear 'proxy war with Iran' we instantly accept it as an unfortunate necessity and look away. Iran involvement started only years later and by then a lot of countries were heavily involved. It is not because they are also 'kinda Shia' that they have close links.

            We're still looking away.
            https://reliefweb.int/report/y... [reliefweb.int]

      • Some additional reading on the fabricated sectarian conflict between Shia and Sunni: https://www.aljazeera.com/opin... [aljazeera.com]
      • As long as Israel had its nuclear WMDs and Syria had its Chemical WMDs both sides behaved. Once Russia and US got Syria to get rid of its deterrent, Israel violates Syrian airspace to kill people on Syrian soil whenever it wants.
    • They won't use it. If Iran get nuclear weapons they'll get a seat at the table with other nuclear powers and no one will threaten to start a war with them anymore. It worked for North Korea and Pakistan. Case in point, Iran isn't the one killing off Israeli state and military officials.

      To believe otherwise is orientalist chauvinism. Iran has extremely intelligent and cultured people. Some of the best engineers, scientists, poets, artist, musicians, and more. They want self determination and to end imperia
      • by hoofie ( 201045 )

        Iran is beautiful place full of some of the friendliest people on the planet with a very deep culture.

        It really should be a dynamic regional powerhouse but it's been beggared by the theocracy who are busy filling their pockets at the same time.

        • Well, they got that theocracy filling its pocket with unearned riches after kicking out some puppet dictator that filled his pockets with unearned riches that a certain superpower installed...

          Yet another revolution against a despot that ended up in no better place than you were before.

        • I would love to visit Mecca but alas, not a Muslim...

    • Reminds me of a song:
      "Paranoia strikes deep
      Into your life it will creep
      It starts when you're always afraid
      Step out of line, the men come and take you away"

      How much evil has been done in the world that was justified by fear? We've been conditioned to accept the death of almost 1 million as acceptable to "stop terror." https://watson.brown.edu/costs... [brown.edu]
    • The truth is that when Iran gets a nuclear weapon, they will use it.
      Very likely the first target would be Israel, ...

      Nuking a country that's basically next door doesn't seem like a bright idea as you'll probably be in the fallout area. Also Israel is "universally believed to possess nuclear arms" according to a quick Google search, so a first strike better be a total surprise and super successful. On the other hand, people be crazy ...

    • by lsllll ( 830002 )
      Iran using a nuclear weapon on Israel would lead not only to the whole international community condemning it, but will also assure the Islamic Republic's end via retaliatory nuclear strikes from Israel and the U.S. putting all its efforts on that front, military or otherwise. Why would the Iranian government do something that'll guarantee its demise?
    • We are literally talking about a nation sending out killer robots. Mind you one with compulsory military service so everyone is either currently sending out killer bots, did so in the past or will do so in the future.
    • by khchung ( 462899 )

      The truth is that when Iran gets a nuclear weapon, they will use it.

      Like how when North Korea got their nukes, they immediately nuked South Korea and Japan? Oh, wait. That didn't happen. And now the US dared not invade NK no matter how Kim rattles his sabre.

      The truth is, the US is the *only* country in the world which used nuclear bombs (plural) as soon as they got it.

      The truth is, having nuke is the *only* thing that protects a country from US invasion. Iraq learned the hard way when they thought showing the world they didn't have nukes would have prevented US invasion

    • They want their scaremongering xenophobic talking points back
    • by znrt ( 2424692 )

      The truth is that when Iran gets a nuclear weapon, they will use it.

      you mean the truth you just pulled out of your ass with zero supporting evidence?

      and you people call others "unstable fanatic morons" ...

  • I wonder if any citizens of Israel are reasonable targets. And on what basis they could object to it being done.

  • by BardBollocks ( 1231500 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @12:17AM (#61812329)

    Whenever it does something that would be headline news if other countries did it.

    Just add this to the crimes Israel commits.

    • by Mitreya ( 579078 )

      Whenever it does something that would be headline news if other countries did it.

      A drone strike in Kabul last month [Aug 29th] killed as many as 10 civilians, including seven children, the U.S. military said on Friday, apologizing for what it called a "tragic mistake".

      • Interesting example. After the US lied about the drone strike for weeks. And after the drone strike was done in retaliation for a foggy bomb attack in Kabul where most people died from bullets but which nobody cares to investigate.
        The drone strike itself was already a diversion

    • by diffract ( 7165501 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @01:55AM (#61812483)
      I know right? this story is written as if it's clear-cut Iran scientists are the bad guys, and keeps kissing Israel's ass by explaining how hi-tech this operation seemingly was. It is sickening
      • Sure but what *were* those iranian scientists doing exactly?

        I notice the "Fission is the only cure for climate change, we absolutely need new reactors" crew of nuke shills are mysteriously silent whenever there's a story on Iran.

        Leave that nasty radioactive shit in the ground.

        • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

          by MacMann ( 7518492 )

          I noticed the solar power shills get real quiet when Iran is the topic of discussion. If solar power is so great then why would a nation with so much sun and so little uranium want a nuclear power program? The answer is that they don't want a nuclear power program. Iran is using the veil of a civil nuclear power program to cover their weapon development.

          The reason nuclear power is not mentioned when Iran is the topic of discussion is because nuclear power and nuclear weapons have very little in common wi

          • If solar power is so great then why would a nation with so much sun and so little uranium want a nuclear power program? The answer is that they don't want a nuclear power program.

            Australia doesn't want a nuclear power program. And yet you quote dubious News Corporation sources to pretend that there is broad support.

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @04:32AM (#61812733) Homepage Journal

      It also illustrates why Iran wants nuclear weapons. They are about the only thing that might make Israel think twice about attacking them.

      • Nuclear weapons are supposed to be a defense against existential threats, not against general acts of war. Israel does not pose a direct existential threat to Iran.
        There are a lot of reasons why countries choose to limit themselves to 'nuclear capable'(long time needed to build them) or 'nuclear threshold'(short time needed) instead of having them or having them on trigger alert.
        China interestingly has stuck to a 'slow response' until now: They cannot shoot back on short notice.

        Only the US wants to extend t

    • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

      by thegarbz ( 1787294 )

      Whenever it does something that would be headline news if other countries did it.

      And we're discussing this why? Did a little squirrel tell you about it, or was it a headline on MSNBC?

      Maybe you were distracted because this happened in December at a time when the USA had it's very real own issues to deal with, not the least of which was a direct attack on the democracy of the world's most powerful nation. But in case you did miss it, here is the headline news:
      https://www.theguardian.com/wo... [theguardian.com]
      https://apnews.com/article/dub... [apnews.com]
      https://www.reuters.com/articl... [reuters.com]
      https://news.sky.com/story/the.. [sky.com]

    • Asking such a question sets up a begged question of moral equivalency.
      The comparison is not context free as you seem to imply.

      Israel gets a free pass because Iran is a terrorist state. Iran cheerfully and rather openly supports Hezbollah, and for a decade funded, trained, armed, and supplied militias in Iraq dedicated to killing western soldiers and toppling the government. Iraq's own special operations troops (by some accounts) conducted these attacks.

      I don't see Hezbollah spending a lot of time trying to

  • by Rosco P. Coltrane ( 209368 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @12:18AM (#61812331)

    where everybody is so busy inventing ways to kill their fellow man - be it the fucking Israeli and their robotic machine gun or the fucking Iranian scientist and his nuclear bomb material.

    If only they could exterminate each other and let the rest of us live in peace...

  • by Alain Williams ( 2972 ) <addw@phcomp.co.uk> on Monday September 20, 2021 @12:25AM (#61812345) Homepage

    Or at least an act of war ? No matter what they thought of Fakhrizadeh - he was living in another country. There were enough complaints when Russia poisoned Sergei and Yulia Skripal [wikipedia.org] or Alexander Litvinenko [wikipedia.org], North Korea killed Kim Jong-nam [wikipedia.org].

    • Re: (Score:2, Troll)

      by joe_frisch ( 1366229 )
      Unfortunately for a long time - maybe forever, "good" means things that we think benefit us, and "bad" means things that hurt us. We wrap it up in all sorts of excuses, but its all perceived national self interest.

      Whether the US's real self interest lies in this direction is a different question.

      I wish it were not this way.
  • by Antique Geekmeister ( 740220 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @12:42AM (#61812377)

    Iran has been buying its nuclear technology from Pakistan. Killing a lead scientiest may actually speed up their programs if the scientist was not as competent as his next in command, which is common in long running federal programs.

  • by jargonburn ( 1950578 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @12:53AM (#61812393)

    his loss will still be felt

    Yeah. For instance, by his wife, the woman seared "who was seated just inches away"?
    So, who am I supposed the cheer for? Both sides seem to be assholes. And, I'm an American, so I should know!

  • by hoofie ( 201045 ) <mickey&mouse,com> on Monday September 20, 2021 @01:51AM (#61812477)

    The Israeli's do not piss about when it comes to threats. They have absolutely no compunction about reaching out and touching someone.

    At the same time, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Egypt and most of the Gulf States make a quiet sigh of relief that the Iranian Genie has been kept in the box a bit longer.

  • by Luckyo ( 1726890 ) on Monday September 20, 2021 @02:55AM (#61812597)

    >sniper machine gun

    The what now?

    >NYT source

    >Israel chose a special model of a Belgian-made FN MAG machine gun attached to an advanced robotic apparatus, according to an intelligence official familiar with the plot. The official said the system was not unlike the off-the-rack Sentinel 20 manufactured by the Spanish defense contractor Escribano.

    https://static01.nyt.com/image... [nyt.com]

    >The convoy slowed down for a speed bump just before the parked Zamyad. A stray dog began crossing the road.

    >The machine gun fired a burst of bullets, hitting the front of the car below the windshield. It is not clear if these shots hit Mr. Fakhrizadeh but the car swerved and came to a stop.

    >The shooter adjusted the sights and fired another burst, hitting the windshield at least three times and Mr. Fakhrizadeh at least once in the shoulder. He stepped out of the car and crouched behind the open front door.

    So basically a stabilized remote controlled heavy mount with a satellite link and some lag compensation software firing near point blank. There is literally nothing "sniper" about it.

    But it's a sniper machine gun. Because modern journalism.

  • Set aside for the moment that Israel has come one small step closer to building a Terminator. If another country gets 'the bomb,' it makes the world a little more like America, where there are more guns than people. Unlike firearms, which can only kill at a rate of one bullet at a time, nukes can kill thousands or millions plus start a nuclear war chain reaction. Of course, every country builds a nuclear arsenal as a deterrent, just as Americans buy guns for self-defense. However, once you reach a criti
  • Once Iran gets a nuclear weapon Israel probably goes into a launch on warning posture. The first time they see a Iranian or Hezbollah rocket heading in they throw everything they've got at Iran. Goodbye Tehran, Qom, Tabriz, and other Iranian cities.

It is easier to write an incorrect program than understand a correct one.

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