Yandex, Russia's Answer To Google, Warns It May Not Be Able To Pay Its Debts (cnn.com) 127
Russia's biggest search engine could collapse as financial fallout from the invasion of Ukraine spreads. From a report: Yandex, which handles about 60% of internet search traffic in Russia and operates a big ride-hailing business, says it may be unable to pay its debts as a consequence of the financial market meltdown triggered by the West's unprecedented sanctions. The company is based in the Netherlands, but its shares are listed on the Nasdaq and the Russian stock exchange.
Dealing in the stock has been suspended this week as the value of Russian assets collapsed in Moscow and around the world in the wake of the invasion. The imposition of sanctions by the United States, European Union and other big Western economies last weekend piled on the pressure. Yandex hasn't been sanctioned but it could still default. Investors who hold $1.25 billion in Yandex convertible notes have a right to demand repayment in full, plus interest, if trading in its shares are suspended on the Nasdaq for more than five days. The Moscow stock market will remain shut at least until Tuesday, Russian state news agencies reported on Friday.
Dealing in the stock has been suspended this week as the value of Russian assets collapsed in Moscow and around the world in the wake of the invasion. The imposition of sanctions by the United States, European Union and other big Western economies last weekend piled on the pressure. Yandex hasn't been sanctioned but it could still default. Investors who hold $1.25 billion in Yandex convertible notes have a right to demand repayment in full, plus interest, if trading in its shares are suspended on the Nasdaq for more than five days. The Moscow stock market will remain shut at least until Tuesday, Russian state news agencies reported on Friday.
Picking up pennies in front of steamroller? (Score:2)
Re:Picking up pennies in front of steamroller? (Score:4, Funny)
Best news of the year! (Score:3)
Not such a bad FP thread, though I strongly disagree. The modern stock market has nothing to do with real "equity" of the companies. It's all about timing with a bit of disguise in the illegal cases. Sad to say, but Putin is controlling most of the timing, and as long as he knows when, then he can make gigantic profits (but assuming he can still hide the money trails). For example, if Putin can profit by opening the Moscow stock market at a particular time, then you can bet he'll do that, and voila, you can
Re: Best news of the year! (Score:2)
Is yandex causing spam ? I have multiple yandex email addresses, and they are far less a victim of spam, than Gmail. Though that may mean nothing in the direction of yandex causing spam.
Do you have any references?
Re: (Score:2)
Pennies in front of steamroller means playing with leverage. In an of itself this is just a long odds bet.
Putin could croak tomorrow and be replaced with a more accommodative ruler, never know.
Re: (Score:2)
Or a worse one, like Mecha-Putin.
Re: (Score:2)
The thing is, you never know they might try something desperate and stupid like try to open and halt the collapse by spending a lot of money. It is not likely, but one never knows.
If that happens then there might be a window to sell at say 10%-30% of their pre-crash values if one is fast enough (Ie, not normal people but institutional traders who follow tings 24/7) .
Thus getting something for, say 1% of value and 10% chance to get back 20%+ value in short time.. might be possible for them they calculate. An
Re: (Score:3)
Re: Picking up pennies in front of steamroller? (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
"they might try something desperate and stupid like try to open and halt the collapse by spending a lot of money,,,If that happens then there might be a window to sell at say 10%-30% of their pre-crash values"
Unlikely; the only money they have a lot of to spend is their own Monopoly money, which wouldn't accomplish anything.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3)
I keep seeing people posting about how this all blows over at somepoint and these companies have to recover. At one level I think they are actually correct but they seem to not be aware of a couple things.
First)
If you can trade anything at all at this point its an ADR or GDR not the actually company. Don't know what that means? You'd better before you pump cash into it. Short versions is its a contractual construct not direct equity. Sanctions and embargo have a nasty potential to make it impossible for t
Re: (Score:2)
>Point is while I am sure there are plays, Trying it as retail investor, you are likely better off with with gas station lotto tickets.
Yes, the return % is likely way higher with lottery.
Re: (Score:2)
Looks like Aeroflot will also go out of business in a month. Can't get spares or maintenance (its main maintenance hub is in Germany), can't make payments on its leased planes which will be repossessed. Can't fly anywhere except domestically.
Re: (Score:2)
leased planes which will be repossessed
The Russian govt decided to nationalize leased planes, without compensation. So at least domestically, Aeroflot will survive. And there's quite a few countries that will allow stolen planes to fly -- basically, any routes other than westwards.
Re: (Score:2)
Good luck with that.
They will eventually be returned to owner.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: Picking up pennies in front of steamroller? (Score:2)
Do you think that they would be able to operate planes without maintenance even on internal flights?
Russian aviation authority would object.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: Picking up pennies in front of steamroller? (Score:2)
You're assuming that Russia will never again join the world economy.
Maybe, but not likely.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Except now you have to plan your routes around friendly countries. Because if you accidentally stray into the wrong country, then your stolen plane will be repossessed.
Plus, knowing you're flying stolen planes limits your future opportunities to leasing more planes - i
Re: Picking up pennies in front of steamroller? (Score:2)
Not much complication with the routes since any destination they can fly to is domestic or neighboring country.
The biggest problem would be economic, nobody in Russia would be able to afford to fly.
Where are its engineers and servers? (Score:2)
If the company was heavily multinational this is the end. If it was a purely Russian company with a Dutch PO box for investment reasons, I assume the core of the company will just keep going on in Russia while their paper burns in the west.
Re: (Score:2)
They might survive but in a severely battered manner incapable of keeping up with innovation. Their own index wouldn't update except to reflect new misinformation published within Russia (yay). And they never have the resources to acquire/expand their portfolio without monies from Western Europe.
And there lies the issue: The creditors have International Courts on their side to force repayments (in whatever currency, at whatever exchange rates) to be made whole.
Re: (Score:2)
I guess you never heard of "force majeure".
How will college kids get their food? (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
The dominos keep falling (Score:3)
The European branch of Sberbank is now insolvent. Yandex is on the verge of collapse. Lukoil is asking Russia to stop the war. Foreign companies have stopped operations in Russia. Russian stocks traded in Europe and elsewhere are in the pennies. The Russian stock market hasn't opened in a week. Ratings companies are now classifying Russia as uninvestable. The rouble is almost worthless.
This is only week one of the sanctions. Imagine how much fun will happen in week two.
Re: (Score:2)
Time to rename the "ruble" to "rubble."
This could impact Republican leaders (Score:2)
Apparently the fine group of supposed Americans known as Republicans are using servers in Russia hosted by Yandex [imgur.com]. This has been going on since at least 2014. As the posters wrote, one has to wonder why this would be done other than to prevent their emails from being read by law enforcement.
This reminds me of the scene from Serenity where the assassin brings up the point the scientists let a psychic in a room with the top military and political minds of the Alliance.
Putin is a clueless old fart. (Score:2)
He's stuck in the cold war era and thinks domination is won by military might and conquest, which is an absolute joke. Might is won by economic means in the 21st century, and he is destroying Russia's.
Even his excuses are laughably full of old boomer energy. Yes, I'm sure Nato is going to come to your borders someday and try to conquer you, what with your thousands of shitty old but functional (probably mostly) nukes. That's totally a real thing that could happen, great grandpa, better start a pre-emptive w
Re: (Score:2)
>He's stuck in the cold war era and thinks domination is won by military might and conquest, which is an absolute joke. Might is won by economic means in the 21st century
It is currently a combination of multiple factors and the use of military power is still one of them.
If you look at the current top dog, US:
1)US is very willing to use military power for it's ends and maintains a huge, well funded and trained army.
2)US is a huge economic power and thus has economic power that it uses.
3)US is also a huge
Re: (Score:2)
Right, but even looking at military power you need the economy to drive it. China knows this. The US knows this. Great Great Grandpa Vlad thinks he can just use sturdy Russian blood as grist for the mill.
Looks like Russia can't do an economy, so I guess they're going the NK route and will just become a terrorist state extorting money with their nukes.
This is watching Russia commit national suicide in slow motion. Which is extremely fucking dangerous because they have thousands of nukes.
I don't get why Linds
Re: (Score:2)
>Sure, there's a risk that someone worse could take over but that's probably a pretty small risk.
At least the next one could claim that he was not involved, stop the war and make noises to be better than Putin. As even if he would be overall worse than Putin, even the dumbest person should know that the current plan of using just the military is not working so the current war would likely stop. In the long run of course someone else could be worse.. but not very likely.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Does it look like he's going to deescalate? It's not happening. And Graham wasn't saying we should kill him, he was saying Russia should deal with him because it's their country he's driving into the shitter.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
So, Russia insisted that we do not agree to defend countries in the former USSR sphere of influence from military attacks, therefore agreeing to defend them if they're attacked is a good reason to attack a country that does not have a mutual self-defense agreement with us? First, that is some twisted logic there. Second, if we promised to never expand NATO east to new countries, show us th
Re: (Score:2)
Re: Putin is a clueless old fart. (Score:2)
Essentially his simple question was:
How is this different from Cuba ?
That'd be a pity (Score:2)
I'd hate to lose Yandex. Their image search often gives better results than anyone else. Google used to be the gold standard, but it has become very hit-and-miss, and had many options removed.
Clickhouse (Score:2)
I'm hoping that clickhouse development and support keeps on churning. That DB is great!
Shame. They offered no-auth accounts. (Score:2)
That would be a shame. They were one of very few providers where you could still get an account without mandatory phone verification. I would miss them.
Re:It seems like there is real financial happening (Score:4, Insightful)
China will buy the oil, but they're not going to do Russia any favors. My guess is they'll offer something like 25% of the world market rate. What is Russia going to do, take the oil elsewhere? No one else with any money is going near Russian oil with a 2km tanker. And I think the hope of the West is that they make life unpleasant enough for the oligarchs that they remove Putin, though I'm not sure they have any actual mechanism available to them to do so.
Re: (Score:2)
If they can't find a legal route, perhaps he'll slip on some tea.
Re: (Score:2)
Even if he's slipping a few cogs, Putin is an old KGB hand and has paranoia baked into his DNA. My guess is he is currently in a bunker mentality and physically, only interacting with a very small number of highly trusted people. He's not going to be easy to get at for anyone, legally or extra-legally.
Re: (Score:2)
Have you seen the pictures of him meeting with his cabinet? At least 20' away by himself at the far end of the table.
Re: It seems like there is real financial happenin (Score:2)
I have seen that, and for a guy dancing on the razor's edge like Putin, it astonishes me.
Re: (Score:3)
No one else with any money is going near Russian oil with a 2km tanker. .
This. Just yesterday the UK refused to unload two tanker ships loaded with Russian liquified natural gas even though it was enough to supply the entire UK demand for 12 days so they were forced to sail elsewhere to try to find someone who wanted it.
Re:It seems like there is real financial happening (Score:5, Insightful)
Social media overreaction?
The fucking lunatics where shelling a giant , and old, nuclear reactor. I dont think your appreciating just how big a whole deal this war is. Ukraines not Georgia or Chechnya , small countries with even smaller populations.
Ukraines the second largest country by area in Europe (the biggest being russia), and it has a population of nearly 50 million people , a bit below the UK, and about twice that of australia. The potential for human tragedy here is mindboggling. Already a million people displaced, and this war has barely started.
It would be *weird* if the world hadn't reacted in the wat it has. Its not an "overreaction". What Putin has done is abysmal.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3)
Couple of things:
1) Syria had a very low number of films surfacing of Russians doing bad stuff. This is likely the primary reason.
But lesser reasons include:
2)People are used to bad things happening in the Middle easy after so many decades of such news. Whereas people are accustomed to the west actually reacting when bad things happen like in the Balkans.
3)Many people in the west care a lot less about things happening in an Arab country than in an European country. This is a combination of many things inc
Re: (Score:2)
Also, Syria is less than half the population of Ukraine, and about a quarter of the GDP.
Re: (Score:3)
Also most of atrocities were blamed on/done by the Syrian regime, not Russians, thus they were the ones facing the sanctions and backslash.
This time there is no one else to blame for them.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
You could make a case that the West under-reacted to Syrian crisis and sleep walked through a humanitarian crisis, but I am making a case that the West is over-reacting and hysterically escalating toward a nuclear war.
What do you think the correct level of reaction from the West would be?
Re: (Score:2)
You could make a case that the West under-reacted to Syrian crisis and sleep walked through a humanitarian crisis, but I am making a case that the West is over-reacting and hysterically escalating toward a nuclear war.
What do you think the correct level of reaction from the West would be?
Sanctions on Russia's energy sector and direct moves toward energy independence (more drilling, more nuclear). Without oil and gas Putin won't be able to afford his military.
Re: It seems like there is real financial happenin (Score:2)
Sanctions are not over-reactions. Sanctions as bad as that word sounds is realistically saying "My partners and I will not do business with you." Overreaction would be surrounding Kiev with NATO forces and waiting for Putin to start WW3.
Sanctions required a massive amount of coordination and common will and sacrifice. If you don't want sanctions to impact you, it's simple, just be completely independent and not trade anything with anyone.
Re: (Score:3)
I reject your rationalizations...
And I reject yours.
...I am making a case that the West is over-reacting and hysterically escalating toward a nuclear war.
This is not a hysterical over-reaction. This is a slow, measured, response to an unconscionable act of aggression. We have not sent in our armies. There are no bombs dropping on St Petersburg. The "West" is not making threats of nuclear war. Putin is. We will not launch a pre-emptive nuclear attack, but neither will we back down out of fear from his threats.
That is the problem with threatening a final sanction act like nuclear war -there really isn't anywhere to go from there. Whe
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
punishing everyday Russians, whom do not have any say in how Putin rules.
If everyday Russians go on the street and protest, this war will be over. They may be the only ones who can end the war.
Re: (Score:3)
So you're saying two wrongs make a right. Cool story, Ivan.
Re: (Score:2)
What is happening now is not social media over reaction. Yes there are huge amounts of over reaction on social media with call for actual war with a nuclear armed power and such, but what we are seeing is actually a new type of coverage of war.
Vietnam war was the first televised war, as in the first time people could day after day see the horrors of war on TV. That shaped the US opinion eventually enough to cause them to withdraw.
Us army then took that lesson to heart and they have learned to manage a tele
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
>you get sitting US Senator calling for assassination of Putin.
Yes, that could be a good way to solve this problem if it worked. As anyone taking over could then just blame everything on Putin and stop to war and say "It was the Mad man Putin!" the same way German generals after WW2 used "Mad man Hitler" excuse.
>this is how you have people seriously considering no-fly zone over Ukraine
Not anyone who could actually do such. So this is just talk..
>this is how you have demands for NATO troops to start
Re: (Score:2)
>you get sitting US Senator calling for assassination of Putin.
Yes, that could be a good way to solve this problem if it worked.
Except of consequences of a near-miss attempt. Think of it this way, how would US react to a credible attempt on Biden by Russian operatives? I am nearly certain US would declare war.
As anyone taking over could then just blame everything on Putin and stop to war and say "It was the Mad man Putin!"
Except we don't know that would actually happen with certainty. Do you know who is the likely successor? What are his views?
Re: (Score:2)
>Except of consequences of a near-miss attempt. Think of it this way, how would US react to a credible attempt on Biden by Russian operatives?
10% Would cheer the attempt and lament that it did not succeed
10% would say "bad Russians, do not do that again!"
10% would call for investigation on who in US helped them
10% would not care one way or other
10% would ask: Who is Biden?
10% would call for immediate total nuclear war
10% would want Russia to to bombed
10% would chant 'Murica, 'Murica
10% would say that it
The 50% of Slashdotters (Score:2)
And 50% of Slashdotters would say "oh yeah sure, blame Russia again. Like I really believe THAT". While Russia literally shows video of them doing it.
Re: (Score:2)
Re:It seems like there is real financial happening (Score:5, Interesting)
You might have what they call "oppositional defiant disorder" when it happens in kids. I've noticed it among many right wingers (not saying you are, I have no idea). Basically they have been programmed to not believe anything not from a) their preacher/priest b) someone who tells them what they want to hear or c) someone who says everything "the MSM NWO globalhomo cabal" is wrong so they should believe the opposite no matter what.
This manifests as sort of a hipster mentality. If everyone else believes it, they must believe the opposite. That's why so many of them have a sympathy for Russia in this whole thing - if Soros, Biden, Twitter, the MSM, et al are against Russia and for Ukraine, there must be some nefarious plot behind it all involving Hunter Biden and "Shrillary Klinton".
It's fascinating, really, growing up I had no idea that about 40% of our country are high functioning morons.
Re: (Score:2)
It's fascinating, really, growing up I had no idea that about 40% of our country are high functioning morons.
Even worse. I hear 50% are below average!
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
You mean 50% are below the median?
Suppose you have numbers 3, 4, 5, 6, and 20. Then the average is 38/5 = 7.6. How many are below average? Lets try the opposite example, with 32, 91, 93, 99, and 112. ....
Re: (Score:2)
about 40% of our country are high functioning morons.
I really, really wish they weren't.
Re: (Score:2)
His nick does translate from Russian, which may lead you onto something.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Yes, but the list of things that the west was willing to trade to the Soviet union was quite limited.
Specially the export restrictions on things like precision tools and computer technology hurt them a lot.
Re: (Score:2)
It will not go back, sinij, after bandit has dropped all his masks for the sake of copulation with Ukraine.
Re: (Score:2)
The West has several avenues for these natural resources; they simply cost a few bucks more.
"Full economic isolation [...] would be unusual"?! It happens more often than you realize! Look at North Korea! It's the highest bureaucratic gesture of disapproval available without military warfare -- this is becoming Cold War II: Putin's Final Opus because his parting gift to Russia is being relegated back to third-world e
Re: (Score:2)
In the long run the oligarchs can do a lot if most of them turn against Putin as the whole system is corrupt so, them willing to spend enough money will make it impossible to Putin to counter. But not on short while.
Re: (Score:2)
China will buy the oil,
There is only so much China can buy because then you run into storage capacity. If you buy that tanker of oil you better have a place to store it. Othewise, that tanker's going to sit off your coast until you can find storage. That means the company delivering the oil is losing money because it can't use that tanker.
Russia is having this very problem with oil storage. As mentioned, no one is buying Russian oil. They don't want to get caught up in the sanctions. So what is Russia to
Re: (Score:2)
Except that:
China imports an estimated 10,852,615 barrels/day
Russia produces an estimated 9,865,495 barrels/day
So china could import it all after a period of adjustment, if they wanted to be so reliant on one source.. that is of course not likely.
Re: (Score:2)
They also have a bandwidth problem. Pipelines between Russia and China are maxed out, and that's not something that can be fixed overnight. Coal is apparently in the same situation; they can't move enough of it fast enough with existing rail lines.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
It still needs to be moved, and carriers aren't keen to load Russian oil right now.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Oh, absolutely. But China has a huge appetite for oil, and getting as much Russian oil as possible at a discount seems more their style without wasting carrier capacity trying to sell it on to other places.
Re: (Score:2)
No one else with any money is going near Russian oil with a 2km tanker.
Until they get desperate enough.
Biden is trying, but even he can't generate enough ... wind ... to meet what are still petroleum demands.
Re: (Score:2)
In case of US, you should remember that in 2019 and 2020 US was a net energy exporter(have not seen 2021 figures yet).
So, US will not be the one to buy those at least. But you are right that there will eventually be countries that will import such very likely, if they get a proper discount.
Re: (Score:2)
Banking, trade, travel restriction - these sanctions impact everyday Russians. Oil and gas embargo - it would directly impact state-controlled oil companies and directly reduce Putin's budget. Yet that effective
Re: (Score:2)
Except that:
âoethe Biden Interior Department approved nearly 900 more permits to drill on public land in 2021 than the Trump administration had in its first year in office"
https://subscriber.politicopro... [politicopro.com]
https://www.accountable.us/new... [accountable.us]
Re: (Score:2)
That's not true, Biden's administration did not pick anything. The US is still a net exporter [eia.gov] of oil and the recent price increases only guarantee more domestic production.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
It's unlikely that China will do much that will risk angering its US/EU trading partners over Russian.
LOL, you mean the same US that have started the trade war with China since 2018, sanctioned multiple Chinese persons and companies, and had so far lifted none of the additional tariffs yet? And the same EU that have now halted the BIT that was signed in 2020? If US/EU can sanction China even more without hurting themselves too much, they would have done so already. Nothing China does now short of sending troops to Taiwan could have any more effect.
Russia is 12th with 84 billion in trade with China. In 1st, 2nd and 3rd are the US, EU, and ASEAN which do 500+ billion in trade each. Australia at 7th place is 136 billion.
That just mean China can easily switch to buying from Rus
Re: (Score:2)
Spammers: Continue on Microsoft server I think.
According to Spamhous The World's Worst Spam Support ISPs are:
1 microsoft.com
2 uninet.net.mx
3 cloudflare.com
4 google.com
5 stc.com.sa
https://www.spamhaus.org/stati... [spamhaus.org]