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Science

California Supervolcano: Caltech's 'Chilling' Discovery In Long Valley Caldera (scitechdaily.com) 26

An anonymous reader shared this report from SciTechDaily: Since the 1980s, researchers have observed significant periods of unrest in a region of California's Eastern Sierra Nevada mountains characterized by swarms of earthquakes as well as the ground inflating and rising by almost half an inch per year during these periods. The activity is concerning because the area, called the Long Valley Caldera, sits atop a massive dormant supervolcano... What is behind the increased activity in the last few decades? Could it be that the area is preparing to erupt again? Or could the uptick in activity actually be a sign that the risk of a massive eruption is decreasing?

To answer these questions, Caltech researchers have created the most detailed underground images to date of the Long Valley Caldera, reaching depths up to 10 kilometers within the Earth's crust. These high-resolution images reveal the structure of the earth beneath the caldera and show that the recent seismic activity is a result of fluids and gases being released as the area cools off and settles down.

The work was conducted in the laboratory of Zhongwen Zhan (PhD '14), professor of geophysics. A paper describing the research was published on October 18 in the journal Science Advances. "We don't think the region is gearing up for another supervolcanic eruption, but the cooling process may release enough gas and liquid to cause earthquakes and small eruptions," says Zhan. "For example, in May 1980, there were four magnitude 6 earthquakes in the region alone."

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California Supervolcano: Caltech's 'Chilling' Discovery In Long Valley Caldera

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  • I was wondering where this is, a very rough estimate is 10 miles ENE of Mammoth Mountain Skiing area and a bit north of Mammoth Yosemite Airport.
    So according to this article, "dormant" means "substantially dormant, minor eruptions possible".

  • by PPH ( 736903 ) on Saturday October 21, 2023 @03:35PM (#63942447)

    Long Valley Caldera Erupts - California Wiped Out

    Women, Children and Migrants Hit Hardest

  • Some say we'll see Armageddon soon

    Certainly hope we will

    I sure could use a vacation from this...

  • Been there (Score:5, Interesting)

    by dsgrntlxmply ( 610492 ) on Saturday October 21, 2023 @04:49PM (#63942583)
    I used to travel to Mammoth for summer recreation. Tom's Place, a bit south, is seismically very active. Some roads around Mammoth are marked Volcano Evacuation Route. Nearby Horseshoe Lake is on one corner of the caldera, and has regions of forest where trees have been killed by high CO2 concentrations at the roots, and where camping is not advised due to possible CO2 upwellings. I was fascinated and energized to visit, but always relieved when leaving the area. USGS article: Horseshoe Lake [usgs.gov]
  • Makes you want to settle among the hills and live the simple life, at one with God's creation.

    Then you remember what that creation actually entails, and maybe settle down on the opposite side of the continent, away from the plate boundary.

    • Have you heard of Harry Truman of Mt. Saint Helen's fame?

      • Oh, was that the Darwin Awardee's name?

        Did he even merit a DA? Or did he have surviving offspring or grand-offspring? He's not important enough to be worth remembering, and if he does have surviving descendents, they're probably wanting to drop him from their pedigrees.

    • by Latent Heat ( 558884 ) on Saturday October 21, 2023 @08:40PM (#63942777)

      Some geologist was saying, forget about a meteor wiping us out, there are more likely Earth-based hazards.

      For the Continental US 1) The Big One (earthquake) where Los Angeles falls into the ocean, 2) The Big One where Seattle falls into Puget Sound, 3) The Big One (along the New Madrid fault) where Memphis falls into the Mississippi River, 4) the Yellowstone Caldera, which will bury Chicago under feet of ash, and 5) the Big One in the Canary Islands that will send a tsunami taking out the East Coast of Florida.

      So I don't know this opposite side of the continent that avoids one of these events that will take place, eventually.

      • That's if you don't get squashed flat by any of the other things likely to kill you in any given year: automobile accidents, disease, cancer, the occasional physical altercation, etc.

        Don't take life so seriously, you'll never make it out alive.

      • You're right, and it makes me want to move to a more central state. East and south of the Yellowstone Caldera, of course. I'd rather take my chances with tornadoes.

        • East and south of the Yellowstone Caldera,

          Hmm, probably not the best of choices. The last (or last but one, I forget ; barely worth noticing) Yellowstone eruption spread most of it's tephra to it's south and west. Maybe half the thickness to the north. But that was probably an effect of the local weather, before the eruption column took over the weather for the week or two of evacuation of the magma chamber.

          But you don't really need to worry over-much about that, yet. Yellowstone has a half-km or so of in

      • 1-The Big One (earthquake) where Los Angeles falls into the ocean,
        Well, that would be about 5 megadeath, so around 1.6% of the US population. They'd be replaced within a couple of years. A few dozen Hawaiians stupid enough to go down to the coast to see the tsunami, and a couple of Japanese tsunami-evacuation workers.
        2-The Big One where Seattle falls into Puget Sound,
        See option 1, ~5 Mdeath. Similar Hawaiian and Japanese casualties.
        3-The Big One (along the New Madrid fault) where Memphis falls into the Mis
  • by roc97007 ( 608802 ) on Sunday October 22, 2023 @01:23PM (#63943827) Journal

    it'll be interesting to see how the powers that be handle it.

    I used to live in California (something it's taken decades to live down) and my home was a few miles from a levee. During a particularly wet year, the levee filled to the top, and one bend started to show signs of collapse. There was a town there, but instead of evacuating, the order was "stay in your homes".

    Then, the levee broke, everyone tried to get out at once, and the water washed over the fleeing cars.

    So, given signs of an impending eruption, I'd expect a similar "stay in your homes" order. It's apparently what government does.

    Oh, during the aftermath, when the water had receded a bit, I drove the jeep around and took photos (I'm a photographer by trade) and listened to the townspeople giving interviews. One fact that came to light was that most the emergency services were being concentrated in the wealthy districts. Which, again, is pretty much how government works.

    • I believe the traditional wisdom is lockdown, followed by evacuating the leaders to a safe haven. Why change what works (for the leaders)?
      • Very good point. So a smart person would either read the signs and leave before the lockdown, or figure out a way through the cordon.

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