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China Transportation Technology

China's Drivers Fret as Robotaxis Pick Up Pace and Passengers (reuters.com) 58

China's rapid deployment of robotaxis is raising concerns among the country's 7 million ride-hailing drivers, who fear job losses as autonomous vehicles hit the streets, according to a Reuters report. At least 19 Chinese cities are conducting robotaxi trials, with seven approving tests without human monitors. Baidu's Apollo Go plans to deploy 1,000 vehicles in Wuhan by year-end and operate in 100 cities by 2030. The push for self-driving technology aligns with President Xi Jinping's call for "new productive forces," but contrasts sharply with the more cautious approach in the United States. As robotaxi fleets proliferate, some drivers worry about their livelihoods, with one Wuhan driver predicting "everyone will go hungry."
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China's Drivers Fret as Robotaxis Pick Up Pace and Passengers

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  • No need to worry ... the first time mobile phone connections are disrupted and these things gridlock the city, they'll be able to drive shiny new taxis.

    • There isn't any practical way to dispatch manually-driven cars without phones either. Unless I suppose you're traveling from a common spot such as the airport. (Is hailing a cab just anywhere still a thing?)
      • > Is hailing a cab just anywhere still a thing?

        Old movie cliches notwithstanding, it was only just barely a thing before the ride sharing apps got started. The utter craptitude of the taxi companies is exactly why and how how Uber, Lyft, and the also-rans got their starts in the first place. It was the old: "You have an itch, so scratch it." ethos that's often bandied about wrt/ founding startups. If fact, Uber's first name was UberCab; a name chosen to reflect that the company was just so much better

        • by PPH ( 736903 )

          The utter craptitude of the taxi companies is exactly why and how how Uber, Lyft, and the also-rans got their starts in the first place.

          Regulations. Specifically those of various taxi/limousine commissions. NYC led the way by rejecting taxi dispatch using the web. Or anything else that po' folks didn't have at the time. So Uber jumped in and said, "We're not a taxi service. We're a ride-sharing application."

          • by jbengt ( 874751 )

            Regulations. Specifically those of various taxi/limousine commissions. NYC led the way by rejecting taxi dispatch using the web. Or anything else that po' folks didn't have at the time.

            Citation needed.
            My experience suggests it was inertia more than anything that slowed down taxis from adopting alternate means of "hailing" rides. (and that's not dispatch - taxi dispatch is still often by by radio/phone, rather than internet)

        • by jbengt ( 874751 )

          > Is hailing a cab just anywhere still a thing?

          Old movie cliches notwithstanding, it was only just barely a thing before the ride sharing apps got started.

          Hailing a cab always has been a thing in crowded parts of cities, including through the times Uber and Lyft got started. I was occasionally hailing taxis downtown for 40 years, and it was only during the pandemic shutdown that it became uncertain whether you could find a cab in a timely fashion. (but might as well drive then, since downtown roads

        • I disagree, the cost of regulatory compliance that was built into the fares of existing taxi companies meant they could not compete on price of companies that have no regulatory compliance.

      • Manually driven cars don't need remote control handlers to nudge them in the right direction when the fragile system of fail safes makes progress impossible.

      • by John.Banister ( 1291556 ) * on Thursday August 08, 2024 @06:10PM (#64691392) Homepage
        Radios have done this successfully in the past.
    • Except most robotaxi's don't rely on mobilephone connections, except for maybe to reserve the pickup by the customer ofcourse.
      • by bn-7bc ( 909819 )
        Ok what is the datalink between the taxi an dispatch then? My bet is 4G/5G because building out dedicated repeter networks for radio (an licensing spectrum is expensive. With 4G/5G all you need is a cell modem and an Iot subscription (unless you stream video from the taxy to dispatch there realy isnt that much data.
  • Self-driving doesn't work.

    This is just stupid hope update to keep the money flowing.

    • Self-driving doesn't work.

      This is just stupid hope update to keep the money flowing.

      The owners have decided that it *WILL* work. Though I have a hard time believing what happens in China is more to the owners of the United States than just an interesting what-if scenario at the moment. I expect, with the draconian rights-stomping we're getting from our government officials, across the political spectrum, it's only a matter of time before they'll just say that human drivers are too dangerous, and for safety we just have to stop allowing human drivers altogether. Because everybody should be

      • by Anonymous Coward

        only a matter of time before they'll just say that human drivers are too dangerous, and for safety we just have to stop allowing human drivers altogether

        Not far-fetched. One of my coworkers openly and earnestly wants the government to ban human drivers for safety reasons, once self-driving cars become reliable enough.

        • only a matter of time before they'll just say that human drivers are too dangerous, and for safety we just have to stop allowing human drivers altogether

          Not far-fetched. One of my coworkers openly and earnestly wants the government to ban human drivers for safety reasons, once self-driving cars become reliable enough.

          I've been hearing this from several circles online, and a few real-life people that, as far as I can tell, don't like driving themselves. Living in the midwest, where muscle cars and motorcycles are still pretty big deals, I can't see people just rolling over for it. Yet. Younger folks don't much like driving, and some of them really, REALLY want self-driving to become the norm. Very few of them are too gung-ho on banning human drivers though.

          • This won't come about from government regulations, but from insurance companies jacking up the rates for human drivers which will increasingly bear the burden of the costs. Big robotaxi fleets will self-insure, and as more and more self-driving (aka slow) vehicles enter the traffic, humans, and cars with a steering wheel will become a larger and larger portion of the insurance costs.
      • I think that we will have self-driving cars. It is a solvable technological issue.

        We will likely have human driven cars for another generation or so.

        People who grew up when we did viewed cars as freedom. Once you were old enough to drive, you could go farther from home, and were allowed to stay out later. Once you were 18, you could take YOUR car, and go wherever... stay away for days or weeks, or even move out of your parents house for good. The current youth don't have the same view as we did. They d

        • by jbengt ( 874751 )

          I think that we will have self-driving cars. It is a solvable technological issue.
          We will likely have human driven cars for another generation or so.

          I think that you are overly optimistic.

          People who grew up when we did viewed cars as freedom.

          I didn't. I viewed cars as a necessary "evil" (operating costs, capital costs, maintenance, etc.)

        • by spitzak ( 4019 )

          Kids will discover the same freedom in a self-driving taxi, and they will discover it at a much younger age than 18. Operating the machinery yourself is irrelevent and will have no effect on their emotional attachment to the vehicle.

          Face it, the classic human-driven and privately-owned car is doomed. It will take a few decades. For-hire robo taxis will be how everybody will travel, it will wipe out personal cars (whether or not they are self-driving) and will wipe out public transportation (except forms tha

    • Most of us have been in Teslas where it clearly worked fine. I know a few idiots who get smashed every weekend then let the car drive their drunk asses home and they do a lot better (DUI-wise) than the ones who drive themselves. If you mean they cannot operate for long in a place with courts where the operators can be sued, well yeah, that might be true.

      However, China gives no fucks. They don't care if people get run over on the way to becoming a "first world" (looking) nation. All they care about is that
      • > However, China gives no fucks

        Don't be rediculous.

      • Most of us have been in Teslas where it clearly worked fine.

        Except for the fact you regularly need to intervene to avoid an accident. You can't do that in a robotaxi.

        I know a few idiots who get smashed every weekend then let the car drive their drunk asses home and they do a lot better (DUI-wise) than the ones who drive themselves.

        Not necessarily a fan of snitches, but maybe you want to drop the dime on them before they kill someone?

      • by m00sh ( 2538182 )

        Most of us have been in Teslas where it clearly worked fine. I know a few idiots who get smashed every weekend then let the car drive their drunk asses home and they do a lot better (DUI-wise) than the ones who drive themselves. If you mean they cannot operate for long in a place with courts where the operators can be sued, well yeah, that might be true.

        However, China gives no fucks. They don't care if people get run over on the way to becoming a "first world" (looking) nation. All they care about is that when foreign journos come visit Shanghai they are impressed by the tech and the "foward thinking" government.

        That's ADAS (drive assistance), not self-driving.

    • Self-driving doesn't work.

      This is just stupid hope update to keep the money flowing.

      And you'd explain all the self-driving cars currently on the roads... how exactly? Or are you arguing it doesn't "work" until and unless every single edge case is handled perfectly? Like, navigating in a parking garage, etc. It's true companies are starting with the lowest-hanging fruit, which is driving on well-mapped public roads in decent weather, but that's how all tech starts out.

      • by m00sh ( 2538182 )

        Self-driving doesn't work.

        This is just stupid hope update to keep the money flowing.

        And you'd explain all the self-driving cars currently on the roads... how exactly? Or are you arguing it doesn't "work" until and unless every single edge case is handled perfectly? Like, navigating in a parking garage, etc. It's true companies are starting with the lowest-hanging fruit, which is driving on well-mapped public roads in decent weather, but that's how all tech starts out.

        Those "self-driving" are ADAS. There is always someone monitoring, either in-vehicle or through a remote connection.

    • Except self-driving does work, not yet for all circumstances, but they learn very fast and in a decade they will drive much safer as even the better drivers (most human drivers are just crap).
      • by m00sh ( 2538182 )

        Except self-driving does work, not yet for all circumstances, but they learn very fast and in a decade they will drive much safer as even the better drivers (most human drivers are just crap).

        They were saying that 10 years ago and will be saying that 10 years from now.

    • Self-driving doesn't work.

      This is just stupid hope update to keep the money flowing.

      Well, it mostly does, in appropriately controlled (and mapped) environments, as a number of urban areas are, and where a lot of the taxis are. Where it still fails spectacularly is when something completely out of the ordinary happens (like the lady in the middle of the street in a wheelchair using a broom to herd her duck back to the sidewalk).

      • by m00sh ( 2538182 )

        Self-driving doesn't work.

        This is just stupid hope update to keep the money flowing.

        Well, it mostly does, in appropriately controlled (and mapped) environments, as a number of urban areas are, and where a lot of the taxis are. Where it still fails spectacularly is when something completely out of the ordinary happens (like the lady in the middle of the street in a wheelchair using a broom to herd her duck back to the sidewalk).

        No. It fails spectacularly at least a few times an hour. More if there are more vehicles on the road and less if there is nobody on the road.

    • Self-driving doesn't work.

      This is just stupid hope update to keep the money flowing.

      Doesn't work now (outside of some narrow circumstances) but experience and funding are the best way to fix that.

      China dominates the solar industry because the state supported the industry in its early stages until it took off.

      They're looking to do a similar thing with self-driving, right now Chinese companies are getting tons of experience with self-driving cars, and the revenue stream to further development. There will probably be a few fatalities, but the outcome should be a decent self-driving car indust

      • by m00sh ( 2538182 )

        Self-driving doesn't work.

        This is just stupid hope update to keep the money flowing.

        Doesn't work now (outside of some narrow circumstances) but experience and funding are the best way to fix that.

        China dominates the solar industry because the state supported the industry in its early stages until it took off.

        They're looking to do a similar thing with self-driving, right now Chinese companies are getting tons of experience with self-driving cars, and the revenue stream to further development. There will probably be a few fatalities, but the outcome should be a decent self-driving car industry.

        Long term they might not be able to deploy in the west, but they'll capture some developing markets and they'll certainly dominate in China.

        Nope. All the "funding" will do is just create throwaway systems after throwaway systems.

  • Bring it on!! (Score:4, Insightful)

    by ihadafivedigituid ( 8391795 ) on Thursday August 08, 2024 @05:27PM (#64691316)
    After 40+ years of driving, I for one welcome our new robotaxi overlords.

    For one thing, a lot of other human drivers have lost their fucking minds--and the data is unambiguous about this recent trend. Fatalities went up as miles traveled went down and cars got safer. Anecdotally, I see crazy shit daily that I would see maybe a couple times a year 20+ years ago.
    • I sort of agree, if we could snap our fingers and make the transition to 100% robots today. The problem in my mind is the transition period, like there will be a lot of problems with the humans 'losing their fucking minds' over all the robots on the road.
  • under mass layoffs due to bot-trucks. If you think Jan. 6 was rough...

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