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Space

Boeing, Lockheed Martin Consider Selling ULA Space Launch Business (yahoo.com) 62

This weekend NASA said they'd turn to SpaceX to return two astronauts from the International Space Station, notes the Associated Press, "rather than risk using the Boeing Starliner capsule that delivered them." (They add that Boeing's capsule "has been plagued by problems with its propulsion system.")

But Reuters reported that even before the setback, Boeing and Lockheed Martin were "in talks to sell their rocket-launching joint venture United Launch Alliance to Sierra Space, two people familiar with the discussions said." A deal to sell ULA, a major provider of launch services to the U.S. government and a top rival to Elon Musk's SpaceX, would mark a significant shift in the U.S. space launch industry as ULA separates from two of the largest defense contractors to a smaller, privately held firm.

The potential sale comes after years of speculation about ULA's future and failed attempts to divest the joint venture over the past decade. In 2019, Boeing and Lockheed Martin reportedly explored selling ULA but couldn't agree on terms with potential buyers... Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin and Cerberus Capital Management had placed bids in early 2023 for the company, according to people familiar with the negotiations. Rocket Lab had also expressed interest, two people said. None of those discussions led to a deal...

A potential deal could accelerate deployment of [Sierra Space's] crewed spaceflight business, analysts said. A ULA acquisition, they said, would give the company in-house access to launch vehicles that could send its spaceplane and space-station components into Earth's orbit, rather than spending hundreds of millions of dollars for those launches as a customer...

ULA has faced challenges in scaling Vulcan production and upping its launch rate to meet commercial demand and fulfill contract obligations with the Space Force, which in 2021 picked Vulcan for a sizable chunk of national security missions alongside SpaceX's Falcon fleet. A sale of ULA would unshackle the company from Boeing and Lockheed, whose boards have long resisted ideas from ULA to expand the business beyond rockets and into new competitive markets such as lunar habitats or maneuverable spacecraft, according to former executives.

While Reuters's sources say the negotiations could still end without a deal, they also said ULA could be valued between $2 billion and $3 billion, giving Boeing some cash while shifting its focus to its core businesses of aerospace and defense.

Thanks to long-time Slashdot reader schwit1 for sharing the news.
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Boeing, Lockheed Martin Consider Selling ULA Space Launch Business

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  • by elcor ( 4519045 ) on Monday August 26, 2024 @06:42AM (#64735484)
    these greedy fuckers sold it then Sierra starts mining operation and became insta quadrillion dollar company
    • Never heard of Sierra Coin, is it a thing?

    • by rwrife ( 712064 )
      Sierra or Blue Origin would make the most sense at this point, but ~$3B isn't exactly pocket change (well for Bezos it is, but still).
    • these greedy fuckers sold it then Sierra starts mining operation and became insta quadrillion dollar company

      Nahhh.

      Bezos should buy ULA. It might give him a rocket booster to get his years-in-development flying fuel tank into orbit !

      Or Bezos could have saved lots of chance and bought the national stock of ESTES model rocket parts...which work great but also don't go up very far.

  • No Refunds!!! (Score:4, Informative)

    by bill_mcgonigle ( 4333 ) * on Monday August 26, 2024 @06:44AM (#64735488) Homepage Journal

    > ULA could be valued between $2 billion and $3 billion

    They owe NASA a $4.3B refund for not delivering a working Starliner.

    I can see why Boeing/Lockheed want it off their books.

    • Re:No Refunds!!! (Score:4, Interesting)

      by Canberra1 ( 3475749 ) on Monday August 26, 2024 @07:08AM (#64735548)
      I can't imagine anyone catching up to Musk and SpaceX, let alone matching them at problem solving or proven mass production solutions. Sure European and China have some proven reliable kit, but reusable not. Satellite insurance is another biggie, but we have seen Musk excel in anticipating problems. That is gold. Sure, play pass the baton, but insurance companies are heartless, and always punish failures big time.
      • I can't imagine anyone catching up to Musk and SpaceX, let alone matching them at problem solving or proven mass production solutions. Sure European and China have some proven reliable kit, but reusable not. Satellite insurance is another biggie, but we have seen Musk excel in anticipating problems. That is gold. Sure, play pass the baton, but insurance companies are heartless, and always punish failures big time.

        Not in the next 5 years, but in the next 10? Gwynne Shotwell is 60, she's going to retire at some point and the next President might not be as capable. And Musk himself has grown notable erratic in the last 5 years. He's gone from making well made EVs, spaceships and StarLink, and pushing solar, to building CyberTrucks, robots, and buying social networks. The moment Shotwell retires and a yes-man takes her place Musk is liable to announce some sort of hair-brained pivot.

        A rocket is still ultimately a bunch

      • How much was Musk really involved with SpaceX? From what I have heard, the person-in-charge, is not a pushover and is able to keep Musk away. Which, I assume, is why he mostly focuses on running Twitter, posting on Twitter and killing off Tesla
      • by linuxguy ( 98493 )

        > Musk excel in anticipating problems. That is gold.

        Or in this instance he is taking credit for the work his employees are doing. If he really had an eye for anticipating problems, he wouldn't be suing customers for not advertising on Twitter. Most of his advertisers left after some seriously ill-advised decisions he made for Twitter. Or should I say service formerly known as Twitter?

    • They owe NASA a $4.3B refund for not delivering a working Starliner.

      Do they?

      I thought all their contracts were cost-plus.

    • Re:No Refunds!!! (Score:4, Informative)

      by JoshuaZ ( 1134087 ) on Monday August 26, 2024 @08:08AM (#64735616) Homepage
      Boeing is responsible for Starliner. ULA makes the rockets. Starliner's failure does not impact ULA's bottom line.
      • "Starliner's failure does not impact ULA's bottom line."

        Maybe not, but I"ll bet Starliner's failure impacts Boeing's appetite for staying in this line of business.

        • by TWX ( 665546 )

          At the rate Boeing is going, they're risking their future in all of their business units.

          What I found amazing is that there seems to have been no effort made to certify Starliner to fly on Vulcan.

          What I also find amazing, based on having watched the 'smarter every day' videos where he tours the ULA factory, is that ULA doesn't seem to be entertaining the newer paradigm for rocketry that companies like SpaceX have pioneered, namely reusability.

          Of course SpaceX's BFR^H^H^HStarship seems delayed too, so they s

    • Re:No Refunds!!! (Score:5, Informative)

      by zuckie13 ( 1334005 ) on Monday August 26, 2024 @08:44AM (#64735702)

      ULA != Boeing

      ULA is a separate entity created as a joint venture between Boeing and Lockheed combining the legacy Atlas and Delta launch vehicles under one umbrella and now the new Vulcan rocket. While a ULA vehicle is used to launch Starliner - that's it. The ULA vehicle (Atlas V) has performed properly on all three launches. They owe NASA nothing. Its' a testament to how a technical business can be run well when you put a technical person in charge (Tory Bruno).

    • by rwrife ( 712064 )
      I'm fairly certain the ULA and Starliner programs are completely different accounting books, but I could see the sell of ULA to cover the costs lost the Starliner.
    • by hey! ( 33014 )

      Isn't Starliner a *Boeing* product?

      ULA is in charge of the Vulcan Centaur rocket, which will launch Starliner. ULA is a joint venture between Boeing and Lockheed, and is not financially responsible for Starliner.

    • by hawk ( 1151 )

      >> ULA could be valued between $2 billion and $3 billion

      "We'll give you $2 billion. We'll make it $3 billion if you keep the engineers!"

    • ULA didn't make Starliner, they only launched it. Boeing created Starliner. ULA is a joint venture which Boeing is part of, but a separate entity as the Boeing entity that build Starliner.
  • by sinij ( 911942 ) on Monday August 26, 2024 @06:46AM (#64735490)
    As is where is. Ran when parked.
  • The can't even get to the ISS reliably and they're already throwing in the towel! Where is the institutional engineering knowledge, particularly in rocketry, that these big defence players are meant to have ?

    • Where is the institutional engineering knowledge, particularly in rocketry, that these big defence players are meant to have ?

      It was the institutional knowledge and traditional zero-defect mentality that killed them.

      ULA was beaten by the young engineers at SpaceX, who were willing to apply TDD to space hardware and then learn from each explosion.

      • by evanh ( 627108 )

        LOL, I sure ain't seeing the evidence of zero-defects. It's been the usual long string of failures all the way. Nothing all that unusual there, just it's taking far too long.

        • I sure ain't seeing the evidence of zero-defects. It's been the usual long string of failures all the way.

          That's the point. If you design your tests to succeed, you don't find the weaknesses.

          With TDD, tests are designed to push the envelope to failure. Then, you sort through the debris, figure out what went wrong, fix it, and try again.

          TDD leads to robust systems.

          ZD leads to failure.

          • by evanh ( 627108 )

            Oh right, so there's no such thing as knowing what works from prior experience. Which those defence contractors do historically have a ton of experience with over many decades.

            It's just an embarrassment all around for them.

      • by Cochonou ( 576531 ) on Monday August 26, 2024 @10:20AM (#64735934) Homepage
        Well, having worked with both ULA and SpaceX, I would not say that their engineers are really younger. If anything, they come from the same pool. However their managers are indeed younger. Of course I cannot say that I have seen every engineer working at both places.
      • TDD = Test Driven Development. I was trained at work to always spell out an acronym the first time I used it, because not everybody will recognize it.

        But yeah, Zero Defects (ZD) really tends to balloon costs because everything needs to be "perfect", you don't even know the full stresses things will go through, whether something is overbuilt or not.

        Get it into the 30-90% chance of launch success range, around 99.9% at the component level, launch and see what fails, what almost failed, what failed non-catast

        • A 30-90% success rate is fine for unmanned missions. That's not going to work for rockets carrying humans. I hope that initial prototypes weren't using a Zero Defects model but once you get close to carrying people you need to be at a Very Low Defects model.
          • Well, the 30-90% success rate was when I was talking about the very first test rocket, basically. This is the range where you toss the CEO's old EV in as the payload as a media stunt as opposed to a real payload.
            Look at Starship, it took 3 attempts to get to orbit, but each time they made it further. After that, we're looking at a couple to get it back. Step by step progress.
            Basically, once you get a successful launch or two under your belt (This can be a dozen total and still be cheaper than ZD), then y

      • It comes down to shareholders, politicians and average voters - all of whom don't understand an don't care to understand that TDD can be effective.

        Company: If my rocket goes boom, my stock will dive, so I can't risk my rocket going boom. We need to throw money at it so it isn't likely to go boom.
        Senator/Representative: If you're rocket goes boom while doing TDD, I'll have to explain that to my voters and most of them won't understand so instead I'll have to hold a hearing and yell at you about it. I'll th

      • by thomst ( 1640045 )

        ShanghaiBill blathered:

        It was the institutional knowledge and traditional zero-defect mentality that killed them.

        ULA was beaten by the young engineers at SpaceX, who were willing to apply TDD to space hardware and then learn from each explosion.

        Nonsense.

        It was the defense industry-style cost-plus project management mindset, and Chicago School MBA management principles that killed them, not SpaceX's engineering team.

        There's a good reason that Boeing's C suite has decided it wants no part of fixed-price contracts in the future: those idiot children have no idea how to make money on those terms. And - surprise! - outsourcing, buck-passing, and treating highly-skilled engineering teams with massive accumulated institutional kn

  • ... pieces WILL fall off.

  • I wonder whether they'll load it up before selling with all those politically appointed jobs-for-favors types so they can be rid of them or keep them so Boeing can stay in political favor.
  • by Growlley ( 6732614 ) on Monday August 26, 2024 @08:18AM (#64735630)
    it's a long slow death for the company... oh wait short term profits
    • by CAIMLAS ( 41445 )

      They won't be allowed to fail, due to the immense industry dependence on their maintenance contracts.

  • Can we spare a moment and think of the Boeing's assassin being overworked AF?

    In addition to all the whistleblowers, he now has to kill Shotwell, Musk, and whoever leaked this info.

    • by hdyoung ( 5182939 ) on Monday August 26, 2024 @09:30AM (#64735804)
      Yeah, that story has been conveniently buried. Two of the earliest whistleblowers mysteriously died. Possibly a coincidence. But also possible someone was trying to solve a problem for Boeing the old-timey way, but had to pull the plug after 10 more whistleblowers stepped forward and a ton of newspapers started reporting on it. Problem got too big to solve with mysterious deaths.

      The truth will come out in about 75 years when stuff from this era gets declassified. I would give it a 50/50 chance of being shady.
  • by Eunomion ( 8640039 ) on Monday August 26, 2024 @09:04AM (#64735738)
    Boeing and Lockheed are terrible parent companies for an organization trying to be competitive. Sierra Space would provide much better leadership and support.
  • by backslashdot ( 95548 ) on Monday August 26, 2024 @09:28AM (#64735794)

    The ULA CEO, Tory Bruno, is provably a moron. He saw the raptor 3 engine photo and didn't believe or understand that the plumbing was internal to it. That tells you he is dumb as a rock and shows you how far behind ULA is. Let's assume he had no idea that rocket engines could be 3D printed, he still shouldn't have assumed that the photo was missing plumbing and wiring because there were no holes for the plumbing. That's something an engineer with no knowledge of rocket engines should have ascertained. He should be fired immediately.

    The X post I am referring to: https://x.com/torybruno/status... [x.com]

    • Oh man .. that's pretty embarrasing for Tory
    • It's one thing for a CEO to be a moron, but to demonstrate it on X is some thing else.

      • I haven't met many CEOs, but the ones I've met were all morons, in their own way. The role of modern CEOs is not to run a company well, but to give short term profits and bonuses to management and shareholders. Is this what they are tought in those fancy MBA courses? All MBA types I've met seem incredibly dumb, but perhaps that's what makes money these days?
  • Will Boeing have to cover the costs of the two astronauts being stuck on the ISS for 8 months?
  • ... a trade for CloudStrike.

  • Selling off SLS and Starliner to someone else would take away the need for Boeing to continue to pump money into that system and allow them to focus on their military hardware and their troubled commercial airliner business and let someone else sort out the Starliner mess.

What we anticipate seldom occurs; what we least expect generally happens. -- Bengamin Disraeli

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