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China United States Politics

Foreign Disinformation Is Hitting the US Election From All Directions (apnews.com) 421

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Wired: As November 5 draws closer, the Microsoft Threat Analysis Center (MTAC) warned on Wednesday that malicious foreign influence operations launched by Russia, China, and Iran against the US presidential election are continuing to evolve and should not be ignored even though they have come to feel inevitable. In the group's fifth report, researchers emphasize the range of ongoing activities (source may be paywalled; alternative source) as well as the inevitability that attackers will work to stoke doubts about the integrity of the election in its aftermath.

In spite of escalating conflict in the Middle East, Microsoft says that Iran has been able to keep up its operations targeting the US election, particularly targeting the Trump campaign and attempting to foment anti-Israel sentiment. Russian actors, meanwhile, have been focused on targeting the Harris campaign with character attacks and AI-generated content, including deepfakes. And China has shifted its focus in recent weeks, researchers say, to target down-ballot Republican candidates as well as sitting members of Congress who promote policies adversarial to China or in conflict with its interests.

Crucially, MTAC says it is all but certain that these actors will attempt to stoke division and mistrust in vote security on Election Day and in its immediate aftermath. "As MTAC observed during the 2020 presidential cycle, foreign adversaries will amplify claims of election rigging, voter fraud, or other election integrity issues to sow chaos among the US electorate and undermine international confidence in US political stability," the researchers wrote in their report. As the 2024 campaign season enters its final phase, the researchers say that they expect to see AI-generated media continuing to show up in new campaigns, particularly because content can spread so rapidly in the charged period immediately around Election Day. The report also notes that Microsoft has detected Iranian actors probing election-related websites and media outlets, "suggesting preparations for more direct influence operations as Election Day nears."
"History has shown that the ability of foreign actors to rapidly distribute deceptive content can significantly impact public perception and electoral outcomes," wrote MTAC general manager Clint Watts. "With a particular focus on the 48 hours before and after Election Day, voters, government institutions, candidates and parties must remain vigilant to deceptive and suspicious activity online."
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Foreign Disinformation Is Hitting the US Election From All Directions

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  • by OrangeTide ( 124937 ) on Wednesday October 23, 2024 @10:37PM (#64889259) Homepage Journal

    Is that we're a very very stupid people. It's not clear to me that we're going to keep this federal democratic republic. Aspects of each three of those words are under attack by some group.

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by cusco ( 717999 )

      It's amusing that everyone is pretending that this is an anomaly. The US just spent tens of millions to manipulate the election in tiny little Moldova, and only the locals are complaining. Every country that can afford to tries to affect the elections of every other country in which it has even a peripheral interest. IIRC the biggest spenders in the 2020 election were Israel and Saudi Arabia, which will probably be the case again this year.

      • by OrangeTide ( 124937 ) on Thursday October 24, 2024 @12:32AM (#64889415) Homepage Journal

        The stakes are a bit higher when it's between nuclear superpowers.

        • by cusco ( 717999 )

          Russia has an economy about the size of Mexico and a population only about 10% larger, is Mexico also a "superpower"? Yes, they have nukes, and yes, they're the second largest arms exporter after the US, but that hardly makes them a "superpower".

          • by sg_oneill ( 159032 ) on Thursday October 24, 2024 @04:50AM (#64889827)

            I think everyones over complicating it here. What makes a superpower is its ability to influence world affairs and project power. Theres one clear Superpower, the United States, and 3 potential super powers, China, European Union and Russia, roughly in descending order of influence. I'd argue the only one of these three that really comes close is China.

            Superpowers came about as a concept to replace Colonial empires after WW1 largely ended the era of colonialism (or at least put in place the dismantling of them). Originally the three main superpowers where the US, Soviet Union and the British empire. After WW2 however the british empire largely self dismantled leaving really only the US and Soviet Union as the major super powers. When the Soviet Union imploded , it left just the United states,

            However since then Chinas economic power has skyrocketted and its gained a fair amount of political capital as well from the Belt and Road initiative. It also sees to be a bit more brash militarily, but its hard to know how much of that is just Xi Jinping's brainworms in action.

            I think theres also a very serious possibility America might *stop* being a superpower if a certain choice in november leads to an isolationist authoritarian government.

            As a non american my ideal scenario is to have NO superpowers. As much as I like American culture, their international policy hasn't been constructive to world peace and prosperity since WW2, so maybe it self-demoting to just-another-country isn't a bad thing. But thats really up to the americans whether I get my wish lol

            • I'd say China's potential global influence is more theoretical that actual. Their most recent belt and roads initiative has been a bit of a boondoggle.

              https://foreignpolicy.com/2023... [foreignpolicy.com]

            • by skam240 ( 789197 ) on Thursday October 24, 2024 @09:53AM (#64890491)

              While this is obviously open to interpretation I don't think pre WW2 US was a super power. Our military was awfully small relative to our country's size and we were fairly isolationist generally preferring to keep ourselves to the Americas (outside of a few exceptions of course). Only after WW2 did we have our modern levels of global influence.

              Kind of questionable having the Soviet Union as a super power prior to WW2 as well. Both our countries really hit their stride after WW2, not before.

      • by quonset ( 4839537 ) on Thursday October 24, 2024 @06:07AM (#64889927)

        The US just spent tens of millions to manipulate the election in tiny little Moldova

        You've misspoken, Vladimir. Russia spent millions trying to manipulate [reuters.com] the election in Moldova, a country which Russia partially illegally occupies.

        Earlier this month, Moldovan police accused Shor, who was jailed in absentia for fraud and theft, of trying to pay off a network of at least 130,000 voters to vote "no" and support "our candidate" at the elections.

        Shor has openly offered on social media to pay Moldovans to convince others to vote in a certain way and said that is a legitimate use of money that he earned.

      • by Quantum gravity ( 2576857 ) on Thursday October 24, 2024 @07:47AM (#64890131)

        The US just spent tens of millions to manipulate the election in tiny little Moldova, and only the locals are complaining.

        How did the US manipulate the election? I have not heard anything about that.

        This post and some of your other, sound very pro-Russian.

        Here is a quote from https://www.politico.com/news/... [politico.com] that has a description of what happened, i.e US. money was spent on preventing Russian disinformation and cyberattacks on the election. The General Secretariat of the European Council rebuked Russia for its efforts to intervene, not the US.

    • It's not clear to me that we're going to keep this federal democratic republic.

      That ship already sailed with Trump v. United States (2024). It may have been Trump that was the cause for establishing this precedent, but it will apply to all future Presidents, too.

  • "Russian actors, meanwhile, have been focused on targeting the Harris campaign with character attacks and AI-generated content, including deepfakes."

    • by cusco ( 717999 )

      This seems doubtful, the AI-generated content and deepfakes that I've seen are amateurish at best, more like the product of some MAGA idiots with too much time on their hands than psy-ops professionals.

  • If the West continues to treat foreign actors trying to destabilize its societies through malicious exploitation of their internal freedoms as mere ah-well-what-can-you-do behavior, it's going to either loose its freedom or its social order, probably both.

    There needs to be a cost imposed on the external actors, and it needs to be sufficient to dissuade them from continuing.

  • by RossCWilliams ( 5513152 ) on Thursday October 24, 2024 @12:40AM (#64889425)

    The problem is not "disinformation" its no reliable information. So people can believe whatever they want to believe. And its impossible to have an adult discussion with the media megaphones demanding our attention and drowning out any civil discussion. Frankly, the complaints about foreign "interference" are just more noise.

    All sorts of people are trying to effect the outcome of our election. Most of them in ways that are patently dishonest. Apparenlty some group is running ads in Pennsylvania praising Harris as pro-palestinian and in Michigan as pro-Israel. Same organization opposing Harris with opposite messages to offend Jews in Pennsylvania and Arabs in Michigan.

    In theory, we are a self-governing democracy. Democracy is the tool, not the purpose. There is nothing wrong with people trying to influence us. The real danger is a whole group of Hamiltonians who think we are incapable of self-governrnent. That we aren't collectively smart enough to weed through the propaganda and make a judgement about which people best represent our interests. In fact most people are. That doesn't mean people don't believe stupid things but that they usually only believe stupid things that support their world view.

    I get it that the folks who disagree with me are both evil and stupid. But that's life.

    • So people can believe whatever they want to believe.

      This is a major effect of religious delusion. When you have multiple generations indoctrinated into suspension of critical thought and actively reinforce the idea that self-delusion is not only acceptable but "good" and "moral" you end up with broken humans who believe obvious garbage.

    • I think you're just off a bit in the analysis. The problem isn't disinformation, nor reliability of information; it's that information no longer has any value. It has no independent political value, certainly not when aggregated in those we once would have called experts. It has no persuasive value either- the savvy segmentation of media consumers means that opinions are formed before any information can penetrate. And it definitely has no productive value- our party cleavage and zero-sum assumption mean th
  • the Great Firewall technology from China and be done with it. The open Internet experiment has utterly failed like every other techno-bubble and it's painfully obvious the last several years.

  • ...in politics? I'm shocked! We'll be fine as long as you keep those evil Haitian immigrants away from our cats & dogs.

    By this point, I don't think it really matters WHERE this crazy shit is coming from.
  • It's too soon, isn't it, but who said we weren't aware of other things happening outside of the political arena?

  • by Alain Williams ( 2972 ) <addw@phcomp.co.uk> on Thursday October 24, 2024 @05:33AM (#64889865) Homepage

    AIPAC -- American Israel Public Affairs Committee [wikipedia.org] is a lobbying group that advocates pro-Israel policies to the legislative and executive branches of the United States. One of several pro-Israel lobbying organizations in the United States, AIPAC states that it has over 3 million members, 17 regional offices, and "a vast pool of donors". The organization has been called one of the most powerful lobbying groups in the United States."

    * AIPAC Has Spent Over $100 Million on 2024 Elections [commondreams.org] AIPAC's billionaire-funded super PAC has helped defeat two of the most vocal opponents of Israel's assault on the Gaza Strip.

    * FEC Filing Shows AIPAC Made Record Donations to Congress in November [truthout.org]

  • by sinij ( 911942 ) on Thursday October 24, 2024 @05:43AM (#64889891)
    Cambridge Analytica was blamed for pushing close elections to Trump in 2016. However, I am highly skeptical that it was nearly as effective back then, when people did not fully know Trump. Today I am certainly going to be skeptical about any similar claims. More so, in the recent past, biggest manipulators of elections and spreaders of disinformation were domestic social media (e.g., suppressing Hunter Biden laptop story) and mainstream news (e.g., spreading Russiagate).
  • by bradley13 ( 1118935 ) on Thursday October 24, 2024 @05:59AM (#64889921) Homepage

    Precisely because the US is so interventionist, plenty of countries, organizations and even individuals outside the US have an absolutely legitimate interest in the outcome of national elections. Israel? Gaza? Ukraine? Iran? Somewhere else? The outcome of the US elections can and will affect US actions abroad.

    The US has, of course, interfered in countless elections in other countries, not to mention sometimes just overthrowing governments wholesale. It's amusing, watching the US get a taste of its own medicine.

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