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Transportation

Could an Undersea Hyperloop Train Tunnel Offer One-Hour Trips From London to New York? (newsweek.com) 168

"Proposals for a tunnel connecting the U.K. to the U.S. underneath the Atlantic Ocean have resurfaced," reports Newsweek, "but with a price tag of almost $20 trillion, the project is a big ask." With the two global cities being over 3,000 miles apart, construction would take several years — the 23.5-mile Channel Tunnel linking England and France took six years to construct — and require significant investment. Estimates over the cost have reached as high as £15.5 trillion, the equivalent of $19.8 trillion.

However, developments in vacuum tube technology have made the concept more viable. By creating a vacuum within the tunnel and using pressurized vehicles, trains traveling along the structure could theoretically reach speeds of more than 3,000 mph, making the journey between London and New York barely an hour long. This is because trains would not face any air resistance within the tunnel, allowing them to reach higher speeds than unconventional trains. This design, which has seen new development in Indian transportation, is sometimes called a "hyperloop". Cutting the intercontinental journey down to a matter of minutes means that for the first time, the Transatlantic Tunnel justifies the hefty price tag that undersea construction comes with, as it would become significantly more efficient and environmentally friendly than flying.

While no plans are underway, it's interesting to ask whether it could even be done. Weighing in, Elon Musk "has suggested the idea of building a '£20 trillion' underground tunnel link from London to New York appears to be a genuine possibility," according to the site LADbible, "although he says he could do it for less." (On X.com Musk posted that his Boring Company "could do it for 1000X less money.") This comes after the SpaceX boss, 53, who promises to revolutionise the way we travel, said his 'Starship' rocket could be used to transport passengers to any city in the world in under an hour.

Could an Undersea Hyperloop Train Tunnel Offer One-Hour Trips From London to New York?

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  • No. (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Local ID10T ( 790134 ) <ID10T.L.USER@gmail.com> on Saturday December 14, 2024 @03:42PM (#65013581) Homepage

    /betteridge

    • Re:No. (Score:5, Insightful)

      by arglebargle_xiv ( 2212710 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @08:26PM (#65014087)
      Well, technically it probably could, in the same way that "Could a space elevator to Mars be cheaper than use of rockets", but both are purely hypothetical questions.
    • by Roger W Moore ( 538166 ) on Sunday December 15, 2024 @03:24AM (#65014487) Journal
      Given that the same summary states that the cost of the Channel Tunnel was $19.8 trillion and that the projected cost for a tunnel ~100 times longer, going underneath oceanic crust that is ~10 times deeper as well as crossing a tectonic plate boundary at the mid-ocean ridge and that would also need to be kept in a vacuum is only $200 billion more at $20 trillion I think it is pretty obvious that it absolutely cannot be done at that price.
      • The summary is poorly written The tunnel from England to France cost $21Billion in current dollars. The $19.8 trillion in TFS is the highest estimate of the cost of the tunnel across the Atlantic. The summary is awful for sure. But it should also be obvious that nobody spend 10x the GDP of England to build a tunnel to France
      • The summary says no such thing. It says the estimates for this proposed new tunnel is $20 trillion.
        The Channel Tunnel project cost a total of roughly £23 billion (2023 GBP) which is about $29 billion, i.e. 0.15% of the cost of this proposed tunnel.

        Now, even considering that, it will absolutely not be a feasible project and would never recoup the investment. Ever.

        We are better off spending $2 trillion into e-fuel for airliners, hypersonic travel, battery-technology and other ways to reduce emissi

    • Re:No. (Score:4, Insightful)

      by business_kid ( 973043 ) <business.kid@l[ ... g ['inu' in gap]> on Sunday December 15, 2024 @07:59AM (#65014617)
      Until some hostile passes over dragging it's anchor :-D.
    • Okay FP, but it should have been modded Funny, not insightful. Even better if there was a "too obvious" mod point.

      A number of jokes got modded Funny, but the story had much larger potential for humor. Actually almost all the potential was for humor because the idea is so fundamentally stupid. Whatever the ticket costs, it will be vastly more expensive that a virtual visit. I suppose it can be VR if someone insists.

      I think the insightful joke would have involved something about "And why do you think you are

  • by cahuenga ( 3493791 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @03:45PM (#65013589)
    The Mid-Atlantic Ridge spreads at a rate of 2 to 5 centimeters (0.8 to 2 inches) per year. This relatively slow spreading rate has created a deep rift valley in the center of the ridge that's about the same width and depth as the Grand Canyon.
    • by Raisey-raison ( 850922 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @04:37PM (#65013719)

      It's not just the mid ocean ridge systems that are moving apart. Even of they weren't, it will cost much more than estimated.

      The closest example is the Channel Tunnel. It experienced a 80% cost overrun. The cost overrun was partly due to enhanced safety, security, and environmental demands. Financing costs were 140% higher than forecast.

      Now look at the California Bullet train. When Gov. Gavin Newsom unveiled his scaled for he proposed project, it was going to cost $33 billion. Now the latest estimate is $133 billion. Projected ridership is 25% less than anticipated.

      So take the $20 trillion estimate and once you account for so called unforseen cost escalation and financing difficulties, it will cost the equivalent of $120 trillion. The extra interest costs are a big part of this too.

      We could use the money in much more productive ways.

      And when the project goes bankrupt the rest of us will have to bail it out.

      • by cahuenga ( 3493791 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @05:11PM (#65013771)
        Add to that.... The mid Atlantic's average depth is 12,000 feet, at roughly an external pressure of 5,600 PSI. To make things worse, you need to create a vacuum inside the tunnel, further increasing the structural load.

        The Titan submersible implosion is going to sound like a cod fart in comparison
        • I doubt that going from 5,600 PSI to 5,615 is going to change much - that's only a 0.3% increase. The engineering safety factor should be around 3X anyways.
          Though I'm getting closer to 5200 psi than 5600 looking at online calculators.

      • Worthy of modding up. Want to add to pre-boarding checks and luggage x-rays would defeat any time saving, plus the whatif's - like what if it got stuck in the middle, earthquake, subhoe or anchor damage. What MIGHT make the project viable is if oil/gas/gold/diamonds/xyz was extracted or found on the route. As long as Godzilla is not woken.
    • by RockDoctor ( 15477 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @05:23PM (#65013783) Journal
      Not incorrect, but also not important. Far more significant is the ca. 500 km (it varies) each side of mountains rising from the abyssal plains (circa 5km water depth) to the peaks of the undersea mountain chain (water depth 2~3 km). The descent curve away from the ridge closely matches the cooling rate given a 2~5 cm/ year spreading rate.

      If, of course, you're building it on the seabed. When the extra pressure engineering needed to maintain a vacuum against water pressure will change the structural problem from one of 500 atmospheres to one of 501 atmospheres.

      A slightly less insane design, avoiding having to design and build "tunnel segments" proof to 100 atmospheres, others to 200 atmospheres ... down to whatever the route's maximum depth will be, would be to "float" the tunnel segments at a convenient depth below wave-base, and at a constant pressure design for 90% + of the route. As a corollary, the consequence of an earthquake rupture at seabed (or even a surface lava eruption) would be a mild tremor running up the anchor chains, and possibly sensible to passengers through whatever "suspension" the system has. Incorporating a [design life+50%] of allowance for continental drift would be three segments with curvature greater than the great circle rate, which could be straightened at increments as the drift rate required it.

      Not that the thing would get built anyway. The mythical "hour of transit time" would need an hour, minimum, at each end to go through security. By which point, you're into a time scale that Concorde couldn't make a profit at.

      Same comment for freight. The engineering costs of the infrastructure would be far more expensive then the cost of putting it onto a ship with a 50 year slipway-to-scrapyard lifetime.

    • by Kisai ( 213879 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @06:02PM (#65013861)

      You would not be building an "underground" tunnel under the Atlantic ocean (or any ocean) because the pressure would crush the tube. You'd think we'd not forget what happened to OceanGate already. A Vacuum tube would be under even more pressure.

      The most likely scenario is an under-water tube 100 meters down (so only 10 atmospheres, rather than the bottom of the ocean which would be 3682m or 368 atmospheres of crush depth, PLUS the vacuum.)

      So this would be like connecting the UK under Iceland, through newfoundland Canada to New York. Like even one of the illustrations has the tube ABOVE the bottom of the ocean.

      There is no way to build a tunnel under or on the ocean floor. The best case scenario is a floating tunnel that is ballasted to stay 100m deep, and assembled in 20m segments between land points. There would need to be concrete pillars to anchor every 250m or so to ensure the tunnel doesn't start drifting from sea currents.

      Unless there is some fantastic new innovation in materials that can't be crushed, "sea floor" won't happen. Even then the mid-atlantic ridge would require one segment to flexible at all times and made of a material that can stretch and bend without affecting the train.

      Like best case scenario is you have a tube-inside-a-tube. You have a concrete exterior tube underground, and then have an inner-tube that can be pressurized made out of a material that won't be crushed. Then you fill that space with a gel that will survive the crush depth, but keep the innertube from being crushed.

      This doesn't solve undersea earthquakes. This doesn't solve the mid Atlantic ridge movement. Those two parts have to be solved with flexible segments (as I describe above) where you have a larger outer tube across those segments that acts like a " joint" segment. So basically instead of trying to move straight accross the ridge, you curve from west/east to a north-south and cross it in the same direction the ridge moves, so every year you can add a new segment.)

    • There is that, to be sure.

      But I laughed when I read the headline; they couldn't manage to do make a practical, functional hyperloop on flat, dry land, but now they're going to do it underwater in the ocean, one of the most destructively harsh environments on the planet?

      I mean, it's just so hilariously stupid and ungood. I wonder how much funding will be pissed away on this bullshit pie-in-the-sky scam.

      • I wonder how much funding will be pissed away on this bullshit pie-in-the-sky scam.

        Now now, this might be legitimate money laundering, give them some credit, ok?

  • Please stop (Score:5, Insightful)

    by locater16 ( 2326718 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @03:47PM (#65013591)
    Hyperloop was a joke by clown supervillain, the Joker if he was a boring conservative instead of a fun anarchist. Tunnels are expensive. Hyperloop dumb. Stop.
  • by david.emery ( 127135 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @03:50PM (#65013599)

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org] (Also published as "A Transatlantic Tunnel, Hurrah!", which is the title I remembered when I read this post.)

  • Silver sunglasses, silver phone.

    Connects to someone who doesnt know, that these feelings we cant control

  • by HotNeedleOfInquiry ( 598897 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @03:54PM (#65013609)
    Is that equal to? 20 billion? Doesn't make much sense looking at it that way?
  • by lilTimmy ( 6807660 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @03:57PM (#65013615)
    The existing Hyperloop tech is terrible and was probably just a way of derailing more light rail and subway talks. Musk has failed to deliver on most of his promises. Full Self Driving cars has been 'next year' for more than a decade so far. I think we have a better chance of Musk developing a mars colony and filling it with his kids than doing a hyperloop from London to NYC.
  • And what an incredibly stupid question. Can you imagine trying to maintain something like that? Or what would happen if you didn't and the whole thing collapsed as it inevitably would?

    We already know hyperloop was a trick to shut down high speed rail. So what are they trying to shut down this time?
    • by HiThere ( 15173 )

      Of course, high speed rail *should* be shut down. What should be supported is medium speed rail. Say 90-100 mph with separate grade near population centers. Aiming for "fastest possible" is a mistake. What should be aimed at it "faster, more reliable, and also more frequent:", This means that stations are no on the track, but on a side loop off the track, so you don't need to slow down if you aren't going to stop.

      • by ukoda ( 537183 )
        Sounds like the reality of high speed trains common in China and Japan, but they are faster at around 200 to 350 kph. They are great, so much nicer than air travel since they are much less drama.
  • But I expect most people would be put off by the idea of being under thousands of feet of water when something goes wrong.

    I don't know that it is practically different than being thousands of feet in the air when something goes wrong... but I'm betting people won't see it the same way.

    • I don't know that it is practically different than being thousands of feet in the air when something goes wrong.

      Almost always when something goes wrong at high altitude it's the engines at fault, not major structural failure. (The Aloha Airlines "rag top" flight being both a counter-example, and a pro-example - while the roof ripped off, the rest of the structure held together until after landing and evacuation.)

      Which is why aircraft extended operations over water require a minimum of two engines, and half

      • (The Aloha Airlines "rag top" flight being both a counter-example,

        Others: the Swissair fire at cruise altitude, the Airbus tail snapping off in wake turbulence departing JFK, the 747 empty center fuel tank explosion, and the Germanwings pilot suicide.

  • by SeaFox ( 739806 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @04:05PM (#65013635)

    Could Teleportation Offer Ten-Second Trips From London to New York?

    See? It's just as likely to happen as an undersea hyperloop, but it's more fun to dream about!

  • Great idea! (Score:4, Funny)

    by Baron_Yam ( 643147 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @04:11PM (#65013647)

    A tube maintaining an internal near-vacuum against the incredible pressures at the ocean's bottom sounds like a trivial, non-scary thing to put people inside.

    I think we should give free tickets to everyone stupid enough to think it was a good idea.

    • A tube maintaining an internal near-vacuum against the incredible pressures at the ocean's bottom sounds like a trivial, non-scary thing to put people inside.

      I think we should give free tickets to everyone stupid enough to think it was a good idea.

      Kind sir, I have witnessed your wisdom and influence among the good people and as such, an investmenter myself, have constructed a deep sea vessel for miraculous pricing and would like to offer you two free tickets to spread the joy of adventure! What do you say?!?

  • by rufey ( 683902 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @04:12PM (#65013649)

    Discovery Channel had a series called "Extreme Engineering" about 10-15 years back and one of the episodes explored this idea, except the tunnel would not be the entire way but be under the surface of the water, tethered to the seafloor so it doesn't surface.

    It would take time to get up to speed on the way out and then to slow down on the other end, and would add time onto the total travel time. A 10 minute acceleration to 3000 MPH from 0 would impart about 0.23g on the passengers. A 20 minute acceleration would impart about 0.11g, but would reduce the distance you'll be going at 3000 MPH. That acceleration/deceleration shouldn't be too uncomfortable for passengers ( see https://rechneronline.de/g-acc... [rechneronline.de] ).

    The biggest hurdle after the massive cost of construction and maintenance, is what happens if there is an accident with a train going 3000 MPH in a tube that is in vacuum. That is a whole lot of kinetic energy that would need to go somewhere. The over-engineering required to handle just about any kind of accident, not to mention handling a leak somewhere, would be massive and expensive. Have an accident 1500 miles in, under the seafloor (assuming its buried)? Whats the contingency for something like that? Cannot evacuate to the tunnel because its a tube in vacuum. Pressurize the tunnel so passengers can transfer to some other train, and then you'll need to depressurize the tube when done. Could segment the tunnel into chunks that could be pressurized and depressurized in a reasonable time frame, but that adds complexity of airtight doors between segments that need to open/shut as trains pass through, and so forth.

    And it won't be built because it will never recoup its cost. How long would it take to recoup the 20+ trillion price tag? How expensive will be the tickets? It will be competing with $1000 airline tickets from New York to London. At $1000 a ticket, that would be 20 billion tickets to make up the $20 trillion cost. Even at $2000 a ticket, that is still 10 billion tickets.

    The Channel is about 24 miles long. This would be 120 times longer.

    • by rufey ( 683902 )

      And one more reference. The new (well, 8 years since opening) Gotthard Base Tunnel in Switzerland took 7 years to excavate at a cost of about $10 billion USD, The boring machines started from both ends and the middle, otherwise it could have taken 10+ years. And this is a 35.5 mile tunnel, the longest railway tunnel in the world. One crossing the Atlantic would be about 85 times longer than this one.

      See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

      So, no, this will never be built.

    • You'd want it under significant wave activity. The highest (non-tsunami) wave of which I'm aware was almost 200' high. To avoid that kind of wave activity, you'd need your tunnel to be anchored 600' under water or the first rogue wave to cross the ocean is going to flex your tunnel into bits. The pressure at that depth is around 270psi (if you trust Google).

      The good news is that surface currents only go down to about 300', but there are deeper currents and they can have chaotic interfaces around undersea

      • The highest (non-tsunami) wave of which I'm aware was almost 200' high

        That would be the "Ramopo" wave, mid-1930s? My memory is havering between 120 and 150ft (50-odd metres in real money).

        There was a monster recorded on one of the North Sea platforms - Brent A? Auk? I forget. (I always found the "A" to be a wobbly fucker, no wonder it was the first of the Brents to be decommissioned.endless problems with pipe flanges springing leaks When I was on it.) Whatever, that was in the same range. Of course, all th

        • I did a quick Google, I saw one that was measured against a cliff face it happened to strike. Which honestly doesn't seem right, but yeah, there were multiples in the 100' and a couple in the 150' range if I recall correctly. I didn't dive into how they were authenticated.

          Regardless, my understanding is that rogue waves are probably a lot more common than we know and mostly go unnoticed because there aren't any humans around to get scared by them. A permanent tunnel would eliminate the option of missing

          • I did a quick Google, I saw one that was measured against a cliff face it happened to strike.

            I didn't consider the question worth the effort of Googling - and I used to get paid to work out amongst these waves.

            "Against cliff face" - therefore the seabed was shallowing, approaching said cliff, which meant the wave was "feeling bottom" and was in the process of breaking. Which are not how one normally measures waves at sea - because you're not at sea, you're on the coast.

            Oh, hang on, you're probably talking

    • 20 trillion just to build. Factoring in maintenance and operational cost (maintaining a vacuum that big is a very hard task)

      A more conventional train moving at 200 mph moving freight might be worthwhile, but that's contingent on finding enough freight that isn't just as easily loaded on a cargo ship. A 15 hr ride could still command a ticket price, either by being cheaper than air, or providing room to lie down and sleep on the trip. I imagine an overnight train leaving NY at 9 or 10 AM and arriving at Lon

    • Whats the contingency for something like that?

      Given the past history of similar engineering projects needing comparable funding I believe it would be to make off with the money somehow well before that stage.

  • by bubblyceiling ( 7940768 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @04:14PM (#65013653)
    Lol. Trump will do it and in the process make billions for himself & his buddies. At the end of 4 years, Americans will be stuck with the bill and a tenth of what was promised
  • by Kelxin ( 3417093 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @04:14PM (#65013655)
    With the distance at 3494 miles, it would have to exceed 3500 mph to make it in an hour. Would you trust a train under the ocean at those speeds, considering we can't even trust a plane at those speeds right now?
  • Some questions

    1. how much energy is required to maintain the necessary vacuum?
    2. how hard is it to maintain the pressure differential between the vacuum of the tunnel and the interior of the train?
    3. If something breaks down, what will be involved in doing repairs in situ and/or evacuating the passengers?
    • The recovery part of the operation could easily be roboticised - sponge, wiper arm, lots of little plastic bags for the sponges to go into, each only containing 15 or 16 mixed people-splashs.

      The "rescue" part of the operation ... you'd need to make some of the cameras thoroughhhly crash resistant, so that the splashed people can be monitored for signs of being dead in the several days for the rescue equipment to get to the incident site.

      Dead people don't need expensive hospital treatment, or support in th

  • I'm sorry Elon, there's no way this could cost "only" $20 billion. It's physically impossible.
  • A Chinese cargo ship drags its anchor over it [asiafinancial.com] ...

    • Cables are susceptible to damage by anchors and other such things because they lie on or very near the surface of the sea bottom. The proposal here is to build the tunnel a considerable distance beneath the seabottom, which should protect it from such things.
  • Earthquakes (Score:5, Interesting)

    by ukoda ( 537183 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @04:32PM (#65013701) Homepage
    I would be worried about what would happen during an earthquake? I'm assuming it would not actually be tunnel under the sea bed but rather a tube floating below the sea surface and anchored to the sea bed. That could provide some seismic isolation but still sounds like a scary way to travel.
  • The article is missing important information: hot cathode? B+ voltage?
  • by 50000BTU_barbecue ( 588132 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @04:33PM (#65013707) Journal

    With the excavated material we can build ten space elevators, become a multi-planet species, and travel from New York to London in one hour.
    It's simple because we have 3D printers, and computers got better so we know it's possible.

  • by peterww ( 6558522 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @04:41PM (#65013731)

    What happens when a 3,000 mph train in a tunnel has a malfunction?

    Stories like this seem like trolls. Lazy ass reporters looking for clickbait.

  • No. Next question your Ketamine Kraziness?
  • Russia would love to "tinker" with this.
  • Then we know it's false.
  • by Grunschev ( 517745 ) <slashdotNO@SPAMgrunschev.com> on Saturday December 14, 2024 @05:29PM (#65013795) Homepage

    One of my pet peeves.

    "could do it for 1000X less money."

    If something costs $100, what would its cost be if it was 1x less? At 1x less, that would be 0, right? "1000x less" is nonsense.

    Even without my pet peeve, 1000x less is deranged. He's saying he could do it for $20 billion? Clearly, he's smoking much better shit than I can get.

  • Estimated carbon emissions from this project relative to comparable air traffic over time, anyone? And don't expect air travel to reduce as a result of this, if it were even possible.

    The evil geniuses in control are getting more evil and geniusy by the minute. Our lives are just games to them.
  • The US and the UK have trouble building high-speed rail...
    I'd suggest figuring out why that isn't working before taking on a $20 trillion project.

    • It's not working because we're trying to build the high-speed rail through the English countryside. There's lots of people object to trains running past their house (and object even more to having their house demolished so trains can run through it). There's lots of interesting archaeology, ancient woodland, rare wildlife and so on. Dealing with this means lots of bureaucracy, and expensive solutions like tunnels so people can't see the trains, diversions around historic sites, wildlife bridges, planting ne

  • Technically, it may be possible. But I doubt such a project would make it past Elon's DOGE scrutiny.

  • Lest another Chinese ship " accidentally " drag an anchor over it like they do the undersea internet cables :|

  • This might just be a bad conversion from metric to imperial, but I noticed the Newsweek article said it would be around "3,000 mph" while the article from The Mirror that Newsweek links to says around "5,000 mph".

    Regardless I'm more than a bit skeptical. Even if the technology existed to build this quickly, the $20 trillion price tag looks like something that will quickly kill it.

    I'm also really curious as to how we can decelerate from 3,000 mph in a reasonable time. There may be some physics here that I'm not familiar with but considering the forces involved in decelerating quickly from even 100 mph I have a hard time seeing how we could easily handle a quick deceleration from 3,000 (let alone 5,000).
  • This makes rocket travel between NYC and London look like a level-headed, reasonably priced idea.
  • As per the title, not this bullshit again...

    Please, for the love of all that is holy, stop with this hyperloop horsecrap.

  • Nothing wrong in theory, and this has been talked about since at least the 60s - I seem to remember it even appearing in a bad scify movie. It *could* be built, but would be insanely expensive.
    • by dvice ( 6309704 )

      I think there is another problem with the "could" part. How much iron would this require, and where would we get it from?

  • The current state of the art of the promised Hyperloop is a couple of cars fucking about in a tunnel under Vegas that can't even compete with an underground metro. The London Underground was more technically advanced in 1863. It's amazing that -ELON doesn't get sued for fraud more often.

  • by billybob2001 ( 234675 ) on Saturday December 14, 2024 @08:32PM (#65014097)

    Proposals for a tunnel connecting the U.K. to the U.S. underneath the Atlantic Ocean have resurfaced

    "resurfaced" - yeah, no, that's not good for a tunnel underneath the ocean.

  • The conclusion was that there is no way that anyone is going to build so perfect a tunnel that small deviations from "straight" won't make passenger's sick from the small motions of following the tube, all the way up to killing them of the tube deviates more that a tiny amount. So, what is this tube about again?

    As for high speed rail, the USA is not the place for it. Americans are in love with the clearly luxurious concept of getting in their cars, leaving exactly when they want, stopping when they want

  • by Sique ( 173459 ) on Sunday December 15, 2024 @06:15AM (#65014545) Homepage
    Just read Bernhard Kellermann's "The Tunnel" from 1913. It describes exactly the same idea and includes all the technological hurdles known at the time.
  • Consider the pressure at the bottom of the Atlantic: something around 4000 meters down. You have to reckon with water intrusion at some point during tunneling.

    Color me skeptical...

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