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'A Black Hole': America's New Graduates Discover a Dismal Job Market (nbcnews.com) 198

NBC News reports that in the U.S., many recent graduates looking to enter the labor force "are painting a dire picture of their job search." NBC News asked people who recently finished technical school, college or graduate school how their job application process was going, and in more than 100 responses, the graduates described months spent searching for a job, hundreds of applications and zero responses from employers — even with degrees once thought to be in high demand, like computer science or engineering.

Some said they struggled to get an hourly retail position or are making salaries well below what they had been expecting in fields they hadn't planned to work in. "It was very frustrating," said Jensen Kornfeind, who graduated this spring from Temple University with a degree in international trade. "Out of 70-plus job applications, I had three job interviews, and out of those three, I got ghosted from two of them."

The national economic data backs up their experience. The unemployment rate among recent graduates has been increasing this year to an average of 5.3%, compared to around 4% for the labor force as a whole, making it one of the toughest job markets for recent graduates since 2015, according to an analysis by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York released Friday. "Recent college graduates are on the margin of the labor market, and so they're the first to feel when the labor market slows and hiring slows," said Jaison Abel, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

Across the economy, hiring in recent months has ground to its slowest pace since the start of the pandemic, with employers adding just 73,000 jobs in July, according to data released Friday... Tech workers have been some of the hardest hit in a slowing job market, with more than 400 employers including Meta, Intel and Cisco announcing more than 130,000 jobs cut in 2025, according to tech job site TrueUp.

The article cites an economist at Indeed Hiring Lab who believes early adoption of AI "is also likely driving some of the cuts and leading employers to rethink hiring plans in anticipation of AI's future role." So besides federal policy changes, the article blames "the emergence of AI, which some companies have said they are using to replace certain entry-level jobs, like those in customer support or basic software development."

Seven months after graduating, one CS major told NBC News he'd applied for 100 jobs, and got one job offer — for the 4 a.m. shift at Starbucks.

'A Black Hole': America's New Graduates Discover a Dismal Job Market

Comments Filter:
  • Dont' worry (Score:5, Funny)

    by locater16 ( 2326718 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @09:02PM (#65564432)
    The government will continue to fire people until the official numbers are better, exactly like the people voted for!
    • by Jhon ( 241832 )

      " exactly like the people voted for!"

      The people didn't vote FOR anything, IMO. Way too many voted against something.

      People didn't like Biden *OR* Harris. They held their nose and voted AGAINST Trump. Unsuccessfully

      Many Trump voters likewise didn't like Trump, but voted AGAINST Harris.

      Both parties are providing crap candidates.

  • It's almost as if (Score:5, Insightful)

    by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @09:07PM (#65564440)
    Starting a massive trade war while chasing away tens of billions of dollars of tourists so that you could appeal the racist boomers while constantly threatening to crash the stock market by firing the head of the Federal reserve is not in fact sound economic policy.

    I'm sure it'll all turn around in 2 weeks. Right around the time the Epstein documents get released.

    And other news Ghislain Maxwell has been transferred to a club fed prison and newsmax is now telling their viewers that she's innocent. Pardon in three. Two. One....
    • Re:It's almost as if (Score:5, Informative)

      by ndsurvivor ( 891239 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @09:45PM (#65564510)
      I think it is more subtle than a trade war, it is a class war. Now we have a National Sales Tax. This is something that Rich people have wanted for a long time.
    • by Mr. Dollar Ton ( 5495648 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @10:44PM (#65564590)

      You again painting the Big Beautiful Economic Picture black for no reason at all.

      Yes, there are tariffs, but they are taming inflation as revenues come in, and make Americans richer because of all that windfall payment mountain - 100 billions!!11! HUNDRED BILLIONS US DALLARS!111!1 - every month.

      And there are now plenty of jobs that will be available to new AI graduates.

      They can go to the factory shop to assemble great American automobiles, like the GREAT American FIAT 124 clone [x.com].

      They can go to the fields to pick the Great American crops.

      They can go to the farms to take care of the Great American pigs.

      Finally, they can work for ICE and help the Country remove all those Invaders.

      There is a bright future ahead, and only you, the people entrenched in the Big Globalist Lie are blocking it from happening.

    • Trump is weaponizing tariffs against you. Soon you will be begging to work picking fruit in a field. Companies will be given permission to lower salaries. Just wait.
  • by NewtonsLaw ( 409638 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @09:20PM (#65564460)

    Is this because companies are trying to leverage as much AI as they can these days?

    We're told that AI will improve everyone's life and give us all more leisure time -- but I'm getting the impression that "leisure" is equated with "unemployed" by those making the predictions. With AI taking over so many roles that often required a degree I think it will only serve to make the rich richer and the poor poorer, with no trickle-down or benefit to those who can't use it to their own advantage.

    Only time will tell I guess.

    • We're told that AI will improve everyone's life and give us all more leisure time

      I don't think anyone credible is saying that. At best the argument is that productivity is increased. Sometimes people connect the dots and argue that this will make our service economy cheaper. But at no point did capitalism promise you that you won't have to hustle anymore.

    • During the Great Depression, unemployed were classified as vacationing.
    • "We're told that AI will improve everyone's life and give us all more leisure time -- but I'm getting the impression that "leisure" is equated with "unemployed" by those making the predictions."

      Correct.

    • It's a stick to hit hard workers with, work harder or better replaced. Just like offshoring / outsourcing was.

    • Re:The AI promise? (Score:5, Insightful)

      by coofercat ( 719737 ) on Monday August 04, 2025 @08:27AM (#65564956) Homepage Journal

      I know there are a lot of big company CEOs saying this stuff, but I don't personally believe it. AI is doing *something*, but it's not as profound as all that.

      I think there's just a general downturn, and it's hitting tech harder than most. The tech industry, and particularly the AI industry can't admit they're not peddling quite as much of their crap as they once were, so they're cutting their costs where they can - and are masking it as "efficiency improvements thanks to AI".

      It's not all about the USA, but recent US Economic policy has been hit-and-miss at best. Whatever your idealogical thoughts on the matter, it's left most of the world holding its breath - and that means no new investment in anything, be it a big new plant in $country or even just hiring one extra person in your small company. No one wants any long term liabilities right now - just in case it all changes again, or indeed if we do have global recessions.

      That all pre-supposes people have money to make long-term investments - which I suspect they don't. Inflation has hit just about every modern economy in the world, and there's a cost of living issue in most economies as a result. That means the masses just aren't buying as much, which means the mega corps aren't selling as much (and probably aren't advertising as much - hence the tech slowdown).

      Most countries don't have a lot of spare money for investments right now either. My own country gave away all of its money to big companies during the pandemic. We didn't actually have piles of it before then, but we've sure got a lot more debt problems now. Even the government has to tighten its belt (or put up taxes, which it's been stupid enough to do already - rumours are it'll do it again soon too). So you're not going to see government stimulus doing too much for the foreseeable either - in my country, you might already argue the government is doing the opposite of stimulus, and that argument may get stronger if they make more policy mistakes. No AI was responsible for any of this.

      All in all, yes, AI has its part to play in all this, but it's more likely the excuse for inaction, or the excuse for cutting costs more than it's the cause of any of it.

      • Marc Benioff, the CEO of Salesforce, seems like a pretty smart guy and his company is right on top of AI agents but he has gone in public and said that he doesn't see anything in current AI that would cause him to require fewer workers.
  • by OrangeTide ( 124937 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @09:23PM (#65564466) Homepage Journal

    The economy is being carefully managed by Wharton School graduate.

    • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

      by ndsurvivor ( 891239 )
      My guess is that Trump bribed and cheated his way through Wharton.
      • by Mr. Dollar Ton ( 5495648 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @11:10PM (#65564634)

        Why would one need to do this in an MBA outfit?

        You don't attend one to learn things, that's what you do in undergrad. You don't attend one to do research, for that you attend a program that lets you do a PhD.

        The MBA outfits aren't schools, they are clubs where you make acquaintances to do business. Hence the large membership fee.

        • So, MBA's are where Rich people join clubs and make acquaintances and do business for a huge fee? That almost sounds like waste, fraud, and abuse. Has Trump tried to cut funds to Wharton yet?
          • no, because to him the definition of waste, fraud, and abuse is money spent on education, research and public well-being. Remember, his business is a club for shady deals.

      • Too young, Dad bribed Wharton to get his son a degree. Just like dad paid a doc for a bone spurs certificate. After all, "The Trump family has zero record of military service in four generations." Like father, like son.
  • Question (Score:3, Insightful)

    by 93 Escort Wagon ( 326346 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @09:33PM (#65564500)

    Is this the "winning" I keep hearing about?

    • Re:Question (Score:5, Insightful)

      by ndsurvivor ( 891239 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @09:38PM (#65564504)
      As long as a quarter of the population can be brainwashed all of the time (51% of the voting population), then the propaganda machine can grind on and tell you that the job numbers are great, that inflation is low, that there is peace in the world, the GDP numbers are the bestest, and that Trump is the "Greatest" president of all time.
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by gweihir ( 88907 )

      It is. When the orange rapist talks about how "we are winning", that "we" does not include you.

  • by timeOday ( 582209 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @09:54PM (#65564526)
    "Trump fires lead official on economic data as tariffs cause market drop"

    https://www.bbc.com/news/artic... [bbc.com]

    • No no, the numbers are great, the greatest numbers we've ever seen. It's all the fault of those woke business owners who are deliberately not hiring people just to try and make Trump look bad. No doubt those woke employers were put there by Biden as well and it's also all his fault.

      • I guess sarcasm does not work. To quote Trump: "If it is good, I get the credit, if it is bad, it is Biden's fault". If you are a trump supporter, and you believe that, I think you are dumb as a rock.
  • Worthless degrees (Score:2, Interesting)

    by p51d007 ( 656414 )
    The judge from "Caddyshack" said it best... The world needs ditch diggers too! The university "industry" has churned out thousands of useless degree ldiots for generations. The market is saturated. Meanwhile, you can get a job in the trades easily...but a lot of Gen Z types have been conditioned from birth to get a college degree. Plus, most don't want to put in a days labor. (ie: getting their hands dirty). I got an associates degree in electronics in the late 70's. Never been unemployed or under empl
  • by AgTiger ( 458268 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @10:38PM (#65564582) Homepage

    Plumber, electrician, welder, mechanic, and a whole bunch more.

    See Mike Rowe's take on this:
    https://youtu.be/HJRyMQiTJF4 [youtu.be]

    • For that matter grafting fruit trees is quite an art.

    • by MTEK ( 2826397 )

      We're not there yet, but being told to go into a trade may become the new "learn to code". In the meantime, private equity is buying up local companies that deal in skilled trades (plumbing, HVAC, electrical), consolidating them under one roof, which will result in limited competition and drive down wages.

      • I've already seen it in plumbing in my area. Prior (2 decades ago) they bought up doc practices. Rental housing also seems to be a thing lately. Who knew, monopolies make money.
    • The between jobs homeowners aren't going to be able to afford not to DIY it, and the businesses laying off all these office workers aren't going to need trades building offices, either.
    • Most tradespeople I know don't make that much unless the job is very remote and/or dangerous. Also they work long hours with little control over it because its seasonal. Frequently they work outside in the cold, plumbers work with crap. I don't know why you would wish this on people. Furthermore, the more people go into the trades the less each one of them make.
  • by dragonturtle69 ( 1002892 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @10:53PM (#65564604)

    What a huge sample size, " and in more than 100 responses". Wow, NBC really did their research; 100 chosen responses.

    Last year the stories were about how Gen Z having a hard time finding work was due to their unrealistic demands about pay, working hours, perks, and so on.

    White collar work, especially in IT, is on the way down. If the now extinct or going extinct jobs were jobs were fulfilled by reading SO and pasting crap together, or reading articles and creating summaries, yeah those are done, except for when particular experience is required. Sometimes knowledge of an industry is required to get the work correct.

    How many bots are posting here?

    • by godrik ( 1287354 )

      Well, the article lines up with what I am seeing. My son just got hired with a BS in physics after looking for over a year. He applied to every job he was remotely qualified for He had multiple internships during his degree. And he only got a call back once he got internal referrals.

      The story is the same from my students out of BS in CS. Hundreds of applications for internahip that never answer. And probanly 6 month to find a related job after graduation for most good students.

      This seems to have started as

  • Other metrics (Score:5, Insightful)

    by larryjoe ( 135075 ) on Sunday August 03, 2025 @11:09PM (#65564632)

    A 5.5% unemployment rate doesn't seen so bad for the average probability of a single recent graduate finding a job. In a good year, the unemployment rate would be 2-3%. Viewed from the employment perspective, an average 94.5% probability of finding a job compared to 97-98% didn't seem so bad.

    The two missing metrics are (1) the percentage that has given up on finding a job and therefore distorts the true unemployment rate and (2) the underemployment rate that counts graduates that technically have a job but not in their field or not close to the expected wages. That's what we should be talking about.

    Of course, now that the government people in charge of regarding these metrics are being fired for political reasons (i.e., because they didn't publish the desired numbers), good luck on finding metrics that we can have confidence in.

    • If America really cared about their citizens, the Unemployment rate should consist of All Americans divided by the number who work. Getting that number to one would be amazing.
      • It should be "number of residents who are legally and physically able to work" (ie. no minors ineligible to work, no disabled persons, no elderly unable to work, etc.) in the calculation.

    • A 5.5% unemployment rate doesn't seen so bad for the average probability of a single recent graduate finding a job.

      You actually BELIEVE those numbers? Oh my.

  • If it's to be believed that productivity has sky rocketed because of AI. Then the problem lies with business/government being able to take advantage of that massive boost.

    Every advancement in productivity since fire and the wheel has ultimately resulted in jobs expansion with people being able to do more.

    The problem here as I see it is that the business have stayed the same. It's just that the effort required to achieve those business goals has plummeted. What hasn't happened yet is businesses capitalisi

    • Problem is AI is replacing those jobs college grads would have gotten, the senior ones to review what AI did are still needed. Where is the next crop of senior people coming from if AI gets the junior roles? It is also a subtle problem with WFH. How do junior people get trained, and make no mistake, college is not the end of training, if there is no interaction with senior people in person, there is less training/knowledge passing. Moreover, I don't discount the enthusiasm and out of the box thinking that c
  • The news from higher education invariably falls into one of two categories:

    • - Increased politicisation
    • - Lowered academic standards

    Is this an accurate reflection of reality? I have no idea. But from the perspective of an employer, looking for evidence that a candidate is educated (as opposed to indoctrinated), degrees are looking increasingly worthless.

  • The saddest thing (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Inglix the Mad ( 576601 ) on Monday August 04, 2025 @08:53AM (#65564984)
    is that there are dumb reels making fun of college grads on the social media platforms featuring fake tradespeople. Don't get me wrong, a lot of your job prospects come down to dumb luck in choosing your degree... and persistence.

    I grew up in a family of blue collar factory workers and tradespeople. None of them, including not a single master mason, master electrician, master welder, master plumber, master mechanic, and master carpenter (all with over a decade of experience) encouraged their kids to do anything except for get degrees. Why? Significant periods of unemployment, companies jerking you around, problems getting the general contractor / businesses to pay up, problems everywhere, and margins becoming so thin they couldn't see their kids averaging out (over a work career) as good as themselves in that same time frame.

    Let me make this clear: Not a single one, from factory workers to highly skilled artisans, told their kids to get trades jobs because they knew the life personally. The only people who idolize tradepeople lives are people looking in from the outside. The work is hard, regularly filthy, sometimes highly dangerous, and often underpaid. Yeah, they're in a mini-boom for now. That being said, in a few years they might in a work famine again. Just look at electricians getting canned from solar projects that now have to scrap it out trying to find ANY job.

    By the by, our parents were right for many of us. A part of it was what jobs you were lucky enough to get into, but most at least averaged out a smidge better. A few of us got some really high paying jobs exceedingly better than average. Some of us, the ones that went into tech, got better than average so far. So a college degree, granted we could work summers and pay for our college in cash, made our lives FAR better than our parents. I'm in far better shape than my parents at the same age. Even amongst our peers those who went into the trades are falling apart, physically, with a ridiculous number of surgeries from years of work wear / injuries as we're getting older. Surgeries, I might add, that are costing an ever increasing amount as their health insurance benefits wither.
    • Re:The saddest thing (Score:5, Interesting)

      by drinkypoo ( 153816 ) <drink@hyperlogos.org> on Monday August 04, 2025 @09:21AM (#65565030) Homepage Journal

      Surgeries, I might add, that are costing an ever increasing amount as their health insurance benefits wither.

      Thanks, Obama!

      That is less than half a joke, because the ACA a) writes profit for insurance companies right into the law and b) caps the amount they can charge at a percentage of the cost of care, which means they are motivated to drive up the prices.

      The preexisting conditions part of the ACA is good. The rest of it is crap. It's designed to force people to purchase more expensive health insurance plans, and then to pay for it with tax money if individual people cannot afford it, making The People pay for it instead (APTC.) This is a direct handout to an industry which should not even be allowed to exist.

    • Thank you, just said basically the same thing above from an outsider's perspective.
  • From an outside perspective it does not make any sense that such a large and important country has only two flavours of party on tap.

  • by GeekWithAKnife ( 2717871 ) on Monday August 04, 2025 @11:31AM (#65565344)
    With tariffs forcing a massive onshoring of manufacturing you will soon be able to take your $50k student debt and your degree and sit on an assembly line earning minimum wage...and the even better news is you can have two such jobs to work 14-16 hours a day so you can just manage to pay interest and never get out of debt.
    As this is not a political post I'll not try to sway you as to what the root cause might be I will let you determine that all by yourself.
    I got all my fingers crossed for all Americans and their future...
  • I remember when job seekers were ghosting employers. Not employers are ghosting candidates. Weird how job market cycles work like that. >.
  • Did I read those numbers right? How is that a disaster?

    So a college grad has a 94.7% chance of finding work? They have to beat out the bottom 5.3% of competing workers?

    I'm having trouble processing how this is "dismal." Not as good as before, sure. But dismal?

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