
Spacecraft Designed That Could Carry 2,400 People on a 400-Year Trip to Alpha Centauri (livescience.com) 174
They haven't built a spacecraft for travelling to our nearest star system. But "Engineers have designed a spacecraft that could take up to 2,400 people on a one-way trip to Alpha Centauri," reports LiveScience:
The craft, called Chrysalis, could make the 25 trillion mile (40 trillion kilometer) journey in around 400 years, the engineers say in their project brief, meaning many of its potential passengers would only know life on the craft. Chrysalis is designed to house several generations of people until it enters the star system, where it could shuttle them to the surface of the planet Proxima Centuri b — an Earth-size exoplanet that is thought to be potentially habitable.
The project won first place in the Project Hyperion Design Competition, a challenge that requires teams to design hypothetical multigenerational ships for interstellar travel.
Before boarding the ship, the Chrysalis project would require initial generations of ship inhabitants to live in and adapt to an isolated environment in Antarctica for 70 to 80 years to ensure psychological wellbeing. The ship could theoretically be constructed in 20 to 25 years and retains gravity through constant rotation. The vessel, which would measure 36 miles (58 km) in length, would be constructed like a Russian nesting doll, with several layers encompassing each other around a central core. The layers include communal spaces, farms, gardens, homes, warehouses and other shared facilities, each powered by nuclear fusion reactors....
This plan is purely hypothetical, as some of the required technology, like commercial nuclear fusion reactors, don't yet exist.
Thanks to long-time Slashdot reader fahrbot-bot for submitting the article — and for sharing this observation...
"My first thought was that someone read Arthur C. Clarke's book, Rendezvous with Rama and used it as a model design!"
The project won first place in the Project Hyperion Design Competition, a challenge that requires teams to design hypothetical multigenerational ships for interstellar travel.
Before boarding the ship, the Chrysalis project would require initial generations of ship inhabitants to live in and adapt to an isolated environment in Antarctica for 70 to 80 years to ensure psychological wellbeing. The ship could theoretically be constructed in 20 to 25 years and retains gravity through constant rotation. The vessel, which would measure 36 miles (58 km) in length, would be constructed like a Russian nesting doll, with several layers encompassing each other around a central core. The layers include communal spaces, farms, gardens, homes, warehouses and other shared facilities, each powered by nuclear fusion reactors....
This plan is purely hypothetical, as some of the required technology, like commercial nuclear fusion reactors, don't yet exist.
Thanks to long-time Slashdot reader fahrbot-bot for submitting the article — and for sharing this observation...
"My first thought was that someone read Arthur C. Clarke's book, Rendezvous with Rama and used it as a model design!"
Question (Score:2)
where it could shuttle them to the surface of the planet Proxima Centuri b — an Earth-size exoplanet that is thought to be potentially habitable.
What do they do if they get to his planet and find out it can't support their life? Do they stay in the system and live their lives in the ship? Do they turn around and return home? Go some place else?
This is all well and good to talk about sending people to a planet, but thinking it's habitable is far different from knowing it's habitable.
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I would think a 400 year trip is way to long what happens 200 year later when the next bigger faster ship passes them on a 40 year trip.
Re:Question (Score:5, Interesting)
I would think a 400 year trip is way to long what happens 200 year later when the next bigger faster ship passes them on a 40 year trip.
What happens when the first generation of kids comes of age, notices they never gave consent to be confined to a ship for their entire lives, and decides to turn around? And about that 40 year trip. Bear in mind this math is for a 2000 kg ship, 1 billionth the size of the proposed one:
https://www.antipope.org/charlie/blog-static/2007/06/the_high_frontier_redux.html
Now, let's say we want to deliver our canned monkey to Proxima Centauri within its own lifetime. We're sending them on a one-way trip, so a 42 year flight time isn't unreasonable. (Their job is to supervise the machinery as it unpacks itself and begins to brew up a bunch of new colonists using an artificial uterus. Okay?) This means they need to achieve a mean cruise speed of 10% of the speed of light. They then need to decelerate at the other end. At 10% of c relativistic effects are minor — there's going to be time dilation, but it'll be on the order of hours or days over the duration of the 42-year voyage. So we need to accelerate our astronaut to 30,000,000 metres per second, and decelerate them at the other end. Cheating and using Newton's laws of motion, the kinetic energy acquired by acceleration is 9 x 1017 Joules, so we can call it 2 x 1018 Joules in round numbers for the entire trip. NB: This assumes that the propulsion system in use is 100% efficient at converting energy into momentum, that there are no losses from friction with the interstellar medium, and that the propulsion source is external — that is, there's no need to take reaction mass along en route. So this is a lower bound on the energy cost of transporting our Mercury-capsule sized expedition to Proxima Centauri in less than a lifetime. To put this figure in perspective, the total conversion of one kilogram of mass into energy yields 9 x 1016 Joules. (Which one of my sources informs me, is about equivalent to 21.6 megatons in thermonuclear explosive yield). So we require the equivalent energy output to 400 megatons of nuclear armageddon in order to move a capsule of about the gross weight of a fully loaded Volvo V70 automobile to Proxima Centauri in less than a human lifetime. That's the same as the yield of the entire US Minuteman III ICBM force.
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What happens when the first generation of kids comes of age, notices they never gave consent to be confined to a ship for their entire lives, and decides to turn around?
There are major ethical problems with generational ships.
No human being on earth gives consent to be born either, and I personally think it's an analogous situation. I'm currently planning to not have children on the basis of this kind of consideration.
Re:Question (Score:5, Funny)
Your reason for abstaining from producing kids is that they can't (logically) give consent since they don't exist yet?
I must say, you are one of a dying breed.
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Religion is a tried and true solution used by humanity many times previously to solve just that very same issue.
Personally though I think that the engineering problems dwarf the social ones. Humanity's longest lived buildings are only a few thousand years old, and they are basically ruins not fit to live in. We have no clue how to build
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Religion is a tried and true solution used by humanity many times previously to solve just that very same issue.
Personally though I think that the engineering problems dwarf the social ones. Humanity's longest lived buildings are only a few thousand years old, and they are basically ruins not fit to live in. We have no clue how to build anything that would stay intact and fit for purpose over 500 years.
Notre-Dame cathedral was built in 1163, and is still fit for occupation. That's 863 years. But it's had some damage over the years.
Re:Question (Score:5, Interesting)
The wood needed for repairs required tall and straight trees, hundreds of years old, planted in special purpose forests. These forests are mostly gone due to other factors, and this time there was a scavenger hunt across the country just to find enough replacement trees. Previously, suitable old trees were plentiful. In terms of redesign, unforeseen extra buttresses were needed to reinforce the structure centuries later.
In space, there is no external repair plan and no redesign of unforeseen flaws. The density of particles is too low to collect material outside the space ship. Recycling has limited applicability over many cycles due to degradation. Carrying extensive repair materials also adds unacceptable mass, which reduces the top travel speed and increases travel time by centuries. Increased travel time means increased time for degradation.
The design needs to be complete and resilient from the beginning, not rely on future cleverness and external resources every 50 years or so to patch up unforeseen problems. Space is hard and we have never attempted something even remotely similar on such a timescale.
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You are disproving your own initial claim. Since people will be living in the vessel and overseeing maintenance and repairs there is no reason why it should not remain serviceable forever. Notre Dame is still in use because they can fix it -- this defeats your original claim.
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Why bother with non-essential crap, when they can just vent the ship?
Re:Question (Score:5, Insightful)
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We've seen it before, those who left not welcome (Score:4, Interesting)
are "earthlings" willing to share the planet with an 800 year old space faring civilization that probably looks nothing like earth civilizations anymore?
The book "Guns, Germs, and Steel" suggests no. A Pacific Islander population splintered, a group went off to colonize another yet-to-be-discovered island. They were successful and lost contact with the homeland. A very small number of generations later, three?, the group left behind discovered the colonized island. The people living on the island were peaceful and promptly conquered and enslaved by their still warlike relatives only a few generations apart.
If the ship is designed to withstand the rigors of space, they might even chose to not go back, but keep going until they do find a habitable planet.
And we saw this with the Pacific Islanders too.
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Talking about 16 generations. Those people if they build a stable society won't have more connection to any planet other than old legend that there used to be a world beyond the spacecraft. They'll be native "spacecraftians", they'll just keep living there. Until their resources are exhausted, that is.
I personally don't believe the travel is possible with so few people. To support advanced machinery, one needs a population in the several millions and huge mining resources. Otherwise no steel mills, no concr
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Earth could continuously transmit the latest knowledge to the ship throughout its journey. The signal delay would increase as the ship gets farther away, but Alpha Centauri is only 4.25 light years distant. That's not much lag if the main concern is keeping up on the latest advancements in research.
2-way communication is still not crazy unreasonable with an 8.5 year round trip delay.
The folks on the ship would have to put a lot of effort into education to be successful. I think the bigger issue is the et
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Earth could continuously transmit the latest knowledge to the ship throughout its journey. The signal delay would increase as the ship gets farther away, but Alpha Centauri is only 4.25 light years distant. That's not much lag if the main concern is keeping up on the latest advancements in research.
Also there entertainment programming would be only 4 years behind.
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To support advanced machinery, one needs a population in the several millions and huge mining resources. Otherwise no steel mills, no concrete, no microchips. Also no engineers, medical doctors, university professors without a large enough population to pick the best.
So basically we need to turn something like a small moon into our spacecraft?
Neat! I recommend Deimos. [wikipedia.org]
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Also, unless their spin gravity is creating 1g, the people that arrive at Alpha Centauri would be quite physiologically different than us - several generations of low-g living would decrease bone density and elongate the body, and then bringing someone ill-adapted to real gravity from actual mass would probably kill them from not having a circulatory system that is used to fighting gravity.
If they got there and realized it sucks and decide to haul ass back for Earth, by the time they get here they couldn't
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What do they do if they get to his planet and find out it can't support their life?
Well, they start terraforming, of course!
We've done that ... (Score:5, Interesting)
What do they do if they get to his planet and find out it can't support their life?
Well, they start terraforming, of course!
It's what the Pacific Islanders did. As part of a colonizing effort, or a survival kit if unintentionally stranded somewhere, they traveled with about a dozen or so plant species that provided sustenance and medicinals. Getting these into cultivation on a new island was a priority after landing.
Europeans did something similar during their colonization. Select a site to build, turn a few pigs loose in the area. Hell, sometimes they'd drop a few pigs on a promising location with plans to come back in a few years.
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Yeah OK, sure. Those Pacific Islanders arrived at islands that already had everything needed to support life. They had plants and animals already living there, just not the specific plants that were desired.
Starting from a completely dead planet, probably with a poisonous atmosphere, is a completely different thing.
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Yeah OK, sure. Those Pacific Islanders arrived at islands that already had everything needed to support life. They had plants and animals already living there, just not the specific plants that were desired.
Starting from a completely dead planet, probably with a poisonous atmosphere, is a completely different thing.
Good thing the interstellar multigenerational space travels have an entirely different level of technology.
Personally, I think the space travels might do something else Pacific Islanders did. We found an island but its bad, lets keep looking.
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Europeans did something similar during their colonization. Select a site to build, turn a few pigs loose in the area. Hell, sometimes they'd drop a few pigs on a promising location with plans to come back in a few years.
That's not a nice thing to say about Virginians!
We've done this before, sort of ... (Score:2)
What do they do if they get to his planet and find out it can't support their life? Do they stay in the system and live their lives in the ship? Do they turn around and return home? Go some place else?
Historically, the Pacific Islander migrations suggest the latter. Go some place else.
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where it could shuttle them to the surface of the planet Proxima Centuri b — an Earth-size exoplanet that is thought to be potentially habitable.
What do they do if they get to his planet and find out it can't support their life? Do they stay in the system and live their lives in the ship?
You mean "home"? The so-called "ship" is a self-sustaining mobile colony, making its own cultural choices. They may be interested in exploring said planet, then again, maybe not.
So what happens when they get there? (Score:2)
Yeah, "designed" (Score:3)
The operative word (Score:2)
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"These are all at the same level of likelihood."
I disagree, we know that billionaire's exist, so that is at least a non zero level of likely. AFAIK, there is no documented case of monkeys flying out of anyone's butt, so I don't think it would be unreasonable to assign a zero level of likely to that.
Have none them every read scifi (Score:2)
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need for artificial gravity, and the numerous other things that need to be considered.
Artificial gravity is somewhat provided by centrifugal force due to the rotation. However, the apparent gravity would be linear on the distance from the rotation axis, and there would be Coriolis effects that make the “gravity” behave strangely, especially if the angular rate is high and the radius is small.
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Four hundred years is about 12 generations and 5 to 6 lifetimes. The number of things that could go wrong that have nothing to do with the physical design boggle the mind. Has their design accounted for the [....things]?
Yes, if you read more than just the headline.
Poor presumptions (Score:2)
This ship design presumes technology not currently existing, but does so poorly.
The tech required for it is not significantly beyond the requirements for:
1) a solar system based laser to power a solar sail ship, that should be able to travel at 0.5% of the speed of light, enabling travel in less than 80 years, let alone 400.
2) medical technology to allow humans to live for up to 140 years in a controlled environment like a starship.
This combination would negate the need for a 'generation' ship, replacing it
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This ship design presumes technology not currently existing, but does so poorly.
For navigation it uses Tesla Autopilot, or will about two years after launch ....
Designed? (Score:2)
Not Clarke & "Rama"; O'Neill & "The High F (Score:4, Informative)
This design is much more akin to Gerard K. O'Neill's proposal for an *actual* space habitat consisting of two counter-spinning concentric shells to provide spin-gravity, mechanical stability, and increased habital surface area; this is where jms and Harlan Elison got the basic design of "Bablyon 5" from, although the basic idea of habital cylinders in space goes back even further; Hermann Oberth used the idea 1954 and also Larry Niven included the idea in 1970's "Ringworld", but AFAIK O'Neill's was the first actually designed as a potentially viable construct (once suitable tech was available), e.g. calculating that it was mechanically and physically viable, hence the reason the basic design concept is named for him.
Don't Forget Heinlein's "Orphans in the Sky" (Score:3)
Great read about the dangers that people are talking about even if the tech doesn't fail.
Re:Not Clarke & "Rama"; O'Neill & "The Hig (Score:5, Informative)
Did you read the same Rendezvous With Rama that I did? Rama definitely spins on its axis to create gravity for the interior walls. Hence the big staircase the LED down from the axis to the interior on the one end.
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"that led down.". Sigh. Google keyboard is really bad sometimes. AI will make it better I'm sure.
Re:Not Clarke & "Rama"; O'Neill & "The Hig (Score:5, Interesting)
Also the plot point about the internal weather phenomenon - the cyclonic windstorm that develops as the outer shell warms up, warms the air next to it, causing it to rise, and transport angular momentum towards the middle.
I've got some tickets to sell (Score:2)
Anybody want to buy some? These tickets are guaranteed to get you to Alpha Centauri, or your money back. If you should choose to receive a refund after your 70 years on Antarctica, please contact my grandchildren.
How does 70 years on Antarctica help anything? (Score:2)
However long your first crew stays in isolation in Antarctica, those people won't be on the ship, their children, and their children's children will. Just because Great-Granddad did fine, has no bearing on whether the children will "do fine." As every parent knows, each child is unique, even when they have the same parents.
No, if you're going to get on board this thing, just...do it already. It's a marathon, not a sprint. Whatever happens, you're just going to have to make it work.
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Descendants of those that did well in Antarctica isolation are more likely to do well in space isolation than those that did not.
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Do you have children? Are they like you?
One thing you find out, being a parent, is that children have a mind of their own. They have very different strengths and weaknesses than you do.
I have two boys. I handle money well, one of my sons does also, and one does not. I'm an extrovert, one of my sons is an extrovert, the other is not. I'm terrible at art, but both my sons are excellent artists.
No, "doing well with isolation" is not likely to be a genetic trait.
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Yes, point taken.
And thankfully, the point is purely academic, because the design is very, very far from becoming reality.
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Genetics is important, but "chaos" is equally important. Development has lots of attractors where really small initial differences yield extremely different results. OTOH, most chaotic developments are bounded in their differences. So you may not be able to predict individual differences, but can do better at the population level.
2400 people is enough that nobody there would know everyone else. That's probably important. OTOH, we don't know anything about designing stable societies in an environment w
HOA disputes (Score:3)
Hope your neighbor doesn't build an unsightly fence, or plant a tree too close to your property line. It could get ugly.
I already played that game (Score:3)
Building something like this is a bigger engineering challenge than we're currently capable of, but I think that in time we'll do it. Some crazed rich fool will pay for it and even crazier fools will fight for the opportunity to go along for the ride. It's in our DNA.
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Only once 'though' changes into 'known' (Score:3)
They "studied" Douglas Adams (Score:2)
Its an ambitious idea, but we should build more to be rid of all the useless people.
Oh really?? (Score:2)
To travel 40 trillion km in 400 years means an average speed of about 3168 km/s. And this ship is 58km long?? let's assume it's 58km x 100m x 100m with an average density half that of water. That gives us a mass of about 290 billion kg. To accelerate 290 billion kg up to 3168 km/s will take about 1.46 * 10^24 joules, or roughly as much energy as everyone on Earth consumes in 2500 years.
Good luck with that.
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Just read the spec; my mass estimate was low. They're claiming 2.4 billion tons which is 2.4 * 10^12 kg. So I under-estimated the energy almost by a factor of 10; we're looking at about as much energy as everyone on Earth consumes in 20,600 years.
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Now add the energy it takes to put that mass into orbit around earth to construct the ship in the first place.
I suppose they're banking on a space elevator.
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By the time we can build that, we'll be using asteroids and small moons for raw materials.
Perfect ... (Score:3)
I read the novels (Score:2)
It will be fun. :-)
There is a more realistic way... (Score:4, Interesting)
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And after 400 years, they get "grown" and discover they were beaten to the planet by a more technologically advanced people and craft that only took 30 years to get there and launched far later making them essentially second rate citizens that can serve as a slave population to build New Earth for their new overlords.
Because mankind is essentially a collection of groups who are assholes to each other.
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YES!
I was going to suggest the same thing. The ship could go into orbit around the best candidate planet in the target solar system, then seed it with life to try to get it to optimal conditions before raising humans to live there from frozen embryos. They could send sufficient DNA to eliminate any inbreeding concerns, and not for humans, but all the species introduced. And in many cases, it may be simplest to have a database and synthesize new DNA as needed for each new seed or embryo.
I imagine sending
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I have my doubts about an AI's reliability over the course of 400 years. Even if the hardware holds up, by the time the ship gets there, the AI may moved on to different plans than the ones its creators had in mind :)
a commonplace trope (Score:2)
If you read much science fiction you will have seen a lot of stories about interstellar flight like this. And there are all kinds of solutions, many of which involve hibernation or cold storage of the crew while some kind of AI handles the navigation and ship systems. Usually it goes haywire in order to generate drama.
Sometimes there's a rotating set of human skeleton crew that gets awoken to make sure things are going okay. In the novels there will be all kinds of tension associated with that, or the ship
Obligatory (Score:2)
What do we want? Faster than light travel!
When do we want it? It's irrelative!
(Sorry)
Generation ship (Score:2)
The classic problem with a generation ship isn't engineering, it's biological reversion to the mean.
You pull 400 crew from the brightest, best qualified of the 8 billion people on Earth. Their children will be smarter than the average human, but not nearly as smart as their parents. And the third generation will be dumber still as the average intelligence and competence ebbs toward the overall human average.
Can a team of essentially random people plucked off the street keep an interstellar spaceship in good
Re:Generation ship (Score:5, Interesting)
The classic problem with a generation ship isn't engineering, it's biological reversion to the mean.
You pull 400 crew from the brightest, best qualified of the 8 billion people on Earth. Their children will be smarter than the average human, but not nearly as smart as their parents. And the third generation will be dumber still as the average intelligence and competence ebbs toward the overall human average.
This is an imaginary phenomenon. It does not exist. What really happens is that the founder effect -- a real thing -- establishes the genetic norm for the new population which can be quite different in various respects from the original source.
The heritability of intelligence in adults is about 0.8. It so happens the heritability of height is also about 0.8. If you establish a population with just tall people then the population average will be unusually tall forever barring continued selection against it. The shortest Dinka will always be taller than the tallest Pygmy -- they don't move to some average human population height with time. It is true that if we start a population with people of only the same fixed height (tall), variation will appear in the next generation, and thereafter, until a height distribution will emerge but the mean for the population will remain tall.
Reversion to the mean is something that only happens with sampling from a data set. It is not a biological phenomenon.
400 years is long enough for civilizations to fall (Score:3)
In 400 years, empires rise and fall, religions are born and take root, technological revolutions come and go.
By the 3rd or 4th generation, the inhabitants of this grand spaceship would begin to forget their "great purpose" and start to form their own ideas. People would ascend to power, and displace others. Factions would rise and fight each other for control.
This ship would become a "Mouse Paradise" that would descend into chaos.
Not Humans (Score:2)
We're not going to send humans into deep space to colonize. We're going to send AI instead.
This is why the aliens will come back and kill us later....
Sounds like it could be a cool TV show. (Score:2)
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Humans not fit to purpose (Score:2)
A journey like that is better undertaken by a long-range probe. At least that way we could study the planet and (eventually) hear back from the probe.
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"Designed" implies the technology already exists (Score:2)
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Wear and tear. (Score:2)
The habitable parts of the ship would have to be rotating to provide artificial gravity. But what would wear and tear be like after 100 years? 200? Can we even build a machine to last 400 years? How can we launch such big parts and get them into space? And I can not imagine being stuck on a ship for your remaining lifespan. Would AI be used to educate the crew?
This is beyond retarded (Score:2)
We can't get a base on the Moon, the planet is becoming uninhabitable for the life as we know it, yet some waste time on boring science fiction that's absolutely worthless. Facepalm yourselves to death, please.
We have a shit-ton of equally useful designs in at least a thousand other sci-fi projects, most of those vastly more interesting to read than this one. The last one I read about was even coming the other way around for 400 years.
We've already had a working spaceship simulator, built form SS Structural
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Travel outside the solar system simply is not practical without faster than light speeds, by orders of magnitude.
Practical, no, but that doesn't necessarily mean it isn't worth considering. The real question is whether there's enough data to determine that it would sustain life, and if not, whether you would have be able to bring along enough fuel to turn around and come back, while still being able to handle any other navigation needs along the way (e.g. avoiding stray asteroids). I don't even have any concept of the fuel requirements for something like that, because there's no way to know what you're going to enco
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You may want to think about how long 400 years is. And what's the deal? Do they have to maintain exactly 2400 people on board? Will number 2401 be executed?
You don't take 2400. You take probably more like 800 people of child-bearing age, ideally pre-coupled. You have a two-children-per-family policy, i.e. when the first generation are born, you have about 1600 people. By the time the third generation is born, the first generation are starting to die off. You keep safety margin for the occasional happy accident.
Besides, you have to build everything to handle significantly more people than you plan to have, so that if some piece of equipment fails, everybody
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You don't take 2400. You take probably more like 800 people of child-bearing age, ideally pre-coupled.
The voyage is 16 generations. You want to establish a healthy stable society. If people live 100 years at that time then you want roughly 24 people of each year of age for a stable demographic profile.
'
Wait! Isn't that crazy? People old people on a ship where they will just die? Everyone on the ship will die there! It just a matter of when. The society is better off with death rituals already worked into the fabric of society.
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The voyage is 16 generations. You want to establish a healthy stable society. If people live 100 years at that time then you want roughly 24 people of each year of age for a stable demographic profile.
First, people probably won't ever live an average of 100 years. Second, you don't need a stable demographic profile. There's exactly no advantage to having elderly people onboard initially, for a number of reasons:
Re:Absolutely absurd! (Score:5, Insightful)
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Travel outside the solar system simply is not practical without faster than light speeds
That's sort of the point of the exercise. Just how impractical is it and what would it take to make it practical?
I can certainly throw darts at it. For one, when accelerating, the ship is essentially a 58km tall tower. We don't know how to build a tower that tall which won't collapse under its own weight (even at 0.1 g). No doubt they did the math about how to build such a thing but color me skeptical.
Fusion reactors? A mere 20 years away (and always will be).
Keeping 2,400 people from killing each other for
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And you left out the really big problem. They estimate the mass of their ship as 2.4 billion tons, or 2.4e12 kg. If I've done my math right, its kinetic energy when traveling at 10% the speed of light is 3e11 terawatt hours. For comparison, total world energy consumption [ourworldindata.org] last year was 1.8e5 terawatt hours.
Just getting their ship up to speed requires more than a million times the energy the entire world consumes in a year.
Perhaps they should consider the difficulty in solving that.
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Oh, right. So only 17,000 times the world's annual energy consumption. No problem!
Their timeline says acceleration will take one year. During that time, the engines on the ship will be producing 17,000 times as much power as the whole earth. I totally believe they can build it to handle the strain of that. I mean, if they have an efficiency of 99.99%, the 0.01% that gets turned into heat will be more than every piece of equipment on earth combined. It's not like that would instantly vaporize the whole
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Keeping 2,400 people from killing each other for 400 years? Don't know I believe that's possible. An 80 year trial period seems like a reasonable experiment with humongous ethical and practical difficulties.
Can you build a self-sustaining civilization with only 2,400 people? Geez, seems like a heavy lift.
Can you point us to the anthropological literature that shows a marked propensity of communities of this go extinct from self-massacre? Where has this ever happened?
A population of 2400 is larger than any culture that existed on Earth before the Neolithic revolution. This was about the population size of most Native American or Native Australian languages -- that means the size of entire Indian and Aborigine societies (this is why they have their own language) consisted of about this many people.
Societies w
Re: Absolutely absurd! (Score:2)
prototypes.
maybe build a test vehicle to scale that would shuttle back and forth to mars
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Babies are impractical. They're noisy and they smell bad, except for their tiny pink toes which smell delicious.
Re: It will be financed (Score:2)
Re:MOON - No can do. Voyager - Out of power. (Score:5, Informative)
Assuming you meant Voyager 1 and 2 (from the subject) and not the Viking probes that landed on Mars, their 3 RTGs (each) are still generating power, though now at about half what they did at launch due to radioactive decay (combined 470W in 1977 vs 225W in 2023) -- the half-life if Pu-238 is 87.7 years. It's just currently not enough to power everything and keep everything warm enough - but it's still enough to support some capabilities. Larger and/or more numerous RTGs could be used on future missions, though the design for this ship specifies (currently theoretical) fusion engines.
MHW-RTG [wikipedia.org]
Each Voyager spacecraft has 3 RTGs. Collectively, the RTGs supply each Voyager spacecraft with 470 watts at launch.
Voyager Spacecraft [nasa.gov]:
Status: As of 2023, the twin Voyagers' RTGs are in stable operation at 225 We.
Re: (Score:3)
Yeah, but 400 years is a bit longer. They'd need a different reactor design. Perhaps one that works on waste from the current reactors, but they might need to take along (or build en-route) mechanisms to refine the waste again as it kept decaying.
(N.B.: I didn't even THINK about doing the math, but reactors that require high level radioactive fuel won't keep running long enough, but one's that use less active fuels could. Of course, they'd be a lot larger. If you're going to use an RTG, and you want it
Re: (Score:3)
The ship is suppose to use fusion reactors for power, so all it really needs is hydrogen, which it might be able to pick up along the way...
Re: (Score:2)