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Transportation Earth

Nature Editorial Calls for Rail Renaissance as Networks Mark 200 Years (nature.com) 78

Nature's editorial board urged governments on Tuesday to reverse decades of rail disinvestment as railways mark their 200th anniversary September 27, citing transport sector emissions that grew 1.7% annually from 1990-2022 and now generate one-quarter of global CO2. Rail produces one-fifth the emissions of cars per passenger kilometer yet carries just 8.4% of EU passenger traffic versus 73% for automobiles.

The journal called for broader investment criteria beyond narrow profitability metrics and noted only one-third of countries have incorporated transport into their Paris Agreement commitments. Global rail freight fell from 38% to 24% between 1980-2017 while US networks shrank from 400,000 to 200,000 kilometers since 1914. Africa operates 87,000 rail kilometers continent-wide compared to India's 65,000 kilometers in one-tenth the area. Transport emissions must decline 3% yearly to meet net-zero targets.

Nature Editorial Calls for Rail Renaissance as Networks Mark 200 Years

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  • 80% less than cars is a lot less, but I'm kind of surprised it's that much. It actually makes me wonder how a Prius would fare compared to a klunky old half-full (per load factor statistics) Amtrak train.
    • 80% less than cars is a lot less, but I'm kind of surprised it's that much.

      They assume a particular energy mix to power the (electric) trains. The data I can find says:
      g_CO2 / (passenger . km)
      airplane 260 g (141 g fuel)
      ICE car 146 g (119 g fuel)
      ICE bus 71 g (66 g fuel)
      EV car 49 g (40 g fabrication)
      train 8.3 g (6 g energy)
      sourve: https://www.sncf-voyageurs.com... [sncf-voyageurs.com]

      This is data for France where the 6 g CO2 for train energy correspond to mostly nuclear and a bit of something else. The energy mix in coal-fueled Poland will be different.

      • And quite different than the US: "Mainline railroad electrification in the United States is quite rare in comparison to most European or East Asian rail networks, with less than 1% of mainline trackage in the country being electrified"

        (wikipedia)

    • Rail's high efficiency comes from use of metal wheels on metal track - it's the lowest friction that one can have for locomotion. Electric power on top of that adds to higher torque and zero-emission. As other readers have pointed out additional efficiency comes from lower overhead of shared engine for a long train, lower air-resistance due to only one front vs 200 fronts when compared to cars.

    • These kind of calculations assume full ridership. Around here, what I see is huge buses with like 3 people in a bus that can seat 50. Nature wants us to go back to the 1920s.

    • by dgatwood ( 11270 )

      80% less than cars is a lot less, but I'm kind of surprised it's that much. It actually makes me wonder how a Prius would fare compared to a klunky old half-full (per load factor statistics) Amtrak train.

      Part of the problem is that trains are really, really heavy. A double-decker passenger train car might weigh 180,000 pounds and carry only 100 people, for a total weight of 1,800 pounds per car plus the person. So you're carrying half the weight of that Prius. The trains are still vastly more efficient because you have one powertrain accelerating all of those people in Priuses (Prii?) instead of hundreds, they accelerate and decelerate slowly (and rarely), they have low rolling resistance, etc.

      Imagine ho

  • "Rail produces one-fifth the emissions of cars per passenger kilometer..."

    Sure, for all cars. But how does it compare to just buses?

    I think the inefficiency may lie not the mode of transport but in our unwillingness to all pile into the same conveyance.

    • by shilly ( 142940 ) on Tuesday September 16, 2025 @03:21PM (#65663860)

      It’s typically going to be better than buses, due to scale economies and lower rolling resistance. Depends on load factors etc, and EV buses have cut the gap, but steel wheels on rails vs rubber on roads is a big advantage

    • by dgatwood ( 11270 )

      "Rail produces one-fifth the emissions of cars per passenger kilometer..."

      Sure, for all cars. But how does it compare to just buses?

      I think the inefficiency may lie not the mode of transport but in our unwillingness to all pile into the same conveyance.

      Full or at typical capacity? Lots of bus routes around here average a low single-digit number of passengers for much of the route. Even single-passenger cars compare favorably to that. Assuming a diesel bus at an average of 3 MPG, you need a minimum of 15 passengers on average to break even with driving single-passenger hybrids. And that's not factoring in how much dirtier a gallon of diesel fuel is compared with a gallon of gasoline.

      • 3 MPG? That may be true for a 1970s American bus with a Detroit two-stroke coupled to a slushbox, but not for a modern bus.
        A modern diesel bus gets about 9 mpg (Mercedes Citaro). A diesel hybrid reduces that by 10%. And cities are introducing electric buses now.

  • by willoughby ( 1367773 ) on Tuesday September 16, 2025 @03:10PM (#65663840)

    For those with an interest the book, "The Lunatic Express", by Charles Miller tells the saga of the construction of the Mombasa-Nairobi-Lake Victoria railway. If you saw the movie, "The Ghost and the Darkness", that bridge they were building was one small piece of the Mombasa... railway. An interesting book of engineering, rail history, and British imperialism.

    If you search for the book don't confuse it with another book of the same title by Carl Hoffman (which is also an excellent book, btw).

  • "Just invest in rail."

    No, it's not that easy. Trains are slow to get started, they need a significant amount of time to stop. Most trains weigh way more than a truck with full load. But trains need to be managed carefully. Enough distance between the trains, a quality management system for switches and signals, good trains, good personnel.

    Before that, you need to design your network such that it's attractive enough for people to use it. With public transit this generally means: put stations at places where

    • by dgatwood ( 11270 )

      "Just invest in rail."

      No, it's not that easy. Trains are slow to get started, they need a significant amount of time to stop. Most trains weigh way more than a truck with full load. But trains need to be managed carefully. Enough distance between the trains, a quality management system for switches and signals, good trains, good personnel.

      Before that, you need to design your network such that it's attractive enough for people to use it. With public transit this generally means: put stations at places where people want to get on or get off or want to transfer to other modes of public transport (such as buses, subways, trams) which can bring people closer to their final destination.

      And note that this will change over time, but your rails can't change over time. This is the peril of rail for intracity transit.

      Rails make a lot of sense in ultra-dense areas (think Manhattan, *maybe* downtown SF, but not any of the rest of the Bay Area, etc.), because the roads can't handle even a fraction of the passenger volume.

      Rails also make sense for long-distance travel. If you're traveling for several hours, you probably don't want to drive that, so it is worth the inconvenience of not having a c

    • You can easily add new bus stops near rail, it's not as easy to add rail near bus lines except by luck.

      Safe and clean are going to require some upgrades to society. They would be cheaper than what we've been doing, but then some people would get things for free that other people are paying for, and then lots of people would be mad. And not without reason, but not usually for the reason they'd be mad for.

  • And the problem as I see it is, the ridiculous price of a rail ticket and the sheer inconvenience of rail travel. I can put petrol in my 35 years old Civic and drive to wherever I want to, possibly with a passenger, at a fraction of the price of a rail ticket. Then, instead of being dropped in the middle of some city and having to get a cab or bus or hire car to complete the journey I can just continue in my car. If I need them my car can easily carry along for me a tent, sleeping bag, stove, cooking fuel,

    • The prices are atrocious, also insanely hard to navigate.

      On the other hand traffic is more than an occasional problem and cars don't do 125mph. I've been fairly regularly travelling London to Bristol for work. It's way faster by train even though I need to hire a car at temple meads and drive to the arse end. Especially as being work related I hit horrendous traffic in London sometimes. Slower than walking pace literally.

      Actually cone to think of it, the price for 2 tickets with a Railcard was 60 quid, so n

  • ....until the other Koch brother (Charles is dead too)

    They were the main duo behind Koch Industries and its vast political influence through funding of libertarian and right-wing causes, including heavy opposition to public transit and urban rail projects across the US.

    David Koch is dead (2019), but Charles Koch is still alive.

    Their network, especially through Americans for Prosperity, spent millions lobbying against:

    Local ballot measures for public transit (e.g. Nashville, Phoenix, Milwaukee)

    Light rail and

    • I think that you are largely correct. American policies seem to be a ping pong game between Billionaires who manipulate the masses. I was trying to think of the one on the left that pisses people off, so I asked an AI: "remind me who is the so called evil jew billionaire on the left that is the cause of all American problems according to the right wing"? It answered: "You're likely referring to George Soros, the Hungarian-American billionaire philanthropist and investor. He's frequently targeted by rig
  • I believe the maximum good could be extracted from a complete rebuild of the infrastructure pointed specifically at competing with highways.

    The easiest way is the "If you can't beat 'em, join 'em" approach and engineer railroads to quickly and efficiently load and unload automobiles. That way, people could drive their vehicles onto the trains, the train in transporting them and their vehicle would eliminate the park your car then rent another at the other end annoyance and expense, and most positively phy

  • Under-investment ... absolutely there is.

    The other half is sorting out the perverse tax incentives that favour cars and trucks. A level playing field for all modes of transport.

    Remove the tax incentives . I am not saying impose NEW taxes, just make ALL car and truck use the same.

    Case in point: In Australia, all Diesel purchases are taxed. However, farmers may directly claim that back. And the Diesel fuel excise it fed directly back in to roads. However, who is the single biggest purchaser of Diesel fuel? In

  • You can't fight the minimal rolling resistance of railways, so they are a backbone of heavy industry. Railways do not need rubber tires, and so, don't leave a stream of butadiene rubber everywhere.

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