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Research Universities Are Admitting Fewer PhDs, a Bad Sign For Science (nytimes.com) 145

An anonymous reader quotes a report from the New York Times: The number of students admitted to Ph.D. programs this fall dropped 15 percent from the previous year, according to data from over 50 top research universities, raising fears that the nation's capacity to produce new science could be diminished. The decline is driven, in part, by a chaotic and unpredictable federal funding environment under the Trump administration, as federal cuts are promised and then reversed, and budgets remain unclear.

A reduction in doctoral students could mean fewer scholars at universities to teach and mentor undergraduates. Higher education leaders also worry that, if the declines continue, there will be fewer researchers to power a rapidly evolving scientific work force. The data showing the decrease comes from 55 universities, all of them members of the Association of American Universities, an invitation-only organization that includes 69 of the most prestigious research institutions in the United States. The data collection was conducted by another group, the Association of American Universities Data Exchange.

Schools in A.A.U. confer half of the nation's research doctorates, according to the association. "We are at risk of losing a whole generation of new talent because of the reduction in the capacity to support those students," said Toby Smith, a senior vice president at the A.A.U. University leaders and research advocates cite many reasons for the declines in new doctoral students. Key federal agencies, such as the National Institutes of Health and the National Science Foundation, have been funding fewer research grants. The wealthiest institutions also face a new federal tax on their endowments.

But the most cited reason in interviews was the unreliable nature of federal funding under the Trump administration. The administration proposed major cuts to federal research agencies last year, but Congress restored the funding. It is again proposing big cuts. While Congress may again reverse the administration's proposed reductions, the uncertainty makes it hard for schools to make multiyear commitments to doctoral students. The administration also abruptly ended thousands of research grants last year, arguing that they did not align with the government's priorities. The administration restored many of the grants after judges deemed the eliminations illegal and arbitrary, but research advocates say the whiplash was damaging.

Research Universities Are Admitting Fewer PhDs, a Bad Sign For Science

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  • So the programs you would need to get one of those phds got cut by Trump and Elon Musk. The cuts were pretty massive.

    Ironically we lose scientists and doctors and advanced nursing degrees but we keep all of the filthy filthy humanities phds because virtually all of those are paid for by grants and not by government programs or loans.

    It turns out once again politicians lied to you in order to take your money. In this case they raised your taxes while cutting theirs. But in order to cut their taxes they
    • by Anonymous Coward

      Good for the citizens like us while enriching himself and his family with the tariffs. Because of the Donald. His crazy tariff policies have already precipitated the whole world into the abyss. It's very very very unfair for China and Iran too now everybody rightfully hates America like everybody should be. He is really racist against China and Iran while cheating at soccer too.

      Trump's goal here along with the tariffs is to create a national sales tax so that he can eliminate his tax burden and the tax burd

      • One of the missed discussion points is that tenured faculty are staying in the job as professors for much longer than in prior decades.

        Effectively limiting the number of open tenure track jobs will result in a diminished number of tenure track jobs for new PhD recipients.

    • by sg_oneill ( 159032 ) on Tuesday July 07, 2026 @02:56AM (#66226270)

      Oh man theres a comical tyrany of perverse incentives when it comes to government interventions in universities.

      We had this turbo-conservative govt here in australia, John Howard, awful dude, but his govt tried to smash the humanities by adjusting how the uni fees work (We pay fees, but they become tax loans that start being paid off once income hits average wage. Its a fucked system, but there are more-fucked systems so, que cera. I *guess*).

      Anyhow the plan was , was to massively increase the fees paid to do a humanities degree while slashing the fees for science degrees. The problem was, they lowered the fees so much that the universities couldn't afford to put on the more important science degrees, so universities started dropping sciences and focusing on the now highly profitable humanities degrees. It didnt effect much what students chose, because 17yos are rarely good at reasoning about money and future incomes, and anyway, statistically humanities graduates get higher incomes (science wages suck, trust me. Especially if you work in a field the govt actively wants to shut down like climate change, like I do.). So engineering, metalurgy, chemistry , *especially* physics which was always an expensive course to run, all those degrees started closing down and the "degree in surfing"* humanities degrees that the govt bitched about thrived.

      So the govts idiotic attempt at market manipulation just made the whole thing even more skewed against their desired goal;- Stopping students from questioning their world.

      *although ironically the "degree in surfing" the govt used as its example was refering to a unit in the sports medicine degree that dealt with injuries in water sports. It actually didn't do great because of those funding cuts to science.

    • by gtall ( 79522 ) on Tuesday July 07, 2026 @03:39AM (#66226312)

      "the filthy filthy humanities phds" Yeah, what use do we have with philosophers to plumb moral issues (religions do not count, they only regurgitate what brings them income), new logics, quantum physics (most philosophy departments these days have PhDs working on quantum mathematics and its relationship to gravity), etc.?

      Sociology? That's good for looking back at society and discerning what makes it tick, what ails it, how transformations can screw up (e.g., AI).

      History? Yes, let's forget our history so we can repeat the same goddamn mistakes. Why do you think the Christian Nutjobs want step on history of the founding of the U.S. They want to Whitewash all the crap they've visited on the U.S., slavery being one of the biggest sins.

      Psychology? Why do we do the things we do? With no retrospective we just lurch from one idiocy to the next.

      Poly Sci? Failure to understand the nature of dictatorial and Fascist regimes is leading the U.S. directly into one.

      So while you will have your technomarvels as all that counts, do not forget the little Nazis in Silicon Valley who figure they are to be the ones to rule over everyone once their data centers and AI bullshit get strong enough.

    • It didn't even look like they saved a bunch of money on paper when you consider the ramifications of some of the critical things they cut. Example: the screw worm infestation in Texas / Oklahoma is going to cost us WAY more than the entirety of the DOGE cuts.

      Penny wise, pound foolish.

    • Whose income taxes got raised?
    • by shanen ( 462549 )

      So the programs you would need to get one of those phds got cut by Trump and Elon Musk. The cuts were pretty massive.

      Ironically we lose scientists and doctors and advanced nursing degrees but we keep all of the filthy filthy humanities phds because virtually all of those are paid for by grants and not by government programs or loans.

      It turns out once again politicians lied to you in order to take your money. In this case they raised your taxes while cutting theirs. But in order to cut their taxes they needed a procedural trick where they saved a bunch of money on paper. That's what doge was about. On paper it made it look like they had saved a bunch of money which allowed them to use a procedural trick to cut their taxes without having the votes to do it under normal circumstances

      Isn't politics fun?

      Quoted against censor moderators. Some agreement with the content...

  • By design (Score:2, Informative)

    "I love the poorly educated"
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com]

  • Yeah, we get it: Trump is a troglodyte & a cockwombling ass-hat, but in the grand scheme of things, any president is wonderfully temporary. Congress on the other hand creates spending agencies & budgets that outlast... empires. They need term limited or purged much more frequently in some sort of Roman Colosseum grudge match to the death. Tenured professors should probably face the same fate... up to and including facing every fresh batch of incoming freshmen themselves - no TA's, noone to run in

    • by fafalone ( 633739 ) on Tuesday July 07, 2026 @04:59AM (#66226364)
      Just because something can be destroyed in weeks doesn't mean it won't take decades to rebuild.
    • Read your first sentence and stopped.

      I don't care how "temporary" a President is, and how "outlasting" Congress is, if neither are doing their Constitutionally mandated duties.

      The President should be executing the laws passed by Congress. He is not. In fact, he is regularly violating those laws.

      Congress should be conducting oversight to make sure the Executive is executing their laws. They are not. They are putting on blinders, earmuffs, and yelling LA LA LA LA LA LA LA instead of doing anything about t

      • by DarkOx ( 621550 )

        100% of the Criticism can be levied at both parties. You're only mad because it isn't "your guy" this time.

        STFU

        • "bothsides" is lazy bad faith argumentation. Corruption is not a digital on / off. There is a scale of how corrupt each and every politician is, from not-corrupt-at-all to our current high office holders.

          To put an equals sign between someone who fixes a parking ticket and the guy fleecing us for billions is unbelievably stupid and only serves to make you look ridiculous. Yes, both are degrees of corruption, and should be dealt with by jurisdictional authorities. But there is a gradient of "what a douche

  • In US we pray, not research, so that is consistent - we do not need scientists.
    How is China, EU and the rest of the world doing?

  • Immigration (Score:5, Insightful)

    by larryjoe ( 135075 ) on Tuesday July 07, 2026 @01:37AM (#66226236)

    I'm surprised there's no mention of Trump and immigration. In STEM fields, anywhere from 30-65% of PhD students are foreign students. For computer science and engineering, the percentage is near 60%. Not being able to get a visa, being fearful of the Trump government, and uncertainty about work visas and green cards is arguably more significant than even funding for some programs.

  • Having so many people in adult academia is not a good thing. It creates a pressure to produce results and promotes bad science and unreliable, or even fake, research.

    • by habig ( 12787 )

      More pressure to get results generally gets more results, yes.

      And some fraction of those results won't be good ones, true.

      BUT - the whole way science is set up is self correcting, so the bad results... just plain don't work. So you won't ever be harmed, by, say, getting the wrong diagnosis from a Theranos machine. Because it just doesn't work. Instead, people will have egg on their faces, get fired, waste money. (hey wait, wasn't Theranos a business side venture not academia? Surely that must make it i

      • by HiThere ( 15173 )

        Actually, that's the way science is *supposed* to be set up. But when results are difficult to confirm, the process can be quite slow. And when fake results are easy, they can drown the process in noise. You need the signal to be enough stronger than the noise, and the noise level has been rising.

        Partially this is because of corporate science, which isn't shared. Partially this is because of "publish or perish". The addition of AI assisted fabrications is recent, but adds significantly to the noise.

        We

      • No, not self-correcting at all. It's become a society of mutual adoration where people trade endorsements for favours, without proper review.

        • by habig ( 12787 )
          Sorry, that's not my experience as a PhD scientist in academia. What people fail to realize: scientists love nothing more than proving each other wrong. That injects all the self-correcting motivation you need for the system to work. Perhaps at the cost of people being jerks, but ok.
    • Interesting hypothesis (not theory, theory = proven), lets test it out.
      Internet search results: ( https://streamlinedai.app/blog... [streamlinedai.app] )
      2% of people have a PHD.

      Hm, that sounds low, not high. Especially as PHDs are not just for academia.
      Internets search results ( https://academiainsider.com/wh... [academiainsider.com] )
      20% of people with a PHD stay in Academia.

      Sorry, the real world seems to disprove your hypothesis. PhD's are not 'too common', nor do they stay in Academia. They go out into the real world and use their knowledge t

    • by Targon ( 17348 )

      Need is the key word, and why your argument is the sort of thing anti-education people keep throwing around. You don't NEED a college education, you don't NEED a higher degree. Yet at the same time, there is a definite benefit to society when people who know more about a given subject are actually around and in the community.

      Your comment about what is needed ignores the benefits of having people with a higher level of knowledge actually interacting with and passing on knowledge to those around them.

  • by LazLong ( 757 ) on Tuesday July 07, 2026 @08:28AM (#66226494)

    The only winner here is China.

    Thank you Trump.

  • by sabbede ( 2678435 ) on Tuesday July 07, 2026 @08:43AM (#66226516)
    That's the important question. Is this across all fields, or just some specific fields? A drop in STEM PhDs is concerning, a drop in advanced racism PhDs is a boon. A drop in Fine Arts PhDs is irrelevant. The article says nothing about that.
    • That's the important question. Is this across all fields, or just some specific fields? A drop in STEM PhDs is concerning, a drop in advanced racism PhDs is a boon. A drop in Fine Arts PhDs is irrelevant. The article says nothing about that.

      Yes, it would be nice if the article drilled into whether the declines were in certain degree programs or broadly spread across all fields.

      TFA does mention this was a survey of "research institutions" and has a picture of MIT's Great Dome so we're intended to think this is STEM programs. OTOH, Harvard is a quite respectable research institute which also has Graduate School of Education.

      • And because they exclude that key information, I must infer that there was a reason they did so. The most likely reasons are bad journalism (laziness, incompetence, etc.), or the intent to imply something other than what that information would show.
  • Peter Turchin has quite a lot to say on that subject.

    As a previous poster pointed out, what fields are affected? There might be a shortage of mining engineers, but there is a surplus of surplus of gender studies. I'd also point out that the periodic table is complete. Cosmology might be interesting but isn't putting food on the table or electrons on the wires.

    Speaking personally, I have a Ph.D in extractive metallurgy. That career field was largely shut down by the Democratic Party during the Clinton admini

    • As a previous poster pointed out, what fields are affected?

      Per TFS, this is specifically a study regarding "50 top research universities"

      Given the current economic turmoil is it really surprising the students are thinking twice before committing that much money and time to a field that may not exist by the time they are done?

      That could be literally any field, though.

      Some firms will still employ people who can think, because their leadership can think well enough to know computers can't. They will no doubt reap the rewards of keeping humans in more loops. But in the meantime, a lot of people are going to suffer a whole lot.

      • Yes, but what research lost funding? MIT offers PhDs in Media Arts, and they're certainly one of the top 50. You can get a doctorate in Marketing from Harvard. You can also get PhDs in fine arts and sexism/racism studies. We don't need to spend tax dollars on any of those.
  • by Fly Swatter ( 30498 ) on Tuesday July 07, 2026 @11:41AM (#66226814) Homepage
    We lost sight of the whole reason for scientific research. Publishing is just the game now, content quality has fallen to background noise level.
  • Philip Greenspun wrote about this decades ago: https://philip.greenspun.com/c... [greenspun.com] Scroll down to the graph titled "Not So Very Serious Stuff". We end up with way too many PhDs who can't get jobs in academia, the only proper place for a PhD.
  • I got an email from a colleague on how the administration is trying to get around the judges' actions. It included a link to the American Association for the Advancement of Science on how to oppose this if you are so inclined. Public comments need to be submitted by July 13.

    There is also a link to send to non-scientific friends and relatives on why this is bad to try to get them to take action.

    Scientific Discussion: https://www.aaas.org/resources... [aaas.org]

    Layperson focused: https://www.cbpp.org/research/... [cbpp.org]

    Where t

  • What fields are they referring to? Does this include e.g. "environmental science," English, "black studies," sociology, education, political science, etc.?

  • Stupid locals stay.

  • I've looked at a few engineering PhD programs and it just seems to be all about memorizing every course you ever took since freshman year. The irony is that real engineers never memorize anything. They look it up because that's far better than relying on a fallible memory.

  • U.S. research universities are admitting less doctoral candidates.

    Do people really think folks are just shrugging and say "guess I'll go sweep floors at the Quik-E-Mart instead", or do you think they're finding schools in other countries who will happily take advantage of the U.S. shooting itself in the foot yet again?

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