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Secretive DHS 'Predictive Policing' Unit Is Analyzing Americans' Financial Habits, Pulling Them Over (404media.co) 148

An anonymous reader quotes a report from 404 Media: Border Patrol is running secretive predictive policing units that analyze Americans' financial activity and other data, then feed that intelligence to local police who pull people over who are not suspected of any specific crime, but which the government thinks may be worth searching, 404 Media has found. The units, the name of which 404 Media is revealing here for the first time, are called Predictive Intelligence Targeting Teams (PITT). In one case, a PITT analyzed the financial activity of a man who was driving across Montana, and local authorities stopped him under the pretense of an obstructed license plate and charged him with a DUI.

404 Media identified one PITT in the Spokane Sector, Washington, which polices the U.S. border with Canada, and another in the Laredo Sector, Texas, which polices the border with Mexico. The findings add to an Associated Press investigation from last year which found Border Patrol was using automatic license plate readers (ALPRs) as part of the same wide-spanning predictive policing program. "The bottom line is genuine probable cause cannot be synthetically generated," Jake Laperruque, deputy director of the Security and Surveillance Project at the Center For Democracy & Technology, told 404 Media in an email. Here Border Patrol seems to be "using parallel construction to cloak the reason behind its car stops in secrecy. If we can't meaningfully review and evaluate these systems, we can't trust them," he added.

[...] The DHS document obtained by 404 Media shows that Border Patrol is analyzing the financial activity of Americans to find people to pull over. The Associated Press's investigation found the predictive policing program is also heavily using ALPRs to track potential targets' movements. It is not clear how exactly Border Patrol is monitoring Americans' financial activity. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) declined to answer what financial activity the agency was monitoring, and whether it obtained a warrant or not.
A CBP spokesperson told 404 Media in an email: "U.S. Border Patrol uses intelligence-informed analysis and planning to support national security operations, allocate resources, and help identify potential threats and bad actors to public safety. These efforts are conducted consistent with applicable law, policy, privacy protections, and oversight requirements."

The statement continued: "For operational security reasons, we do not discuss specific analytical methods, data sources, targeting criteria, investigative techniques, system capabilities, or deployment details. Public disclosure of such information could compromise law enforcement operations and investigations as well as creating safety risks for agents and the public."

Rob Frommer, senior attorney at the Institute for Justice, told 404 Media: "The government's increasing use of mass surveillance -- whether that surveillance comes via ALPRs, financial records, or the like -- coupled with predictive policing is a recipe for tyranny. We fought a revolution for the idea that we are citizens, not subjects. Yet schemes like CBP's Predictive Intelligence Targeting Team treat all Americans as if they are potential suspects. This is not just wrong, it's unconstitutional, and IJ will keep pushing courts and Congress to end this attack on Americans' security."

Secretive DHS 'Predictive Policing' Unit Is Analyzing Americans' Financial Habits, Pulling Them Over

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  • by ArchieBunker ( 132337 ) on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @11:06AM (#66328444)

    Let's hear how this is a good thing.

    • It's good for the totalitarian regime!
    • by Tailhook ( 98486 )

      Let's hear how this is a good thing.

      It's possible this might change some minds about government data collection of financial activity.

      It would be great if we all someday learned that PITT data analysis was actually based on de-anonymized CFPB data, which constitutes the singular largest and most granular financial surveillance program the US government operates, and perhaps put a large moral panic sized dent in the "consumer protection" narrative.

    • by dbialac ( 320955 )
      I don't support people moving to the US illegally, but I also don't support this policy. While it can be used for enforcement, it is clearly unconstitutional. I don't understand why police departments think they can get away with stuff like that even know it will be overturned by the courts. On the surface I think that law enforcement agencies should be fined for this kind of activity with the money coming directly out of their budgets so that agencies get the message, but if that's done, it is us, the tax
    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by Koreantoast ( 527520 )
      Don't worry, I'm sure they'll find some legitimate edge case of the FBI tracking a white supremacist's financial spending to prevent a terrorism act and say they're doing the same thing but against trans Mexican communist feminists who are out to destroy America.
    • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

      by shanen ( 462549 )

      TDS is defined by wannabe law (cited in Regime Change by Haberman and Swan) as irrational hatred of the YOB. (YUGE Orange Buffoon whose brand I shall not write). I think there needs to be some clarification.

      Type 1 TDS is hatred of the YOB. Treatment involves investigating the rational reasons to hate him. Me? I dislike liars, believe there are such things as subjective reality and facts, and I especially dislike people who kill other people for fun and profit and all around incompetence.

      Type 2 TDS is love

    • The unfortunate truth is that when a change in administration occurs, regardless of party, they will not eliminate such a capability.
    • All I can say is it is really hard to put the genie back in the bottle. The data and sources have not been treated as illegal to gather, so they WILL be used... by many different parties.

      It is not something anybody who has been here a while would advocate for, but eliminating the problem and threat is a Herculean task.

    • They avoided. The right wing does not stray from their safe spaces anymore. You might get the occasional troll dropping a comment but most of those are just chatbots running on people's graphics cards.

      If you leave the right wing echo chamber even briefly then you just can't stay right wing for very long. Right wingers have figured this out and they don't want to give up whatever it is they think they get from being right wing so they very carefully avoid any news or information the challenges their view
    • by mjwx ( 966435 )

      Let's hear how this is a good thing.

      What about the brave soldiers on the Floating Fortress Winston Smith.

  • by Anonymous Coward

    Minority Report is becoming a reality in America. And V for Vendetta, and 1984, and Project 2025, and Mein Kampf...

  • by FeelGood314 ( 2516288 ) on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @11:34AM (#66328482)
    If a department has been known to use parallel construction as policy, I can't see how any judge would ever trust officers from that agency ever again. A defense attorney should be able to get nearly ever case that required probably cause for a stop or search to be thrown out. This seems like something that the justice department should instantly correct.

    In Canada, when our RCMP was doing improper eaves dropping on people's communication our Prime Minister was so angry he took their power to do most eaves dropping away completely and create an entirely separate agency. I would assume the USA would function similarly.
    • by reanjr ( 588767 ) on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @11:56AM (#66328510) Homepage

      The whole point of parallel construction is that you find alternative legal bases for bringing in evidence. The fact that the officers can't be trusted has little impact on the evidence being admissable and damning.

      • That's my point. If a department has a policy of parallel construction then by that very nature none of the officers can be trusted. The judges should find be finding the officers assertion of probably cause in admissible and all evidence gathered fruit of the poisoned tree. A policy of parallel construction should be so damning to the DHS that DHS shouldn't be able to do any searches based on probable cause. Most of the DHS would need to be cut and an entirely new department created that wasn't tainted by
        • In our criminal justice system, the actions of one individual aren't justification to retaliate against every other individual in the class. This concept applies to cops, just as well as women, minorites, or the disabled.

          Juries are the final arbiters of whether a cop is trusted or not. Not the judges.

    • Assume differently! This is the USA. The only thing the DOJ is doing is protecting Trump from prosecution and maybe going after what he thinks are his enemies.
      Trump appointed his own lawyer as the AG after firing Pam Bondi, another one of his lawyers, for not rounding up all of his enemies fast enough and appearing on TV too often, making a fool of herself.
      The DOJ is no longer separate from the executive branch in a way that it would or could perform an investigation on members of the executive branch.

      https [wikipedia.org]

  • by Anonymous Coward

    People wonder why folks say things like ACAB. This is why right here.

  • 99% probably (Score:5, Insightful)

    by BytePusher ( 209961 ) on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @11:44AM (#66328498) Homepage
    They're looking for cash withdrawals and gold purchases. This is related to civil asset forfeiture and they're looking to improve their profit margins. The argument will be that they suspect people who carry large stores of physical value are involved in trading drugs, guns, tax evasion or terrorism. Won't you all think of the children?
    • Oh so they are looking up where they can seize $10000, impound $5000, and then have the civil forfeiture give $2500 to the department budget?
    • I think Trump thinks about the children far too often, unfortunately.
    • ... for cash withdrawals and gold ...

      During the War on Terror, US police were stealing iPhones and iPods from non-locals: Cruelty was the point and adding $100/month to police pay-packets incentivized police to commit more crimes. (Reduced to $50/month after the state government demanded a percentage.)

      It incentivized other countries to write similar laws although a stronger legal system (and municipal government having fewer policing powers), meant other countries didn't suffer the daylight robbery that the US did.

  • Social credit (Score:3, Informative)

    by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @11:57AM (#66328512)
    It's just China's social credit system. Since it's run by a private company it's fine right? It's the free market at work so how could it be bad
  • Philip K. Dick only got the part about the mutants wrong.
    • Philip K. Dick only got the part about the mutants wrong.

      Well they did mention it's "secretive" - so who knows, he might've got that part right too.

  • "We fought a revolution for the idea that we are citizens, not subjects. Yet schemes like CBP's Predictive Intelligence Targeting Team treat all Americans as if they are potential suspects."

    There are two things wrong with that. One is that citizens are subjects. As citizens, we are subject to the laws of the Federal and State governments. We fought a revolution because the rights the colonists had as British subjects were taken away.

    The other is that it is a non-sequitur. The second sentence does n

    • "One is that citizens are subjects. As citizens, we are subject to the laws of the Federal and State governments.

      As citizens, we are constitutionally supposed to be considered innocent until proven guilty.

      • Yeah, and if he had said that between the sentences it wouldn't have been a non sequitur.

        I'm not criticizing his presumptive point, just how he said it. I'll pick another nit and say that suspicion is neither guilt nor innocence. I don't have enough information to form an opinion on the question at hand, and I don't consider 404 to be very reliable.

      • by pjt33 ( 739471 )

        What does citizenship have to do with it? Does your constitution say that foreigners can be considered guilty until proven innocent?

  • by gurps_npc ( 621217 ) on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @12:04PM (#66328528) Homepage

    This is another nail in the "I've done nothing wrong, let them look" argument.

    The question is not whether you've done anything wrong, but whether the government has done anything wrong. When they refuse to disclose their methodology they are ALWAYS doing something wrong.

    The entire point of a free society is that we do not have to nor can we trust the police. Time after time we see they are not significantly better than the general population. If we let them hide their process, it always devolves into an abusive process that targets innocent people and destroys their lives.

    • The lie (you've done nothing wrong) is revealed, by the factoid* that the average person commits several crimes every day, unwittingly.

      *factoid: Assumed but never really provable

      • by Targon ( 17348 )

        The issue at hand is that monitoring the behaviors of ANYONE, citizen or not, should require a warrant to show probable cause. Doing a search without that warrant being given first then falls under illegal search. It's not about if people have done something wrong, but more, law enforcement isn't allowed to just search you, your records, or go to private companies to do a search without there being a search warrant FIRST.

        This is where ICE is continually breaking the law, because they don't go through t

        • Don't need a search warrant to dig though the trash can. People spew their data all over the place, and they just vacuum it all up.

    • Bottom line: If you give people a license to steal, they will steal. Which is the least of the bad things we're looking at here.
    • The entire point of a free society is that we do not have to nor can we trust the police.

      It's a good thing we don't live in a Free Society then isn't it? Otherwise, all of this shit would be illegal and the government wouldn't be doing it. "Constitution", "Free", "Rights", are all sooo last century. It's a good thing that the People are irrelevant; otherwise, they would be mighty pissed about what is going on.

  • by Archangel Michael ( 180766 ) on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @12:09PM (#66328538) Journal

    This is just a kindly reminder to NEVER TALK TO THE POLICE.

    Ever.

    "I respectfully decline to answer any questions. I invoke my 1,2,4,5 Amendment Rights. I do not consent to any searches. I refuse all roadside exams, and wish to have my lawyer present during any further interactions. BTW, here is my lawyer ... {pushes the button* on my phone}. My Attorney will represent me fully during this interaction, you may address them directly."

    * https://www.attorney-shield.co... [attorney-shield.com]

    Then STFU.

    • Invoking your second amendment rights in response to police talking to you is called suicide by cop.
      • The guy who posted is going to start cooperating real quick once they smash his window and smash that phone.

        Citing the second amendment is just indicative of his whole scenario being a fantasy.

  • by whitroth ( 9367 ) <whitroth&5-cent,us> on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @12:15PM (#66328558) Homepage

    No one making over $10M/yr.

  • by gweihir ( 88907 ) on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @12:19PM (#66328566)

    Do something now or regret it for a long, long time. If you survive and do not get "lawfully" murdered at some point. I wonder whether the current US government follows the historical playbooks from Germany. There are indications they do, even if incompetently.

    • Do something now or regret it for a long, long time.

      Do what exactly? Voting, writing, speaking, all seem to have ZERO effect. I have nothing which motivates politicians nor other citizens. The only items that appear to change anything are money and already existing power. Since I was not born into power, I have none. Since I have no power, I have no significant amounts of money.

      Pray tell, what can a citizen do to actually have any hope of stopping this wave of fascism? People at all levels of government appear to be fully captured. My current .sig seems to

  • I'm usually not one to get riled about this or that policy or agency change. But I read the summary and my first thought was "oh shit." I hope the reality of this is not as bleakly dystopian as it sound.

  • The iron hand is always wrong, No matter whose the ruling song. When Trump holds court or 'bama sat, The principle remains just that. In scarlet state or sapphire land, The same hard fist, the same command. So stop the quarrel, left or right, And stand against the tyrantâ(TM)s might.
  • Given SCOTUS' treatment of a government agent searching a database constituting a "search" under the 4th amendment (Chatrie v. United States). This is unconstitutional.

    But hey it's a LEO agency, they'll just investigate themselves and find themselves not guilty of any wrong doing...
  • Palantir (Score:4, Interesting)

    by toxonix ( 1793960 ) on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @01:49PM (#66328788)

    This sounds like Palantir's Gotham at work. All your data is available to LLMs that are used by any agency involved in national security to detect security threats, including narcotics trafficking small amounts of weed.

  • Pretty sure I saw the movie

  • THIS IS EXACTLY WHAT THE 4TH AMENDMENT IS ALL ABOUT!

    Fourth Amendment
    The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized.

  • I Did It Just The Same [youtube.com] - 1984 (For The Love Of Big Brother)

  • For many, using cash from an ATM is how they do crime. They use that cash to buy drugs, prostitutes, and anything else illegal. They also use it to pay for goods and services from individuals to avoid the tax man. Not all cash is used for those purposes, but that's how most of those are paid for which probably allows any cop to believe they have probable cause for a crime just by seeing you use an ATM.

    • This is why more people should start paying for as much as possible with cash. Re-normalize it. If they ask why - many stores and restaurants here in NYC charge you 4% or so extra for the privilege of using a card (due to processing fees). Think of it as getting 4% cash back on many purchases.
  • Does "Precrime" Mesh with the Ideals of U.S. Justice?: Implications for the Future of Predictive Policing [yu.edu]

    “Both the short story and film Minority Report are premised on a Precrime unit that relies on the psychic abilities of human mutants who can predict the commission of crimes before they occur. Advances in technology suggest that the science fiction depicted in Minority Report may one day become a reality.”
  • by argStyopa ( 232550 ) on Tuesday September 08, 2026 @06:17PM (#66329438) Journal

    "With the law books filled with a great assortment of crimes, a prosecutor stands a fair chance of finding at least a technical violation of some act on the part of almost anyone. In such a case, it is not a question of discovering the commission of a crime and then looking for the man who has committed it, it is a question of picking the man and then searching the law books, or putting investigators to work, to pin some offense on him."

    Hm. Some might opine that we should have worked a little harder to limit the power of the US federal government early and hard.

    Ofc, we wouldn't have become a superpower, and might not have been able to significantly turn the tide of WW2.

  • Burglars case their victim's house.
    DHS cases their victim's bank account.
    Both may seize their victim's legally owned property.
    One uses theft.
    The other uses Civil Forfeiture.
    https://duckduckgo.com/?q=civil+forfeiture&atb=v427-1&t=chromentp&ia=web [duckduckgo.com]

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