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Technology Science

A Clock That Runs for 10,000 Years 438

Justin Blanton writes "Discover magazine is running an article about a clock designed to run accurately for 10,000 years. It's essentially a "future-proof" clock that blurs the line between art and functionality through advanced engineering. From the article: 'Everything about this clock is deeply unusual. For example, while nearly every mechanical clock made in the last millennium consists of a series of propelled gears, this one uses a stack of mechanical binary computers capable of singling out one moment in 3.65 million days. Like other clocks, this one can track seconds, hours, days, and years. Unlike any other clock, this one is being constructed to keep track of leap centuries, the orbits of the six innermost planets in our solar system, even the ultraslow wobbles of Earth's axis.'"
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A Clock That Runs for 10,000 Years

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  • Outta time (Score:4, Insightful)

    by WiseOwl2001 ( 742135 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:03AM (#13825337)
    How will we know it is keeping accurate time if nothing else is as accurate to check it against?
  • by aendeuryu ( 844048 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:05AM (#13825351)
    I suppose this is a moot point, but there's always the human factor. Different countries' changing stances on daylight savings time, scientists deciding to eliminate a second here or there to gain a minute here or there, etc.
  • Too Complex (Score:2, Insightful)

    by N8F8 ( 4562 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:13AM (#13825384)
    For every variable you introduce, the liklihood of defects rises fivefold.
  • by Alien54 ( 180860 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:15AM (#13825400) Journal
    Aside from Natural Disaster and Unusual Weather Events, the one thing I can imagine being a problem is the run of the mill ignorant human being.

    The natives of Cairo stripped the pure white polished casing stones from the great pyramid to build a large number of building in their city. Nothing against the need for public housing, but it is a shame. There are plenty of other examples as well.

  • Some similarities (Score:1, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:20AM (#13825427)

    Everything about this clock is deeply unusual.

    I wouldn't say that. The idea of charging people extra for timepieces with functionality they'll never use is quite common. How else do you explain so many watches that can withstand water to a depth of > 1 metre?

  • Re:Outta time (Score:5, Insightful)

    by TummyX ( 84871 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:21AM (#13825429)
    Yeah, either that or you're in the southern hemisphere.
  • A clock (Score:4, Insightful)

    by FidelCatsro ( 861135 ) <.fidelcatsro. .at. .gmail.com.> on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:22AM (#13825433) Journal
    Which lasts 10,000 years.
    A server which last 10,000 Milliseconds .
    A story about an atomic clock being 9 years out of date has a certain poetry to it .
  • Sundials (Score:2, Insightful)

    by zenst ( 558964 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:29AM (#13825468) Homepage Journal
    Sure there many old ones about that still work without needing there battery changing or winding up ;).
  • by leuk_he ( 194174 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:36AM (#13825515) Homepage Journal
    500 years ago amirica was discoved (from the spanjard view), look what is acutally left of those ships.
    2000 years ago the roman empire ended. Most what left of is are some ruins and some idea's
    5000 years the piramids were build, look what is left of that. They are eroded. We have a vague clue of their purpose. (storing mummmies, but mummies were never found in it?)
    10000 years ago? Star-gate might be right about it, maybe man did not exist in it's current form.

    You might enineer it well enough to measure a wobble of the earth, but to actually package it so it can survive 10.000 years and still have a meaning is not only an engineering feat, it must be an antropology feat as well, to make people long after this understand what it is and leave it in pieces.
  • by standards ( 461431 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:51AM (#13825615)
    This clock is designed to be more of a monument than a useful timepiece - something that will help people understand their short time on earth, versus a science instrument.

    However the engineering effort to make this clock as accurate and as long-lasting as promised is truly impressive. Few things built today are designed to last that long (exception: perhaps long-term nuclear waste storage?) The materials : stone, steel, tungsten - and the size of the parts, and the mechanics of the thing that allows for 10,000 years of wear, along with easy maintenance - man, these are not things that even your top-notch mechanical engineer does.

    Interestingly enough, this guy is working on a long term clock, while others can't even get little clocks to work right. Some public clocks [blogspot.com] can be grossly imprecise. It's funny how someone running a time service can't get their own time right. Hopefully the telcos will hook up their time services to this clock - or NTP services. Whichever is easier.
  • Re:enough? (Score:4, Insightful)

    by bpowell423 ( 208542 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:52AM (#13825624)
    The thing that most impresses me about this clock is that it will run by itself with no required interaction for 10,000 years. It requires no external power, no attention at all. It is self-winding (he mentions barometric pressure change as a power source). As far as accuracy goes, it synchronizes to the sun when sunlight through a peep-hole heats a bimetal strip. That should re-sync the time every sunny day, so it should be accurate until it quits working. Imagine a future, several thousand years from now... maybe there's been another "dark ages" and people are just rediscovering bits of technology. Some explorer notices this cave in the side of this mountain, climbs up there, and discovers this massive clock. That's what this guy is after. He's trying to create something on the scale of a "wonder of the world" that will exist (and continue running) for millenia and cause future generations to marvel at the technology that these ancient people had.

    Sure, an atomic clock is more accurate, and more useful, but it requires electricity, and I'm sure some attention to keep things running smoothly.

    Although, I wonder if this mechanical clock will need to be lubricated every now and again... 5000 years from now there'll probably be some wierd religion where the priest pours holy oil over the sacred time keeper, or some such...
  • Re:Too Complex (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Itchy Rich ( 818896 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:52AM (#13825633)

    For every variable you introduce, the liklihood of defects rises fivefold.

    For every generalised statistic you quote, the likelihood of talking accurately about any specific application decreases fivefold.

    These people seem to have put so much effort into thinking through possible variables that could effect this clock, from the value of the materials to the transparency of the operation, that I'd be very surprised if they didn't stop to consider one of the two most fundamental aspects: reliability.

  • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @08:58AM (#13825673)
    Actually, it is. The Long Nowers tend to write dates with a leading zero (eg October 19, 02005).

    The word of the day is: bondsmen
  • by SimilarityEngine ( 892055 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @09:00AM (#13825682)

    2000 years ago the roman empire ended. Most what left of is are some ruins and some idea's

    Don't forget the roads!

  • by sam_paris ( 919837 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @09:03AM (#13825706)
    Its actually not possible to "always" win at tic tac toe if the second player always plays perfectly.

    If player one and player two are both perfect players the game will always be a tie.
    I know this is true as my major was AI and my final project was investigating reinforcement learning where I designed agents to learn how to play tic tac toe and connect 4.
  • by ianscot ( 591483 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @09:06AM (#13825727)
    It isn't necessarily a feature list you're really pining for. If the current makers of alarm clocks added the stuff you want, they'd do so with 12 extra incomprehensible little plastic buttons, all of which would be tucked in back of the clock and all of which would look and feel the same. The volume control would be a wheel exactly like the tuning control on the radio, with one on the left side and one on the right, and you'd always have to re-learn which was which.

    What's needed is some thoughtful design.

    Alarm clocks are a prime example of a product in which the inmates are running the asylum. Each new half-baked feature clock makers add gets appended in the clunkiest possible way. These things aren't designed around the user, they're made according to the specs of the parts.

    The gold standard for our new design will be: I must be able to operate the clock's basic features when I wake up in the morning, blurry-headed and without my contacts in. This basic problem -- that they're used by sleepy people -- seems to have escaped current makers of alarm clocks.

    None of this has anything to do with "long time" though, not any more than with atomic clocks. (One of the obvious, obvious features of a decent alarm clock being that it'll synch with the atomic clocks and get back on track after a power outage or whatever...)

  • by maxwell demon ( 590494 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @09:12AM (#13825767) Journal
    Why doesnt the clock have an LCD display?

    Do you really think an LCD display will last 10000 years? BTW, it would go against the project goals (which is not to impress future visitors). As the article states, the clock shall be understandable without taking it apart.
    It seems like they used lame tech. Sure they demonstrate some knowledge of analog mechanical computing ability .. but this ability has been around since the forties .. before the space age.

    The point is not a technology demonstration. The point is to alter the thinking of the people about long time spans.
    We want humans of the future to know that we understood that the stars themselves are moving (ie, certain stars would no longer have the same relative positions in the sky ..example: Barnard's star is moving at 10.3 arcseconds per year against the background. We want to show we have that knowledge ..

    Again, the project isn't about teaching future people about our knowledge, it's about teaching current people to think long term. However, I could imagine that the star movement would be a great tool for that. Assuming those 10.3 arcseconds per year will not change in the future (and neither the direction), in 10000 years it will have moved about 28.6 degrees. This is indeed a quite visible difference. Of course, if the clock should track the movements of the stars as well, its price might grow from exorbitant to unaffordable ...
    Heck even include a copy of Wikipedia on HD DVD in a simplified binary format without any complicated enoding scheme.

    I bet that in 10000 years any HD-DVD produced today will be completely unreadable.
  • by sita ( 71217 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @09:19AM (#13825826)
    The real question is support. Will the manufacturer still be around in 3,000 years when you need to replace the little rubber feet? Are vendors and repair centers going to stock replacement parts? How much does an extended warranty cost?

    This is so ontopic! This is the one overshadowing design criterion. It should be possible to repair with whatever technology is available in 10000 years. And you can't rely on manuals, since you don't even know what languages there will be 10000 years down the road.
  • by scottdunn ( 829552 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @09:23AM (#13825858)
    Is the author trying to pull one over on us?
    Everything about this clock is deeply unusual. For example, while nearly every mechanical clock made in the last millennium consists of a series of propelled gears, this one uses a stack of mechanical binary computers capable of singling out one moment in 3.65 million days
    Binary computers use gears... [wikipedia.org]
  • by Holi ( 250190 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @09:37AM (#13825969)
    The Idea behind the The Long Now Foundation is to think about the future, not in the terms of tomorrow or next week or even next year, but int the terms of next century and next millenium and so on. They want us to have a far reaching view of the future so as to understand our actions have consequences beyond our generation.
  • by cogg ( 864885 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @09:56AM (#13826101)
    My cell phone does this ( apart from point 4 ).

    cog
  • by duerra ( 684053 ) * on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @09:57AM (#13826111) Homepage
    This article is amazing. It really moved me. The concepts and level that the people involved in this are thinking on really makes a person stop to consider how thoughtless we are today to our culture and the impact that we have on not only ourselves and the rest of the world in the here and now, but how such an idea can be a profound testiment to the achievements of the human race for generations long after we're gone.

    I see so many jokes, rants, and condemnations from people responding to this here on Slashdot, and it becomes immediately clear that these people have not read the article, and if they have, are completely shallow and selfish people.

    There is so much meaning and thought that has gone into this that it's unspeakable to even consider anything but full support for this project. I want my place in time to have a reflection to civilizations thousands of years from now. The human race in the past no doubt realized the significance of speaking to future generations... why are we so thoughtless?
  • by lcde ( 575627 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @10:11AM (#13826229) Homepage
    That John Titor [johntitor.com] will need for time travel. :)
  • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @10:27AM (#13826361)
    Photovoltaic Solar?

    No, the panels will degrade within a few decades, tops.

    Wind power?

    Not likely that you could build moving parts able to handle the stress for a hundred years.

    Radioisotope thermoelectric generator? (RTG)

    Maybe, but to last 10,000 years you will need to use an isotope with a comparatively long halflife, and so the RTG will need a fairly large volume. And your power requirements will need to be pretty modest.
  • by Kadin2048 ( 468275 ) <slashdot.kadin@xox y . net> on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @11:37AM (#13826978) Homepage Journal
    Actually I think it's interesting that you brought this up. I've read in several places that 10,000 years from now, not much of our cities will probably remain (especially if we nuke ourselves, which was the dominant theory when most of what I read was written I think) but the Interstate Highway system will be there for hundreds of generations to come. Obviously at ground level it will eventually get overgrown and might not be easily distinguishable, but from an aircraft or satellite the right-of-ways and grades will be pretty unmistakably artificial.

    How this relates to the clock project I'm not sure: maybe they should bring an Interstate out there shaped like a big arrow so that aliens or humans returning to Earth in a few millenia will know where to look... :)
  • by luisdom ( 560067 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @11:39AM (#13827010)
    Given that the final version will be 60 feet tall, I wonder how much will shipping cost...
  • Now Then (Score:4, Insightful)

    by Doc Ruby ( 173196 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @12:42PM (#13827678) Homepage Journal
    I've been a member of Bruce Sterling's Viridian Movement [viridiandesign.org] since before it started, which featured the Long Now's "Long Clock" project when it kicked off. I've even been to international design conferences where Sterling and Long Now people have presented, talking about the Clock. But they've obviously learned nothing from their own intriguing proposition.

    How can they possibly be sure that anything they make will be readable as a "clock" 10,000 years from now? That's the biggest problem: if humans even remain on Earth after 3x our current civilization's lifetime has passed, how will they read the clocks? The Egyptian Pyramids are increasingly clearly "clocks", like Stonehenge, for telling "what time it is" in the sky, among the constellations. That revelation only appeared to one guy, about 10 years ago, and is still known only to a few interested people. We still don't know how to tell when the "alarm" goes off, beyond some basics (which could be wrong). Even Stonehenge, recognized as a clock for longer and by more people, isn't really readable. And those clocks are only maybe 5-7,000 years old, mostly millennia where humans didn't change nearly as much as we have in the past millennium, or (likely) as much as we'll change in the next century or so.

    We've already built "long now" clocks, that haven't quite worked. They probably did achieve the same goals of the Long Now Foundation: giving society a way to learn to think about long periods of time with the same immediacy and importance as we think about the present moment. We should learn from the long experience in that project by solving the fundamental problem: communicating with our descendents 10,000 years from now. We can probably rely, like our ancestors, on celestial mechanics remaining readable by humans in such an (astronomically) brief time. A real Long Now Clock would merely promote human synchronization with those movements. Maybe a new stone megalith that points at decade/century/millennium markers in the sky. No moving parts, just pictures of humans reading the skies (showing the actual celestial mechanics and how the person decodes them).

    Baby Boomers, like the Long Now Foundation people, always think they're the first to invent or do anything, especially if it's fun. And they're great at reinventing the mistakes of history as they ignore it. They do get people motivated to do something as if it were new and exciting, though. So the best thing that this new toy clock they're building could do would be to perish, and pronto. Then we'd get a "second chance" (puns intended) to use the clocks we've already got, and change ourselves to use them. That change would also make us better people, with a longer view of "now", the future, and our place in it.
  • Re:Outta time (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Just Some Guy ( 3352 ) <kirk+slashdot@strauser.com> on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @01:16PM (#13828088) Homepage Journal
    On two occasions I have been asked [by members of Parliament!], "Pray, Mr. Babbage, if you put into the machine wrong figures, will the right answers come out?" I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question.

    -- Charles Babbage

  • by Gandalf04 ( 447716 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @02:28PM (#13828888)
    But I think that minimally the design of the clock should demonstrate the peak of the builder's knowledge and aspect of culture

    Thus is exemplified the process of thinking too narrowly. The clock is not about showing us off to tomorrow, but about connecting us with them. It's a work of engineering genius, not a time capsule.
  • by gtm256 ( 848258 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @03:03PM (#13829252)
    This project assumes we'll be more advanced in 10,000 years. It's possible a tribe could stumble across it and start worshiping it. Or maybe they'll think that the clock is what's running the earth. I'm not sure they can really anticipate what effect this will have, if any at all. Kind of a useless and vain thing to do, imho.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday October 19, 2005 @03:19PM (#13829398)
    Eventually they'll study it and learn and advance. Nothing wrong with that .. Egyptians, Greeks etc. advanced because of religious beliefs and curiosities.

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