World Internet Traffic To Top 966 Exabytes In 2015 100
Mark.JUK writes "Networking giant Cisco has released its latest annual Visual Networking Index (VNI) today, which forecasts that world internet traffic will quadruple by 2015 to reach 965.5 ExaBytes per year (up from 242.4 ExaBytes in 2010); when 40% of the world's population will be online (i.e. 3bn Internet users). Internet video will account for 61% of all consumer traffic in the same year, while P2P (File Sharing) will decline significantly to just 16%."
966 EB (Score:1)
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Now if only Slashdot admin would get a clue about JavaScript we could get rid of the irritating "Working..." graphic permanently stuck at the bottom of each page.
Oh yeah and when you click on a post in a message they could fix their CSS so every single click (even to cut and paste) doesn't redirect you to the top of the page.
Do they never preview and test anything before putting it on the production servers? Sloppy and unprofessional.
Re:966 EB (Score:5, Insightful)
Now if only Slashdot admin would get a clue about JavaScript we could get rid of the irritating "Working..." graphic permanently stuck at the bottom of each page.
Oh yeah and when you click on a post in a message they could fix their CSS so every single click (even to cut and paste) doesn't redirect you to the top of the page.
Do they never preview and test anything before putting it on the production servers? Sloppy and unprofessional.
Also, it would be nice if the score of a post would be shown also if several parent posts are collapsed. And if clicking somewhere in a post with collapsed ancestors would do whatever the action is for that place (follow a link, place focus into input box, etc) instead of uncollapsing one of the ancestors.
Or basically, make Slashdot again a site that works.
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It makes me mad when I see an application that has lots of users and remains broken indefinitely. That's because I'm a software developer and I have to actually fix my mistakes before a project's considered done.
When I see obvious breakage, I ask myself, "What was going through developer X's mind? Did he just not care? I don't have to use ./ so I guess it doesn't count, but when I see it in software I must use, it makes me want to give the developer/PM a good hard slap across the face and ask them if they
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It would be good if, while commenting, clicking the text area simply positionated the cursor at the place you clicked, instead of placing the cursor at the end of the comment, and sending the focus to the first comment on the thread.
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u mad bro?
check out my doubles
I tried, but half of them are NaNs, most of the rest are infinite, and the few remaining are denormalized.
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It's a lot of information. Too bad most of it is wrong.
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Only 965.9 EB is porn.
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It's even more online American Idol.
How do they get the numbers? (Score:2)
A much more interesting story than a bunch of increasing marketing numbers by a company that benefits from increasing numbers, would be an explanation of how they made up these numbers...
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Here's a good start on an explanation: Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2010-2015 [cisco.com]. Summary on the web page, pdf with details linked on the page.
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It's all... (Score:2)
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Actually, I don't think it would.
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Decline in P2P? (Score:1)
I'm not sure I'd agree that p2p will decline! After all, now that MS bought Skype, I'd imagine Skype will continue to grow, and that's p2p. And many video sources could go that route also. And in the past, even MS has said p2p would be a nice way to sell software.
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Pedophile 2 Pedophile?
Backronym doesn't work as well with terrorists though :(
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Pedophile 2 Pedophile?
Backronym doesn't work as well with terrorists though :(
Just rename them to pterrorists.
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Pterrordactyl 2 Pterrordactyl?
(Wow that was bad, even for me)
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It's hard to predict, especially the future (Score:4, Insightful)
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Well, they just acquired Tandberg, so they are hoping to sell a *lot* of HD-quality videoconferencing hardware :)
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I wonder if 4 years ago Cicso was saying that streaming video was going to account for the majority of internet traffic in 2011?
Yes, they were
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Second this.
I deliver quite a few Cisco trainings and I remember at least 3 years ago there was information there which stated that Youtube will be the main reason for ISPs to upgrade their infrastructure.
Armageddon for ISPs (Score:3)
ISPs must be worried. At the moment they can throttle "heavy" users and still claim "unlimited" service, but even now we are seeing many of them being unable to copy with streaming video demands in the evenings. Soon everyone will be a heavy user.
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They always need excuses to raise rates. This is their excuse, even before usage goes up. "Projections show we need to quintuple bandwidth!" 500% increase in rates on all users, purchase a new routers for major urban areas, screw everyone else.
Meanwhile in Canada... (Score:3)
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It will be nice though when the major providers open that back up.
Canada is going to be SO far behind the in the internet economy in a couple years.
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http://seekingalpha.com/article/269531-why-canadian-cable-companies-and-telecoms-are-in-trouble
It is worth noting that SHAW is increasing it's Cap on its higher end rape options, i mean subscriptions. June 7th 2011
Shaw's High Speed plan caps for High Speed will jump from 60GB to 125GB. The Extreme from 100GB to 250GB. Other plans will at least double their monthly allowance.
as well, Videotron and Telus have increased there Caps to 170GB and 250GB
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Re:Meanwhile in Canada... (Score:5, Informative)
Actually, by 2015 I see our monthly cap getting smaller as they continue to not invest in upgrading their networks.
The last decade has more or less been comprised of Bell and Rogers charging us more for less, and telling us it's an improvement.
If I tried to buy the same cell-phone plan I have now from the same company, it would cost $10/month more -- for less minutes, and the "evenings and weekends" starting after 9pm instead of 6pm.
From what I can tell, the major telcos are using their 10 year old infrastructure, charging is more for it, and telling us that it's new and improved.
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According to my Shaw customer-care page, my monthly cap (at 25Mbps) is 100GB (up+down). Last month, I managed to get to 94GB. My normal is about 60GB.
While this doesn't really invalidate your point (why merely 100GB per month?), I do think proper numbers are in order. It may just be that Shaw sucks less than Rogers. Then again, you probably live in Toronto, which thinks that "Toronto" and "Canada" are synonymous, thus the confusion. (Your nick makes me think Quebec, but I find it's generally pretty rar
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The monthly cap for Télébec (2MBits and 5MBits cable modems) is only 35GB (up+down).
I'd loooooooove to have 25Mbps with a 100GB monthly cap. How much is that?
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And I am Canadian!
P2P decline only as a percentage (Score:2)
According to TFA P2P volume increases, just not as quickly as other traffic.
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Decrease as a percentage of the total usage, while still increasing in absolute terms.
In other words, streaming video will outpace file sharing, which I certainly believe.
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You misread. The article says that the percentage of total internet traffic that belongs to file-sharing will decrease; not necessarily that there will be less file-sharing. I can only assume that Netflix and similar services are to blame for videos taking up so much bandwidth, as they're incredibly popular. On a related note, you really should try Netflix. I have almost no urge at all to pirate anything with them. Every week they add tons of movies and shows, some of which are absolutely fantastic (FLCL, a
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You should try Icefilms. Sure Netflix might have more stuff, but Icefilms has more TV than I can watch anyway. You can't get current Daily Show on Netflix so honestly, it's just about useless.
Break down (Score:4, Funny)
23% Lol Cats
10% Facebook
5% Teen sensation
2% Conspiracy theories, petitions, "Do this to stop Facebook checking up on you", etc.
0.5% Email
0.4% Business
0.1% Literature, Science, Art, other stuff that is beneficial to mankind
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0.1% Literature, Science, Art, other stuff that is beneficial to mankind
And if this was actually true, that'd be 1 exabyte (1 million terabytes) for shared knowledge. Still considerable, given where the world was just 20 years ago.
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0.1% Literature, Science, Art, other stuff that is beneficial to mankind
Because obviously keeping in touch with friends, doing business, having an occasional laugh, and discussing issues with peers is NOT beneficial to mankind
This will add up over 100% (Score:2)
If those numbers reflect reality... (Score:2)
.... then I think it's time for the ISP providers to stop bitching' about having to build the infrastructure and just build it already, because that's an awful lot of info being passed around, whether or not it's music, videos, movies or what ever. The world is ever changing, people and companies have to constantly change with the technology if they wish to stay up with the world. As more and more companies push for people to go through the web to do business more and more people will get online, and if t
Look at all those copies... (Score:3)
Look at all those copies. It's no wonder that our outdated copyright laws can't possibly keep up in the Information Age.
We couldn't obey those laws if we tried... How many copies traverse routers without license -- I've yet to see a web page that says:
Every last one of us commits contributory infringement via inducing the breach of copyright on our behalf...
Ironically, it seems that only works produced under the Free Software, Creative Commons, and Open Source copyright licenses can be legally transmitted simply because these licenses seek to reverse or nullify the restrictions granted by copyright. ("Copyleft -- all rights reversed.")
The founding fathers wrote that we should uphold the spirit of the laws they set forth -- Thus allowing old laws to remain relevant and sever their purpose instead of being twisted by time and interpretations of the letter of the law.
Copyright was allowed to exist for the benefit of the society as a whole. Now that it can not be upheld, and the society suffers its weight it should be abolished. How do you know the web page's copyright notice until you've already copied the page many times?!.
Copyright was intended to allow artists & authors to keep the greedy publishers at bay -- Now the greedy publishers use the law to harm the general public and the authors/artists. Additionally, with our own computers we are all elevated to the status of "publisher" or "distributor" when we should not have been, thus allowing the harsh law to ensnare us all when it was intended to restrict only a few.
The spirit of the law has been violated; We ignored the foresight of the founding fathers. Now we suffer in our arrogance.
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Copyrights predate the Constitution.
Copyrights benefit society by giving a creator exclusive rights to profit from his work therefore encouraging him to create more.
"Greedy publishers" didn't even really exist as we know them today. Whoever had access to a printing press was essentially a publisher. Big conglomerates like today didn't exist.
You have a gross misunderstanding of how networks work.
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No. I know perfectly well how networks work. I know that 1000 to 1500 bytes of data is a mere fraction of a movie or a song. I know that I would be able to take this fractional part of such a copyrighted work and use it under the fair-use provisions, including the distribution of it to my neighbors. I know that following this logic, a bittorrent file sharing system should be able to simply claim fair use on any movie or song download (following the letter of the law), especially if only a single packet
17 USC 512(a) (Score:2)
How many copies traverse routers without license
I don't know about foreign law, but 17 USC 512(a) [bitlaw.com] appears to exempt the ephemeral copies made in the RAM of a router from liability for infringement.
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The spirit of the law has been violated; We ignored the foresight of the founding fathers. Now we suffer in our arrogance.
Yes you are right. The spirit of the law has been violated because of all the greedy people who don't want to pay for their entertainment (rationalizing their theft in a variety of ways) Allowing "copies" of works to to exist to be transferred from the "publisher" to your screen doesn't break the spirit of the law. Copyright exists for the benefit of the creator, whether that creator is an individual or a conglomerate, it doesn't matter. And yes you can obey the law if you tried. But most people don't car
965.5?! (Score:1)
I wonder if these people have never heard of significant digits... what is the point of going to the first decimal? Are they trying to tell me their four year away prediction is that accurate?
Cisco working hard to sell its Internet video gear (Score:2)
Julie
Nothing like meaningless precision. (Score:2)
Come on guys, 966 EB ? Why hold back ? Why not 966.1415927 EB in 2015 ?
Seriously, I would doubt any claim to know this number to better than about 50%.
Blame it on the... (Score:1)
61% Video Traffic? (Score:3)
As champions of the internet, I believe that it is Comcast's solemn duty to start sabotaging video traffic now, before things get out of hand.
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The recent Netflix data about average speed had my ISP above Comcast. If I tracert the data from Netflix, it's coming from Comcast. Somehow my ISP has a better connection to Comcast than Comcast's own customers. Go Figure.
I've heard such a prediction before... (Score:2)
It was around the year 2000 I heard a long speech by a short American woman in the Kürhaus in Scheveningen (The Netherlands.) This freshly arrived UUNet manager proclaimed that the Internet would double in traffic every 9 months.
I preferred to listen the two (very tall, Dutch) senior networkadminstrators that looked at each other in disbelief while muttering "Where did she get her figures from?"
Contrary to what some might expect, I believe Cisco is akin to the very short American UUNet manager, not the
That prediction was before (Score:2)
All the ISP's instituted their bandwidth caps. The reality will be much smaller now.
500 TB per second (Score:1)
The DNA replication in a human body does about 500 TB per second.
This is the future - 1 hr video file in a few kB (Score:1)