Future Holds Large Updates Instead of Stand-Alone Windows Releases 199
jones_supa writes: Jerry Nixon, a Microsoft developer evangelist, said at the Ignite conference in Chicago that Windows 10 "is the last version of Windows, so we're always working on Windows 10." Saying that is only half true. In fact, Microsoft will start working on large updates instead of stand-alone Windows releases, so the company would switch from a model that previously brought us new versions of Windows every three years, to a simpler one that's likely to bring big updates every two months. The company will also change the naming system for Windows, so instead of Windows $(version), the new operating system would be simply called Windows.
Enterprise Turnover? (Score:5, Insightful)
For consumers this is likely a great thing. But given enterprise customers and their traditionally fickle software, how are they going to keep up with major Windows changes every few months?
Even service packs break things, and those still aren't as complex as these proposed updates in some ways. Enterprise customers pretty much count on Windows not changing/ And even if Microsoft goes the LTS route, will they support one of these branches for 10+ years like Windows Server 2012 will be?
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"For consumers this is likely a great thing. "
That depends on how you look at it.
Remember microsoft said it wanted to move people to a subscription model for windows. To force people to keep paying for it over and over. This looks to be how they're going to do it.
So expect to open your wallet for those "big updates".
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I've seen several pieces about Microsoft having a subscription model for Windows 10 alongside the regular model.
You've seen a lot of rumor and speculation... MS itself probably doesn't know what it will end up being...
They essentially are offering Win 10 for free, but only for the first year, then you pay a subscription fee.
That is a common misconception... MS has been rather clear on the fact that the upgrade to Windows 10 is free during the first year of release for all Win 7/8 devices. If you do upgrade during the first year, then that device will be supported for free for the life of the device, no sub required...
While it is possible they'll go to a sub model, I suspect it is more likely they'll figure out that just causes a fracturing of users. iOS upgrades are free for the life of the device, OS X upgrades are now free for the life of the device.
MS will keep collecting money from hardware companies, but supplement that with income from their app store and services.
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That doesn't say what you think it says...
MS has figured out that selling the OS to consumers isn't where the money is...
The app store is where they see the money...
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And in true MS fashion, they're convinced they can milk the app store cash cow whether or not there are any apps in it.
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If MS is smart they'll come up with a pricing structure that appeals to companies that make more than $5 apps.
When Quickbooks and Adobe Acrobat can be purchased from the Windows App store, you'll know they've got it figured out.
That being said, the fact that MS Office isn't in the app store says a lot about how they still haven't figured out what to do with that.
Re:Enterprise Turnover? (Score:4, Interesting)
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Considering some stuff in use where I work which will not even run in Win8 yet I suppose it's a matter of only patching up to two or three years behind the current date. Yes that is stupid but that's the speed (or lack thereof) of development with some software.
Unless, of course, the future plan is to make Windows always up to date with the ability to launch virtual machines with whatever "version" of Windows an old program might require.
If it runs on the "new" Windows, wonderful. If you need XP, fine, if you need 7, fine... that can be provided in a sandbox for each program.
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So IMHO the "future plan" is to ignore the problem and expect anyone with the problem to sort it out themselves.
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Considering the state of "XP mode" now I can't see any MS support of such an idea as being any better than the kludge of using Virtualbox today.
You might be right... however...
XP Mode was developed 7+ years ago under Balmer... MS today is clearly a different company...
Time will tell...
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Actually that's my theory as to why every second version of an MS operating system is fucked up in some way - learning curve after they've gotten rid of the staff who got the last one right.
MS should have a lot of 60 year old project leads and 40 year old developers at the "foreman" level by now, but they don't so there's a lot of wheel re-invention going on by people out of their depth.
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They are going to have a full time compatibility group as part of their helpdesk. That's what was done in the 1990s, helpdesk was always working on the next version of upgrades and the staffed around it. Enterprises had to be upgrading their upgrading their applications regularly. The staff (remember this was staff not consultants) associated with the internal applications had to be prepping for the next versions and removing com
This is new? (Score:3)
From what I've seen, every time you reboot Windows, a "large update" seems to be applied.
Updating 5 of 27. Please do not turn off your computer.
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>
But the versioning can't be an worse than Ubuntu lately. Constant updates. I understand it's to correct functional and security issues. But perhaps once every couple weeks?
Comment removed (Score:5, Informative)
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Not to worry. We'll just stay on XP.
Signed, your CIO.
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For consumers this is likely a great thing. But given enterprise customers and their traditionally fickle software, how are they going to keep up with major Windows changes every few months?
Even service packs break things, and those still aren't as complex as these proposed updates in some ways. Enterprise customers pretty much count on Windows not changing/ And even if Microsoft goes the LTS route, will they support one of these branches for 10+ years like Windows Server 2012 will be?
I work for a company that sells and develops Add-On products for Microsoft Dynamics NAV (formerly Navision).
They have moved to a MONTHLY "Cumulative Update" model, and are obviously deprecating the idea of "big yearly releases" (with the occasional, "voluntary", "Hotfix" or "Cumulative Update") that they have used for years.
It's no fun.
So, when Windows 10 goes this same way, we will have a situation where the OS is constantly in-flux, and the Applications (like NAV) are also constantly in-flux, with t
Re:Enterprise Turnover? (Score:4, Insightful)
and now they want to do away with that. they're already sort of going there with metro. no longevity.
also thats what they experimented with in mobile. 3 years, 3 sdks? 3 ways you're supposed to write your apps windows phone apps? yup, pretty much - and still they haven't released the one thing that was supposed to fix("one platform" approach). also, don't even think of getting new apps for winpho 7.1.
now on the other hand look at the decade of windows mobile before that. fairly good compatibility, even if the phones were overpriced and lacked good phone functionalities - but at least you could depend on the platform if you ran out a business solution for your corporation that needed the platform to stay alive and compatible! that is, until their revolution. that didn't make the sales.
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Silverlight still runs on Windows Phone. I have "ancient" Windows Phone apps that still run on my phone from Windows Phone 7.
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It depends on how long the SDK is supported, or how easy it is to migrate from one to another. With Linux, usually stuff stays supported for an eternity; even if it becomes unpopular, it usually still works on newer releases.
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My macbook is from 2009 and supports the latest osx just fine. Sure I don't have some features due to lack of hardware,but speed isn't an issue.
I have owned three I phones since 2008 averaging three years a phone.
At work last year we upgraded to windows 7 and windows 2008 server. That how far behind ERP software is.
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For consumers this is likely a great thing.
Yeah, I can't wait for Windows to change the print subsystem in an update that causes my excessively complex multifunction printer driver suite to put my computer into a reboot loop. As an average consumer, I'd love to have to pay someone to service the machine to fix that. The same goes for any wireless cards, or storage controllers, or USB peripherals, or ...
Is this something that has happened to you in the past or just some shit example about how it's going to be end times for windows.
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"With both data collection and a restore function, Windows will just set up again from an installation image"
Yes, one that will put the user a few gigas back the times and open to vulnerabilities till upgraded -not to talk about the inability to use the computer for some few hours.
Nice.
"The blame goes where it belongs, and the consumer will buy a new printer."
Surely will. A perfectly working system stops working because Microsoft singlehandledly changes the system but still the blame is for a third party a
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Surely will. A perfectly working system stops working because Microsoft singlehandledly changes the system but still the blame is for a third party and the solution is me expending more of my hard earned money?
Ubernice.
If it was only working because it depended on a bug or internal data structures that it wasn't supposed to be playing with, it wasn't "perfectly working" ever.
I can write a program that does a lot of things horribly wrong but works on Windows XP because it tolerated a lot of bad behaviors, which won't work at all on a more modern system. Is that Microsoft's fault that I wrote it wrong?
How many user-level apps were writing to system directories without reason all over the place in XP and prior which "broke"
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Because every printer mfgr has a complex driver system that doesn't work the same as normal driver installation.
You can't simply install the driver at all. You can't choose "Have Disk" and install from INF at all. The only way to add a printer is during the "plug the printer in now" step of a massive installation program.
This is really not how USB drivers are supposed to work.
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This is why I love AirPrint on MacOS/iOS. I have two printers that were originally bought for my Windows PCs (a $40 Epson inkjet and a $200 HP color laser), but I did make sure they suppor
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"It is called support service"
No, it isn't. Adding functionality to a new environment is not support.
"While I understand that perpetual support for older devices is not viable"
And then, wrong again. Given support for what it is, the ability to substitute broken parts and correct what was not working from the very begining should be supported basically forever, much more so for software, since software doesn't have wearing parts.
Heck, I have no problem finding parts for my 15 y.o. car but still my printer
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And then, wrong again. Given support for what it is, the ability to substitute broken parts and correct what was not working from the very begining should be supported basically forever, much more so for software, since software doesn't have wearing parts.
Heck, I have no problem finding parts for my 15 y.o. car but still my printer can't be the same?
My favorite Linux versus Windows story regarding device support is that I was assembling a dual boot Linux/Windows radio control/digimodem system. Software basically the same on both sides. (fldigi suite) Since there is a little more command line work to use the USB to serial converter on the Linux side (Linux considers serial ports to be a security problem, so you have to tell it to pay attention to them) I did it first. Worked perfectly in all aspects with a radio with a very large command set.
So I move
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How are they going to charge for this? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:How are they going to charge for this? (Score:4, Insightful)
(Personally I think 7 is great, and that 10 is a step in the right direction, but in the public mind new Windows = bad. Remember how people shat all over XP when it came out, but by 2010 it had gained a reputation as the best version of Windows ever?)
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(Personally I think 7 is great, and that 10 is a step in the right direction, but in the public mind new Windows = bad. Remember how people shat all over XP when it came out, but by 2010 it had gained a reputation as the best version of Windows ever?)
Most of those shitting on it was comparing it to win2k, because of the less business-like interface and online activation. Of course most of those weren't running a legit license since 2k was a "professional" and not "consumer" OS. I don't recall anybody suggesting 98 - and particularly not ME - being better than XP. By 2010, Win2k was EOL, so it's not like you had much other choice if you wanted to run Windows and be supported. And they'd actually improved a lot of things, since XP pro was the current OS f
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Most of those shitting on it was comparing it to win2k, because of the less business-like interface and online activation.
Microsoft's own "XP Pro Corporate" did nice for those people who wanted no activation, nor even a need to crack it :).
I was really pissed off by XP though, because it fucked up DOS games. 98 gave you everything at once : full sound (including adlib), no glitches, joystick input, networking in DOS games
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Remember how people shat all over XP when it came out, but by 2010 it had gained a reputation as the best version of Windows ever?
It's almost as if they improved Windows XP over the span of a decade.
Nah, that couldn't be it.
Re:How are they going to charge for this? (Score:4, Funny)
Of course! That's why they skipped a version number and jumped from 8 to 10. So they could avoid having to make another good windows and go straight to the next bad one!
It all makes so much sense now...
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Doesn't work. Windows 2000 was really good as well. It whistles along on modern hardware. As far as I can tell, the main change in it is that XP contains more cryptographic components for implementing DRM.
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SP1 was all that you needed to get it stable. SP2 added a significant amount of bloat, but arguably that was due to all the new security features that were pretty much required to be added. SP3, as far as I can tell, is pure bloat.
It's kind of amazing how a stock SP0 install will fly on a P3 with 256MB of ram (so long as you're smart enough NOT to try to hook it the internet), but a fully patched SP3 system on a high end P4 with 2GB+ of ram pretty much crawls.
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You're right it does cost money but I think they could still make it available for free. They could run it like the xbox model where the console makes a loss but they make the money back on other things. On the pc they could make a loss on the os and then try to make the money back through a 30% cut on everything sold on the windows app store. Sorta like how Google pays for the upkeep of Android from the app store sales.
For this to really work though, ms would have to break windows compatibility and force a
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Bypassing consumer resistance to poor design (Score:5, Insightful)
Microsoft has a long history of releasing badly designed products- MSDOS 4,Windows Me, Vista, 8.0- and with the shift to updates, the public will lose their ability to vote with their wallets. Microsoft will do whatever it likes, and you will accept it or be unpatched. Microsoft has succeeded in ensuring that the customer has no power or voice.
And everyone here is cheering it on...
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Wait, what was wrong with MSDOS 4?
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MSDOS 4.0 had multi tasking but it wasn't very good so ms released 4.1 with the mulitasking removed.
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That has got to be a very obscure branch, wiki says it's unrelated to MS-DOS 4.00 and 4.01 released later. MS-DOS 4.00 and 4.01 are semi-obscure on their own, they're known as a disaster from some bugs. All DOS games from the 90s (at least those on 1.44MB 3.5") either said on the box they required DOS 3.3 or DOS 5.0.
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People will actually gain the right to vote with their wallets in this model. Until now, everyone would get their Windows with every new PC. Hey, it was already there and the cost was in the price of the machine. So, why should Joe Average look for something else? If MS switches to a subscription model, I would love to see you explain to your grandmother that she will now have to cough up a montly allowance for MS so that she can Skype with her family or do whatever it is that grandmothers do with their PCs
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Vista was pretty much a sacrificial release. Microsoft needed to cure third party vendors of their bad habits from the 9x days, as well as update their driver model. They could publish guidelines and best practice whitepapers all they wanted, but the only way to get many of them actually take action was to break their shit. Which is exactly what they did with Vista. By the time Windows 7 came out, most vendors had managed to fix their stuff so most things just worked on Windows 7 with minimal fuss, whic
Learning from gentoo (Score:2)
Someday in the future Windows will decide that none of your software is compatible with an update, uninstall it all, be unable to update it due to circular dependencies and then spend 30 hours of your netbook's time and all of its batteries recompiling the Kernel.
Adobe? (Score:2)
Yeah, right. We've also heard that from Adobe about their Creative Suite switching over the Creative Cloud. All we've gotten instead is more and more new bugs in each release, and without failure, new DRM failures with each and every release. How are we supposed to trust Microsoft with the same thing, when they already royally fucked up Windows 8? How can we trust them to not simply pull an Adobe, and spend all their time developing new DRM that constantly fucks up, instead of new actual features and functi
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You assume screwing you while taking your money isn't the intended end goal.
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Never had CC DRM fail. Don't know anyone who has had a license problem with CC. Do you even have Creative Cloud or are you just listening to the people who heard it from someone who heard it from someone who thinks CS6 is good enough?
What I have seen is that Adobe now releases a RED SDK update on a regular schedule instead of waiting 12 months for them to support the latest R3D features.
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Yeah, I've had no problems with Adobe CC either. Don't know what people are bitching about.
UI (Score:2)
Windows 9^H 10 (Score:2)
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That would also infer that Win10 is built on a BSD-like kernel.
Um.... Half-Life 3 confirmed?
Windows X (Score:2)
Windows X with point releases? Wow, that sounds original.
Maybe they'll give the point releases the names of animals or something to distinguish them from each other.
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Exactly. From now on, no more version numbers greater than 10.
So they'll have Windows 10.1 - 10.10, then they'll continue numbering at 10.10.1 - 10.10.10, then it's 10.10.10.1 etc.
Until the Windows version string gets to be more than 256 bytes long and the version checking code breaks.
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Now we know the real reason they skipped Windows 9 and went right to 10. Is there anything they don't copy from Apple?
Good luck with that (Score:2)
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Is that the Windows after Windows 10, or is it the Windows after that?
Color me surprised. (Score:2)
The power balance has shifted a lot, The Personal Computer is morphing into Corporate Computer. People buying with their own money are now going towards smartphones, tablets, chromebook like light platforms. Even corporations are using tablets in a big way. The servers have gone to Linux. Windows is being forced to inter-operate with other devices without having the advantage of being the de-facto monopoly.
When corporations are the only customers, they are able to ext
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Why would continuous updates drive personal buyers away?
Because, it ain't gonna be free. Free updates for 1 or 2 years and then you need to be on a subscription to get updates. At that point people will chuck it. Smart phones with bluetooth keyboards and hdmi output will be enough for most people for their home computing needs.
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For Microsoft that's about $30. If they are buying a computer every 7.5 years or so that's $4/year. They would have to lose 250m of those customers to even amount to $1b/yr in revenue. Customers that cheap do nothing for Microsoft but hold them back.
I thought Windows 7 was the last Windows ever. (Score:2)
For most companies and individuals, Windows 7 is probably the end of the line. Even WinXP is plenty good for most people, and the need to upgrade because of hardware obsolescence vanished some 5 years ago already. Lucky for Microsoft they can extort money from Android vendors, because Windows is not going to be a huge cash cow going forward.
Windows365 (Score:2)
Every software vendor has dreamed of a subscription based model and how with the internet and DRM they can start to realize those goals.
Didn't MS buy windows365 or some domains like that last year?
You know they will never give it away for free; they will charge you for your habit. (not ruling out their past behavior of giving free or massive discounts to get people addicted.)
Space Man (Score:2)
So how much space are all of these updates going to take? Are they going to magically be 5x as big as the download once installed. It bugs me that Win7 needs 30gig of my SSD.
I though the idea of Dynamic linked libraries was shared code to save space, I get the impression that over 90% of code is not used and there are multiple copies of multiple versions of each DLL. The system doesn't work, you might aw well just compile the code you need and scrap DLLs.
Windows XP (Score:2)
Please rename it to Windows OS X (Score:2)
* Windows OS X Mountn' Lyin
* WIndows OS X Leo Pard
* Windows OS X Snowl E'pard
etc
This will not only help differentiate versions, but will demonstrate Microsoft's Leadership and Originality.
It's about time (Score:3)
I've been using a rolling release of Linux for years. The whole concept of having to start over when a new version comes out seems so antiquated.
On the other hand.. I don't see how this can work for a closed, comercial product unless they can sell people on the subscription model. I'd say that would be a tough sell but then again.. people buy crappy hardware that needs replaced in a year or two. People subscribe to access libraries of movies and music rather than permanently buy recordings. Maybe it's only a tough sell to me.
I have a great name for them (Score:2)
certifications? Data security? (Score:3)
Developer Evangelist? (Score:2)
Did they run out of enough real jobs that they had to invent "developer evangelist"?
Installation checklist for Windows in 2020+ (Score:2)
Re:Marketing Failure (Score:4, Interesting)
My guess is businesses will continue to use WSUS to manage the rollout and testing of updates, without the hassle of major version updates.
It's not really any different from what happens with regular updates now, except some of them will add new features, like Service Pack's currently do.
Smaller updates has got to be better than major version updates, otherwise there wouldn't be millions of Windows XP machines still out there.
Sounds like a much better option than what has been done in the past.
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Those the the overhead to maintain a reasonably large IT department will be able to, but small business will see themselves getting hit with things breaking whenever an update is applied.
There has to be a good way of rolling back an update to regain functionality.
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How do they manage currently with security updates every month?
Re: Marketing Failure (Score:2, Informative)
They don't.
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Apple does this today it is not hard.
1) Apple releases a beta of the new OS
2) The people who write 3rd party software test against the OS, and if needed release a minor version upgrade
3) End user upgrades the minor version of their software automatically
4) When the OS is released all the software is compatible.
I think Microsoft is going to try and drive most of the small business software towards a continuous distribution model tied to Azure. They are also moving small business towards a managed servic
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Unfortunately, it is really more along these lines:
1) Apple releases a beta of the new OS
2) The people who write 3rd party software test against the OS, and if needed release a minor version upgrade
3) End user upgrades the minor version of their software automatically
4) When the OS is released all the tested* software is compatible.
* tested software includes a couple of the built in programs, usually excepting Mail and Finder, Adobe products not included.
5) Version X.0 delivered to great fanfare
6) Numerous
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As for tested I meant 3rd party since that's what we are discussing. As an aside Microsoft is actually quite good at the Apple model and their software is mostly updated early.
As for Adobe... Adobe has all sorts of work arounds to low level hooks they had in old version of MacOS, the codebase is super fragile.... They are a terrible example. Adobe had huge problems with once in a while big changes as well.
Anyway you seem a bit bitter about Mail. I'm not sure what problems you've had. I find Mail rathe
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It is also why Apple is basically non-existent in the business world, and is not seen as a suitable platform for anything important.
Third party applications are not always tested against new releases. When they are only the latest version will be tested, and at most software companies I have worked with this usually happens well after the release of the operating system.
That does not even consider companies which no longer exits, or company specific code where the programmer has long since left.
If they foo
Re:Another feature copied from Linux? (Score:4, Insightful)
You mean you'll be able to do "apt-get dist-upgrade" in Windows?
No... there will be differences. We're talking Microsoft, so there's gotta be a revenue stream in there somewhere. They're planning to pretend version numbers don't exist, so that when there's compatibility issues no one will know which version the program was compatible with nor which version they're running now. And there certainly won't be a package manager to deal with all the dependencies, so any incompatibility will be dealt with on a program by program basis.
Mod Parent Up (Score:4, Interesting)
Remember when Mozilla tried to remove FF's version number from the About Box [slashdot.org] as a prelude the wacky wapid release schedule?
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So apt-get dist-upgrade (credit card number) ?
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I've personally never explicitly bought a single Microsoft license. They either come with my laptop or I get them via my university MSDN subscription or a BizSpark MSDN (MS program to give free licenses to startups). It's one thing I hate about the new Adobe Creative Cloud concept. I don't want to have to "subscribe" to use my software. I should only have to pay for it once. Period.
In the old days I'd run both Photoshop 3 and 4 on my system as I gradually transitioned to learn how to do everything in the ne
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While your complaint about the subscription model is valid (although lots of people would disagree with you), at least Adobe does allow you to use an unlimited number of previous versions. When you think about it, this is critically important to Adobe's preferred clientele - large professional companies with numerous licenses - since you don't dare change a major version in the middle of a project and a professional graphics company are always doing multiple projects.
You can end up with a hard drive full o
Re:Firefox (Score:5, Insightful)
Um...I actually like the FF/Chrome versioing. I was really hoping either IE or Safari would adopt it as well. If IE (or Spartan or whatever it's called now) goes to it, we'll finally see an end to a lot of corporate internal shit apps and technical debt. It will be painful at first, but once all the major browsers are on rolling updates, web app developers will be forced to make stuff that works correctly. Big shit companies that can't keep up will have to adapt or die.
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As a web developer, I like the Firefox/Chrome updating system also. It means that the vast majority of FireFox and Chrome users will be running the latest version of the browser. Contrast this with IE where there are 4 or 5 major versions that I need to support - each of which has wildly different compatibility with the latest web technologies. Want to use border-radius or box-shadow? Sorry, too many people are still on IE8 which doesn't support it. Want to use placeholder text in an input element or r
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Actually with the FF37 breaking corporate access for me keeps me in a holding pattern at FF36.
[John]
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They care about what you are willing to pay for not what you like. Under the current model, you not upgrading means you not buying. If they can move you over to a service model instead of say $30 every 4 years you could be at $5/mo. Even if they lose 10,20,30,+ percent it is still worth it.
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Dear Microsoft...
What the letter above said is that he "doesn't like the Firefox (or Chrome) model for updates". I personally have no trouble with it. He seems to want to leave you all behind, anyway.
Sure, I have a love-hate relationship with you, but it's better than the pure irritation and hatred that seems to ooze from the above letter. He must be a system administrator or something broken like that to hate you so much.
I wouldn't pay much attention to him.
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I think you've figured out why they're doing this.
While IE (and now Edge) "aren't" part of the OS, they are tightly integrated. A Windows rolling release is the only way they could think of to make browser releases more often than annually and closer to every 5ms like everyone else.
FF on my laptop is still on 29 because every time I upgrade it another theme or add-on I rely on breaks.
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Generally I try to save the heroine and not shoot her. Although nowadays, she doesn't want saving.
[John]
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Commit to a major release for 3 years, then 2 years sunset support. After that its fully functional but doesn't get MS support.
1 service pack every year, bundles all the updates together + some trinkets.
Or... Windows gets supported for the life of the device it is installed on, with a limited number of hardware changes...
Yes, I see the issues, some people actually do change their hardware often... edge cases are a pain to plan for, but something could be done...
Get a new device, the hardware company pays MS, all is well...
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They tried to force people to update by not releasing IE and directx on older versions of windows. I could see them doing the same for directx - if your windows is not up to patch xxxx it wont install. It would be pretty annoying if you just bought a new game and you can't play it until you ponied up for ms's subscription model.
I think ms would like to get rid of legacy desktop programs if they could. Window's compatibilty with old programs keeps people using windows but if windows can get rid of it they co