Silicon Valley Says Trump Plan To Reduce Immigration Will Hurt Economy (cbslocal.com) 273
An anonymous reader quotes a report from CBS Local: President Donald Trump's push to cut legal immigration to the United States in half is being met by opposition from Silicon Valley leaders, economists, and even some Republicans senators, who all say legal immigration is key to economic prosperity. The Trump administration Wednesday endorsed the Reforming American Immigration for a Strong Economy Act or RAISE Act, a Senate bill introduced by two Republican senators earlier this year, that aims to cut all U.S. immigration in half. Business leaders, especially those in California's tech industry, say the bill will stymie their ability to fill jobs and grow the U.S. economy. California's economy is the sixth largest in the world and many attribute that success, in part, to immigration. The Information Technology Industry Council, which represents companies including Amazon, Apple, Adobe, Dell, Facebook, Hewlett-Packard, Google, Visa, Nokia, and Microsoft railed against the bill.
Dean Garfield, President and CEO of the council said, "This is not the right proposal to fix our immigration system because it does not address the challenges tech companies face, injects more bureaucratic dysfunction, and removes employers as the best judge of the employee merits they need to succeed and grow the U.S. economy." Garfield argues that the tech industry cannot find enough STEM-skilled Americans to fill open positions and that U.S. immigration policy "stops us from keeping the best and brightest innovators here in the U.S. and instead we lose out to our overseas competitors."
Dean Garfield, President and CEO of the council said, "This is not the right proposal to fix our immigration system because it does not address the challenges tech companies face, injects more bureaucratic dysfunction, and removes employers as the best judge of the employee merits they need to succeed and grow the U.S. economy." Garfield argues that the tech industry cannot find enough STEM-skilled Americans to fill open positions and that U.S. immigration policy "stops us from keeping the best and brightest innovators here in the U.S. and instead we lose out to our overseas competitors."
H1B.... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:H1B.... (Score:4, Insightful)
What Would We Have To Pay Programmers? (Score:5, Insightful)
If we couldn't outsource their jobs (and actually get them done, which is a problem with outsourcing) and we couldn't import cheap labor from overseas, we'd have to pay programmers over $200K/year. And that would be terrible, because
Oh. Never mind.
Re:What Would We Have To Pay Programmers? (Score:5, Insightful)
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The thing is, how do you filter them out? You can't just get a list of how much everyone campaigned and pick the bottom person off the list. Everyone who doesn't want the job would be campaigning all over the place and you'd still end up with the power-hungry.
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It would be terrible because it would hurt the economy. Well, Zuck's own personal economy, anyway. He'd have to go from making 100 times what the average American makes to only 99 times as much.
Hey now, that's the future POTUS you're talking about, better watch yourself.
At least, that's what Zuck the Shmuck would like us to think.
Re:What Would We Have To Pay Programmers? (Score:4, Funny)
Re:What Would We Have To Pay Programmers? (Score:5, Insightful)
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Someone close to me makes over $200k salary programming in Silicon Valley. And quite frankly she is worth every penny of it. She gets the job done, works normal hours which means the boss can walk into her office and actually chat with her rather than having to get out of bed at 3am to talk to someone on the other side of the world, and I suspect she gets 10 times the work done versus her juniors in other countries.
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Last I looked it was terrible because it enables tech workers to out-compete everyone else for scarce resources like housing. Recently was talking to someone living in Montana, and she reported that prices have spiked in the last 10 years and it's no longer inexpensive to live there because of all the inrush dollars from tech. It's already happened in SF. A one-bedroom shack there with no garage space costs more per month than a million dollar mansion with property in the Capital. And the million dollar
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we'd have to pay programmers over $200K/year.
Why only programmers? Why shouldn't fast food workers also get $200K/year? Babysitters should get $200 / hour. Everyone can be rich.
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Of course the end result of that is having to bring a wheelbarrow full of cash to buy a loaf of bread.
But given the value of software, I can't help but feel that some of it should go to the people who write the software.
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Hahaha laughable as always. Yep government coercion you mean a government that actually enforces it's borders and acts in the interests of its citizens. Quelle Horreur.
Here's a little math for you. A fast food restaurant typically has 33% food cost, 30-35% labor cost, 10% or so occupancy/other. There isn't money to double wages there. (that's all the way down to the
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Here's software company margins https://seekingalpha.com/artic... [seekingalpha.com]
Hogwash. Those are GROSS margins. Which is (revenue - COGS). In software businesses COGS is often near zero, since it doesn't include development costs (or the CEO's bonus).
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So ignorant so loud
http://csimarket.com/stocks/AD... [csimarket.com]
Gross revenue / employee Adobe, over 500K/employee. Yes they can pay more
Fight for 15 in the fast food industry and there is no fast food industry.
Conflict of interest (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Conflict of interest (Score:5, Insightful)
Exactly, they lie through their teeth.
Under Trump's plan, there would actually be more high-skilled immigrants , but they would no longer be indentured to the sponsoring companies:
if the wages are too low, they take their green card and walk away (not something an H1-b non-immigrant can do, or else he loses sponsorship).
Obviously the tech companies hate it, because they can no longer rely on skilled immigrants to undercut skilled Americans. No visa tie-in, no h1-b sweatshops, no people living in fear of pissing off an employer.
Don't be surprised if Tim Cook starts to speak about "Russian treason" now. (Bezos already does through Washington Post)
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Reality is, there is a real security issue ie https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com] (that buffoon was lucky that the Russia government was happy to treat him like an Inspector Clouseau clone, laugh at him and just toss him out). Each and every time you bring in a foreign H1B you increase the chance of employing a foreign agent, a real solid chance, just ask the NSA and CIA where they recruit, as for them, so for other countries. The home country always gets first look and first chance to recruit and the recruit
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Re:Conflict of interest (Score:5, Informative)
I would have thought Silicon Valley would have supported this proposal. More (legal) high-skilled domestic labor means downward pressure on wages.
What exactly are tech leaders railing against?? Higher wages in the future for their gardeners and nannies?
Maybe. If the "merit" system for proposed green cards makes it harder for low skilled gardeners and nannies to get green cards...
The proposal sharply reduces the green cards available for so-called "chain" immigration by limiting them to spouses and minor children, eliminating the green-cards currently reserved for parents, siblings, and adult-children that have no quota. It also cuts the number of refugee green cards in half and eliminates the diversity green card (aka lottery green card) and puts everyone else including those that don't get employment based green cards because of quota limits into a new points based system.
The reason that it is predicted that the number of green cards will go down is that "chain" green cards did not have a quota (diversity had a 50,000 quota), but now the new combination of "chain" + "diversity" will be capped at somewhere between 120,000 and 250,000
Not that I'm in favor of limiting immigration, but I think most of these folks are simply objecting on political grounds. By making "chain" immigration harder they think it will be more difficult to attract the "skilled" people to the US. I'm not so sure about that actually being the case in reality (hard to say, there are conflicting studies), but it certainly fits their political narrative...
FWIW, here's the green card proposal they are making. There are two tiers proposed, each would have a crack at 50% of the total green cards allocated on points. As far as I can determine here are how the points are allocated.
For Tier 1 (aimed at college/professional level folks, 50% of green cards)
15 points for PhD (10 for a masters, 5 for a bachelors)
2 or 3 points per year up to 20 for employment in the US (e.g, legally under another work visa like H1 or H2)
10 points for employment (or job offer) in a job requiring a PhD/masters (8 points for a Bachelors degree)
10 points for entrepreneurs employing at least 2 people
10 points for a high demand occupation
2 points for civic involvement
10 points for English skills
10 points for being a sibling or adult child of a citizen
8 points if you are under 25 (6 points for under 33, 4 points for under 38)
5 points for a being from a diversity country (e.g., less than 50,000 immigrants/5years)
For Tier 2 (every one else, 50% of green cards)
2 points/year up to 20 points for employment in the US (e.g, legally under another work visa like H2 or H3)
10 points for high-demand occupation employment (or job offer in those occupations)
10 points for being a caregiver
10 points for getting a promotion or having long-term employment
2 points for civic involvement
10 points for English skills (5 points for basic "knowledge" of English)
10 points for being a sibling or adult child of a citizen
8 points if you are under 25 (6 points for under 33, 4 points for under 38)
5 points for a being from a diversity country (e.g., less than 50,000 immigrants/5years)
And? (Score:2)
Whatever this guy takes in his hands fails or even worse - endangers others. 100 % system failure and no "checks and balances" for this situation built-in.
Bummer!
Source (Score:5, Funny)
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It's not your typical whining screaming 20's something with dyed hair that frequent starbuck, but your typical whining screaming 30's something with suit that frequent microsoft.
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Depends on what kind of immigrant (Score:5, Insightful)
because not all immigrants are alike.
People bringing with them cold hard cash, and spending them in USA = boon for the economy
People bringing nothing, and actually sending whatever money they make back to their original country to feed their relatives back home = drain on the economy
People with skills who produce wealth = boon for the economy
People with no marketable skill who collect entitlements = drain on the economy
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You are ignoring the social aspects. Male to female ratio for example.
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because not all immigrants are alike.
People bringing with them cold hard cash, and spending them in USA = boon for the economy
People bringing nothing, and actually sending whatever money they make back to their original country to feed their relatives back home = drain on the economy
People with skills who produce wealth = boon for the economy
People with no marketable skill who collect entitlements = drain on the economy
In the 60's, when the US dropped all sane policies with PC ones, immigration law was changed from favoring immigrants likely to help the economy (ie skills based) with immigrants unlikely to help the economy (ie family based). We've seen the results and it is obvious to anyone to who looks around. California went from leading class infrastructure and quality of life to where we are today - hopeless infrastructure and mired in debt. Schools went from leading class to middling and worse. Huge steps backwa
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To those who jump to the racism charge - I don't hate Mexicans I just don't want to live in Mexico or a close approximation. Neither do you if you care to be honest.
I'd like to live in what Mexico would be without the US war on [some] drugs.
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I also reject your assertion that regions of the state or country being multilingual is some sort of problem or a sign of decline. Most Spanish-speaking people in the country also speak English either as a primary or secondary language. Even recent immi
Re:An Implicit Tax (Score:4, Insightful)
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The question is: does the money accumulate somewhere? This question is important because if the money is being accumulated somewher
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You don't know any immigrants, do you?
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there are a lot of signs in the bay area that are not in english. some store or bar or something - and I have no idea what the hell that place is - but for some reason, its allowed to be that way and it actually offends me as its exclusionary to those who don't happen to speak that foreign language. dual language signs are fine, but when the sign is ONLY in some non-english script, I have a big problem with that.
it sends the message that its ok to NOT integrate with the american culture. this is a probl
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Yes, and if you'd gone to any city's Chinatown any time in the past century, you would find signs in...Chinese. If you go to certain sections of New York City, you'll find signs in Hebrew. If you walk down Milwaukee Avenue in Chicago, you'll see signs in Polish. The city's best bakery, on Chicago Avenue, has a blackboard with signs in Slovenian. I went into a coffee and sandwich shop in Boston's Italian neigh
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Integration is the strength. Non-integrating cultures are a weakness. Remember that whole "melting pot" thing that you were supposed to learn? It appears that you forgot. There was no sell-by date; it has alw
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Well said.
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No, because it was before the rise of the "private sector health care". What, you didn't know that in the early 20th century medical care in the US was almost entirely non-profit?
Absolutely. He sent money back until he could afford to bring his mother, and then his brother.
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Amen.
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So paying no rent, nothing for food, nothing for anything? How convenient.
Interesting world you live in. Maybe you should look at how we use the word "literally" in the world outside of your own mind.
BS detector just lit up like a Christmas tree (Score:5, Insightful)
It hurts their ability to grow the economy? Oh, boo hoo, they have to pay more for American workers.
If a handful of American salaries turns your project from a profit to a loss, you are running on razor-thin margins to begin with. Maybe your company should be doing something else instead.
On the other hand, if you're making a decent profit and just want more---get fucked. Public policy doesn't need to hand out special benefits to successful businesses. Right now, the middle class needs a little more help than the shareholders.
Real immigration means coming over here, making a life, and investing long-term in the well-being of this country. The H1B program isn't immigration; it's indentured servitude V2.0
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On the other hand, if you're making a decent profit and just want more---get fucked. Public policy doesn't need to hand out special benefits to successful businesses. Right now, the middle class needs a little more help than the shareholders.
If you have a retirement account, you're very likely one of those shareholders. You're cool with getting a lower rate of return than you currently do, right?
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I'll take money now versus when I'm 65. It will make the lower long term rate of return mostly wash out when I'm investing more money on the front end.
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Keep in mind that when you retire your income stops but your investments will continue to compound. Back of the envelope, you'd have to invest around 3x more on the front end to beat a 2% drop in your portfolio's CAGR. So if you're already maxing out your 401(k), you'd have to make in the neighborhood of $50k more to keep your retirement income the same (and just to end up with exactly the same take-home as you have today). Salaries are highly unlikely to move even close to that much across the entire ma
Correct me if I'm wrong (Score:2)
but I'm pretty sure neither Trump nor any American citizen* has any issues with LEGAL Immigration. Go through the steps, do it right and we'll welcome you right in.
It's the illegal variety that we have issues with. Those people should be deported. Just like what would happen if I entered any other country illegally.
*Unless you're a member of the Klan or similar group.
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Yeah they do. Trump wants to severely reduce the number of LEGAL immigrants we take in and his supporters are frothing white supremacists who would completely end all immigration tomorrow.
Trump has admitted that he wants to stop all legal immigration for one or two years.
http://www.breitbart.com/big-g... [breitbart.com]
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What would your idol Reagan do?
Even better, look up what he actually did about illegal immigration.
It was actually a very good idea instead of what we have now with a shadow economy of non-citizens paid under the table and ranting about trying to turn back a tide with a toothpick as if it would work.
Gee, what a surprise (Score:3, Funny)
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Sixty percent of Americans are "Trump-hating liberals", I guess.
https://projects.fivethirtyeig... [fivethirtyeight.com]
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Nate Silver, the same guy that said Trump had ZERO chance of winning. Ok, seems legit to me.
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Nate Silver, the same guy that said Trump had ZERO chance of winning. Ok, seems legit to me.
He appears to have overestimated the Republican party's competence in blocking a Cuckoo from outside from taking over the primaries. He should have had zero chance.
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Most Silicon Valley executives are centrists, not liberals, and focus more on what their company "needs" than the 99%.
They want cheap labor without any training needed so they can be more profitable and/or grow faster. That's their primary concern and what they are paid to focus on. They don't spend a lot of time researching or philosophizing on middle class economics, except when they want to sell them something.
I hate to say it, but I'll side with (gulp) Trump on this one: CEO's look out for their profits
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What trickle down? Back then the US had higher taxes on the rich than it does now.
But not his! (Score:2)
Economy.
Heard before (Score:5, Informative)
Has't this sort of thing been heard before?
Modern American politician : "The economy cannot survive without immigrants"
Ancient Greek politician : "Civilisation cannot survive without slavery"
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Similar immigration policy to Australia and Canada (Score:3)
The skill requirement makes it practically a carbon copy of Australia and Canada: your ability to enter is a function of your knowledge of the local language (English, or in Canada's case English or French), skills, education level, and ability to get a job. They want people who are useful to the country and can fit in.
The difference is the path to legal citizenship in those commonwealth countries is once you've lived/worked there for 5 years or so, citizenship opportunity. No country of origin quotas or green card queues which encourage queue-jumping, visa overstays and under-the-table work. This second part should be copied as well.
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I, for one, would like to see easier immigration (Score:2, Insightful)
I'm a Canadian in the US who's had a TN, then an H-1B, and now I have a green card. I have a Ph.D. in a highly sought-after technical field and I'm holding down a pretty good job here in the States, doing something specialized related to my academic work. There aren't enough Americans with my specialty nor enough Canadian jobs requiring it for it to make sense for me to "go back home" - it's not in anyone's interest.
Even with the strong tailwinds of Canadian-ness and a useful high education, it's not exac
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Dear Silicon Valley, (Score:3, Insightful)
Allow me to translate (Score:5, Insightful)
This is not the right proposal to fix our immigration system because it does not address the challenges tech companies face, injects more bureaucratic dysfunction, and removes employers as the best judge of the employee merits they need to succeed and grow the U.S. economy." Garfield argues that the tech industry cannot find enough STEM-skilled Americans to fill open positions and that U.S. immigration policy "stops us from keeping the best and brightest innovators here in the U.S. and instead we lose out to our overseas competitors."
Translated: "Where the fuck are we going to get our cheap programmers????"
BS (Score:4, Insightful)
"removes employers as the best judge of the employee merits they need to succeed"
You mean all those Indian managers, who once get a management spot, only hire other Indians? yea, it'd be a shame if they couldn't hire only other Indians.
I'm sorry but I've personally seen this multiple times in multiple places and it's no longer funny. I've had to deal with the bugs and blame-game that comes from this favouritism so much it's downright aggravating.
Yes, I know not all Indians are like this, and it's not just Indians, but there are enough that are, that's it's troubling.
And this isn't even talking about the sweatshop problem that other posters have mentioned.
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> You mean all those Indian managers, who once get a management spot, only hire other Indians?
Wow. I mean, wow. It's not just me seeing this? Previous job, my US native manager was pushed out by a remarkably aggressive Indian manager here on H1B. He grew the department (then numbering 18) to 26, with every single new hire being another H1B worker. He was openly hostile to employees who were locals, (even bragging in meetings of his intention to improve his budget by filling vacancies with workers fr
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I see this, too.
countless interviews over the last 10 years have been filled with entirely indian employees and I'm the only american there in the group (applying). once I had a job where I was working in redwood city for a US corp, at their corp HQ and I was the only american engineer there (out of about 50 or 100, depending on how you count 'engineering'). I fully believe I was kept as the token white guy, but I sure felt out of place.
pet peeve of mine: you know a company culture is broken when the h1b'
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I think that it is the norm, at least in tech. I've talked to others, including an Indian who's been in the states for 20+ years and he confirmed it. ;(
If an Indian gets into a management position (men at least, I'm not sure about Indian women), expect him to only hire other Indians under him (or all young, single females for those that are trying to build harems [yes, i've worked with one of those also. he was a complete jerk] ).
Indian men being aggressive in their drive to climb the corporate ladder is
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Here you go.. (Score:2)
Yeah.... no. (Score:3)
> "employers as the best judge of the employee merits they need to succeed and grow the U.S. economy"
"employee merits" being, cheap labor willing to work killer hours, terrified of being fired. I mean, what employer wouldn't want that?
"grow the U.S. economy" being, grow the net worth of US-based companies.
How the hell could it hurt? (Score:3)
Seriously.
It's basically "have job prospects", and "know english well enough to get by".
How the fuck is that going to hurt the economy?
Because they can't hire stupid, illiterate illegals for pennies on the dollar to watch their kids and clean their homes/offices?
BOO FUCKIN' HOO!
And Silicon Valley. One of the most overheated real estate markets on the planet?
Where are these poor schlubs going to live? You expect them to commute from what? OREGON?
These people need to pull their heads out of their a^H^H^SAFE SPACES...and take a look at the really real world...
Because their attachment to fantasy is destroying them and trying to take the state and country down as well.
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40 years of liberal hollywierd brainwashing has done it's job. There is literally nothing you can say to these people to wake them up. Its cult like. You hit them with some logic and common sense and they immediately yell out the mansplaining and fascist insults. Literally a cult in every sense of the word. I don't even try anymore, I just mock them like I would any other cult. Fuck'em.
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Re:Last I checked the plan was to replace (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:Come to Europe... (Score:5, Interesting)
Plenty of opportunities here. And no Trump.
Funny thing is... this proposed plan would move US immigration policy closer to that of Canada and the EU, with more emphasis on prioritizing immigrants with particular skills and/or some level of wealth.
Re:Come to Europe... (Score:4, Interesting)
Actually, it has exactly the immigration policy I think it has [migrationpolicy.org].
The article you linked to is not about immigration policy. It is a flame-bait piece railing against supposed rampant illegal immigration and decrying how some Canadian cities are declaring themselves "Sanctuary Cities", which in the author's opinion is apparently sending Canada down the toilet. But, even so, that article briefly mentions how "Our rules are tough but fair, they’re applied evenly and they focus on bringing the best people to Canada and benefiting all Canadians."
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No, Europe just has communists, fascists, socialists, and Christian conservatives in pretty much every European parliament. European politicians don't even rise up to the level of Trump, having spent their entire careers on nothing else than brown nosing within their respective party hierarchies, utterly unaccomplished at anything else. And it's not like European politicians deliver the goods: if European nations were US states, they would mostly be at or below t
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So much brainwashing. It hurts already to read such comments on FB posts, or Yahoo News comment section, but here, which is supposed to be a website for educated IT people ... dreadful.
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Re:Come to Europe... (Score:4, Interesting)
Yeah, you tell 'em brother, because nothing like that [upi.com] would ever happen in the United States. No religion would carve out its own enclave [nypost.com] in this country or force women to submit [nymag.com] to its "teachings". Nor would they harass girls [jonathanturley.org] or demand their religious take precedence [easynewsweb.com].
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NOGO zones? So you are telling me there aren't "hoods" in the US which the police would rather avoid?
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I'd pick Russia any day. The other day, read about a group of Muslim rapefugees who were dropped by the Norwegians into Murmansk. They tried doing their usual stuff, and got beaten up by the Russians. If the Russkies had any sense, they'd have subsequently flown them to Turkmenistan. One thing Stalin did well - deport the Crimean Tatars to Uzbekistan.
Say what you want about Putin, or for that matter, the Russians, but they know how to deal with Muslims. Having historically had to live w/ the Tatar
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Just deport the Silicon Valley crowd & their minions to Bangalore, and let them have all the foreign workers that they want there. They'll then either enjoy the lower costs, or realize why US workers are worth more