Jack Ma, Once Proponent of 12-Hour Workdays, Now Foresees 12-Hour Workweeks (washingtonpost.com) 129
Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Alibaba founder Jack Ma discussed Mars and artificial intelligence in their first joint appearance on Thursday. From a report: The duo chatted for over half an hour about their vision of how technology, especially artificial intelligence, will shape the future. "I'm always amazed by your vision of technology, I'm not a tech guy," Ma said in his first remarks to Musk, before going on to talk about how artificial intelligence was not a threat. Ma described himself as "optimistic" about AI's impact on humanity, adding that people who worry too much about it have what he calls "college smartness." "People like us that are street smart, we're not scared of that." They also went on to talk about space travel, with Ma complimenting Musk on his attempts to journey into Mars via SpaceX while Musk noted China's advancements in that area, as well as how "inadequate" humans were against computers. Ma, known for arguing in favor of a 12-hour workday, also said he sees a future in which people will have to work only 12 hours a week. He said technological advancements would enable people to live longer and work far fewer hours. He added: "Every technology revolution, people start to worry. In the last 200 years, we have worried [that] new technology is going to take away all the jobs," he said. Ma has previously courted controversy with his endorsement of the "996" work practices prevalent in China's tech industry, under which employees are expected to work 9 a.m. to 9 p.m., six days a week.
The work mentality, USA vs China (Score:4, Interesting)
If you have Netflix, watch American Factory [wikipedia.org].
But people WANT to work (Score:2)
Here's what guys like Ma always forget: there's a large subset of the population that will gleefully work long hours because they WANT to. Whether that's because they think that's the only way to get ahead in their chosen career, or because they are addicted to work, or because they don't want to spend time at home, or even because their society demands it even when it is not necessary (Like in Japan, where people regularly stay late and don't want to be seen leaving before the boss does even when there's
There's already been studies to show (Score:2)
People are way more capable of amusing themselves than you give them credit for.
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People are way more capable of amusing themselves than you give them credit for.
Probably not. The largest actual problem with an UBI is what the people that chose to stop working would do with their time. (Financing it is entirely doable, do not listen to the propaganda from the work-"ethics" virtue signalers.) It is expected that most people will be smart and try to continue to work, if maybe a bit less but essentially with the same productivity per elapsed time. But around 10-20% or so would actually stop working, and they could become a huge problem, with mental illnesses, self-negl
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The problem being? You already have that problem, these people can hardly hold down a job anyway, so what would change?
Forcing them into meaningless, mind-destroying occupations (I refuse to even call these time wasters jobs) isn't exactly improving anything.
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The problem being? You already have that problem, these people can hardly hold down a job anyway, so what would change?
That is _not_ the people that will get hit.
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Then who is?
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There is no single, simple answer. You need to do your own reading. It is not a problem of people with very low qualifications though.
But here is an example: Client advisers in banks are certainly not people that can "barely hold down a job". But there are intense efforts to make them redundant and massively reduce their numbers and these efforts will eventually succeed. The next group to suffer from massive, permanent job-loss that will not be compensated by new jobs is the middle-class.
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that 8 hours a week in an old school "job" is plenty to give people the feeling that they're doing useful work.
Nonsense. No "study" has ever shown that. There is no plausible way to fund and conduct such a study, and then interpret the results to reach that conclusion. A statistically significant test would cost many millions to run, and no one would be willing to fund it just to measure "feelings".
Feel free to prove me wrong by providing a citation.
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Well, there was a study about that. Only that it had the opposite result [inc.com].
It's not how much you work, but how meaningful it is that makes people happy.
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With the words of a German comedian, I need money, not an occupation. I can keep myself occupied all right.
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"large subset of the population that will gleefully work long hours"
NO. A very small subset would gladly work those insane hours for a company they don't own.
Very Small.
Offer 12 hour work week for the same pay and benefits, and over 95% of people will take it. Because we got better thing to do them make someone another billion.
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Offer a 12 hour workweek with the same pay and benefits, and 95% of people will take it. But 80%-90% will find another job to fill in the rest of the 168 hours in the week. Resulting in their productivity being 2x-4x greater than the guy working just 12 hours and spending the rest of the week playing. Resulting in them being paid 2x-4x as much, allowing them to buy 2x-4x as much stuff. At which point the guy work
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12 hours for the same pay? Taken. I even sign you any paper you want that says I won't work a single hour for anyone else.
I have plenty of stuff to do to take up the rest of my time. So much to learn, so much to do.
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The IRS tax stats [irs.gov] are available for everyone to see. Even if you confiscated all the money made by the 1% (everyone making roughly $500k or more a year) and distributed it to the 99%, it would only amount to an average increase in annual salary of $13k.
That's $1000 / month, more than enough to fund UBI. Even half that would be enough for basic living.
And you would be able to get that money via normal taxation, except these people can use various tax loopholes to avoid paying. They don't have much in the way of taxable income, so none of them are paying the 37% highest tax bracket.
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Indeed. That is also why an UBI would not break society at all. For many people, work is a very large source of meaning in their lives.
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NPR had a whole episode a few years ago about long term disability on social security becoming exactly this by the millions. In many places, people with mild issues get disability because, to put it bluntly, they are manual laborers and there are no more jobs for them and few desk jobs they aren't suited for.
What started as a government program to help sob stories of your fellow Americans way, wayyyyyy down on their luck has morphed into something else.
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Any other kind of addiction of compulsion would get treatment, from alcohol to gaming, but this is applauded and lauded.
Tells you something about our society...
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Yes but businesses based on people who work 70,80 or 90 hours a week typically wipe out businesses that have better practices.
The 12 hour work week will exist when we
a) pass a law supporting it.
b) pass laws continuously to restrict attempts to bypass it.
And of course all this ignores climate change which is going to be causing 10% of the planet to be uninhabitably hot during our lifetimes (120-126 degrees) which will cause massive human refugee movements and disruptions to business and governments everywher
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Yes but businesses based on people who work 70,80 or 90 hours a week typically wipe out businesses that have better practices.
That seems like an oxymoron to me. If the practices are better why would the business get wiped out?
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If the practices are better why would the business get wiped out?
Because they are hiring the worst people.
If you hire someone who prefers to work 12 hours, and zone out on the sofa binge watching Netflix the other 156 hours per week, do you really think you will get a stellar employee?
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Your premise that only want to work 12 hours means they just zone out all the time is flawed and stupid.
In my experience(red flag, and anecdote) people who work 90 hours are the worse employees when it comes to what they produce.
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Your premise that only want to work 12 hours means they just zone out all the time is flawed and stupid.
In my experience(red flag, and anecdote) people who work 90 hours are the worse employees when it comes to what they produce.
Actually well known and has been for a long time. Henry Ford back in the day optimized worker productivity with experiments and measurements. The optimum per week performance is pretty much 5 days, 8h per day for manual work and 5 days, 6h per day for mental work. Work more, produce less. Or rather produce more, but make so many mistakes that they more than negate the higher rate of production. This applies to _everybody_, even to the obnoxious virtue-signalers that try to impress everybody with how much th
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Work more, produce less.
That is NOT what the Ford experiment found. Ford found output PER HOUR declined past 40 hours per week.
That is not at all the same thing as an actual retrograde. Productivity declined. It did not reverse.
If work was really negative after 40 hours, then profit-seeking capitalists would have figured that out long ago.
They would have started up tech companies, game companies, and law firms, and then forced their employees to go home at 5pm. The better working conditions would have allowed them to recruit t
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I still get more work per buck out of it by hiring two people for 40 hours than making one person work 80. That's basically what matters. Unless I can somehow circumvent paying my workers for overtime, working them to the grave accomplishes nothing. Twice so if the work requires at least a minimum of training.
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That is not at all the same thing as an actual retrograde. Productivity declined. It did not reverse.
If work was really negative after 40 hours, then profit-seeking capitalists would have figured that out long ago.
Well, it suggests if you replace three 40-hour employees with two 60-hour employees, you produce less per 120 wage-hours.
Re: But people WANT to work (Score:2)
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The Ford experiment only measured aggregate productivity, and made no claim to universality. If you have some other evidence, then please cite it.
Please cite sources for your claims first.
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In my experience, people that "work" 90 hours a week are productive only about 20 anyway.
If a worker wants to goof off, they will goof off. In 20 or 90 hours.
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If the practices are better why would the business get wiped out?
Because they are hiring the worst people.
That seems the opposite of a 'best practice' to me but maybe I'm not seeing how it is a best practice.
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I have one such person. Ok, it's 20 hours a week, but I would not want to miss him. He can accomplish in those 20 hours what others can't in 40+. Would I want him to work 40+? Well, on one hand, yes. Of course I'd love if he did in 40 hours what others can't in 80, but then again, CAN he work 40 hours with the same efficiency as 20? Probably not.
I prefer the goose to lay me one golden egg a day to slaughtering it and finding out that the goose is only an ordinary goose inside.
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If the practices are better why would the business get wiped out?
Because they are hiring the worst people.
If you hire someone who prefers to work 12 hours, and zone out on the sofa binge watching Netflix the other 156 hours per week, do you really think you will get a stellar employee?
I know people who already only work two or three days a week. The rest of the time they are working hard on writing, painting, composing music, caring for others, doing community work. etc. None of them sit on the sofa all week except when they are tired out from all the other things they do.
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The thing is that these businesses do not get wiped out. For example, more than 10h work per day is prohibited in Germany, forcing somebody to work more than that is a crime similar to assault. Yet Germany does not seem to have its economy getting wiped out. Or take Switzerland. Weekend-work is permitted exactly 2 times per year or the employer will be subject to pretty drastic fines. (Exceptions for freelancers and high management positions do apply.) The Swiss economy also seems pretty far from getting wi
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10h a day is actually a problem for me. I'd be more happy with the Austrian solution of 12h/day, 60h/week maximum with compensation, because of the job I'm in. Security is like firefighting, either you're sitting around with the thumb up your butt or you'd wish the day had 48h because 24 is just not enough. There have been weeks where I put up a sleeping bag in the meeting room (the one with the sofa) and cut a deal with the fitness center next door to shower (at least I got a corporate-sponsored fitness ce
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Better for workers can well be better for investors. What investors want is productivity. They don't care if that means that workers work 20 or 200 hours a week. Workers on the other hand of course want to have a sensible work-life balance.
Both can be realized if, and only if, management is up to the task. Yes, that means that you have to manage your people and not just be a PHB with a whip to crack.
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You might have heard that this was tried about a century ago. Didn't go down so well. In the end, you still need someone to run a factory.
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HAHA, wow. That's incorrect.
Business succeed be producing more. Until about 1999 that was solely based on hours.
Now we are creating systems that will work faster, better and smarter then people.
So that leads to more AIs, not more people.
Remember, we current produce substantially more then we did in 1999, but the number of people needed to do that work has stay flat.
I wrote a piece of software that automated loan system, both consumer and resellers.
30 days after it went live, the company fired >2000 peopl
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"Saved the company well over 100 MILLION a year."
So now you're getting a bonus of 50 million every year, right?
Re: But people WANT to work (Score:2)
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That's also based on hours. Somebody has to operate that software, and in their few wage-hours they do the work of 2,000 accountants.
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Aside from that, they get much more experienced and provide additional value over the 12 hour folks.
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Right, and I think this phenomenon would increase with 12 hour work weeks. It's one thing to be rich, where you can go all over the world and do whatever you want because money is no object; it's another to be retired with no work responsibilities, but also not quite the wherewithal to sail your megayacht to Venice and hang out for a few weeks.
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It just mean people would start to gather self worth through other means. Right now America ties it to working until you die so some asshole can get another billion.
People are really getting sick of that.
for me, a 12 hour week means i'm working on personal projects. I've trained myself to get far more self worth from a Bass line I learned, or bird house I built then writing yet another program to access a database so someone can... yawn.
It means more time for peoples own business. O and on.
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How do people get bored? There is so much to know, so much to learn, so much to explore and so much to do! I could easily fill my lifetime (and then some) with learning. Technology keeps moving ahead and just to keep pace would take you more time than you have, even if you didn't have to work for a living.
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Why do you think the projects I do for myself have nothing to do with the real world? The difference is mainly that here I can choose to do new projects that push my limits instead of doing the same boring shit over and over as I do at work.
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I'm so jealous. I will never retire because LB illegally used my retirement, lost it and went away.
Don't worry, the person who did it still got there 12 million dollar bonus and didn't even get charged.
Funny how Barclays acquired them but in that process didn't acquire any responsibility.
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How sad is the life of someone whose definition of the self is his job?
If "I work, therefore I am" is your creed, I think you should get professional help.
Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)
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The type of work is very different too. Working on the shop floor for 12 hours a day is very different to having meetings at fancy restaurants and playing mini golf in your air conditioned office for 12 hours a day.
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Executives should work those long work hours like us!
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Since I don't consider playing golf and going to lunch with buddies "work", those 12 "work" hours are more likely per week and not per day.
Ma-Na Ma-Na (Score:2)
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For most things, the problem is not the prices but the profit margins. If we could somehow drop the profit margins on necessities without lowering the quality, the cost of living would drop and only luxuries would be expensive.
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For most things, the problem is not the prices but the profit margins. If we could somehow drop the profit margins on necessities without lowering the quality, the cost of living would drop and only luxuries would be expensive.
The best way to do this would be to automate everything and fire all workers. Then you could skip the paying anyone anything except perhaps the few other people on the planet at the top of the automated production chain and some very exclusive servants. You wouldn't even really need money anyhow when you can make all the fancy mega yachts, cars, multiple palaces, etc directly. Automated militaries would solve any uprising problems as a great bonus. Passing savings onto the filthy masses is against eve
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Without a market, what do you sell your products on? How do you justify your job if there is nobody to sell to?
The main reason our economy is in the slump is that there is not enough purchasing power in the general population to drive our economy forward. We're a service oriented economy. Almost three fourths of our industries are in services. Services are great, because you're selling basically raw work force. As long as there is people able and willing to work, you can sell. If, and only if, there is some
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That's completely wrong. As has been proven over and over again. Your diatribe against min wage is pathetic and incorrect.
YOU just do not understand how min wage works at scale. Basically, you can't think beyond your own personal checkbook.
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If the bottom 90% had simply gotten their equal share of productivity increases since 1978, they'd only have to work rougly 20 hours to maintain their current standards of living.
But it was more important to increase the compensation of CEO's from 52x the average worker to 353x (after peaking at about 500x) that of the average worker.
You know... people have to have money to buy products.
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It's happened already. Productivity increases; we just take the gains as more buying power instead of fewer working hours.
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Sure you couldn't get a laptop for $600 in the 70's but that is due to technology advancements, not due to any radical change in how people are paid or their buying power.
Inflation is not productivity. The per-capita income has increased, and that measures buying power. If you set the minimum wage to the same percent of the per-capita income as it was in 1960, it would be $42,000/year of today's dollars; the median income would be $95,000 of today's buying power. Our minimum wage policy has encouraged labor force expansion faster than productivity, essentially dividing up our wealth among more people. The median income has grown faster than the minimum wage (2.25x at a
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Housing is a red herring. It's a speculative market, not a productive market. Most houses are already-built and cost roughly nothing to transfer: somebody is selling you an antique to which they apply an imaginary value.
The housing market is also artificially scarce. Builders are targeting upper-middle-class, building nice houses instead of low-cost houses. Labor prices have increased; however, so have simple margins. Builders essentially are marking up houses in line with the speculative market.
I
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Housing is a huge part of cost of living though, so you cannot have a discussion about purchasing power without including it. It doesn't matter if median wage increased if all of the increase, plus some more, are going into rent.
Promise a paradise after you die (Score:5, Insightful)
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Who's "slaving away"?
I think you should review the history of how many were actually "slaving away" in Imperial Rome before Christianity came along.
There's an inverse relationship between religion and totalitarian citizen slavery. That's why every totalitarian regime represses it--the Soviet Union, China, North Korea, take your pick.
Such naivete.
Big Takeaway here is Ma isn't worth listening to (Score:2)
Ma is a perfect example of someone who was either in the right place at the right time or gave the right person a handy-j just they way they liked when it counted. He isn't a visionary or an Oracle, he hasn't got some grand plan, he is just very rich.
The opportunity reality is even in our society sometime something other cream rises to the top. In China that is probably far more frequent. While our system does a pretty good job there are cases where people get where they are by simple accident of birth or j
empty promises (Score:2)
he sees a future in which people will have to work only 12 hours a week. He said technological advancements would enable people to live longer and work far fewer hours.
The exact same thing was said 50 years ago. In fact, some of the hippies who went from LSD to thinking about the world in earnest imagined that future and wrote books about how society would change, etc.
So I see they're still dangling that carrot in front of everyone, and as before with the added sentence "just not yet".
Message me when some CEO continues with "and that's why we are moving to a 4 day week / a 6 hour day effective immediately, with full pay".
12 hours per week (Score:2)
at minimum wage... How is anyone gonna live on that?
Don't tell me they'll pay for 12 hours what they pay for 40 or 60. The only reason to reduce working hours is cut costs, AI or not.
We're going feudal! #MAGA!
One reason it'll never happen (Score:2)
There's one simple reason a 12 hours work week will never happen.
Imagine you are told that you can support your family with the income you make from 12 hour work week. Wouldn't you work longer for more money? Maybe live in a better house or take better vacations or retire earlier, or all three?
And for the company, wouldn't it be cheaper to have one person work 24 hours a week than two people working 12 hours a week?
People that want to work don't really want to work. They want more than what the governmen
The summary overlooks an important detail (Score:2)
"I am not a tech guy" (Score:2)
How a 12 hour average work week would really work (Score:2)
One person works 60 hours per week as a wage slave, kept in line by the fear of losing this position.
Three people are unemployed as part of a permanent underclass.
One works makes a meager wage keeping these three in line by any means necessary.
As much as I respect the two titans... (Score:2)
That is not going to do a bit of good for the service and support industry. IT is not going to stop, the servers run 24/7/365 and need tending to whenever there is a problem, or they will be waiting until Monday comes rolling around. Same for healthcare, and the food services. In fact, their hours might get longer and longer.
Don't hold your breath (Score:2)
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They certainly can, at least in the US. The question is whether they'll be allowed to.
Outsourcing plus the lack of labor organization means the business will always have the upper hand in collecting all of the excess profits.
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No company in existence will allow you to work 12 hours a week but pay you the same wage you currently receive for 40+ hours a week. That is ridiculous bullshit and Jack Ma should be embarrassed to even say those words out loud.
Of course, he's already rich, so, what the fuck does he care.
Re: food and shelter (Score:3)
In the days when most of us were farmers, we didn't really work long hours, and work was also seasonal. Of course, most of us were always hungry, even if we owned the farm.
Still, I think the doomsayers about there being no more jobs due to AI really don't understand what AI is, or why it's not actually intelligent. Really it's just a new means of solving existing problems, and it works by gathering very large datasets and then spotting patterns in said data. Every time a new big invention comes around, peop
Re: food and shelter (Score:5, Informative)
Interesting theory you have there. My grandfather was a farmer. There was ALWAYS something that needed doing on his farm. He didn't get up at dawn and work till dusk because he liked it, he did it because otherwise he couldn't get done all the things that needed to get done.
And the only time off he got was Sundays (when he only worked about half the day), and deer season (when he only worked about three-quarters of the day).
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On the other hand, his advice to me (I am not a farmer) was to never do livestock. "Keep livestock and you are stuck," he told me. "But without them, I'm off to Aruba for the winter after the harvest." And he seriously was.
Of course, he had a BIG operation with many employees to keep an eye on things while he was gone. Also, by the time he was a hundred, he was more prone to just drive down to his
Re: food and shelter (Score:2)
he sounds like a landowner, not a farmer, despite what he was allowed to claim to IRS.
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Thing in terms not of the buggy whip manufactu
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The people who got the well paying ones look to the future optimistic because they picture themselves on the winning side again, the people who ended up losing last time try to remind people that things did not turn out all that well last time for most people either.
This is actually a function of minimum wage. Indexing it to inflation is bad. Index it to per-capita income. It'd be $20.32/hr today, and that's totally viable (we can't shift that fast; we could have maintained that, and it will take 15 years to transition back now).
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A high minimum wage just means automation will happen faster and even more people will have nothing to do. Of course, that could be fine since those aren't great jobs in the first place, but the people need UBI or something else to live off of.
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In the days when most of us were farmers, we didn't really work long hours, and work was also seasonal.
My grandfather was also a farmer, like CrimsonAvenger's. He worked long hours.
Re:food and shelter (Score:5, Interesting)
Ma described himself as "optimistic" about AI's impact on humanity, adding that people who worry too much about it have what he calls "college smartness." "People like us that are street smart, we're not scared of that."
No, you aren't worried about it because you are already rich.
"I got mine. Fuck the rest of y'all"
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"Street smart" means things like recognizing and avoiding thugs, and knowing how to cheat a sucker. "Smart" means you can build a life in which you seldom meet cheats and never meet thugs.
A life among people who think "street smart" is better than "smart" is likely to be short, unhappy, and painful.
the jail has food and shelter + doctors (more er) (Score:2)
the jail has food and shelter + doctors (more then what the er does)
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