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Twitter Bots Are a Major Source of Climate Disinformation (scientificamerican.com) 139

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Scientific American: Twitter accounts run by machines are a major source of climate change disinformation that might drain support from policies to address rising temperatures. In the weeks surrounding former President Trump's announcement about withdrawing from the Paris Agreement, accounts suspected of being bots accounted for roughly a quarter of all tweets about climate change, according to new research. "If we are to effectively address the existential crisis of climate change, bot presence in the online discourse is a reality that scientists, social movements and those concerned about democracy have to better grapple with," wrote Thomas Marlow, a postdoctoral researcher at the New York University, Abu Dhabi, campus, and his co-authors. Their paper published last week in the journal Climate Policy is part of an expanding body of research about the role of bots in online climate discourse.

The new focus on automated accounts is driven partly by the way they can distort the climate conversation online. Marlow's team measured the influence of bots on Twitter's climate conversation by analyzing 6.8 million tweets sent by 1.6 million users between May and June 2017. Trump made his decision to ditch the climate accord on June 1 of that year. President Biden reversed the decision this week. From that dataset, the team ran a random sample of 184,767 users through the Botometer, a tool created by Indiana University's Observatory on Social Media, which analyzes accounts and determines the likelihood that they are run by machines.

Researchers also categorized the 885,164 tweets those users had sent about climate change during the two-month study period. The most popular categories were tweets about climate research and news. Marlow and the other researchers determined that nearly 9.5% of the users in their sample were likely bots. But those bots accounted for 25% of the total tweets about climate change on most days. [...] The researchers weren't able to determine who deployed the bots. But they suspect the seemingly fake accounts could have been created by "fossil-fuel companies, petro-states or their surrogates," all of which have a vested interest in preventing or delaying action on climate change.

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Twitter Bots Are a Major Source of Climate Disinformation

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  • by PopeRatzo ( 965947 ) on Friday January 22, 2021 @10:41PM (#60981136) Journal

    If you read further down the article, you see that Slashdot Anonymous Cowards came in a close second.

  • Well duh (Score:5, Informative)

    by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Friday January 22, 2021 @10:50PM (#60981154)
    there's billions if not trillions of dollars at stake in preventing any serious attempt to address climate change. Of course there's bots all over fighting against it.
    • Re:Well duh (Score:5, Informative)

      by _Sharp'r_ ( 649297 ) <sharper AT booksunderreview DOT com> on Friday January 22, 2021 @11:24PM (#60981212) Homepage Journal

      From the first article:

      Other researchers who study climate conversations on Twitter have found an even greater prevalence of bot-like accounts. A paper published last year in the Proceedings of the International Conference SBP-BRiMS 2020 estimated that 35% of the accounts that tweeted about climate during the 2018 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Poland were bots.

      But that paper, from researchers at Carnegie Mellon University, found there were an equal number of bots that both supported and cast doubt on climate science.

      Huh, funny how that info somehow missed the /. headline and summary...

      • Re:Well duh (Score:5, Funny)

        by KimDotOrg ( 7630658 ) on Friday January 22, 2021 @11:50PM (#60981238)
        Maybe people are just tired of arguing about climate change, and are making bots to do the work for them.
      • Re:Well duh (Score:4, Informative)

        by serviscope_minor ( 664417 ) on Saturday January 23, 2021 @09:25AM (#60982002) Journal

        Not really. A vast army of bots spreading lies is not somehow equivalent to bots not spreading lies. The fact that they're on opposite "sides" is irrelevant especially as the denial side was invented out of whole cloth by idiots who can't accept objective reality when it contradicts their feelings and opportunistic assholes who are happy for the world to burn if the flames personally enrich them.

      • What's interesting is that this still represents a major skew in the climate 'debate'.

        There is a scientific consensus (which is to say, the body of knowledge in climate science) that global warming is real, and that it's caused by humans and our activities. It is not a 50/50 debate; it's not even close. Even the few climate experts that disagree with the overall conclusion tend to agree with a lot of published science. For 50% of the bots to be anti-climate-science is a vastly disproportionate number.

        The fr

      • by Luthair ( 847766 )
        Well, if you read your quoted text more closely you'd realize that only applied to one paper not all the papers being referenced in the article.
    • Or the opposite. If they can detect which are bots and humans, most humans can detect this also.

      However, you can easily claim that "all this is just bots" to discredit the opponent these days, if you're the one in control of the source. Heck its disinformation 101.

      Now, I'm not saying being conscientious about the environment is bad. IIRC though, the climate accords are just sponsoring other countries and a not a good deal for the US. You can be better at caring for the environment without going through thes

    • I doubt it's about money. This is Pooty-poot just being evil for no reason.
    • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

      And there are at least as much if not more at this point on the other side of the scale. Which is bad. Because this problem is scientific and not ideological.

      And "there are too many people on this planet and their consumption is destroying it" is at least as horrifying of an argument as "human caused global warming isn't real, and the planet is actually cooling". As both ideologies lead down the path of mass genocide to sustain themselves.

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      Well, there is trillions at stake on the other side too and billions of lives. But that is longer-term and the economic actors cannot do longer-term planning.

  • by mveloso ( 325617 ) on Friday January 22, 2021 @11:03PM (#60981172)

    Why would anyone use that steaming pile of shit as a reference for anything?

    Oh, it's because reporters are lazy Never mind.

    • Reporters mostly reference it insofar as politicians choose to use it as their communication medium. Unless you were referring to random bloggers as "reporters", which was the hip thing to do a decade ago, but clearly didn't pan out as anything near a reliable source.

    • by quantaman ( 517394 ) on Saturday January 23, 2021 @01:21AM (#60981358)

      Why would anyone use that steaming pile of shit as a reference for anything?

      Oh, it's because reporters are lazy Never mind.

      I didn't see any indication that anyone (especially reporters) was using bot tweets as a reference.

      What's happening is that bots are creating a false sense social consensus around climate disinformation.

      People see what looks like a robust conversation with everyone saying "global warming is fake!" and they start thinking those people might be right.

      Then they start to believe it and the bots have succeeded in shifting the narrative.

    • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

      It's because reporters are no longer journalists but twitter professionals. People who do actual research are very rare in modern media.

      Completely understandably so. With massive cuts to media budgets in wake of Google et al siphoning massive amount of ad money away from news media in last two decades, budgets for most expensive kind of reporting, actual investigative journalism have been cut across the board. It's much cheaper to just sit on twitter all day and rephrase what everyone else is saying.

      And sin

  • TLDR - Twitter ... Disinformation

  • So is Slashdot (Score:1, Insightful)

    by laing ( 303349 )
    Lots of bogus climate stories here for the past few years. Before then it was more objective. Consequences of ownership change?
    • Yep. Msmash has a hardon for leftist political stories
      • Re: So is Slashdot (Score:4, Insightful)

        by ArchieBunker ( 132337 ) on Saturday January 23, 2021 @01:00AM (#60981346)

        So all climate scientists are leftists? I had no idea they reviewed your voting records before allowing people the data.

        The whole point of science is having reproducible results so others can verify.

        • Actually, you make a great point. Science is about reproducibility and its sister, falsifiability. One of the big problems is that climate models lack both. They are not true experiments but rather guesses with computers, which is not science; and they are not falsifiable since the models are constantly updated- real science makes a guess and then waits to see if reality matches, it does not move the goalposts.

          Strangely, getting back to politics fir a second, Al Gore was more of a scientist when he made p
          • If the models are improved, that does not "move the goalposts" in any way. Why should anyone want to run a less accurate model if they have access to a better one ?

            If your argument is that the models have been manipulated to fit the narrative, then you need to present the evidence for that.

            • by gweihir ( 88907 )

              If your argument is that the models have been manipulated to fit the narrative, then you need to present the evidence for that.

              There is no evidence for that, because it does not happen. A lot of money has been invested by the oil companies to try to find that evidence. Instead they found out (decades ago), that the predictions are factually accurate. They then buried those finds and started their campaign of disinformation, which is still running.

              • by cs668 ( 89484 )

                The model predictions may be correct, but the fear mongering I have seen over the last 30 years has always been over-hyped.

                At some point when all of the doom and gloom doesn't happen you start to tune out the actual science, because you just can't live in a constant state of fear.

                I was told the everglades would be gone by now, that the Seychelles Islands would be gone by now, and so many other scary hypes.

                If you want people to take the science seriously and not tune out you need to quit making horrible pred

          • Science is about reproducibility and its sister, falsifiability Computer models begin with billions of data points. If you believe a computer model isn't reproducible it leads me to wonder if you have ever seen a computer. Another reply addresses your other point. You're really arguing like a numbnumb head.

          • Re: So is Slashdot (Score:4, Informative)

            by gweihir ( 88907 ) on Saturday January 23, 2021 @07:11AM (#60981710)

            A direct lie. There is both feasibility from historical records and for the last 30 years or so. The real climate data of the last 30 years has been put into the best models from 30 years ago and what turns out is that the already observable effects of climate change fall out with pretty good accuracy. The only "defect" the models had back then is that real-world data was not very accurate. The models have been sound for a long, long time now and their predictions are dire. Sure, it may still turn out there is some miraculous strong effect that has somehow been overlooked and never before has happened in the observable past, but do you really want to bank on that tiny chance, given the alternatives?

            You species-suicidal morons have no leg to stand on. You have lies, damned lies and things like you just claimed, nothing else.

            • The real climate data of the last 30 years has been put into the best models from 30 years ago and what turns out is that the already observable effects of climate change fall out with pretty good accuracy.

              This is only significant if the definition of "best" was set 30 years ago. Otherwise it's cherry-picking at best, and a direct lie at worst.

            • 30 years of data? Are you one of those nutjobs who thinks they weren't capable of recording accurate temperatures until the 1980s?

              • by gweihir ( 88907 )

                30 years of data? Are you one of those nutjobs who thinks they weren't capable of recording accurate temperatures until the 1980s?

                Interpolation and correction approaches have gotten a lot better. Geographic data has gotten massively better. Systematic flaws in measurement series have been identified and corrected. Available computing power is massively better. And some other improvements as well.

                Are you one of those people that have no clue what they are talking about?

      • You will be the first against the wall, when natural disasters start causing famines and the protests start.

        • by gweihir ( 88907 )

          Hopefully. Will not really help the rest of us much, though. Most of the damage is done and cannot be fixed.

  • Who is using Twitter as a source for information? Are High school kids allowed to twitter as a source for facts?

  • ... it might be time to reevaluate your life choices.
  • of one crap idea, contributing to another really bad idea (disinformation).
  • AWS should de-platform them.

    • by cusco ( 717999 )

      Twitter has its own data centers, they just use AWS to cover periods of excess traffic when their own systems are overburdened.

    • Why are there so many morons who believe Amazon is the entire fucking internet?

      Twitter self host. Somehow they survived all these years without ever being platformed by Amazon.

    • Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • The researchers weren't able to determine who deployed the bots. But they suspect the seemingly fake accounts could have been created by "fossil-fuel companies, petro-states or their surrogates," all of which have a vested interest in preventing or delaying action on climate change.

    No kidding?

    Yes, if you are a tiny minority, you somehow need to make your voice heard, appear to be more than you are. If you have a bit of money, getting some custom bots set up is the obvious choice.

    Poor oil companies... nobody loves them anymore...

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      The researchers weren't able to determine who deployed the bots. But they suspect the seemingly fake accounts could have been created by "fossil-fuel companies, petro-states or their surrogates," all of which have a vested interest in preventing or delaying action on climate change.

      No kidding?

      Yes, if you are a tiny minority, you somehow need to make your voice heard, appear to be more than you are. If you have a bit of money, getting some custom bots set up is the obvious choice.

      Poor oil companies... nobody loves them anymore...

      Well, since they will go into human history as the root cause for the greatest catastrophe ever having happened, what they experience today is minor. That is if there is a human history in a 200 years or so. Does not look good at the moment.

  • ... we should now de-platform Twitter. ;)

    Hell, some drowing island nations might even declare them an enemy combattant and a rogue corporation!

  • It's even easier than dealing with spam mail. Just don't follow bots, or anyone who retweets them. You'll never know they exist.

    Seriously, not seeing the problem.

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      It's even easier than dealing with spam mail. Just don't follow bots, or anyone who retweets them. You'll never know they exist.

      Seriously, not seeing the problem.

      The problem is that most people are not capable of identifying bots or of doing fact checking that deserves the name. You are capable of doing this and getting rid of the bots easily, but that does not solve the problem that for millions, these bots seem to make valid arguments and hence shape their views and opinions.

  • This seems like an issue that Twitter could solve in a relatively simple and relatively friction-less way.

    AFAIK, Twitter has two major operating paradigms: web-based and mobile. Please correct me if this is wrong.

    For mobile users, many modern smartphones have now incorporated some form of biometric technology that would allow for facial recognition. So for any new mobile Twitter account, require the first 100 or 250 posts to be authenticated with biometrics. This would require the user to perform the
  • by GuB-42 ( 2483988 ) on Saturday January 23, 2021 @06:44AM (#60981660)

    Climate change is beneficial to bots.

    • by PPH ( 736903 )

      Not if they live inside data centers and their cooling costs keep going up.

  • This is basically the principle the despicable people behind this work on. Unfortunately, it seems this is also the level of "fact checking" that many people are capable of: Counting how often they have heard something and taking things they have heard often for the truth.

  • And by Twitter I mean all unSocial Media sites.
  • We want to slow it down? Ergo it will happen because population will grow, we will continue to consume, we will continue to eject waste no matter how little. Eventually we'll end up at the same place.

    We want to stop it? We want everything to stay just as it is now. So 100 years ago there were people who wanted the same thing. If you think 'well we couldn't then because ...', apply the same logic to now.

    We want to reverse it? This assumes we understand the whole system that is Earth and everything tha

  • "Twitter accounts run by machines are a major source of climate change disinformation" Did nobody see the humorous irony in this?

  • by kenh ( 9056 ) on Saturday January 23, 2021 @11:02AM (#60982280) Homepage Journal

    Marlow's team measured the influence of bots on Twitter's climate conversation by analyzing 6.8 million tweets sent by 1.6 million users between May and June 2017.

    1.6 million users sent 6.8 million tweets during a 2 month period? Running the numbers is easy 6.8 divided by 1.6 gives us an average of just a smudge over 4 climate tweets per account.

    The summary continues - about 900K of those 6.8M tweets were about the climate, about 10% of the 1.6M users were bots, and they were responsible for about 25% of climate change. So they assess that 160K bot accounts generated about 225K climate tweets? Seriously? That's it?

    10% of 1.6M users is 160K bots, and 25% of 900K climate tweets is about 225K tweets from bots.

    Looked at another way, 90% of users generated 75% of climate change tweets.

    Do "fossil-fuel companies, petro-states or their surrogates" really create bots to just send out a couple tweets/month?

    What the researchers proved is that three-quarters of the climate change tweets came from humans, making humans a "major source" of climate change tweets.

    The researchers did not say the 6.8 million tweets they analyzed, the 900K tweets on climate change, or the 225K tweets that apparently came from bot accounts were wrong/mis-information, they just identified them as coming from non-human accounts... Are we really comfortable saying that no bot tweets contained accurate information? That climate change activists haven't deployed any bots of their own to combat mis.information?

    This reminds me of the incredible influence "The Russians" reportedly had in the 2016 through an extensive ad campaign on social media, which largely consisted of about $100K of Facebook ads.

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