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The Military United States

Why Is America Getting a New $100 Billion Nuclear Weapon? (thebulletin.org) 403

"America is building a new weapon of mass destruction, a nuclear missile the length of a bowling lane," writes the contributing editor for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (in an article shared by Slashdot reader DanDrollette): It will be able to travel some 6,000 miles, carrying a warhead more than 20 times more powerful than the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima. It will be able to kill hundreds of thousands of people in a single shot.

The U.S. Air Force plans to order more than 600 of them...

Based on a Pentagon report cited by the Arms Control Association Association and Bloomberg News, the government will spend roughly $100 billion to build the weapon, which will be ready to use around 2029... The missile goes by the inglorious acronym GBSD, for "ground-based strategic deterrent." The GBSD is designed to replace the existing fleet of Minuteman III missiles; both are intercontinental ballistic missiles, or ICBMs... The official purpose of American ICBMs goes beyond responding to nuclear assault. They are also intended to deter such attacks, and serve as targets in case there is one. Under the theory of deterrence, America's nuclear arsenal — currently made up of 3,800 warheads — sends a message to other nuclear-armed countries. It relays to the enemy that U.S. retaliation would be so awful, it had better not attack in the first place...

Many of the missile's critics are former military leaders, and their criticism has to do with those immovable silos. Relative to nuclear missiles on submarines, which can slink around undetected, and nuclear bombs on airplanes — the two other legs of the nuclear triad, in defense jargon — America's land-based nuclear missiles are easy marks.

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Why Is America Getting a New $100 Billion Nuclear Weapon?

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  • I think I first saw the comment bowling for columbine. They mentioned that the upcare and maintenance of these missiles are the only high paying jobs in some of these places.
    • From contractors to the enlisted, and everyone in between, it's wealth redistribution for those who claim to hate the redistribution of wealth.
    • Usually the reported number is per-year or short term and not the total cost if it is military spending... this was a better sourced article than usual.

      When it's for the people it's a 10 year projection to inflate the cost but when it's industry pork it's yearly or within an election cycle; generally speaking.

      Clearly this is pork and it's hard to believe a senator is so weak they need to steal federal money to prop up a tiny community in their state.

    • They mentioned that the upcare and maintenance of these missiles are the only high paying jobs in some of these places.

      Wonder what these "high paying jobs" are. Last I checked, these things were maintained by the military, which is hardly "high paying", not by civilian contractors (which aren't all that high paying, except for the lobbyists)....

    • Well, these missiles are intentionally installed in parts of country where barely anyone lives. Hence, yes, an officer working there has a good job relative to the neighborhood. The placement of missiles in states like Dakotas is intentional. They call it nuclear sponge, because it is believed that if an all out nuclear war starts, the locations of these silos will be attacked first, so they were placed in remote unpopulated parts of country.

    • To bad the government doesnt invest the same monies in the community, maybe schools or hospitals.
  • Bet there are 3 other dark programs stuck in that budget, as this is technology refresher publicly. You got to figure there will be some development of hypersonic decoys and systems to defeat currently projected ABM defenses in the China and Russia pipeline.

    The same happened with the navies spending on the standard missile. Somehow the same platform has proven ABM, anti sat and other specialized sub variants that were never funded to any extent in the public budget.
    • by Entrope ( 68843 )

      Raytheon has had so many openly announced contracts for Standard Missile variants (SM-2, SM-3, SM-6, and their subtypes) that it is hard to pick out the contract that covers particular new functions, but they are generally part of the Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense program. That program's development budget is very much on the public books, for example as discussed at https://news.usni.org/2020/10/... [usni.org] .

      • Being on the books isn't the issue.

        Everyone has heard about the $600 hammers the pentagon bought, with whatever grain of truth is in the story.

        • by hawk ( 1151 ) <hawk@eyry.org> on Saturday February 13, 2021 @02:18PM (#61059972) Journal

          it was grains, indeed.

          There was *definitely* an issue with small quantity purchases going through bureaucracies. In one example I saw, a roughly $1 part got to over $100 entirely for the time spent handling the order at multiple review levels.

          The $10,000 (or so) coffee pots were a different story.

          It made good press and screaming material, but these were a discontinued model for which commercial airlines paid $4,000. The high price came from having to machine up another production run.

          And *why* buy pots that cost thousands instead of $20 generics? Something to do with objects suddenly flying about cabins and breaking in the cockpit while full of hot liquid being considered a Bad Thing (TM).

          The P-3s these were going on spent 12 hours in the air. Whoever was piloting the last 4 hour shift had already tried to sleep for four hours (mandatory), let alone who would be flying if they got extended to an extra four hours (at which point the first pilot had had his four hours of "sleep".

          The cost of keeping them caffeinated was small potatoes . . .

          .

  • Meanwhile... (Score:3, Insightful)

    by ArchieBunker ( 132337 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @12:46PM (#61059630)

    Drug prices like insulin are out of control.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world... [bbc.com]

    How about taking 0.1% of the military budget and putting it towards public health? Or is that socialism bad?

    • Trump already took action [hhs.gov] last year to lower Insulin prices, for the U.S, maybe that's why you had to use a BBC source to highlight insults woes...

      Of course, maybe Biden undid that? Not sure.

      • I can say that Trump's action was fraught with loopholes and had no effect on prices whatsoever. My buddy isn't currently rationing stuff but only because he's on public health insurance right now and thanks to the ACA Medicare expansion they can't cut him off (they tried).
    • Re:Meanwhile... (Score:5, Informative)

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday February 13, 2021 @01:29PM (#61059760)

      No they aren't. The article states that people are paying $275 a vial for Eli Lilly Humalog. However, if you live in the UK, you can buy the same vial of Eli Lilly Humalog for $30:

      https://pharmacyoutlet.co.uk/p... [pharmacyoutlet.co.uk]

      You don't need to increase health funds to solve that problem. You just need to stop drug companies ripping off your own citizens.

    • How about taking 0.1% of the military budget and putting it towards public health? Or is that socialism bad?

      No, that's a horrible strategy. Because instead of just capping the price of insulin, it's just giving money to drug manufacturers. There's a reason the US spends twice what Britain and Canada do per capita on healthcare. It's not that the military is draining the budget (that's a completely unrelated question). It's because Britain and Canada negotiate with several vendors to supply their drugs a

    • unless you first replace the job losses from doing that. Some of the most ardent Republicans I know got that way in the 90s when Clinton did some very minor cuts. Americans are terrified of losing their jobs (our entire quality of life depends on them).

      And let's be clear here, not retraining, _jobs_. If you lay somebody off who makes or maintains missiles then they better have a job lined up that week.

      This is what the "Green New Deal" is for. It's a jobs program that we can run parallel to the milit
  • by Ed6666 ( 7726408 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @12:57PM (#61059658)
    I guess there is no reason for this weapon other than keeping the money flowing to military contractors. Aren't 3000+ warheads enough to deter any country? I guess 30 not 3000+ are enough.
    • by skam240 ( 789197 )

      Yeah, while China and Russia continue to update their nuclear arsenals we should stop all new development and hope those 50 year old missiles actually fly in the extremely unfortunate scenario that we would need them.

      • and hope those 50 year old missiles actually fly in the extremely unfortunate scenario that we would need them.

        We don't have to hope. Most of what Lawrence Livermore labs [llnl.gov] does is to make sure those missiles will work if ever called upon.

        • by skam240 ( 789197 )

          You're link goes to the generic front page of their website. Were you informing me of the existence of Lawrence Livermore Labs with that link?

          Regardless though, things can't be maintained forever, eventually they need to be replaced. Entropy is a bitch.

      • by Chaset ( 552418 )

        If it comes to that, I don't know if it it matters if we "took them with us" in a retaliatory strike. In fact, they (and the rest of the world) get to die slowly of starvation in the nuclear winter vs. quickly in a nuclear fireball.

        The fact remains, though that the deterrent is needed precisely to make sure no one pushes the button, and that requires the threat to remain credible. The nice side effect is the money flowing through the MIC.

        It's a bizarre situation, multiple governments sinking billions into

    • They're replacing 3000 missiles with 600. That seems to me like fewer weapons, and less reliance on chips (or tubes) from the 1970s still working. That seems better for world peace to me.

      • Yeah... I’m not a big fan of nukes, but this actually strikes me as a responsible program. If you want to reduce the number of weapons, going for smaller warheads and fewer missiles seems like a big win.

        ...and I learned that a bowling alley is 70’ long.

      • They're replacing 3000 missiles with 600.

        Nonsense. On many levels (amazing for just six words).

        First the U.S. does not have 3000 nuclear missiles. It has 640 ballistic missiles, or 1120 if you count all cruise missiles too.

        Second they are not reducing U.S. weapon deployments at all with this procurement. It is a one-for-one replacement of a new ICBM for an old Minuteman II ICBM.

        The exact math is that they replacing an existing force of 400 deployed Minuteman II ICBMs (and 40 spares in storage) with 650 newly acquired missiles. Only 400 of these wi

    • Sometimes the military does things to maintain the supply chain. If they don't order some missiles, then the supply chain that supplies those missiles starts to dry up; the skilled workers, the technical know-how, etc. all start gravitating towards other jobs or roles if they don't have work. Or if the companies aren't getting contracts, then they will look elsewhere for contracts to keep their people working, and often retool their supply chain and workforce to support those other contracts.

      The doubl

  • by Nocturrne ( 912399 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @01:04PM (#61059678)

    The goal is to see who's economy collapses first. In the last war, we won when the Soviet Union collapsed. China has a lot more money and stronger economy though - this might take a while.

    • by Entrope ( 68843 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @01:13PM (#61059702) Homepage

      China is busy selling us the rope with which they intend to hang us. Unfortunately, Western countries are still happily buying it. At least when Nixon went to China, China's game plan was not so obvious or so entrenched.

      • China is busy selling us the rope with which they intend to hang us.

        Yup, and everyone who buys from Amazon is contributing to this hanging.

    • by skam240 ( 789197 )

      No, the goal is to to deter anyone from starting a war with us by assuring the world that we will turn them to glass if they do. Obviously the goal isn't to bankrupt China, in 20 years or so their economy is going to be larger than ours meaning their government will likely have more purchasing power than us. If bankrupting the other was the ultimate goal of a nuclear arms race we'd be setting ourselves up for disaster here.

    • R.I.P. personal liberty. If China style government takes over they aren't going to limit their rule to one continent.

  • by BytePusher ( 209961 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @01:16PM (#61059708) Homepage
    We invaded Iraq because they were developing WMDs, but when we do it we brag about it? Next at 6, unverifiable sources say China is up to something nasty and deserves a delivery of a disintegrated $100Bn nuclear weapon as a "preemptive" deterrent.
    • by skam240 ( 789197 )

      Um, yeah. We don't want adversarial countries to our own to have WMDs. I don't understanding why you seem to be having such a hard time with that.

      Imagine what would have happened if Iraq had Russia's nuclear arsenal when they invaded Kuwait. They'd still own Kuwait today and Sadam would still be in power is what would have happened.

      Don't get me wrong here though, I do realize those claims about Iraqi WMDs were made up but that's not what you were talking about.

      • Imagine what would have happened if Iraq had Russia's nuclear arsenal when they invaded Kuwait. They'd still own Kuwait today and Sadam would still be in power is what would have happened.

        You mean Iraq would be a functioning country with running water, electricity, women's rights, a highly educated workfoce and one of the highest standards of living in the world rather than a place where ISIS took hold [independent.co.uk] and rampaged across the country and into Syria, where the U.S. is spending billions of dollars each occupy

        • Ahh yes, you're right. At least the trains ran on time, eh? Nevermind the atrocities! I say that, but I agree invading Iraq was a mistake - but you're presenting a pretty simple-minded view of things.
        • by skam240 ( 789197 )

          Correct me if I'm wrong here but I do believe that Iraq was still under control of Sadam after we kicked Iraq out of Kuwait so you're not really addressing anything I said. Furthermore, we know WMDs weren't the actual reason we did finally overthrow Sadam in the second war as we know the claims that he did were fabricated. If Sadam actually had meaningful amounts of WMDs we in fact would likely not have gone in in our second or first war as he would have likely lobbed them at regional US allies potentially

    • This bit of nonsense always cracks me up. It's like you people think international relationships are just like personal relationships, and you shouldn't be "hypocritical". It's so childish, you should probably be embarrassed. How exactly do you think the world works?

      International relations are about power and self interest, not about being "fair". Fairness has nothing to do with anything. It's not in our interests to allow unstable, hostile regimes to have weapons that could kill tens or hundreds of thousan

    • We invaded Iraq because they were developing WMDs, but when we do it we brag about it?

      Perhaps this is more like the difference between a nation with a free press (the US) and those without (Russia, China, etc). At least in this case it wasn't just a word-for-word regurgitation of a government press release. You should be proud.

  • by drnb ( 2434720 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @01:18PM (#61059724)
    They are replacements for the current missiles approaching their end of life. Yes it would be nice to not have any but that's not the world we live in. All parties need to disarm, it can't be unilateral.
    • They are replacements for sitting ducks. And because land-base missiles are sitting ducks, they pose an enormous threat to us - if there's an attack reported, we'd have only a few minutes to use them or lose them. Subs, by contrast, are not sitting ducks. Decades ago, land-based missiles were justified on the grounds that sea-based missiles were as accurate, but that time is long past.

      The only reason to maintain land-based missiles now is inter-service rivalry which is, indeed, a very powerful force.

      • The only reason to maintain land-based missiles now is inter-service rivalry which is, indeed, a very powerful force.

        I don't see what inter-service rivalry has to do with it. If that were the issue, the Air Force should be pushing for more, better, faster, higher-flying nuclear-armed bombers, and funding to keep large numbers of them in the air, 24x7.

        • I can only guess that the poster was just mistaken that land-based ICBMs would be Army assets. But I think they are technically Air Force assets.
        • Bombers are obsolete, but the Air Force won control of land-based missiles a long time ago. Their rivalry is with the Navy and their subs.

          Here's a long history of inter-service rivalry in nuclear weapons, first between the army and the air force (the air force won), and then between the navy and the air force (still going on): https://www.airforcemag.com/ar... [airforcemag.com]

      • This. Land-based ICBMs should be retired ASAP because they pose orders of magnitude greater risk by imposing a very short timeframe for a second-strike decision.

        It appears another reason for the land-based assets is that they made a first-strike action very clear. Compared to a sub-based asset that is difficult to know who it is. That made some sense many years ago, but now that more nations have nuclear weapons and the big ones have very large arsenals not based in fixed silos, it doesn't really seem

      • Uhh, didn't it literally say something fairly obvious in the article? Namely, these missiles tend to be in fairly low population density areas. Nukes used to target them are not raining down on cities.

        Not that it probably matters much, if we hit the point where someone is nuking our nukes then our entire way of life and hundreds of millions if not billions of lives will be lost worldwide.

    • Do the fixed, land based ICBMs really buy us any deterrence that the submarine-based and aircraft launched missiles don't provide? Land based ICBMs were handy 60 years ago, but now they seem to be obsolete with the drawbacks of being fixed targets themselves and not recallable once they are on their 30 minute trip. The USA could make a statement about nuclear disarmament by getting rid of the land based ICBMs and still maintain unstoppable nuclear deterrent forces. Put the ICBM money into modernizing se

  • A bowling lane is 60 feet long. The Falcon 1 rocket was 68 feet tall. So it's about the size of a Falcon 1 (not the newer and larger Falcon 9).

    Of course, for a missile that will be stored for years while ready to launch on a moment's notice, these will be solid rockets, not liquid fuel rockets.

  • America's land-based nuclear missiles are easy marks.

    That really doesn't matter when you have 200 of them, because no way are you going to take out many of them before any kind of first strike detection kicks off a response.

    These smaller missiles make a lot of sense to me, because then you can target military or key government installation without killing millions of people.

    That is the kind of change you need to make when many modern militaries are happy to use the civilian population as human shields.

    • The point is by removing land-based ICBMs you remove the limited time for response. i.e. "first strike detection" becomes literally orders of magnitude less risky due to the additional time alloted since one does not have any assets that will be destroyed if one doesn't respond fast enough. I'd rather all governments plan to have more that tens of minutes to decide whether to bring on the end of the world or if that was just a mistake in the chain of command. With both submarine and air-based nuclear ass
  • Defense contractors need profits

  • by nomad63 ( 686331 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @01:46PM (#61059818)
    Because, china and Russia are doing the same thing, just without the advertising part, i.e.,they do not let people know what they are working on unlike the US. If you think the nuclear armament is over, what a naive person you are. The moment that your oppressive regime enemies know that you are weak, they will pounce on you like Sylvester on Tweety Bird. I am glad US spending money to deter those countries. By the way, consider the employment opportunities such a project will open for engineering and manufacturing. You can not outsource your national defense.
    • Because, china and Russia are doing the same thing, just without the advertising part, i.e.,they do not let people know what they are working on unlike the US.

      Mostly correct, but Russia actually does constantly tell the world that they have just developed some superduper weapon that is much more superduper than anything they or their "enemies" have ever developed before. Russia claimed not too long ago that they totally have solved the problems of ultrasonic weapons and they have tons of them ready to go. My guess - they hit a roadblock they can't get over so they want to spur the USA into getting these working first so they can just steal our technology and

    • by rapjr ( 732628 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @07:39PM (#61060918)
      If our "enemies" (whom we trade with extensively and exchange workers and researchers with) develop an entirely new class of weapon that we have no defense against, what would we do? Launch a preemptive nuclear strike so they can't have an advantage over us? There needs to be more diplomacy; depending on nuclear weapons will eventually leave us vulnerable whereas if our enemies become friends they won't attack us to start with. Cyber attacks may have already given others the ability to bring down the USA economy.
  • 600 is pork only need 10-20 to take out NK

  • The Military–industrial complex wants its pound of flesh.

  • by mveloso ( 325617 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @01:52PM (#61059858)

    Much like your OS install, weapons do go bad over time. That's why they're tested. And they do have an EOL. You don't want your ICBM to explode on the pad, or in mid-air, or not explode when it's over the target.

    And it's a triad, because targeting three separate delivery systems is harder to do, costs more, and is more complicated - which should theoretically make attempts to do so easier to discover.

    Plus, you always need more better weapons. After all, when Thanos comes he's not going to negotiate.

  • by newbie_fantod ( 514871 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @02:07PM (#61059920)

    We already have mutually assured destruction, now we will have even better assured destruction? Their destruction will occur whole seconds before ours? I would have hoped that we'd be past this by now.

    Meanwhile, the cost to tax payers of a working healthcare system, you know, like every other developed nation in the world has, is deemed too expensive.

  • by rbrander ( 73222 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @02:19PM (#61059980) Homepage

    The Atlantic, in 2014, added up the cost of "Free College" and came up with $40B/year. That's seven years now, and there are more kids, and college has gone up even more. Let's round up to $50B.

    The great article on this is by Olivia Wilde's dad. No, really, the lovely and talented Miss Wilde is the daughter of two distinguished journalists, and her Dad, Andrew Cockburn (you can see why she took Oscar's surname as a stage name), wrote an amazing six-page summary in Harper's in 2019:
    https://harpers.org/archive/20... [harpers.org]

    I noted in a few newspaper comments that the January 17th, 2021, sixtieth anniversary of Eisenhower's departure speech went completely unremarked by the media. It was the Diamond Jubilee of the term "Military Industrial Complex".

    The proposition that this weapon is actually needed can be dismissed with contempt, of course. We have far better deterrents already. We barely need deterrents at all, certainly - war between separate nations has no business-model in the modern world. It only ever costs elites money, these days, so they have no reason to start one. North Korea and Iran can only bring down ruin upon themselves by attacking neighbours, with tanks, much less nukes. Iran wants to be invasion-proof, not to do any invading.

  • by couchslug ( 175151 ) on Saturday February 13, 2021 @03:19PM (#61060210)

    Frothing silly clueless butthurt aside, MAD keeps the peace between rational actors and the reason it does is by making a first strike impractical.
    All warheads devoted to killing missile silos are unavailable for use elsewhere. This redundancy is why we have "nuclear peace" instead of nuclear war which lest we forget was proved quite PRACTICAL at a TACTICAL scale which arms reductions make more not less likely.
    Read some serious works on nuclear war instead of assuming you know something about it beyond "big thing go boom" and AssUming "survivors will envy the dead" (not the case in Hiroshima or Nagasaki or they'd have joined the dead, suicide being acceptable and accepted at the time).
    A supposedly techy audience should know old tech doesn't last or perform reliably forever.

    Now cue the waterfall of utterly ignorant comments because Slashdot is no longer a tech site. 8-P

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