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Transportation

New $10B High-Speed Rail Line to Las Vegas Planned in California (sfgate.com) 190

"For years, California has championed high-speed rail as its future, even as its marquee project faces headwinds," writes SFGate.

"While the high-speed rail connecting Los Angeles and San Francisco slowly comes to fruition, a separate rail plan in Southern California has finalized an important labor deal, and construction is set to begin this year... to connect Las Vegas to Los Angeles with a new 218-mile rail system. On Feb. 23, Brightline announced it had reached an agreement to work with a coalition of major labor unions. The High-Speed Rail Labor Coalition includes 13 rail unions representing more than 160,000 freight, regional, commuter and passenger railroad workers.... The $10 billion investment is set to create 35,000 jobs during construction, with more than $10 billion in economic impact....

Brightline West trains can reach speeds of up to 200 mph. The company said its trains will cut down the more than 40 million one-way trips to Las Vegas each year by car or bus. It said it aims to attract 12 million of those trips annually and reduce CO2 emissions by removing 3 million vehicles and 400,000 tons of CO2 from the road. Moreover, the train is expected to relieve traffic on Interstate 15....

Brightline Senior Vice President of Corporate Affairs Ben Porritt told SFGATE that Brightline West plans to break ground later in 2023. "Our construction timeline is approximately 3.5-4 years, which would have us opening by the end of 2027," he said.

"Riders can expect a travel time of just over two hours as the train reaches its 180 mph top speed," reports Jalopnik. "The line is expected to be an elevated line as well running above the desert floor."

Brightline trains in Florida are already reaching speeds of 130 miles per hour.
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New $10B High-Speed Rail Line to Las Vegas Planned in California

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  • First question... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by raydobbs ( 99133 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @01:07AM (#63345887) Homepage Journal

    ...will they actually build this one? There isn't a good precedent of these kinds of high-speed rail projects ever getting to any point close to done, or if they actually DO complete it - its got so many stops, its not high speed anymore.

    • Re:First question... (Score:4, Informative)

      by phantomfive ( 622387 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @01:43AM (#63345923) Journal
      Their construction timeline is aggressive, so we'll know soon enough if they'll complete it or not.

      It's a good route, with cheap land most of the way, and a lot of people traveling between the two end points.

      its got so many stops, its not high speed anymore.

      Yeah, for all those exciting tourist destinations between LA and LV. /s

    • What are you talking about? It says right in TFS that the Brightline train in Florida is operating. I live here and can assure you that it is. So there is clearly good precedent.
    • by haruchai ( 17472 )

      ...will they actually build this one? There isn't a good precedent of these kinds of high-speed rail projects ever getting to any point close to done, or if they actually DO complete it - its got so many stops, its not high speed anymore.

      Elon will find a way to delay or kill it. He's not a fan of public transit & the real purpose of his bonkers Hyperloop concept was intended to sabotage high speed rail

      • Elon will find a way to delay or kill it. He's not a fan of public transit & the real purpose of his bonkers Hyperloop concept was intended to sabotage high speed rail

        And here ya go [9cache.com]. That about sums it up.

      • Elon will find a way to delay or kill it. He's not a fan of public transit & the real purpose of his bonkers Hyperloop concept was intended to sabotage high speed rail

        I think he has bigger problems these days than trying to repackage hundred year old ideas that still aren't feasible.

    • They've actually built a ton of these things, although for some peculiar reason, maybe just spectacularly bad planning or holding the map the wrong way up or something, they all ended up being built in Europe, China, Japan, ... instead of the US.
    • What they should do, and probably won't, is have a quad-track layout. Two tracks for fast services between LV and LA, and two tracks for slow trains, where "slow" means about 85-100mph, that call at all the towns and villages along the way.

    • by djb ( 19374 )

      The same company actually already built a line in Florida. The problem with the SF-LA line is that it is built by the public sector with to many special interest groups to buy off.

      Let the private sector build infrastructure and the price drops 90%.

    • by leonbev ( 111395 )

      This one has a good chance of actually happening because MGM and Ceasers stand to make a lot of money from these riders. It's in their best financial interests to lobby for the approval of these permits.

    • by taustin ( 171655 )

      ...will they actually build this one?

      Of course not. If they actually built it, then they couldn't fleece the taxpayers for more money next time, as a gift to the Democrats' union backers.

      If you solve a problem, there's no longer any need for someone to lead the charge against it - and get rich(er) doing so.

      This is how California politics works.

  • $10 billion (Score:5, Insightful)

    by backslashdot ( 95548 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @01:19AM (#63345901)

    That is too fucking expensive. I want it, but man it is too fucking expensive. Like how a woman wants a God damn Gucci bag or something. We could use that $10 bil somewhere else where it is more desperately needed. Like say building 200,000 distributed minimalist housing units to house the entire California homeless population or something like that.

    • Re:$10 billion (Score:5, Insightful)

      by timeOday ( 582209 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @01:23AM (#63345911)
      That truly is a lot of money. Let's say a round-trip ticket is $200. You're going to have to sell 50 million round trips. Which now that I calculated it just sound ridiculous.
      • Re:$10 billion (Score:4, Insightful)

        by Ichijo ( 607641 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @01:50AM (#63345935) Journal
        Instead of building HSR to Vegas, let's widen the congested I-10 and I-15 freeways by 1 lane in each direction between downtown Los Angeles and downtown Las Vegas, razing buildings and rebuilding bridges as necessary. And some people prefer to fly, so let's add another terminal and another runway to LAX. When that's the alternative, I think $10 billion is a bargain!
        • But just think about how adding one more lane will solve traffic forever!

          Also lol at the 50 million trips the OP quoted like it's some sort of insane number.. One google search will tell you LV gets like 40 million visitors a year.

        • In the future (5 to 10 years from now) all cars will likely be EV and have automated highway driving capability .. that would enable much faster and smoother flowing traffic.

        • This is a well established truth in traffic management. So no - I don't think widening those freeways would be a good investment

          https://www.wired.com/2014/06/... [wired.com]

          • Inducing demand is the whole objective - more visitors to Vegas. Jevon's so-called paradox is closer to a myth or at best a selective interpretation. Wider roads DO carry more vehicle-miles. Do they reduce congestion? No, not if there was a lot of un-met demand before, or demand is growing because for example the city is growing as is usually the case where roads are widened. But allowing more people to travel more miles is exactly what roads are intended to do, so it's really nonsensical to judge a wi
            • Road expenditure by the state is unquestionably a socialist project. One of the better solutions would be to spread toll roads - as Toronto has done with vehicle tracking - paid for by the private sector. It's remarkable how far libertarians run screaming at such a suggestion.

        • by pesho ( 843750 )
          Just one extra lane? That's underwhelming. They should widen the highway to connect the full width of LA to the full width of LV. One gloriously wide strip of asphalt and concrete that would be visible from Mars.
      • Re:$10 billion (Score:4, Insightful)

        by CaptQuark ( 2706165 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @01:57AM (#63345947)

        Based on their projections of saving 40 million round trips each year, it won't take long to pay it back. Even if they only charge $100 round trip, it should have an ROI of less than three years, even with some cost overruns and optimistic projections.

        Sounds like a good investment to save 400,000 tons of CO2 each year. (yeah, minus electrical generation, construction, materials, etc that the detractors always bring up.)

        • A 42 gallon barrel of oil emits 250 kg of CO2 when oxized as gasoline, for math ease lets say its 400kg. So instead of building the rail, they could buy 1 million barrels of oil for $100 million a year annually for a century and hide it in Yucca mountain or something.

          • The United States alone consumed 18.7 million barrels of oil daily, 1 million barrels a year is not even a drop in a bucket.
      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        by rta ( 559125 )

        In the summary they say they're hoping to capture 12M one-way trips per year. Which would reach 50million round trips in ~10 years so not so crazy.

        But the $200 round trip would likely barely cover the operating costs once the thing is built, if that. So prices would have to be higher and the payback would happen well... probably never. Especially since, as others have mentioned, the track record of these infrastructure projects suggests the total costs will multiply (2x, 10x , ??x ) over whatever's app

        • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

          by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

          If they are relying just on tickets to make money then they are doing it wrong. They are supposed to build big shopping malls around the station, which they can get rent from, or even direct sales. They should be selling food to consume on the train.

          A standard Japanese high speed train set of 6 cars carries 1,300 people. That's $260,000 at your suggested $200 ticket price. I doubt it will cost a quarter of a million dollars for every run of about 250 miles.

        • Tolls and gas taxes don't even cover highway maintenance, never mind pay for their construction. Yet for some reason we expect rail to pay for itself and even turn a profit.
        • Re:$10 billion (Score:5, Insightful)

          by BetterSense ( 1398915 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @12:51PM (#63347177)
          There are a variety of ways to make money off of trains besides ticket prices. Usually, they buy up real estate near the stations and end up making more off the real estate than the trains. The trains become a way to drive traffic to the "real" investments. It's totally possible to run the trains at a loss and still make money. I believe the airlines run their actual flight operations at zero profit or even deliberately run them at a loss as well. Yet somehow we still have airlines.

          The whole thing is absurd and peak-Murican anyway. Nobody expects roads to make a profit, and even the idea of roads making a profit seems laughable. Everyone knows that roads COST money, up front and in perpetuity, but they still ask for more publicly-funded roads and free parking to drive their F-150s on for free. But you try to build a train and they all turn into anarcho-capitalists.
      • Over the lifetime of the railway line, that seems very doable.

      • by leonbev ( 111395 )

        I think that you're underestimating the allure of a gambling mecca like Las Vegas. I'll bet that they would get those 50 million tourist visits by rail within 5 years. It would make an LA/Vegas combo vacation doable for millions of more tourists, and bring in a ton of extra weekend traffic from gamblers.

      • For a revenue stream, I would bet there will be slot machines on the train. We've got a 2 hour trip, with a captive audience, most of whom are going to Vegas to spend money. Probably will offer WiFi to connect to their gambling app so passengers won't even need to get out of their seats.
    • Re: $10 billion (Score:2, Informative)

      by Dynedain ( 141758 )

      It's $45M per mile. That's less than 1/2 the cost of urban light rail, and less than 1/4 the cost of the high speed rail being built in the Central Valley. If they can do it anywhere close to that price it will be amazingly cheap and cost competitive with flights.

      • Urban rail have to go through urban areas which is very expensive. Rural rail should be an order of magnitude cheaper.

        • It's high-speed rail, it's not going to be an order of magnitude cheaper. Even Chinese costs are at best like half of this.

      • It's $45M per mile.

        Who comes up with these numbers? That sounds like the kind of thing someone pulled out out of their arse and everyone else just went with it.

    • Re:$10 billion (Score:5, Insightful)

      by mobby_6kl ( 668092 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @03:20AM (#63346043)

      Like say building 200,000 distributed minimalist housing units to house the entire California homeless population or something like that.

      Ok let's build homeless housiing!

      Nooo you can't just build homeless housing, what about my property values? And why don't we solve world hunger first instead?

      Just build the damn railroad.

    • by jsonn ( 792303 )
      To put this into perspective, the new ICE connection between Berlin and Munich was built for around 10 billion EUR. This was largely due to the amount of aqueduct-like bridges and tunnels, but over all the 623km long project with a total build time of around 21 years should be quite comparable.
    • Re:$10 billion (Score:4, Informative)

      by dfenstrate ( 202098 ) <dfenstrate@gmaiEULERl.com minus math_god> on Monday March 06, 2023 @09:39AM (#63346599)

      Brightline is a privately owned company. I think they actually intend for this to be a profitable venture- and hence a profitable investment- based on their experience in Florida. So 'We' who might use that money elsewhere is whoever they find as investors or lenders in this project, not any government.
      One would have to do some research to be sure whether or not public funding is involved, but I haven't seen any in the linked article.

    • It's only one month of a proxy war with Russia in Ukraine.

    • Not to mention we could spend a fraction of that amount on improving the existing rail service which is weak in California. Tell me again why we need to spend a fortune to make it easier to help out the State of Sin? We got hookers, blow and gambling right here in the Golden State. No need to travel to the stinking desert to do bad.
  • by oldgraybeard ( 2939809 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @01:19AM (#63345905)
    The 10B will be a drop in the bucket when it comes to the real cost. Wonder if will ever open?
  • it's going to be a billion-dollar boondoggle. This will never be completed.
    • by djb ( 19374 )

      Have a look at BrightLine’s other railway that they are building in Florida. When projects like this are not run by politicians and special interest groups they turn out to be a lot cheaper to build.

  • by wakeboarder ( 2695839 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @01:47AM (#63345927)
    No more traffic jams in the desert (hopefully)
  • by wakeboarder ( 2695839 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @01:48AM (#63345931)
    On environmental reports
  • Fast rail wastes slot of land and isn't fast without limiting the stops. This is a stupid plan.
  • High speed rail only makes sense if it directly connects to downtown, and there are easy and quick options connecting to/from the train at either end.

    Besides... 130mph (~200kph)... you call that high speed?! Lets talk again when those trains hit 300kph (~186mph) on average.

    Also, will the trains be treated like airplanes on wheels regarding the passengers (meaning, the traveler is better off taking an airplane) or will it be treated like an actual train (which will allow the traveler to shave hours off their

  • Brightline trains in Florida are already reaching speeds of 130 miles per hour.

    To escape Florida any faster you need to be an Astronaut ... :-)

  • by Eunomion ( 8640039 ) on Monday March 06, 2023 @02:50AM (#63346013)
    How far has California fallen, that announcing progress on paper toward the construction of just 200 miles of rail that will take half a decade to complete and max out at 150 mph is treated like a Moonshot, met with adulation by supporters and sighs by skeptics? How far has it fallen that such modest goals even are a subject of reasonable skepticism?

    It would be one thing if there was any competing priority, but California doesn't even really build highways or airports anymore. And the same goes for the nation as a whole. Lane expansions and short little interstate spurs are treated as some kind of massive achievement if they're completed within 30 years of planning. In another 30 years, we'll be congratulating ourselves on our ability to operate a cement mixer for a few weeks without it breaking down.
  • In railroad industry speak, we break this down into Cost per Mile.

    This $10 Billion project would be approximately $45 Million per Mile. This seems very expensive.

    The current standard railroad is $2 Million per Mile.
  • So how far will this rediculous pie in the sky project get before it's stalled in perpetuality and the right of way is lined with homeless tents and RVs?

    "lA tO lAs vEgAs iN tWo hOuRz".. was there ever a real demand for this?

  • What a profound waste of money. We should be building a fence around Las Vegas, instead.
  • The announcement is that they made deals to use union labor... that's really just it. There's no funding here, no actual schedule, nothing.

    So, why this press release?

    This is all about manipulation. A company wants to build this thing and make a profit from it, and it wants to get the government to squeeze the cash out of the taxpayers rather than investing its own funds, so it cuts a bunch of deals with labor unions for two reasons:

    1. The unions are the political base of the party in political power in Cali

  • BrightLine has successfully built a rail system in Florida that hopes to expand across the state using private money.

    Its proposal for an LA to LV line will cost around 5% of the projected cost of the LA to SF line that is likely going to completed years after the new BrightLine to LV.

    The real question we should be asking is why is the state so hopeless at building railway lines and should the SF line be handed over to BrightLine to complete?

  • High speed trains in the US always results in a boondoggle going nowhere.
  • First of all, you'd think we'd learn about climbing into confined spaces and sharing each other's diseases.

    Then it will be expensive and slow. $200 for a ticket? Plus if I'm 20 miles toward 'Vegas from the station, I get to drive maybe 40 minutes to the station thru city traffic 'cuz it's downtown, spend some amount of time finding parking and paying hideous fees because it's downtown, get to the station maybe an hour early to give them time to handle my checked bag so it for-sure gets on the train (took

    • Aren't there flights to LV for 200$? Rail doesn't work in the US because it consistently costs too much to the point of not making any sense.
  • First, Victorville/Hesperia/Apple Valley are all next to eachother, and just the other side of the mountain from Rancho Cucamonga.
    Second, Racho Cucamonga is on the Metrolink from Downtown LA to San Bernadino.

  • For years they've been talking about having a high-speed train between Vegas and LA, at $10B and 250 miles which gets you closer to downtown LA than Cucamonga, which is $40m/mile. They are smoking crack at that price. If they're serious, build a new welded rail transit corridor over Cajon. Most of the land between Hesperia and Vegas is Bureau of Land Management so it shouldn't be too difficult to build along that and run a 150mph train. That cuts the travel time down significantly and you'd only need a few

  • Priorities? (Score:2, Interesting)

    by rickb928 ( 945187 )

    California is running out of water and electricity. The streets of the larger California cities are home to the 'homeless', who defecate on them with impunity, steal from and harass people going to and from work (the few who still go 'in'), housing is offensively expensive, and they think getting their inhabitants to and from Las Vegas is a priority?

    How about recovering and treating wastewater from the cities, at least to use for irrigation? How about dealing with the root causes of homelessness? How about

  • I assume the casinos are paying for this?

  • This is a route that might actually be useful, as opposed to the existing California high speed rail project that is directly in competition with airlines. But I'm very skeptical it will actually get built
  • I guess 290 kph (180 mph) does count as high speed. New builds in Europe are aiming at at least 400 kph (250 mph), some are capable of 600 kph (370 mph). Perhaps they should be a bit more ambitious, you know, aim for more advanced technologies?
  • Once the train is running, I15 should become a toll road for passenger cars going to/from LA/LV and a very expensive one at that.

    The income from the tolls should offset train ticket prices.

    • California has intentionally not added a 3rd lane because they want traffic jams, they don't want people going to vegas
  • https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com]

    ... where to build our factory ...
    How about fantasy land?

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