Transition to EVs Cited as More Automakers Reduce Workforces (seattletimes.com) 148
This February Ford cut 3,800 jobs, according to CNN, "citing difficult economic conditions and its major push toward electric vehicles... The veteran automaker said the layoffs were primarily triggered by its transition to electric vehicles, and a reduction in 'vehicle complexity.'"
Then in March GM also "unexpectedly cut several hundred jobs to help it trim costs and form a top-tier workforce to guide its transition to an all-electric car company," according to the Detroit Free Press — while later also announcing buyouts to try to "accelerate attrition." A spokesperson explained that GM wanted "to reduce vehicle complexity and expand the use of shared systems between its internal combustion engine and future electric vehicle programs."
Up next is Stellantis, the multinational automotive giant formed when Fiat-Chrysler merged with PSA Group in 2021. It's now "trying to cut its workforce to trim expenses and stay competitive," reports the Associated Press, "as the industry makes the long and costly transition to electric vehicles." Stellantis on Wednesday said it's offering buyouts to groups of white-collar and unionized employees in the U.S., as well as hourly workers in Canada. The cuts are "in response to today's increasingly competitive global market conditions and the necessary shift to electrification," the company said in a prepared statement.
Stellantis said it's looking to reduce its hourly workforce by about 3,500, but wouldn't say how many salaried employees it's targeting. The company has about 56,000 workers in the U.S., and about 33,000 of them could get the offers. Of those, 31,000 are blue-collar workers and 2,500 salaried employees. The company has another 8,000 union workers in Canada, but it would not say how many will get offers...
The offers follow Ford and General Motors, which have trimmed their workforces in the past year through buyout offers. About 5,000 white-collar workers took General Motors up on offers to leave the company this year. Ford cut about 3,000 contract and full-time salaried workers last summer, giving them severance packages.
The article adds that Shawn Fain, the new president of the United Auto Workers union, has told reporters "that he's unhappy with all three companies" over attempts to unionize "new joint-venture factories that will make battery cells for future electric vehicles."
The Detroit Free Press has specifics: He said, for instance, that the wages are lower at the GM and LG Energy Solution Ultium Cells joint venture in Ohio compared with other auto production jobs even though the work is potentially dangerous and requires significant training... The EV transformation is crucial for the future of the industry and its workers, and the union expects its members not to "get lost in the transition," Fain said, noting that jobs are needed "that raise people up, not take us back."
Then in March GM also "unexpectedly cut several hundred jobs to help it trim costs and form a top-tier workforce to guide its transition to an all-electric car company," according to the Detroit Free Press — while later also announcing buyouts to try to "accelerate attrition." A spokesperson explained that GM wanted "to reduce vehicle complexity and expand the use of shared systems between its internal combustion engine and future electric vehicle programs."
Up next is Stellantis, the multinational automotive giant formed when Fiat-Chrysler merged with PSA Group in 2021. It's now "trying to cut its workforce to trim expenses and stay competitive," reports the Associated Press, "as the industry makes the long and costly transition to electric vehicles." Stellantis on Wednesday said it's offering buyouts to groups of white-collar and unionized employees in the U.S., as well as hourly workers in Canada. The cuts are "in response to today's increasingly competitive global market conditions and the necessary shift to electrification," the company said in a prepared statement.
Stellantis said it's looking to reduce its hourly workforce by about 3,500, but wouldn't say how many salaried employees it's targeting. The company has about 56,000 workers in the U.S., and about 33,000 of them could get the offers. Of those, 31,000 are blue-collar workers and 2,500 salaried employees. The company has another 8,000 union workers in Canada, but it would not say how many will get offers...
The offers follow Ford and General Motors, which have trimmed their workforces in the past year through buyout offers. About 5,000 white-collar workers took General Motors up on offers to leave the company this year. Ford cut about 3,000 contract and full-time salaried workers last summer, giving them severance packages.
The article adds that Shawn Fain, the new president of the United Auto Workers union, has told reporters "that he's unhappy with all three companies" over attempts to unionize "new joint-venture factories that will make battery cells for future electric vehicles."
The Detroit Free Press has specifics: He said, for instance, that the wages are lower at the GM and LG Energy Solution Ultium Cells joint venture in Ohio compared with other auto production jobs even though the work is potentially dangerous and requires significant training... The EV transformation is crucial for the future of the industry and its workers, and the union expects its members not to "get lost in the transition," Fain said, noting that jobs are needed "that raise people up, not take us back."
Learn to code! (Score:5, Funny)
I know how to code (Score:4, Interesting)
guillotine();
}
I realized something. We can't get to guys like Bill Gates or Jim Farley. They've got private armies. And if we get close to them the real army will get called out and used against us.
But the middle manager lackeys that do their bidding? Yeah, those guys are fair game. And you won't get any protection, because you're easily replaceable.
Now, don't get me wrong, that won't solve anything. The 1% will just cycle in another bunch of assholes to put the boot on us. But on the other hand it won't help *you* if you're one of those aforementioned lackeys who gets on the wrong end of a sharp, descending blade.
China does this all the time. They throw a few people the the wolves after a scandal. Executing them for the corruption the real rulers know is happening. They get replaced and everything proceeds as normal.
What I'm saying is, if you're Staning for the 1%, praising billionaires for being "visionaries" you should probably stop. You're not one of them. You're never going to be one of them, and as we've seen with how Twitter employees & users have been treated in the last several months, you're nothing but a disposable commodity to them.
Wake up. Or as the kiddies say "go woke". "Woke" doesn't mean "stuff I don't like" it means being aware of your situation.
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Ok, I give...
What the fuck do "ammosexuals" mean?
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What the fuck do "ammosexuals" mean?
According to Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org] -- "Ammosexuals"- Referring to fervent supporters of gun rights, borrowed from Bill Maher.
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Well, there IS an important comma in there...
But you also have to go with the understanding of the day..that we ALL as citizens (well, men back then) were part of the militia....so, the militia was made up of all citizens.
Remember, we'd all just come out of a revolutionary war.
So, the SCOTUS rulings pertaining to individual rights to own firearms is pretty much following along with how the founders meant the 2nd amendment to be ta
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Judging by the quality (clunkiness) of the software in many cars today, they need to find someone--somewhere--that knows how to code! Maybe they should start by getting training for the coders they already have.
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its all up and down. I say this as someone who has been in 2 car companies (bay area) and have seen enough to know what's wrong.
management knows nothing about silicon valley and yet most of them are here and hiring locals (or people who work and live here) but they show they have no clue about the engineering culture.
testing is mostly in name only. development is given to the cheapest newhires you can get and retain. no one knows linux (well) and no one knows much about networking. cars are all about li
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Your description of how software development works in the car business isn't surprising at all. It comes down to one thing...sticking with what you're good at doing.
A Mexican restaurant, or a diner, shouldn't try to add steaks to their menu. It's not what they're good at. Car companies shouldn't try to create software, it's not what they're good at.
Apple and Google are making headway in this space, with CarPlay and Android Auto. I hope more car companies sign on.
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Apple and Google are making headway in this space, with CarPlay and Android Auto. I hope more car companies sign on.
If you think the entertainment system is what he is referring to, you don't seem to realize just how much programming is happening in a typical vehicle, either EV or ICE.
Ever heard of CAN bus? [wikipedia.org] All the controllers for the anti-lock brakes, air bags, seat belt tensioners, fuel levels, breaks, turn signals, self driving, adaptive headlights, etc, etc, etc. are connected via the CAN bus and there are dozens of controllers, transceivers, memory units, etc that are in constant communication. Remember the chip s
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Apple CarPlay and Android Auto do a lot more than entertainment. These systems also control many of the car's built-in systems such as environmental controls and displays traditionally placed on a car's dashboard. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org] Agreed, these systems are in their infancy, but they are much better designed than automakers' own software.
As for the CAN bus, Apple and Google don't really need to be writing code at that level. That is clearly at the level of the mechanical operation of the eng
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Nobody wants to die in EVs that just instantaneously decide they need to violently combust.
I know several people with EVs, and from what I understand, the spontaneous unannounced combustion is not part of the standard package.
Also, have you heard about gasoline? That shit BURNS like crazy. I've even heard of people using it to start bonfires!
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Thesis + Antithesis = Synthesis
Plus, fires in ICE are more rare than fires in EVs.
With your logic, we should stop EVs, After all, they do make electric fire-starters!
It's a transition for the better (Score:5, Interesting)
As we will depend less on petrol and resources that can't last forever there will be an uncomfortable transition. Jobs will be lost, new jobs will be created, out with the old and in with the new. History repeats itself.
Personally I love the change. I just bought an EV too, it feels weird not having to go to the gas station ever again, and my vehicle is ready charged for me every day, sure - the power bill has gone up but the costs are not much different from what I used to pay for gasoline, and now I can safely start the car inside the garage as well, no dangers of getting exhaust fumes and die from that.
One could always argue that the fire hazard has increased, but those things happening is super rare, maybe in places where electricity has been installed by unauthorized hobbyists and "I can fix it" types in areas that allows for that, but here in Scandinavia we don't allow that and safety is high.
It also feels serene to not have a motor that maybe doesn't start, or having to service it so often, and it's blissfully silent to drive. Sure - the range ain't that big, but let's face it, how often do you travel 2+ hours each day? I commute 30 mins to work each day so for me it's a non-issue. Not to mention the cleaner air.
Safety has never been this good either, for example today there was this crazy person that drove on the highway behind me, she was literally tailgating me, and I had no clue how close she was, but my car just "half-took-over" (mine is made so it can't fully take over, you still have mechanical controls), but there's a belt that can take over partially - and just slides off iif you "insist" on steering it in your direction, which feels kinda safe since it can't fully take over your driving if the system should malfunction), this is the future of cars.
As for jobs - I've never had the same job all my life, my grandparents did - and they were lucky to have that kind of job security, we don't really have that anymore. I've had jobs like delivering papers, phone sales, store clerk, programmer, substitute teacher, IT-Supporter etc... almost everything under the sun, and honestly I don't mind - keeps life interesting and not so boring.
Eventually those workers will find other jobs or teach themselves new skills. I was 55+ when I got a new job again, and I have very little schooling.
Re:It's a transition for the better (Score:5, Interesting)
Eventually those workers will find other jobs or teach themselves new skills. I was 55+ when I got a new job again, and I have very little schooling.
That unfortunately does not mean a lot. Being able to learn new skills is a rather rare talent in people over 30 or so. Being able to teach yourself new skills is rare in general. You do find the second talent all over the place. You find PhDs that have it (and many that do not) and you also find people with minimal formal education that have it (again, many do not) and I suspect not less in relative numbers than with the PhD holders. It probably gets even rarer in the middle area of formal education though, because these are the people that decided to stick with it but were not really good at it. The thing is highly capable people (i.e. people that can teach themselves) regularly do not fit the rather inflexible and bizarre education system. Some decide to game the system and only take what still works seriously (I did) while other decide to do it all by themselves (probably what you did). There is a reason you can get almost any formal academic qualification (including most of a PhD) by just proving you have equivalent skills.
The problem is that most people cannot teach themselves at all as soon as they leave childhood and have a very hard time learning new things when they are above 30 or so. So while people like you and me can basically always find something we are good at and that is in demand, most people cannot do that. And hence there will be a massive social problem from this increase in productivity. Don't get me wrong, increased productivity is a very good thing. But the problems it causes also need to be solved, and that means, among other things, that the increased profits cannot stay mostly or purely private.
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You know, I hate it when I take too good a look at a proposed concept sometimes.
When I read your post, I immediately went "Haha, true. Suckers!"... until I remembered that to this day, I cannot wrap my brain around electronic circuits. I have a hard time understanding 3D printing and I cannot find the motivation to stick to something new until it's done as opposed to until I'm fed up.
I really hope it's just the depression and not a new status quo for me.
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You may just have a selective limit there. Or not. In the second case, you can still make this work by planning sufficiently ahead. For example, all old tech needs people that keep it running until it finally gets phased out decades later. You just need to be in there first and demonstrated your skill before the suddenly unemployed masses flood the market.
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It's not (yet) a problem career-wise. I'm a private cloud engineer and while public cloud is all the rage now... I kinda think people will get fed up with paying more for less (in some ways) sooner than I get out of job opportunities.
It's more a matter of lacking hobbies to wind down for me. I get to be 42 this year. I am much more scared of running out of a will to live than job opportunities.
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Private cloud? Then I think there is no danger to you. More and more businesses are finding out the public cloud is not all it is claimed to be. Also, at least in Europe, regulated enterprises need now have a strategy to move out of the public cloud again or at least switch to a different one (which is almost the same thing).
As to hobbies, try things. I do like some physical engineering, for example and I never stopped loving to read. I did take up some gardening and more cooking as well in the last few yea
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Fortunately, 3D printing is one of those things where you can get pretty good at using specific hardware and techniques without having a grasp of how the whole system works. You aren't supposed to grasp every little detail, or at least it's not supposed to be a requirement to use the hardware. That's the main difference between industrial and consumer grade -- the consumer grade stuff needs to be accessible (sometimes at the expense of capability) while the heavy machinery needs to be capable, often at the
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Problem I have is I'm a tinkerer... I want to make most out of everything and right now my second printer, the one that actually worked for me, lies half disassembled in my office :D.
I should have gone with a Bambu Lab I think. Would have saved me much headache.
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My grandmother always called me a hopeless optimist and a romatic. /s
I do get what you mean, and there are many a moment where I slap my own face and wonder about the endless stupidity of individuals, but then again I am reminded to take a look into the mirror and realize I can make mistakes too (which I do, frequently).
There's also this thing about half glass full or empty, I've had so many friends that have told me they can't do this and too old for that - but what I've personally experienced is that will
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Thanks for your thoughts.
You are welcome. Come to think of it, my last boss (also a friend) called me exceptionally untypical because I am best motivated by learning something new and not very motivated by doing something I know how to do. This seems to be really rare.
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Sadly it seems to be very rare. I have this other friend, a former colleague from work. He fancies talking about himself as different from others and open to new things, it's almost as if he is trying to convince himself of this rather than me. He frequenly boosts how he gets colleagues to talk together and laugh and how he has been compared to different cultures rather than his own.
My observation of him is very different from his self image, he loves routine work, he likes when things are known, always pla
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Something to ponder there.
Indeed. Most valuable insights in live are not readily obvious. You have to find them.
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I really rarely sit and contemplate what I am, who I am, where I'm going....and what it all means.
I just enjoy life, you know?
I have tons of interest....I like many old things, I enjoy some new things that strike my fancy, although I have little control on that.
But I guess I don't have time to do all this self contemplation, I just wake up, enjoy the fact I'm starting the day breathing once again and go enjoy myself.
Is this
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That's not the only problem. The issue is the career reset. People who start a new career at 55 typically don't command the pay off a veteran in their career choice. You're paid on experience not on age alone.
So even if you can learn a new skill you should generally still expect to downgrade your quality of life as a result.
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I find your idea that fires in EVs would be mostly caused by faulty wiring by do-it-yourselfers both kinda naive and insulting to be honest.
government forced EV adoption (Score:3)
Acting like this is going to somehow succeed is the problem here. It won't in this iteration. The automakers 'tooling up' because their government overlords told them to are going to take a bath on this and require more bailouts. There are a variety of reasons why, but i'd point out several big ones:
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That kinda attitude really qualifies for
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What did your car do? It is not at all clear from your description.
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It also feels serene to not have a motor that maybe doesn't start
As a long time EV owner, I've found out that the old relic of a 12v battery still determines whether your car can move or not, and I bet a couple of more EV owners can chime in with their own experience - yes, there's no spark plugs and coils, but unfortunately something is still in the way of making it a completely serene experience until they get vital functions of the car off the 12v batteries, or even better, just get rid of it.
Some of this is temporary (Score:2)
GM is aiming for 1M EV by 2025, Ford aiming for 2M in the next couple years, VW also moving towards EVs for majority of passenger vehicles and while the Japanese brands are lagging on EV theyre also in the transition phase.
All these companies are currently building battery and vehicle plants and part of that is cutting back and shuttering existing plants before these new ones are opened. Now will these have the same amount of line workers as the old ones? Absolutely not but new ICE plants would be more aut
Well, in principle, that is a good thing (Score:5, Interesting)
It means significantly improved productivity. The problem comes in by way of the profits from this being privatized, i.e. the people out of a job are a problem that gets socialized and everybody pays for it. A solution would be a) more taxes on profits and b) making it a lot harder to hide profits and also add CEO prison time for doing so.
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Or those people can get new jobs just like everyone else who loses their job anywhere else.
Why is their job loss socialized? They all paid into the unemployment system. They'll get some of their own money back. No one else is paying extra unemployment for them.
Unemployment isn't enough to live on anyway. It's just a stepping stone to your next job so you don't starve to death while looking for other work.
And why would a CEO want to hide profits??? Omg, that's how most of them make their money!!! More
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You assume more jobs will be available. For the first time in history, it very much does not look like that will happen this time, at least longer term.
As to your other comments, please switch on your brain and look at reality.
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You assume more jobs will be available.
Oh, there will be plenty of jobs. Problem is, they'll be the kind of jobs that don't really pay enough for home ownership at today's prices.
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No. I am just tired of your posturing when evidence contradicting you is out there and easy to find. If you want to do some more posturing and claiming that obviously I must not have evidence and you are right, go ahead and heap some more egg on your face.
Reduced complexity! (Score:2)
Just think of all the labor saved by eliminating all knobs and switches on the dashboard - a touchscreen to conquer all touchscreens seems to be all that's needed now.
Although a physical button to call 911 should be included so you can easily get help after you crashed into a tree with your rental car while trying to decipher which submenu you had to get to in order to apply the brakes.
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Actually in many cases cars will automatically call 911 (or the local equivalent in other countries) when the airbags deploy. So they figured out how to eliminate that button, too.
My touch-screen car experience is that I can mostly ignore it. When I need something, the voice commands usually take care of it. Of course, if I've engaged Autopilot, it usually doesn't matter, since the car does a better job of handling most routine driving than I do.
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I hope this trend towards ALL touch screen dies a quick and painful death.
I don't want only a large sheet of glass in my car.
I want buttons and switches that I can find, feel and operate without taking my eyes off the road for any meaningful amount of time.
Digging through menus of stuff on a screen while driving 80mph+ is not a safe paradi
Massive layoffs at buggy whip factories (Score:3)
Union says horseless carriages are the work of the devil.
Lemmings over the cliff? (Score:3)
Don't get me wrong - I know that eventually we need to transition away from ICE vehicles. But the haste of the current shift smacks more of bandwagon-jumping than it does of reasoned decision making.
I have yet to see any thorough, convincing data that making and powering EV's has an overall smaller greenhouse gas footprint than making and powering ICE vehicles. From mineral extraction and refining, to transporting parts and materials, to manufacturing, to generating and distributing electricity, (including the carbon footprint of the windmills and solar panels) - are EV's really any better at reducing greenhouse gas emissions? And currently, the social and environmental costs at the sources of rare-earth metal extraction seem more horrendous than those of the raw materials required for ICE cars.
I hope I'm wrong. I'd be happy to be convinced that electric cars are as good in the short term, and even the medium term, as I expect they will be in the long term. Has anybody come up with a credible, complete, non-hype-driven analysis that demonstrates the superiority of EV's?
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It is not going to end well (Score:2)
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Much more expensive: You probably haven't checked lately, this changed about 1-2 years ago, if you shop smart. Prices are still elevated due to production shortages. The entire supply chain needs to be developed and expanded.
EV Batteries are already an order of magnitude cheaper, and getting cheaper still. I think we're in the "hump" period, where we're about to see a lot of change very quickly. That doesn't mean that it won't be a decade or more before over half the vehicles on the road are EV.
As for
Are EVs really more complex than ICEs?? (Score:3)
No, it's about outsourcing work to other companies. EVs are incredibly complex - it's just that the complexity has been moved to chips, batteries, and electronics that these companies are not going to build themselves, program, nor maintain.
Aren't there about 50% less components in EVs than ICEs? Few things are more complex than modern ICE automobiles. They're quite marvels of manufacturing and engineering.
Re:Are EVs really more complex than ICEs?? (Score:5, Insightful)
ICE vehicles already have tons of electronic components. EVs don't have transmissions, engines, intake and exhaust systems just to name some of the major, complex, expensive components in ICE vehicles.
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Re:Are EVs really more complex than ICEs?? (Score:5, Informative)
Instead of thousands of precision parts in the engine, transmission and emission control systems, an EV motor has a single rotor with two bearings.
So yes, EVs are much less complex and all of the legacy auto manufacturers expertise is now obsolete and all of their engineers are obsolete. It's going to be painful for them. They should have started 10 years ago to develop EV expertise. Instead, they sat around fat and happy making big profits from their ICE vehicles... until today when the writing is on the wall and they can't sell ICE vehicles anymore.
They have correctly identified batteries as being crucial to EVs and are investing heavily in battery factories. However, they are at least 10 years behind Tesla and the Chinese who have been working on batteries and EVs for many years.
Legacy auto is facing an existential crisis and they are starting to severely downsize to avoid going completely bankrupt. We'll see what happens but I wouldn't invest in any legacy auto company.
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Can't sell ICE anymore?
What country are you in?
5.6% of cars sold last year in the US were EV and 7.1% so far in 2023.
https://insideevs.com/news/657... [insideevs.com].
And that includes a huge tax credit for many of them.
So 93% market share for ICE means they can't find buyers for ICE anymore?
As far as batteries are concerned, they don't have to make their own although GM is. They don't make their own tires. They don't make their own paint. They don't make their own gasoline. They don't make their own leather seats. Th
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Worldwide 14% EV sales last year.
ICE car sales peaked in 2019 and are going downhill from here.
ICE drivetrains were the only legacy auto expertise. Take that away and they don't have anything.
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ICE vehicles are selling the majority now but sales have been declining since 2019 and will continue to decline. I wouldn't be happy with any percent in a market that is dwindling to nothing.
Tesla Model Y is the best selling car (EV or ICE) in all of Europe (and also California).
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More goal post moving from "can't sell an ICE" to "an existing alternative has growing market share".
The "can't sell ICE anymore" part might not be true yet, but the writing is very much on the wall. Many countries and states are adopting hard cutoff dates beyond which new ICE cars can't be sold. ICE cars are in a steady decline.
In California, things look even worse for ICE cars. The Tesla Model 3 was the #1 selling automobile last year, beating out the Toyota Camry, which held that spot for 11 out of the 12 prior years, by a factor of about 1.4. The Model Y was the #1 selling SUV/light truck, beating
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Yet another reason not to live in CA.
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Yet another reason not to live in CA.
Because more people can afford nice cars? *confused*
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until today when the writing is on the wall and they can't sell ICE vehicles anymore
90% of vehicles sold still have engines, they are selling just fine. When the time comes they can't sell ICEs anymore, it will be due to regulation, not market forces. When we get to the last gen ICE vehicles in perhaps a decade, many will buy them with the intention of keeping them long term. That is my plan.
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ICE car sales peaked in 2019. It's all downhill from here.
EV sales are now 14% and into the steep part of the S-curve adoption.
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Does not show around here. Four of the five top best sellers are pickup trucks. ICE powered pickup trucks.
https://driving.ca/column/driv... [driving.ca]
I'm sure electric pickups will make a small dent in coming years. Probably not "steep" though.
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Yes, most sales are ICE cars today. However, ICE car sales are dropping and EVs are increasing.
By 2026 will be more than 50% EVs and by 2030 mostly EVs.
As far as pickup trucks go, Ford, Chevrolet, RAM, etc. have EV models and are trying to ramp up to meet demand but haven't been able to make a profit on them yet.
Tesla Cybertruck will start deliveries later this year. With 1.5 million pre-orders with deposits, it will sell well. (And, Tesla knows how to make EVs at a profit.)
Also, Rivian has a compelling EV
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By 2026 will be more than 50% EVs and by 2030 mostly EVs.
Maybe. If I was a betting person I would not bet on that though.
Tesla Cybertruck will start deliveries later this year.
Yeah. See above.
Re:Are EVs really more complex than ICEs?? (Score:4, Interesting)
The intention of the ruling class is to phase out personal automobiles for the commoner. EVs will be all that is produced going forward, and they'll soon be unavailable for less than $100k. This will put them out of reach for the non-wealthy. Best get moving to near a bus or train line...
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The intention of the ruling class is to phase out personal automobiles for the commoner. EVs will be all that is produced going forward, and they'll soon be unavailable for less than $100k. This will put them out of reach for the non-wealthy. Best get moving to near a bus or train line...
I don't disagree. Freely available cars make it difficult to make you become a conformant transit user.
Why luxury safer electric cars should be free (Score:2)
Me from 2009: https://groups.google.com/g/op... [google.com] :-) And, if that was the case, as a whole, our society
"... Put the cost of crashes together with other costs of bad design, and add in
the indirect cost of oil (all aspects of fundamental market failures), and
essentially, luxury electric cars produced using open designs (similar to
the Volvo above) should essentially be *free* to the user, paid for in cost
savings to society.
would *save* money on medical costs from injuries, costs related to deaths,
maintenance co
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I like cars but I don't think any plan to give them away will ever fly. And I'm gonna mod mine. Plan for that.
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Thanks for the reply. And a valid criticism of my point to support your rebuttal includes that in our current economic system, it one good is made free people tend to waste it and also resell it for parts or repurpose it to meet other needs that cost money. An example of that is how in the USA "free" (to the poor user on Medicaid, paid for by tax dollars) emergency rooms are pushed into service for shelter, meals, and primary care. The biggest thing that might derail my suggestion then could be, say, people
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would be US$480 billion a year, an amount easily found by reducing some of the about US$1 trillion defense budget (including everything)
I don't think that you're going to see defense spending decreased between Russia invading Ukraine and our support there, and China's ambitions.
Same deal with healthcare as well. I agree that reduced healthcare expenses from preventing auto accidents could help a lot, but that isn't going to reduce the healthcare costs of my family.
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Of course, a major reason why the Ukraine issue is such a big deal is that Europe is (or was) dependent on Russia for fossil fuel energy. See also:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]
"Brittle Power: Energy Strategy for National Security is a 1982 book by Amory B. Lovins and L. Hunter Lovins, prepared originally as a Pentagon study and re-released in 2001 following the September 11 attacks. The book argues that the U.S. domestic energy infrastructure is very vulnerable to disruption, whether by accident or mali
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Not everyone falls immediately in love with whatever the government forces on them. Agreed there won't be growth, but there will be persistence for a long time to come.
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Not everyone falls immediately in love with whatever the government forces on them.
Conspiracy theories and gullibility are going to leave you stuck in the past, longing for "the good old days" and griping about the world.
No conspiracies required. How the world works is quite in the open.
I try most of all to enjoy the today days, I have no control over the future world.
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Most notably is the "baseline" tech in many EV's that are
Re: Are EVs really more complex than ICEs?? (Score:3)
Re: Are EVs really more complex than ICEs?? (Score:2)
They waited too long.
Re:Are EVs really more complex than ICEs?? (Score:4, Interesting)
Yes .. Electric Motors are ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE simpler. No Alternator, fuel pump, fuel injectors, ... Even the brakes are simpler because the electric motor is used to brake the car it's self. Now the problem is the EV"s are so expensive because of the batteries. If they can get that down so you could be a EV for about the same price as a internal combustion engine, then I'm in. Right now I can buy a mid range Honda HRv for about 25 grand mol. All the EVs are nearly double.
Re: Are EVs really more complex than ICEs?? (Score:2)
the same price as a internal combustion engine, then I'm in. Right now I can buy a mid range Honda HRv for about 25 grand mol. All the EVs are nearly double.
Alternatively a western buyer could keep their current ICE car for a decade longer and get a small 2nd car like a Wuling Bingo. These are city cars, good for 60 miles per charge and priced at under $7k. If not for protectionism they could be sold outside of China today.
Maybe at some point the small battery could be replaced with a more compact one and the same city car could be kept for 20-30 years. That's one approach that is better for the buyers and the environment, at the expense of the SUV industry.
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Not if you start counting resistors and transistors. _But_ these are standardized components with very little per-item cost. The mechanical side of a car has a lot of full-custom and semi-custom components and cutting down on these and standardizing these more saves a _lot_. And that is why an EV is a lot cheaper to produce once things are ramped up.
EVs are also easier to repair and keep longer. The degradation of the batteries is easily compensated by the savings on other repairs already today and battery
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We're also going to need batteries for fixed-site applications, and degraded batteries just weigh more and take up more space to do the same job, neither of which is as much of a problem when they don't have to move. A lithium battery that has 60% capacity remaining is still going to have a ton more power than the lead-acid batteries in the UPSes of yore.
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I would happily pay the same price for batteries as electric car manufacturers do for home energy storage instead of using second hand ones - about $130/kwh. The main problem with home energy storage solutions right now is that they are priced at about $1000 per kwh.
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Indeed. I think the storage problem for electricity (mobile and fixed site) will solve itself nicely in the near future. It just needs a bit more time, because battery tech stagnated so long. It was only the mobile Internet device revolution that restarted real research.
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Aren't there about 50% less components in EVs than ICEs?
There's less of the "honk if parts fall off" sort of parts. If you individually counted all the shit encased in epoxy that has to replaced as a single expensive component because reasons, then no, BEVs aren't lower in components.
Re:No, no quite (Score:5, Informative)
You're stating that "EVs are incredibly complex" makes me think that you don't understand how complex an ICE vehicle is these days.
The transition to EV is a bit like going from a mechanical watch to a quartz electric.
Chips: An ICE vehicle tends to have just as many of these as EV. You have chips controlling the airflow, timing, monitoring oxygen levels, fuel flow rates, etc...
Batteries: ICE generally have at least one battery, though yeah, less complex. However, an EV doesn't have an ICE, which is a huge massive device that has a complicated array of cylinders, cooling and lubrication channels, valves, pistons, etc...
Electronics: Again, ICE have these. You have the ignition system, alternator, starter, etc... Which the EV simplifies into 1-2 bigger electric motor-generators.
They're going to be even less throw-away, I think, because repairs will generally be simpler. Short of accidents, and with collision avoidance spreading, we should start losing fewer vehicles from that shortly.
I'll agree on the "everything outsourced", but only in the sense that they already outsource just about everything.
The final vehicle assembly is simpler, so fewer employees needed.
Plus, well, whenever you drastically remake an assembly line, you generally modernize it at the same time. This means that even if you keep producing the exact same product, it'll take fewer workers. You could have a factory making X, employing, say, 300 employees. It's been operating for decades. Then there's a fire or whatever, they close down for a year to rebuild, then go back to producing X, but only 30 workers. Because while the factory was operating, it didn't make financial sense to automate more, but when you're starting from a clean sheet, might as well.
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Electric vehicles are also amenable to the production methods the Prius has always used: put the powertrain and batteries in a compact "skateboard" chassis, and bolt everything else on top of it. This helps reduce the complexity of making them (the "skateboards" can be built at a dedicated facility, and shared among models and maybe even among automakers) and also makes them potentially more maintainable. This last benefit can easily be tossed out the window by careless or outright malicious design, but it'
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Sure a lot of those are non-essential to move the seats etc., but if the electric motor push
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I'd argue that the motors in the compressors, seats and such don't count because they're in the EV versions as well.
Most major EVs have a cooling pump(water pump) for temperature controlling the battery/motors. But they don't typically need the radiator fan.
Though I'll point out that once you include the starter and alternator, you just combine and enlarge the two and you have a single motor EV without one single extra electric motor in the whole vehicle. Minimum. Probably less, because as you say, fuel
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The thing is, software and electronics are very standardized and the production effort is far smaller than the design effort. Design effort you just have once though. On the _mechanical_ side, EVs are much, much simpler and there production effort, which you have for every car built, is much higher than design effort these days.
So, yes, quite like that.
Luddites were Wrong, Their Kids were Right (Score:4, Interesting)
It wasn't the Luddites who benefited from new technology but their grandchildren. Their generation suffered terribly from automation.
Only because they fought the inevitable change tooth and nail and refused to adapt to the inevitable. If all your effort goes into opposing change you lose the ability to have any input on how to manage that change which definitely makes things worse for you. The children of the Luddites were those who formed the first labour unions and made the mill owners start to share the profits that technology provided them with their workers by treating them better. There was nothing stopping the Luddites from doing this themselves instead of leaving it to the next generation.
Re: Luddites were Wrong, Their Kids were Right (Score:4, Insightful)
Unfortunately their successors ultimately lost when jobs got outsourced to poorer countries for cheaper wages/costs. Even the ones who were willing to try to adopt and/or take cheaper pay to keep their jobs eventually got the boot. These are the sort of issues only government intervention can fix, but what can you do when the government goes against your interests?
Modern-day unions, at least here in the US are but a shadow of their former selves. Too mired in corruption, ineptitude, and declining bargaining power/membership to fight back.
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Re: Luddites were Wrong, Their Kids were Right (Score:3)
Yeah, the recent railroad workers strike was quite depressing in that regard, seeing as it got quashed so quickly. Our trains here keep derailing so much as a result of railroad companies cheapening out on modernizing the infrastructure and loosening safety regulations.
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And yet, with all those jobs outsourced overseas, the US has an unemployment rate of about 3%, and many businesses can't find the workers they need.
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These are the sort of issues only government intervention can fix, but what can you do when the government goes against your interests?
You take your case to the voters. Of course, to do that your case has to be more than "give us more money" which is the only message that today's unions seem capable of making - although membership is not an issue here in Canada since, unlike almost all other western countries, Canadian law allows for compelled union membership. Instead of that how about arguing for better education with demanding curricula and meaningful standards i.e. create a workforce that companies are willing to pay more for because
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It took about 70 years for employment to recover. It was more complicated then the industrial revolution as there was also the enclosures of the common land resulting in a lot of people being moved to the city.
It wasn't a pleasant time for the average person between the high unemployment and the shitty working conditions.
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Not a neoluddite? Just wait ten years and you will be.
If they can replace programmers with AI then I'm all for it. I'm not even kidding because humans keep making mistakes with no end in sight. I want there to be perfect programs with perfect security.
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If we have AI that can make perfect programs, do we really need the programs? Why not just interact directly with the AI?
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Computational efficiency. This level of AI is going to need something far beyond what a single desktop can do. To preempt the question of why not just have it do the work for us, nobody claimed it would be sentient or intelligent.