Rambus Production Capacity Switched to Make SDRAM 91
Jon Rabone writes " NEC, Japan's largest chipmaker is halting Rambus production to make SDRAM.
Both NEC and Samsung are to switch production over to SDRAM - sounds to me like RAMBUS could be in danger of dying the death, after Intel's latest problems with the Camino chipset. At least we might see SDRAM prices fall again.
"
Law of Supply and Demand (Score:2)
Need I say more?
Jack
It figures (Score:1)
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Re:Law of Supply and Demand (Score:1)
cheers,
Justin.
Odd inconsistancies (Score:1)
Re:I hope SDRAM prices fall.. (Score:1)
RAM prices fluctuate like this every year. (Score:2)
- A.P.
--
"One World, one Web, one Program" - Microsoft promotional ad
Re:I hope SDRAM prices fall.. (Score:1)
I bought a 128MB RAM bar for 220 DM about 3 months ago. Now they are listed at 660 DM (2 days ago).
1 US$ = about DM 1.8
... (Score:1)
Death of Rambus? (Score:1)
Maybe Win2000 will be the Rambus of Microsoft?
Re:Odd inconsistancies (Score:1)
artificially high in order to keep a buffer for
when things like this happens. This means they
overcharge you when the price could be low, but
they also give a fair price when it temporarily
goes up. However, in this case I noticed that
one Dutch store, Paradigit [paradigit.nl] has stopped selling DRAMS because they want to use their supply for installing in complete systems.
The reason? Volume. (Score:3)
As always, it's best to look at all the options before you buy stuff -- don't always just head on over to pricewatch and think you've gotten a great deal.
- A.P. (speaking of great deals, checked the prices for 18 gig U2W scsi drives lately?)
--
"One World, one Web, one Program" - Microsoft promotional ad
Mandated technology (Score:5)
Thank god (Score:1)
It's always the way isn't it? RAM stays so cheap for so long, then I finally start building my system and prices go through the roof. Then, as they're starting to drop again, Taiwan has an earthquake, pushing RAM prices up further (Even if they haven't peaked because of that, they will).. Just perfect. And I refuse to buy RAM for more than a buck a meg.
argh...
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Blame it on the quake... (Score:1)
The reason the prices got so high this year was because of the quake in Taiwan. Most of the chips that you put in your PC were manufactured in Taiwan, and a lot of the major chip manufacturers suffered serious losses in the quake and the aftermath.
Although many of the chipmakers did come out alright, just the fear of the chip shortage drove prices sky-high.
This is not unlike what happens in other industries, for example oil. A few months ago, I could put gas in my car for less than a dollar a gallon. The first time it has ever happened in my life. For a while, I could even find it for $.93US a gallon. But then there was a teeny-tiny little oil scare, (thanks Saddam!) and BAM! oil prices sky-rocket. It costs me $1.25US per gallon now, if I'm lucky!
I do agree that prices tend to fluctuate a bit every year, but that's to be expected. Prices on most commodities fluctuate according to some calendar. This year is not a typical fluctuation for memory prices. Or any other chip prices that begin to take a rise of 50%-150%.
--
"A mind is a horrible thing to waste. But a mime...
It feels wonderful wasting those fsckers."
Re:RAM prices fluctuate like this every year. (Score:1)
I would have no problem spending $80 for 128 megs. I do have a problem spending $231 for the same 128 megs. That is the lowest price on pricewatch as I write this.
"Our prices are INSANE!!!!"
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Samsung already switched (Score:2)
Re:I hope SDRAM prices fall.. (Score:1)
--
RAM prices are already falling again (Score:2)
From looking at other posts, I guess memory in the US is still dirt cheap (at least compared to our prices in the UK)
Re:Thank god (Score:1)
This fall of prices is the best I've heared in a month, prices have been almost $2US/M and I am definitely not paying that huge amount of money because three months ago I purchased the same 128M dimms at $0.8US/M.
I hope memory prices fall below $0.5US/M so I can buy other 256M for my machine.
Re:It figures (Score:1)
Good and bad news (Score:3)
However. SDRAM won't suffice forever as it can't (disclaimer: as far as I know) be overclocked much higher than it already is (140 MHz is the highest I've read about before stability issues arise). RDRAM on the other hand can run up to 800 MHz. The heat sync looks rather cute, but the memory is tragically flawed by it's miniscule 16 bit bus (as opposed to the 64 bit SDRAM bus to the front side system bus).
Rambus really needs to go back to the drawing board on this before they bring it back to market, if it is ever given another chance. Intel in partnering with Rambus was seeing Large dollar signs in an unending stream of royalty payments on every future RDRAM RIMM sold for many years to come. Chalk it up to another case of greed overriding sensibility.
Many reasons for increase (Score:2)
we were doing just fine before that...we should trade memory on the commodities market
JediLuke
Re:I hope SDRAM prices fall.. (Score:1)
so, this mean there will be more R&D? (Score:1)
wonder when that will happen.
Re:Blame it on the quake... Wrong (Score:1)
Re:Blame it on the quake? (Score:4)
Not so. I was following the market closely before during and after the quake. I used corsair PC 133 128 MB as a marker, as it uses Micron DRAM which is not produced in Taiwan, and in no way would be effected by the quake (it also happend to be the brand I choose and now own, due to it's superior quality). Here is a timeline of the price spikes:
I chose direct.multiwave.com (wholesaler) as my test bed.
Monday (prior to quake): $297
Sept 22nd (day of the quake, wednesday): $297
Sept 24th $297
Sept 29th: $358
Oct 7th: $372
So you see, the prices were already at $300 before the quake. The subsequent rises could be attributed to Micron raising the price of DRAM to over $16 after the 22th, the day of the quake.
Re:Odd inconsistancies (Score:1)
Keep watching CompUSA. I'm betting that their price will go up and stay up long after the computer shows go back down. It has always seemed to me that the stores lag a couple weeks (months?) behind when it comes to price changes. The RAM they are selling you was probably bought weeks ago and has finally made its way through their distribution channel to the store.
Interesting point though. An enterprising individual could take advantage of this and make some clean cash.
Re:Death of Rambus? (Score:2)
The premise of Rambus is much stronger for ultra high end server machines than for general use PC's. But Intel has been shoving Rambus down everyone's throats to finance the costs of their push into the Enterprise. If this isn't an example of leveraging monopoly power then I don't know anything that could be fairly called a monopoly: the increased cost (damage to consumers) is inarguably real and dollar-figure obvious. As is Intel's control over the "standard". They're so obsessed with this goal that little things that affect "the little people" like the design flaw of the i820 slip by.
makes up my mind (Score:1)
Re:Many reasons for increase (Score:1)
4. Micron's aquisition of Texas Instruments
5. Tariff wall erected against Taiwanese DRAM
6. Micron's Monopoly over US DRAM market
7. Taiwan's frequent power outages (3 total before quake)
AMD (Score:1)
I heard from an unreliable source (a slashdot comment some time ago) that RAMBUS was pointless in systems with busses around 100MHz... that it only really shone at 200MHz... which coincidentally was the bus speed of the K7. Since RamBUS was an Intel technology, they were inadvertently helping a competitor by promoting this technology.
Does anyone care to confirm or refute this?
Re:Good and bad news (Score:3)
Benefits:
* 64bit memory throughput to the system
* Much lower latency than RAMBUS
* Uses tested SDRAM technology
* Can be easily implemented in cheaper systems
* Has 2.1GBps max transfer rate compared to 1.6GBps on 800MHz RAMBUS
* Still has headroom to grow
--
like Betamax vs. VHS... (Score:1)
Lucky for us, the RAM manufacturers, motherboard manufacturers, IHV's (look at Micron's decision to dump Intel chipsets), and best of all, CONSUMERS, have figured out that Intel and Rambus are trying to screw us here, and we won't stand for it.
The day DDR SDRAM is available at a reasonable price, the last nail will be in Rambus' coffin!
MoNsTeR
Re:Blame it on the quake? (Score:1)
Just to be redundant, I can confirm this, about three weeks before the quake, I went to go buy an SDRAM, the place I went to was out of stock... the next weekend, prices had doubled and were still climbing. Many companies in my area refused to sell or carry RAM, then the quake hit.
I heard from a somewhat reliable source that this has to do with a major SDRAM manufacturer going bankrupt. I haven't been able to confirm this through any channels though. I suppose with all the competition and the economic crisis in Asia, even a high volume manufacturer of SDRAM can go bankrupt... it makes sense, but again, I have no confirmation of this story.
Re:so, this mean there will be more R&D? (Score:1)
Re:Rambus will not die (Score:3)
Intel is taking the fall on this one as though it's a silicon problem because it doesn't really matter where the problem is, the 820-based product isn't going to ship. Inside of Intel there's a big bloodletting going on between the engineers and the suits, because the suits are having a hard time dealing with the concept that there are some things that can't be changed by management fiat and the engineers aren't real amused by egos under the delusion that they can order back the tide.
There's been some good discussion on this over on SI-LIST [qsl.net]
Latest prices (pricewatch.com) (Score:1)
PC133 256MB $579 to $ 749 - $2.26 to $2.93 per meg.
PC133 128MB $252 to $ 298 - $1.97 to $2.33 per meg.
PC100 512MB $999 to $2250 - $1.95 to $4.39 per meg.
PC100 256MB $481 to $ 564 - $1.88 to $2.20 per meg.
PC100 128MB $231 to $ 253 - $1.80 to $1.98 per meg.
PC100 64MB $117 to $ 131 - $1.83 to $2.05 per meg.
PC100 32MB $ 47 to $ 73 - $1.47 to $2.28 per meg.
Method: All data in $ (USD) from the first 15 prices reported.
Averages rounded to the nearest cent. Quality and type not
factored in.
Re:Blame it on the quake... (Score:1)
Re:AMD (Score:2)
Don't read too much into this. (Score:2)
Re:like Betamax vs. VHS... (Score:1)
I really like to use this as a parallel to open source and why it works.
Beta kept there product closed and proprietary while VHS sold their product for nothing and released all the specs to anyone who wanted them saying clone us and sell your product please!
The small video stores had their shelves loaded with VHS VCR's while having just one, if any beta VCR's.
Beta truly was superior to VHS so I want to end the parallel to open source right there...
BETA WAS SONY! VHS WAS EVERYONE ELSE! (Score:1)
the reasons it lost to vhs were primarily:
1. sony wanted a buttload in license fees
2. sony would not allow pornographic movies to be distributed on beta
3. vhs was an open standard, which anyone could build to, royalty free.
4. porn producers didn't have to run their product by sony's corporate censors
Re:Good and bad news (Score:1)
RDRAM can NOT run at 800 MHz. It runs at 400 MHz at the most, but it's rated at 800 because it can transfer data at both the rising and falling edge of the cylce. This is exactly what DDR DRAM will do. It's basically the same as SDRAM except for this very feature. And you don't have to pay any royalties.
Although the maximum transfer rate of RDRAM is 1600 Mb/s (compared to 800 MB/s of 100 MHz SDRAM), its latency is much higher (because it can only transfer 16 bits at a time). And for 90% of the applications, latency is the limiting factor, not burst transfer rate. This is exactly why you see almost no difference between Celeron and PII, even though Celeron has 66 MHz bus while PII has 100Mhz.
Re:Good and bad news (Score:3)
Re:Mandated technology (Score:2)
If only that was always true. Intel has been successful pretty often with inferior solutions. It's just this time they're trying to push around a few large companies rather than a larger collection of smaller companies. There are a bunch of companies that make (should I use the word assemble now?) motherboards that Intel pushed around with their (at the time) inferior chipsets, but very few companies can afford the investment to start making RAM.
fiat: This reminds me of a Pontiac commercial where they say "Wider is better." Now, Intel is promoting "Slower is better." Guess what? Wider is better, but slower isn't. Therefore, RAMBUS is out. Intel can argue that significantly slowing down RAM in order to decrease the pin count is a good thing, but most consumers don't understand that so they'll go with the faster and cheap DRAM.
The prices isn't that bad.. (Score:1)
So, this isn't *expensive*. It's just 'bad luck' that you didn't buy when ram was a tad cheaper.
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Prices on TCR suck anyway... (Score:1)
If you're in that area on a Saturday, check out the computer fair just off TCR. It's held in a hotel on the first side street to the right, just up from the Oxford Street/TCR junction. (Can't be more accurate 'cos it's 18 months since I was there last)
Good range and prices, and one set of guys who test all memory in front of you before you take it away.
Re:Blame it on the quake? (Score:2)
If the quake affected Micron's competition it affected Micron's market. If it affected Micron's market, it stands to affect Micron's prices.
The reality of markets is, of course, far more complicated than your argument (and mine) would have it be. Even a credible prediction of a quake in Taiwan would affect prices in the markets in which Taiwan is a major player.
RAM Price Increase (Score:1)
Re:It figures (Score:1)
Toms hardware called this correctly months ago (Score:1)
Thanks Tom, for getting it right *once again*
Re:so, this mean there will be more R&D? (Score:2)
What is a bond-out option?
Integrated circuits are little rectangles of silicon and have to be connected to the rest of the world. On the chip itself there are exposed metal spots ("bond pads") connected to the device's I/O circuitry. Various means are used to connect the bond pads to the package, but the most common are veeeery thin gold wires attached to the chip at one end and a package conductor at the other.
Since it's inconvenient and expensive to maintain separate IC designs, it's often easier to have one design which can be used in multiple ways depending on external signals, jumpers, or whatever. Rather than bring these configuration lines out of the package, though, they can be connected internally at the time the bond wires are attached. Likewise, signals that aren't needed in a particular configuration can be left out of the package I/O set.
HTH.
Re:Blame it on the quake... (Score:1)
Sheesh.. Gas prices in San Diego have been well above $1.20 for regular unleaded for years now. It's about $1.30 now, and that's the lowest it's been for awhile.
I'm 26 now, and I don't think I've paid less than a $1/gal for gas for about 8 or 9 years... in San Diego anyway. We get screwed here. Whenever I travel to places for work or vacation I get to see that _everywhere_ else is cheaper.... ARGH!
Re:Blame it on the quake... [OffTopic] (Score:1)
Hell, $1.25 is cheap. It's running $1.69 here now :(
Ender
Re:The prices isn't that bad.. (Score:1)
A tad cheaper???
I bought a 128 M SIMM (PC-100) this summer for $79. The same SIMM from the same dealer is now over $300. Luckily I bought enough (two more) for my new system when the price was $110. I pissed and moaned then (because it had been $79 a few weeks earlier) but don't regret spending the money now.
I remember back when I paid $2 for 256Kx1bit RAM chips (they were used, desoldered-from-equipment parts) and how I later regretted not buying as many as I could afford, when the same used chips were going for $12 each. Back then 640K was pretty darn expensive for us poor suckers and our 8088 system boards with hungry IC sockets.
Kids these days... thumping along on crutch...
Re:Blame it on the quake... (Score:1)
So it's because of other factors. A wafer shortage is what I had heard.
Re:BETA WAS SONY! VHS WAS EVERYONE ELSE! (Score:1)
1) Rambus wants a buttload in license fees.
2) SDRAM, DDR-SDRAM are open standards which anyone can build to, royalty free. (There may be some minor royalties, but these are negotiated or worked around by JEDEC.)
and, one you didn't mention that applies to beta vs vhs and rambus vs ddr.
3) The performance difference is not noticeable by the average consumer.
So, you end up with a marginally better technology, that is more than marginally more expensive. Which is a recipe for disaster in the PC industry. Another point to note is that proprietary hardware has never suceeded in the PC space. Examples:
1) MCA vs ISA - IBM got spanked ont his one even though MCA was the better technology.
2) Apple/Mac vs IBM compatible - Apple and MacOS had superior software and hardware, but got spanked by the open hardware PC.
3) Soundblaster compatible devices - While I am sure there were better alternatives, for some reason everything was soundblaster compatible.
I am sure more coudl be named, but I don't have time.
Dastardly
Re:Blame it on the quake... (Score:1)
Um, because this doesn't effect the supply of cars from Ford, Crysler, Audi, BMW, etc. etc. etc...
Try reading an economic text sometime...
Re:Blame it on the quake? (Score:1)
Worst price fluctuation I saw was 128mb PC100 going from $103 to $480. Where do I find a bank that will figure 10% interest like this?
FYI (Score:1)
Beta is still in use in the "Industry"
Its all about porn (Score:1)
Lets face it, in porn quality doesn't really matter, as long as your not asking your self the question "Is that a nipple or an anus?"
Re:Rambus will not die (Score:1)
The real issue is economic and whether rambus can provide a compelling reason for its adoption in PCs in the face of its much higher costs. I have my own opinion on that and it differs from the Intel guys. But Sun has voted for rambus with a DRDRAM controller in their 5200 MAJC chip. And Compaq has continued the pattern of the Alpha EV7 and announced that the eight issue EV8 would also have DRDRAM controllers built in. Many people and companies other than Intel have made expensive votes of confidence in rambus.
Re:Blame it on the quake? (Score:1)
I think you misunderstand. The point of my last point was to establish that the earthqake was not the sole cause of the sharp spike in SDRAM prices. I think that point was made. I cited micron as an example because Micron DRAM was, is, and has been available in abundance, so it serves as a useful indicator.
There are obviously a lot more issues at work here, and a lot more foreign companies making DRAM besides the US and Taiwan. NEC is in Japan, and Samsung is in Korea for instance.
The reality of markets is, of course, far more complicated than your argument (and mine) would have it be. Even a credible prediction of a quake in Taiwan would affect prices in the markets in which Taiwan is a major player.
I wasn't my intention to do a full analysis of the market forces that led to the exponential rise in DRAM prices. I was meerly offering the results of a small case study. If you look further in this thread, the myriad reasons for the DRAM price increases are addressed.
Re:Many reasons for increase (Score:1)
*stomps around in anger*
Dumb politicians, only hurt us..
(But not them - obviously as usually the majority
is in the pockets of the industr[y|ies]!)
Where you can get SDRAM cheap (Score:1)
NEC, Samsung, and the Quake (Score:1)
NEC and Samsung are having financial difficulties.
The Taiwanese quake has drastically reduced the output from the Taiwanese SDRAM's manufacturers, thus making the price of SDRAM much more expensive - and in turn, making SDRAM a much more profitable venture for financial troubling companies like NEC and Samsung to switch their manufacturing lines.
If the above is not enough, the marketplace has spoken. RAMBUS is too overly hyped - for the price difference of nearly 50% (and more) you get the performance hike of less than 10% (or less) - and who wants to spend more of their money for such lousy improvements?!
Re:Mandated technology (Score:1)
Its a testment to Intel's unprecedented power and the weakness of engineering arguments in this kind of decision making that this thing has lived as long as it has.
Re:Its all about porn (Score:1)
And to some of us, even that doesn't matter
Re:AMD (Score:1)
Re:Where you can get SDRAM cheap (Score:1)