Google Funding the Next Big One? 295
wdavies writes "According to this New York Times article, Google is funding a controversial deep drill geothermal project north of San Francisco. Apparently the company, AltaRock, omitted to disclose that the same deep drilling caused a major quake in Basel, Switzerland when it was last used. Given the notorious geological instability of the Northern Californian coast, this strikes me as kind of dumb — and given the known likelihood of this technique producing earthquakes, somewhat EVIL."
Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Informative)
Also the article says it's "nearly the same" drilling technology as the one that caused the quake in Basel while the summary says it's the same. It seems it's not the same though. The article goes on to say:
Officials at AltaRock, with offices in Sausalito, Calif., and Seattle, insist that the company has learned the lessons of Basel and that its own studies indicate the project can be carried out safely. James T. Turner, AltaRock's senior vice president for operations, said the company had applied for roughly 20 patents on ways to improve the method.
I don't know about Basel but I'm certain these guys know they would face serious legal/criminal action if they didn't know for sure it was safe.
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Informative)
> I don't know about Basel but I'm certain these guys know they would face serious legal/criminal action if they didn't know for sure it was safe.
Why don't you read the article?
Alarmed, Mr. Häring and other company officials decided to release all pressure in the well to try to halt the fracturing. But as they stood a few miles from the drill site, giving the orders by speakerphone to workers atop the hole, a much bigger jolt shook the room.
"I think that was us," said one stunned official.
Analysis of seismic data proved him correct. The quake measured 3.4 -- modest in some parts of the world. But triggered quakes tend to be shallower than natural ones, and residents generally describe them as a single, explosive bang or jolt -- often out of proportion to the magnitude -- rather than a rumble.
Triggered quakes are also frequently accompanied by an "air shock," a loud tearing or roaring noise.
The noise "made me feel it was some sort of supersonic aircraft going overhead," said Heinrich Schwendener, who, as president of Geopower Basel, the consortium that includes Geothermal Explorers and the utility companies, was standing next to the borehole.
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Forgot to add ... why aren't they drilling in some desert area... some abandoned nuclear test site? Sure, the power transmission losses will be larger, but so will the safety (especially compared to SF)
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Interesting)
Forgot to add ... why aren't they drilling in some desert area... some abandoned nuclear test site? Sure, the power transmission losses will be larger, but so will the safety (especially compared to SF)
First of all it's "north of San Fransisco" and by North they mean it's actually North of Santa Rosa. And it looks to be about 20 miles north of that up near Clear Lake. And if you go to their project site [altarockenergy.com] and look at the map at the bottom, you'll notice in the past week there's been 3.0 or larger earth quakes in that region. The 3.4 they had in Basel looks to be just another daily occurrence in those parts.
If you look where they're drilling, there's not a whole lot of homes around there. I'm not sure what the radius of destruction is from the epicenter for a "big one" but I don't think it's massive enough to hit a lot way out there. I could be wrong. But you know, I bet if they see a 3.4 like Basel, they shut it down if the government doesn't first. I do like the interactive map on their site so you can see the earthquakes relative to their drilling.
Who knows? They could have determined that unstable areas are safer for drilling since the region around you is having 3.0+ earthquakes all the time? Not like you're going to screw anything up if the plates are shifting constantly anyway, right?
Also, the government funded stuff is all over the place (Utah included) so don't worry, they want this energy source available to all and non centralized. I'm not sure what your motivation is here or why the summary labeled this as pure evil Personally, I'm interested in what this could do for non-polluting energy. I think in order to get the drilling permits and convince backers it was safe enough for America you would have to show a lot of proof. But I'm not a seismologist. Looks worth a shot to me though.
Lastly people take risks in the name of discovery and production. It happens every time a human leaves Earth's gravitational pull, it happened in the early days of a lot of technology until it was perfected. I'm not arguing we should risk human lives, I'm just pointing out that we might be blowing a risk out of proportion that, since non of us are seismologists, none of us really understand. Is it like drilling a pinhole through a one inch slab of marble or drilling the pinhole through one millimeter thick pie crust? I highly doubt they'd be wasting their time if they didn't know the ground would remain stable long enough for their tunnel to remain intact. It looks like they're taking precautions and claim to have refined the process to make it safer at least.
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Informative)
Born and raised in California, earthquakes tend to be boring:
Magnitude 3.x is what the news programs talk about in between the weather and highway traffic.
4.x tends to be somebody says something fell over.
5.x is when you start to notice...
Loma Prieta was 6.9 and the epicenter about 60 miles from my home, about the same distance to the houses that collapsed and burned in San Francisco. It's not the distance but the local ground conditions that made the difference: the only thing that happened at my house was an empty soda can fell over. In the Marina District, the landfill (from the 1906 earthquake) turned to jello, something like that happened in Oakland to the freeway, and my house on a natural slope was fine.
Besides, there is no "if" about a coming large quake, only "when", and to a lesser extent where: most likely the northern end on the Hayward fault. Santa Rosa would be the San Andreas fault.
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That's awesome! I've never experienced a quake. I remember once there was this 'pop' but that's it. But I love that you guys have become desensitised. Kinda like us and killer animals everywhere.
Just loved the perspective. Thanks.
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No, not 10. Two pts on the Richter magnitude scale is 1000x the energy, so one pt is sqrt(1000) = 31.6.
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Informative)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richter_magnitude_scale [wikipedia.org]
perhaps you were thinking of this:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moment_magnitude_scale [wikipedia.org]
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No, assert(0) is correct: the total energy of a quake varies as the 3/2 power of the seismic moment. Both the Richter and Moment magnitude scales are based around the base-10 logarithm of the seismic moment, but that isn't the same as the total released energy of the quake.
By the way, I noticed that this fact is mentioned in the second paragraph of the very link that you cited. Did you perhaps stop reading after the first? ;-)
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Informative)
The area does have quakes, BUT if you look at where they STARTED to cluster once drilling started it becomes really obvious that the drilling and water insertion causes additional (like a lot more) quakes. The geologists know this is the case. The issue at stake is what happens when you drill way deeper into the rocks below -- here's thge video from the times showing what happens.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2009/06/23/us/Geothermal.html [nytimes.com]
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Interesting)
First of all it's "north of San Fransisco" and by North they mean it's actually North of Santa Rosa. And it looks to be about 20 miles north of that up near Clear Lake. And if you go to their project site and look at the map at the bottom, you'll notice in the past week there's been 3.0 or larger earth quakes in that region. The 3.4 they had in Basel looks to be just another daily occurrence in those parts.
I live in the region we're discussing, which is the most geothermally active spot in the inhabited world. We have a superfund site down the road where they buried the arsenic pressure-washed off of the turbine blades. The geothermal power site itself is storing Arsenic and other major toxics in open concrete pits near the generators. When the pits fill up, they are covered over with concrete, and the walls raised so that they can put more toxics in.
Assuming they'll be accessing the same system of vents, the water that they are pumping into the ground and heating it will probably be contaminated with the same stuff that comes OUT of the steam vents which run Calpine Geothermal Power, thus creating another serious environmental catastrophe. We were starting to have cows born with two heads and shit like that; they ended up digging up [most of] the Arsenic-contaminated soil and containing it on the same site with a rubber liner.
Most so-called "green power" is anything but.
I highly doubt they'd be wasting their time if they didn't know the ground would remain stable long enough for their tunnel to remain intact. It looks like they're taking precautions and claim to have refined the process to make it safer at least.
That depends. Have they been paid yet?
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Funny)
And the locals, man, don't get me started.
Apparently they have mod points, and they are angry.
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Informative)
Do you have a link to back that claim? Earthquakes in the 1-4 range really are a natural daily occurrence all across CA and many other places in the world. Check out the USGS real-time map:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsus/ [usgs.gov]
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Santa Rosa's not exactly far from San Francisco. And since it's just Santa Rosa that's close you're fine with them being leveled in an earthquake?
As a lifetime resident of Santa Rosa, I hereby formally approve of your proposal for earthquake-based levelling, and wish to subscribe to your newsletter.
But I should warn you you're going to need one doozy of a quake to actually level the place. The 1906 "San Francisco" Earthquake hit harder up here than it did in San Francisco, and that one still left 4 buildings standing.
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Funny)
Yes, but unlike Google, the government's motto is "Do evil." At least I'm pretty sure it is.
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You're correct. That's why limited small government is so important.
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Yes, but unlike Google, the government's motto is "Do evil." At least I'm pretty sure it is.
They combined and transformed into a small potato that doesn't give a shit.
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Yes, Google's given these guys $6.5 million. But the United States federal government has given them $200 million--especially the Department of Energy. If you're a United States citizen, you should be aware that you are also funding "the next big one."
And what am I going to do with this knowledge? I can't exactly refuse to pay taxes, nor in our convoluted sense of "freedom" elect any officials with real (positive) tax reforms. Sure, I could complain to congress, but honestly the entire internet has been complaining about many, many, many laws with little to no response about them (the DMCA, prohibition of certain drugs, copyright reform, etc).
I don't know about Basel but I'm certain these guys know they would face serious legal/criminal action if they didn't know for sure it was safe.
All releasing pressure does is make the next earthquake less powerful. Really, if you cause an earthquake in
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Informative)
And what am I going to do with this knowledge? I can't exactly refuse to pay taxes, nor in our convoluted sense of "freedom" elect any officials with real (positive) tax reforms. Sure, I could complain to congress, but honestly the entire internet has been complaining about many, many, many laws with little to no response about them (the DMCA, prohibition of certain drugs, copyright reform, etc).
Well... hold on here. when you say "the entire Internet has been complaining", you mean a couple-few hundred thousand people have been bitching about these things on blogs, twitter, email, useless "e-petitions", and in some cases mass form emails sent to congresscritters -- form letters indistinguishable from spam for all intents.
How many of "the entire Internet" have actually written a letter to their representative, or even know who their representatives are?
People do have power, but they have to use it. And sitting around complaining to others who already agree with them doesn't count.
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Well... hold on here. when you say "the entire Internet has been complaining", you mean a couple-few hundred thousand people have been bitching about these things on blogs, twitter, email, useless "e-petitions", and in some cases mass form emails sent to congresscritters -- form letters indistinguishable from spam for all intents. How many of "the entire Internet" have actually written a letter to their representative, or even know who their representatives are?
Yes, and those few hundred thousand usually happen to be the ones most affected by it. Its similar to putting a bunch of restrictions on dairy farmers and watch how the public doesn't seem to care much about it yet dairy farmers do, but using that reasoning to keep the legislation in effect because most of the population doesn't know how it works. Same with the DMCA, the people who complain about the DMCA are usually those affected by it, plus, I consider it part of congress's duties to check out what the
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Elected officials aren't going to listen to everybody. They listen first to the people who helped them get elected, the people who voted for them, then their own gut feeling. Rather than trying to influence your representative directly, educate and organize your neighbors. Unless you can deliver a congress person v
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The best way for that change to occur will be for the people who who complain to each other start complaining to others outside of the choir. Logically, coherently, and in a way that makes them both aware of the problem and willi
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I'm always mildly concerned when I can tell a staffer had time to actually respond to *MY* email. While the impersonal canned mass email reply is disconcerting in its own way... if they take the time to even write up a single paragraph for *ME* I worry there aren't enough people communicating with their senators and congressmen/women.
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Note - the $200 million is not for AltaRock, its the total investment in all Geothermal. Not clear that there is ANY US government money for them. It's an aside really, who's funding them, its more that they seemed to misrepresent the technique as being safe to Fed Agency overseeing it. To the comments below, about the tons of existing earthquakes, the thing to read/watch is the pop out explanation - the existing low-level geothermal ops are causing those quakes -- and the companies have admitted as much. T
Re:Unfair Blame to Both Google And AltaRock (Score:5, Funny)
Think of it - land that was inland now becomes beach-front property ... how much of that land does Google have options on?
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Actually, they stole it from Max Zorin
1 2 3 4 - Profit! (Score:5, Funny)
1 - Write a story involving Google
2 - Find a way to include the word EVIL
3 - Blog it, post it, spam it, be sure to put up Google Adwords advertising
4 - Profit!
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I don't know about Basel but I'm certain these guys know they would face serious legal/criminal action if they didn't know for sure it was safe.
They just need to know to the best of their ability that it is safe, maybe they are just an incompetent lot.
I guess in that case they would be guilty of criminal negligence or something similar. I for one welcome our ground breaking overlords :)
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Hell yeah!
If California breaks away, the weight of Maine hanging so far east will drag the whole country into a barrel roll around the Houston/Williston axis. Before you know it, the USA will be face-down in the ocean with it's ass in the air.
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Under Pressure (Score:5, Informative)
It seems to me that the only thing a large drill may do is release the pressure that's building up. It's not going to "cause" an earthquake per se, it's going to release one before it happens natually, which will likely be less intense than if it had been allowed to build up pressure in the first place.
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Hmm... they say they ADD pressure in order to fracture the hot rocks, this added pressure would never occur otherwise.
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"the next big one" (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:"the next big one" (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:"the next big one" (Score:5, Funny)
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Drilling doesn't CAUSE quakes! (Score:5, Informative)
Plate tectonics causes quakes! Sometimes, however, drilling *releases* stress, triggering quakes that were already going to happen, the drilling just throws the straw on the camel's back, so to speak.
In fact, technologies like this could be useful in doing controlled release of earthquakes, such that you can pick the time it can occur so people are ready for it.
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In TFA, they say they add pressure to the system, what you are talking about could be valid if it wasn't for that fact. By artificially adding pressure, I would assume that they may cause something to move which would NEVER have moved otherwise.
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Yes the steam they are making is adding pressure, but the question is if we are capable of adding enough pressure to amount to more than the proverbial straw on a camel. That doesn't seem likely to me, although since they are using large amounts of heat energy already stored in the crust I suppose it is possible.
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That's a good point... (Score:2)
That's a good point...
"essentially creating a steam explosion several miles underground in under conditions that probably have more unknowns than knowns, all in an area with known levels of significant instability seems like a prospect deserving of extreme scrutiny."
Let's try the experiment and scrutinize the results.
-- Terry
Heady questions (Score:5, Interesting)
This is a really interesting idea, the kind of stuff that makes for thoughtful sci-fi and even more thought in real life. What if we could tell the Big One was coming in the next decade but had the technology to loose its destruction at a time of our choosing?
How would such a thing be done? How would you convince the populace and governing bodies that it was necessary? How could you make absolutely sure it was necessary?
How would insurers decide to react? Where would everyone go? What about those refuse to leave? Are there temporary measures that could improve structural stability for 24 hours? What about people who couldn't afford them?
What are the potentials for abuse? How would the specifics of the release be affected by politics? If there were a way to control where the greatest damage would occur, how would it be chosen? Who would choose? Would the people in the way have a say? What kind of legal liability would those involved at different levels have?
A controlled quake release could save thousands, even tens of thousands of lives. But once there's an element of human control to unexpected disaster, all bets are off as to how our civilization deals with the responsibility.
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Re:Heady questions (Score:5, Insightful)
You asked...
What if we could tell the Big One was coming in the next decade but had the technology to loose its destruction at a time of our choosing?
Then folks would be ready for it, just like OP said.
How would such a thing be done?
RTFA.
Where would everyone go?
Vacation.
What about those refuse to leave?
Give them video cameras, clean water, some canned goods, and a P38.
Are there temporary measures that could improve structural stability for 24 hours?
Yes. Tape the windows, close the doors. Remove things from shelves. And avoid doing this in dry season or rainy season, whichever is worse for the upper layers of the crust.
What about people who couldn't afford them?
Help them.
How would insurers decide to react?
They'd act like cowardly children with solid cherry desks, country club memberships, a trophy wife, and a new German car, just like they do any other time something expensive happens.
How would the specifics of the release be affected by politics?
Poorly. Just as every other case where a politician gets involved.
If there were a way to control where the greatest damage would occur, how would it be chosen?
Whatever's cheapest.
Who would choose?
Maps. And clinical, heartless engineers.
Would the people in the way have a say?
They had a say when they elected the government.
What kind of legal liability would those involved at different levels have?
Who cares? If we can print enough money to bail out the economy, we can print enough to cover everyone's ass in a man-made Teh Big One.
No, but... (Score:2)
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Pulling a trigger doesn't CAUSE people to get shot!
Making the bullet causes people to get shot! Sometimes, however, pulling the trigger *releases* the bullet.
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Yes, I'm sure that is what it would be used for. Also, how do you do this from space? we need to be able to do it from space..
Why go to space? If you need to evacuate California couldn't you just send them to New Zealand for a month?
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woosh.
The conspiracy theorists say US spy satellites caused them earthquakes in China.
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Meta-woosh.
New Zealand is known for its negative attitude toward Californians.
The sheer weight of them would cause earth quakes.
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NO!!! Then it will turn all the vegetarians into carnivores! T~T See? -> http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3123/2820401196_e75abeec6f.jpg [flickr.com]
Caused a quake in Basel? (Score:3, Insightful)
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Yup... that's some nice reasoning behind that claim. How about we see this seismic data that's mentioned but not linked to
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Well, they were drilling, and then there was an earthquake. So obviously the drilling caused the quake, right?
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In TFA, they say artificially caused quakes are easy to identify:
Analysis of seismic data proved him correct. The quake measured 3.4 modest in some parts of the world. But triggered quakes tend to be shallower than natural ones, and residents generally describe them as a single, explosive bang or jolt often out of proportion to the magnitude rather than a rumble.
Triggered quakes are also frequently accompanied by an air shock, a loud tearing or roaring noise.
The noise made me feel it was some sort of sup
Probability (Score:5, Insightful)
Probability of a major earthquake if google does not drill: 1
If there is a quake, at least it will release some tension now rather than a year from now when it will be greater.
If they can trigger earthquakes... (Score:2)
Is Google EVIL now? (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Is Google EVIL now? (Score:5, Funny)
No, you all have it exactly backwards. Look at this - California is bankrupt, they're planning on paying creditors IOUs. No money. Nada. They've already asked the feds to help and Obama has said 'No'.
Google knows this and knows that the only other ways to get money out of the feds is either to wage war on them or have a (presumably) natural disaster. Wars take time and are all sorts of messy, not to mention ethically marginal. A natural disaster on the other hand - who can argue with an Act of God? This is just a small down payment to help rescue the entire fucking state from themselves.
Brilliant, I say. Absolutely brilliant.
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No, you all have it exactly backwards. Look at this - California is bankrupt, they're planning on paying creditors IOUs. No money. Nada. They've already asked the feds to help and Obama has said 'No'.
Don't you mean the USA is bankrupt ?
3.4? (Score:5, Insightful)
Apparently (it's hard to say for sure, since all the stories I found were kinda sensationalist) the project in Basel caused a magnitude 3.4 quake.
That's an extremely small earthquake.
Big trucks going a construction site also rumble and shake the ground when the go past. People bitch, but it's not considered a reason to stop construction projects (except perhaps in very exceptional circumstances).
Frankly the furor seems to be more the "OMG they're doing something we don't understand which doesn't involve overeating and reality television! Stop them!" sort than it does a well-grounded and considered opposition.
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Re:3.4? (Score:5, Informative)
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If you read the article, the 3.4 magnitude earthquake was closer to the surface than normal earthquakes. The effect was correspondingly higher. For Pete's sake, there was a sonic-boom-like burst of wind that accompanied the earthquake.
Bad Idea (Score:2)
What if it were Exxon? (Score:2)
B Movie (Score:2, Funny)
Terminator (Score:3, Funny)
I think this is will be skynet's first strike against mankind.
Releasing pressure might be a good thing (Score:5, Insightful)
I would rather have a number of small quakes rather than one large one. If this results in pressure being gradually released from a fault zone, I would consider it an asset, not a liability.
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Personally, I feel that people alive 150 years from now are imaginary people, and would thus gladly shove the big one at them instead of taking a bunch of smaller ones now.
just turn that frown upside down (Score:2, Funny)
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Their Fatal Mistake (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:Their Fatal Mistake (Score:5, Insightful)
OMG NUCLEAR! You want to build a BOMB in my state! How dare you. Not in my county, we'll fight this to the supreme court!
California is not sustainable, because they look only to the short term, and have short memories.
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Wait, what did you just say, I can't remember.
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You know, you only serve to make yourself look like a nutjob completely detached from reality when you spout off nonsense.
It's not worth his time to bother to help you pull your head out of your ass. Sure he might look to you like he's a nutjob, but you demonstrate that you have little clue or perception in the matter. For example, Montana most likely has a lot less superfund sites than California because they have less population and less industry (oh look [ncseonline.org], Montana has 8 Superfund sites as compared to California's 90 Superfund sites). You said some nonsense, something about air pollution and coal burning plants. My guess is t
Quick! (Score:2)
It's pure genius... (Score:2)
Hooglu (Score:2)
Don't worry, nothing bad will happen from it... (Score:2, Funny)
Cause we will be screwed by LHC loooonnnggg before
s/sensationalist drivel/actual info/g , please (Score:2)
Steven E. Koonin, the under secretary for science at the Energy Department, said the earthquake issue was new to him, but added, "We're committed to doing things in a factual and rigorous way, and if there is a problem, we will attend to it."
I have zero understanding of the technology being used here, nor of what might constitute rigorous risk identification, monitoring and response. The article doesn't help much in that it appears to focuses on the polar - people who assert little or manageable risk(s) and on the other end those who think just about anything (bad) could happen.
At the risk of trivializing something complex that I know jack shit about, I'll note I can't tell whether Mr. Koonin's comment is indicative of solid forethought and co
Prior art! (Score:2)
to quake or not to quake (Score:2)
Fear of quakes should not justify dropping the idea of using drilled geotermics, it's stupid.
Unless you ask commo
Evil bit (Score:2)
Yes, google is now evil, they're finding projects that use RFC 3514 -- the Evil Bit.
Well, the evil drill bit anyway.
Fantastic Graphics! 60,000 times our energy use! (Score:2)
If you want to see some really great informative graphics look at the what is presented along with the article: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2009/06/23/us/Geothermal.html [nytimes.com]
I'm amazed to see such well presented, interesting and informative 3D and 2D graphics in a "mainstream" (non-technical) periodical. Take a look!
Anyway, back to the topic. The article also said that advanced geothermal power could produce "as much as 60,000 TIMES the nationâ(TM)s annual energy usage!" (Emphasis mine).
Doesn't an
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`has not agreed to voluntarily disclose by not providing the fact that a quake occurred in Switzerland."
There, fixed for you ;-))
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I don't really worry about earthquakes until they start getting above 5, and even then it's no biggie around here. We have those every few years around here and there's rarely much damage since most of the buildings are designed to withstand far greater earthquakes. A 3.6 is nothing around here, and most of us have already experienced a number of quakes larger than that. California has done a lot to retrofit and upgrade older buildings and infrastructure especially after the Northridge and Loma Prieta earth
Re:What scare-mongering stupidity! (Score:4, Insightful)
The forces involved in an earthquake are so far beyond what man can control or cause that it is not even funny.
What about lubricating a fault with water?
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Hey, that's not funny!
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Hey, that's not funny!
Other types of lubricant are way too expensive.
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What about lubricating a fault with water?
Which is exactly what caused the recent earthquake at l'Aquila (Italy), and several other instances, including a very big one in China. A dam gets built, the water pressure from the lake increases deep water infiltration. If there is a fault line alongside the valley (fairly common), the fault gets lubricated and lets it rip.
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We don't have to, the other companies admit as such. Start drilling, and quakes start happening, stop it and the quakes stop. The Basel engineer knew he was at fault and wasn't scared to admit it, which I think is awesome. As for proving it, I dunno, leave that to any geologists.