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Earth Power Technology Science

Clinton Plan To Power Every US Home With Renewables By 2027 Is Achievable 528

Lucas123 writes: As part of her campaign pledge, Hillary Clinton has said she would make it a priority in her first term to increase the number of solar panels by 500M and U.S. installed solar capacity from 21 gigawatts (GW) today to 140GW by the end of 2020. Her plan, is to increase solar, wind and other renewables so that they'd provide 33% of America's electricity by 2027, enough to power every home. While the plan may sound overly ambitious, experts say, it's not. Today, renewables provide about 15% of America's power. Shayle Kann, senior vice president at GTM Research, said the Clinton's renewable energy goal is doable, but with caveats. In order to achieve the goal, current programs, such as federal tax breaks for solar installations (set to expire next year), must continue and future initiatives, such as Obama's Clean Power Plan that will begin in 2018, must not be curtailed. Considering that if elected, Clinton wouldn't take office until 2017, the her campaign goals could be more bravado than reality. Clinton, however, is not alone. While most candidates have yet to announce their clean energy plans, Clinton's Democratic contender, Martin O'Malley, also came out with strong support for the end of fossil fuel use and a full clean energy economy by 2050, and creating a national goal of doubling energy efficiency within 15 years.
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Clinton Plan To Power Every US Home With Renewables By 2027 Is Achievable

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  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday August 03, 2015 @01:54PM (#50241701)

    Great Scott!!!!!!!

    • Damn...it is gonna get mighty cold in them houses up north, on cloudy winter days with snow piled up halfway to the roofline when the solar panels are damned near useless, no?
      • by Dr. Tom ( 23206 )

        Folks living in Florida selling power to the north will be chuckling. Jeb Bush should be all bug-eyed with the profit potential.

      • Re:21 Gigawats? (Score:5, Insightful)

        by WillAffleckUW ( 858324 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @03:12PM (#50242477) Homepage Journal

        In northern areas, you pitch the solar panels at an angle, and many houses have them on the high slope south facing roofs. There are these things called brushes we use to clean off snow so it doesn't collapse our roofs. My dad lives in a house in Vermont that is solar powered for electricity and hot water, and he survives the winters quite nicely. Helps if you have R28 insulation and triple pane windows too.

      • Damn...it is gonna get mighty cold in them houses up north, on cloudy winter days with snow piled up halfway to the roofline when the solar panels are damned near useless, no?

        There are a lot of naysayers telling us how one thing or the other won't work but we didn't get to where we are as a civilization by listening to them. It's the people with the "can do" attitude that lead us to the future.

        • It's the people with the "can do" attitude that lead us to the future.

          A can-do attitude is useful when you have an idea about how to do something new and nay-sayers then argue against that idea ever working. What we have here is a political goal with no clue about how to achieve it which is not the same thing. The problem with a 100 % 'renewable' energy solution is that the power is very variable. Show me a plan to deal with that and I'll be interested. Until then this appears nothing more than political hot air.

  • by grasshoppa ( 657393 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @01:55PM (#50241713) Homepage

    To put 21 gigawatts in perspective, that's approximately 17 trips through time.

  • by Noah Haders ( 3621429 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @01:59PM (#50241749)

    headline says:

    Clinton Plan To Power Every US Home With Renewables By 2027 Is Achievable

    but the summary says

    Her plan, is to increase solar, wind and other renewables so that they'd provide 33% of America's electricity by 2027, enough to power every home.

    what this means is that the amount of renewable generation would equal residential use, not that each house would be 100% renewable.

    In CA Southern California Edison is currently 22% renewable, and they have plans to go to 27%. This doesn't include home generation like rooftop solar panels, which should count for the 33% goal.

    • by SydShamino ( 547793 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @02:11PM (#50241849)

      The headline is sufficient for those who do not understand how the power grid works, and anyone who knows how the power grid works would not be misled by the headline.

      Even though my bill says "100% wind" on it, and somewhere out there are windmill(s) generating as much electricity as my home consumes, the actual power consumed in my house might just as easily come from the coal plants up the highway. It's all on the same grid.

      If you understand that, then it's obvious that "Power Every US Home With Renewables" means "Generate As Much Renewable Energy As All Homes Consume". What appears on the bills of those homeowners is irrelevant.

      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        The headline is sufficient for those who do not understand how the power grid works, and anyone who knows how the power grid works would not be misled by the headline.

        Even though my bill says "100% wind" on it, and somewhere out there are windmill(s) generating as much electricity as my home consumes, the actual power consumed in my house might just as easily come from the coal plants up the highway. It's all on the same grid.

        If you understand that, then it's obvious that "Power Every US Home With Renewables" means "Generate As Much Renewable Energy As All Homes Consume". What appears on the bills of those homeowners is irrelevant.

        I disagree. If utilities had to provide 100% renewable power to every home, then it would need to have significant overcapacity, because it would need enough renewables for the PM peak and have idle renewables during other times. So to power homes with 100% renewables you would need to have many times more renewable capacity than homes consume.

        • Or we develop a good way to store the energy. We could invest in better batteries, or we can pump water up a hill, or lift heavy things to high places, or spin things really fast in a vacuum, or use the energy to split water molecules, etc.

          Maybe we would lose a lot of energy transferring it from one form to another, but it's better than just wasting it to heat immediately.

      • by gdshaw ( 1015745 )

        The headline is sufficient for those who do not understand how the power grid works, and anyone who knows how the power grid works would not be misled by the headline.

        I disagree.

        Even though my bill says "100% wind" on it, and somewhere out there are windmill(s) generating as much electricity as my home consumes, the actual power consumed in my house might just as easily come from the coal plants up the highway. It's all on the same grid.

        Fair enough: electricity is fungible, and it doesn't matter what powers what (if it is even possible to tell).

        If you understand that, then it's obvious that "Power Every US Home With Renewables" means "Generate As Much Renewable Energy As All Homes Consume". What appears on the bills of those homeowners is irrelevant.

        If you had said enough /power/ for all homes then I'd agree there too, but that is much more difficult than generating enough energy, because you have to deliver it reliably and match the demand curve. By only counting the energy you are saying two things:

        1. That the non-domestic part of the grid will reserve enough spare capacity to cover any shortfall from renewables.

        2. That you can dum

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      For some reason this seems to be the way renewable levels are always quoted. Scotland plans to be 100% renewable by 2020, but only by generating 200% of what it needs with half from renewables and exporting the excess. Well, they have a lot of wind up there.

      • Scotland plans to be 100% renewable by 2020, but only by generating 200% of what it needs with half from renewables and exporting the excess.

        Well, that sounds like more SNP massive head-in-the-clouds wishful thinking to me.

        http://www.withouthotair.com/s... [withouthotair.com]

        Page 2 contains a chart for the whole of britain. Cover tthe entire south facing country's roofs with solar panels. Put wind farms on over the top 10% of windiest land and put 500km of wave machines along the roughest parts of the coastline. And that match

    • by x0ra ( 1249540 )
      assuming no energy consumption growth between now and 2027...
  • by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @02:01PM (#50241773)
    Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • The US will probably reach that goal by 2027 without Clinton interventions based purely on economics of cheap solar. Of course had she, like other politicians, acted when it was actually important, the few hundred billions of dollars required for this transition would have supported American manufacturing. Instead these dollars will be funding development of the Chinese economy via their increasingly global renewable energy operations.
  • Why solar? (Score:4, Insightful)

    by Solandri ( 704621 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @02:27PM (#50242003)
    Solar is currently the most expensive renewable by far. I know the dream is to power everything in your house with solar panels on the roof, but the technology just isn't there yet (at least without tremendous expense).

    The latest complete electrical production stats (2013) [eia.gov] put renewables at 12.8%. 6.6% of that is hydro, 4.1% is wind, 1% is burning wood (yes it's a renewable), 0.5% is "other biomass" - mostly natural gas captured from landfills, 0.4% is geothermal, and only 0.22% is solar (thermal and photovoltaic). Solar isn't last because of some grand conspiracy. It's last because it's the most expensive [wikipedia.org].

    Why would you want to put the most expensive technology on the fast track for widescale adoption? Because it taps into the wishes and dreams of those who don't know better? The whole point of being an elected official is that your sole job is to learn this stuff so you can make better decisions about it than the voters who elected you who don't have the time (or sometimes the capability) to learn this stuff. A more well-reasoned approach would be to encourage wider adoption of wind (hydro is pretty much tapped out in the U.S., and wind is just a hair's breadth more expensive than coal), while continuing subsidies into solar R&D. Encouraging wide-scale adoption of PV solar at current levels of technology and cost is wasteful and foolish when better alternatives exist.
    • Re:Why solar? (Score:5, Interesting)

      by radl33t ( 900691 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @03:15PM (#50242523)

      Solar is currently the most expensive renewable by far.

      Huh? This thinking seems outdated. Average solar has reached (and beaten) cost parity with all competing generation except for about the top 50%, top 25% of wind projects, and nearly all consequential new hydro proposals. ABY is adding solar yield projects with better returns than prior wind and hydro projects developed under more lucrative subsidy regimes... Projects are breaking ground with PPAs in the sub 6 cent range. First Solar, Recurrent Energy are successfully building projects and generating gross margins of 15-20% by selling power at 0.0387 $/kWh and .047 $/kWh respectively. They are doing it for 5 and 6 cents all over the world, even locations without subsidy. That is competitive with virtually any new energy construction. Companies building owning these projects are and will outgrow the global economy for foreseeable future (absent all subsidies) and then become the most impressive profit machines in the history of markets within a few decades. Minting money from fully-depreciated assets like the world has never seen (haha, except from current utilities :) ) I don't think you fully comprehend the economics of a maintenance free, nearly indestructible, fully-depreciated, solid state, money making machine. And thus business plan can scale to several % of global GDP without a hitch...

      but the technology just isn't there yet (at least without tremendous expense).

      Huh? Specifically what are the technological challenges? Today's technology will likely generate 70% of its nameplate capacity 50 years from now. All components are now offered standard with warranties that will last the entire amortization period. Solar panels and micro inverters would be among if not the most durable and reliable products in your home. Solar energy is available at higher energy density than necessary for single family construction and multi family construction less than 4 stories, aside from that there is no shortage of cheap land, even cheap land at favorable transmission and distribution locations.

      There are tens of millions + homes all over the country for which a homeowner with good credit can go net positive energy using a cash flow positive PV investment (e.g. PV + financing = cheaper than utility bill) and actually provide a pretty good return on investment that has lower risk and better return than many different financial vehicles that would be sold to you as part of a balanced portfolio. For a solar array producing power after the 20-25% amortization period, the reduction in total cost of ownership for the home over the lifetime of these components will be tens of thousands of dollars.

      You are clearly not up to speed on the technology, the production costs, the financing, or the global explosion in the industry.You have rested on some older state of knowledge too long. The technology awesome. The economics are extremely favorable. The only barrier is the transition to an enlightened long term view about power production. Don't blame cheap, high performance technology for man's failure to identify the obvious advantages of long term thinking.

      • Re:Why solar? (Score:4, Informative)

        by FlyHelicopters ( 1540845 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @03:56PM (#50242969)

        First Solar, Recurrent Energy are successfully building projects and generating gross margins of 15-20% by selling power at 0.0387 $/kWh and .047 $/kWh respectively. They are doing it for 5 and 6 cents all over the world, even locations without subsidy. That is competitive with virtually any new energy construction

        No it isn't, but thanks for playing. Note that you listed 2 rates, then noted it costs more elsewhere "without subsidy".

        So those rates aren't real and couldn't be scaled up because they are being bought down with tax dollars.

        You are clearly not up to speed on the technology, the production costs, the financing, or the global explosion in the industry.You have rested on some older state of knowledge too long. The technology awesome. The economics are extremely favorable. The only barrier is the transition to an enlightened long term view about power production.

        The irony is that you need a mirror, you're the one with fantasy thinking...

        Let me help you out with a specific, real example.

        I just signed an agreement for power for my business. Thanks to the dropping price of oil and natural gas, my rate is going down for the first time in awhile.

        I'll be paying 6.2 cents per kwh for the first 2,000 kwh and 6.8 cents per kwh for everything over 2,000 kwh. That is the total bill price. That is very cheap for such low usage and it includes everything, from power delivery to generation to taxes. The source of that power is a mix of coal, natural gas, and nuclear.

        The same company can provide me with 100% renewables if I want it, 9.1 cents per kwh for the first 2K and 9.6 cents beyond that.

        So renewables are 50% more than coal and natural gas where I live.

    • In a word: China.

      China installed 12GW of solar in 2013. That's with current technology and production. From what I've heard (that I have no links to, sorry--this may actually be hearsay, but from what I know of the Chinese, it's certainly plausible), China basically cribbed the notes of companies from other countries that were manufacturing solar panels in Chinese factories. They turned around and started using all that tech to build their own stuff, and in one year installed more solar than anyone.

      But Chin

  • by QuietLagoon ( 813062 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @02:42PM (#50242129)
    The current power grid is set up to carry power from the current generating sources through a hierarchy of distribution systems to the consumer (i.e., your house).

    If the solar panels that are opined are to be installed are on the consumers' houses, how will the power distribution grid need to be changed?

    If solar panels are in the desert somewhere, will a new distribution system need to be built (along what right of way?) to carry the electricity from the desert to the consumers?

    In other words, don't just look at the power generation source, also look at getting that generated power to the consumer.

    • by amorsen ( 7485 )

      Transmission costs are a fraction of production costs. This is unlikely to change.

      Storage is a legitimate concern, but "luckily" large parts of the US are heavily dependent on air conditioning. Some areas need air conditioning at night as well, but I am sure people will start getting creative once daytime energy costs trend towards zero.

    • by kqs ( 1038910 )

      RIghts of way are pretty easy in the desert, actually...

      But you're right that this will take some major changes in the power distribution grid. Some of those changes are already being done. Slapping solar panels on a house doesn't magically solve all of your problems. But the problems it causes are solvable (and in ways that involve burning few hydrocarbons).

  • by Karmashock ( 2415832 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @02:58PM (#50242299)

    She was basically expected to fail. For various political reasons within the DNC she needed to be given the presumption of a chance but there was an understanding from the start that she'd not go anywhere.

    Sort of like the republicans running John McCain or something... the know he's not going to win. They might even nominate him... but if they do... they know he's not going anywhere.

    Hillary is the same thing and so is Bernie or Trump. the political forces that know anything know that these people are the opening circus attraction.

    Behind Hillary there are a lot of people in the Dem ranks that can stand up and be more credible than her. And they will especially since Hillary appears to be self destructing faster than anything believed possible. This email thing is getting increasingly serious. I doubt she's going to jail over it but... it is looking like something nasty could come out of it. The sweater is getting unraveled.

    On the other political side you have Trump... who also will not be president. Its not going to happen. Even if he got the nomination and he won't... but even if he did... he'd still lose.

    So who cares what these people say they would do. I might as well stand up and say what I would do if I were president. Or anyone else on slashdot... Stand up and tell us what you'd do if you were president.

    Whatever you said matters about as much as Hillary's various schemes to get enough votes to get her party's nomination.

    I will say this... IF Hillary got nominated... she might win. She'd have a D after her name and that is a very powerful thing in an election. But... I don't think she's going to get nominated.

    She's kind of a female Al Gore in a lot of ways. Neither Gore nor her wants to associate with Bill Clinton but neither of them would even be considered for high office without that association. I don't know why they distance themselves from Bill. If I were either of them I'd walk around on stage as Bill Clinton gave me piggybacks. As much as possible, I'd try to make people think they were voting for Bill Clinton.

    Bill Clinton could actually win again... I mean... legality and term limits aside... people like him. No one likes Hillary. Even her supporters don't like her. They feel comfortable with her maybe or they think her politics are right or whatever. But they don't like her. Who wants to have a beer with Hillary? or a glass of wine or anything? No one likes her. Bill is funny. He's got stories. He's charming. You'd have a good time and he projects that in his politics and personality.

    Hillary projects... Agnes from accounting... The woman in the office that does something boring and repetitive that no one cares about... she goes home every day at 5pm and people assume she has a lot of cats because of the pictures of cats all over her cubicle...

    I mean seriously... imagine if Hillary were not a politican but just some person. Would you want to know her or spend any time with her?

    Exactly. I mean... I'd rather spend time with Trump then her... and Trump is insane. But Trump is at least amusing. I'd likely deck him every so often... and doubtless he'd call the cops on me because I assume he's a whiny bitch on the subject. But... people you want to spend time with versus not is relevant in politics. Likability.

    And that's a problem for old Hill. She isn't getting the nomination. I don't see it. And if she does... she's one of the weaker presidential candidates the dems could field.

    I'd actually fear Bernie more in this election if I were the republicans more than Hillary. I mean... bernie is a frizzy haired crack pot. But he's at least sincere. He actually believes the shit that comes out of his mouth. Hillary doesn't believe anything. Those are just animal sounds she makes to lull the peasants. Everything is focus groups, talking points, lobbying scripts... she licks her finger, holds it up to the wind, and that's her position.

    And I think THAT perception is going to be very hard for her to overcome.

    • by kqc7011 ( 525426 )
      Wonder if she is heavily invested in Chinese rare earths?
    • "Bill Clinton could actually win again... I mean... legality and term limits aside.."

      As I understand it, presidential term limits only apply to consecutive terms. So, seeing as there have been a couple of other guys in office, Bill could come back for 2 more terms.
    • She's kind of a female Al Gore in a lot of ways

      I wish I could vote for the real Al Gore.

  • Clinton Plan To Power Every US Home With Renewables By 2027 Is Achievable

    Many things are achievable but still not worth doing:

    Dude 1: "So I got wasted, hooked up with that skanky 60-year old fat chick from the bar, lost my car keys and walked home in the rain, slipped and fell in a pile of dogshit."
    Dude 2: "That's...achievable!"

    Anyway, the kind of people who work for a living and pay taxes might ask, "so how much is this going to cost me?"

    Well it might not be as bad as Obama's plan which, in his own words [youtube.com], would cause electricity prices to "necessarily skyrocket."

    Though if we e

  • by erp_consultant ( 2614861 ) on Monday August 03, 2015 @03:25PM (#50242629)

    Maybe Hillary could conduct a pilot project in her own home. Throw a few panels on the roof. It might even generate enough to power an email server.

    Umm...it appears that the email server has been disconnected. Well, never mind. It's the thought that counts :-)

  • Clinton also announced a new initiative to replace the warplanes of the American air force with modern and environmentally sound flying pigs. "It is an achievable goal," she is quoted as saying. Whether or nor this meant it was a desirable one to achieve was not addressed by the candidate.

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